Naoya Inoue vs. Murodjon Akhmadaliev Betting Odds and Free Pick

Last Updated on September 12, 2025 9:43 am by Erwin Noguera

The boxing world will have its eyes on Nagoya, Japan, specifically at the Aichi International Arena, where Japanese phenomenon Naoya Inoue will defend his four super Bantamweight belts against Murodjon Akhmadaliev.

The fight is highly anticipated, not only because Inoue is considered one of the best pound-for-pound boxers today, but also because Akhmadaliev represents a very different challenge from those the Japanese fighter has faced recently. The Japanese fighter’s undefeated record, with 30 wins (27 by knockout), speaks for itself.

However, even Inoue himself acknowledged that the Uzbek “could be the most difficult opponent of his career.” When a champion of the caliber of “The Monster” makes such a statement, the boxing world takes notice.

At Gambyl Exchange, you can explore all the boxing predictions, the final bets for this bout, and the odds for each fight.

Naoya Inoue vs. Murodjon Akhmadaliev Betting Odds and Info

Why Bet on Naoya Inoue?

To talk about Naoya Inoue is to talk about a fighter who has redefined what it means to be dominant. At 32, the Japanese fighter boasts a record of 30-0 with 27 KOs, a mark that combines not only undefeated status but also a destructive power rarely seen in lighter divisions. His aggressive style, power in both hands, and coolness in executing surgical combinations have placed him at the top of the pound-for-pound rankings.

At super bantamweight, Inoue has done what was expected of him: conquer, dominate, and maintain hegemony. After unifying the titles, the Japanese fighter now seeks to further consolidate his legacy, with the intention of being remembered not only as an undisputed champion but as one of the greatest of all time in Japanese and world boxing.

His greatest strength is his offense: he combines speed, power, and precision with an intelligence that enables him to find angles that very few fighters possess. However, Inoue himself has shown on occasion that he can be touched. His jaw, although resistant, is not impenetrable. Rivals such as Nonito Donaire in 2019 put him in trouble when they managed to connect with him squarely. And therein lies the appeal of this fight: Akhmadaliev is not an opponent who wastes opportunities.

Why Bet on Murodjon Akhmadaliev?

At 30 years old, Murodjon Akhmadaliev (14-1, 11 KOs) is one of the most complete boxers to come out of Uzbekistan in recent times. An Olympic champion in Rio 2016 and former unified super bantamweight champion, Akhmadaliev comes into this fight as a legitimate and dangerous challenger. His only professional setback was in a close bout against Marlon Tapales, but beyond that defeat, he has proven that he has the tools to compete at the highest level.

Akhmadaliev’s style is both physical and technical. He is not an explosive knockout artist like Inoue, but he does possess respectable power in both hands, and above all, he applies constant pressure that suffocates his opponents. He likes to work the body, wear down his opponents with a barrage of punches, and maintain a high tempo that can compromise those who try to trade blows with him.

The Uzbek also has another factor that could be decisive: his stamina. He has shown a solid chin and an ability to absorb punishment, which will be vital against “The Monster.”In addition, he has the motivation of gold: if he defeats Inoue in Japan, he would not only become the undisputed champion, but he would also pull off the biggest upset of the year in boxing.

Final Betting Analysis: Naoya Inoue vs. Murodjon Akhmadaliev

This is undoubtedly one of the most intriguing fights on the 2025 calendar. Inoue’s undefeated record and his ability to destroy elite opponents make him the clear favorite. However, Akhmadaliev should not be underestimated. He is an experienced boxer with power and the motivation to become the undisputed champion against one of the best pound-for-pound fighters of the modern era.

The key will be how the fight starts. If Inoue manages to impose his rhythm from the outset and land clean shots, the fight could be over before the tenth round. But if Akhmadaliev survives the first half, he can complicate things and take the bout to a place where pressure and volume could make the Japanese fighter hesitate.

Even so, the reality is that Inoue has too many weapons at his disposal. His power, precision, and champion’s mentality make it difficult to imagine him letting his belts slip away at home.

Ultimately, we predict that Naoya Inoue will win by KO in the eighth round. The fight will be intense, with moments of heroic resistance from Akhmadaliev, but in the end, the “Monster” will impose his will and continue to expand his legacy as one of the best boxers on the planet.

Naoya Inoue vs. Murodjon Akhmadaliev Betting Pick: Naoya Inoue