São Paulo vs. Fluminense Betting Odds and Free Pick

Matchday 17 of the Brasileirão will deliver a crucial clash between two sides with contrasting recent form as São Paulo hosts Fluminense.

São Paulo enters this fixture off a frustrating 2-1 defeat to Atletico-MG, a match where they failed to capitalize on their early pressure. Despite the loss, they remain in contention for the Libertadores spot, sitting comfortably in the top seven.

Meanwhile, Fluminense’s nightmare season continued with a 1-0 home loss to Fortaleza. The ‘Tricolor’ side hasn’t scored in three straight matches and has only picked up one point in its last five games. The pressure on coach Marcão is at an all-time high.

São Paulo vs. Fluminense Betting Odds and Info

Why Bet on São Paulo?

Despite the recent setback, Sao Paulo has been consistent at home this season. They’ve lost just once at Morumbi and average over two goals per game in front of their fans.

Coach Luis Zubeldia has revitalized the team’s identity with a more dynamic attack led by Luciano and Jhonathan Calleri. Midseason, Andre Silva has also begun to show flashes of brilliance.

The club currently holds 19 points and sits in 12th place, taking the last ticket to the Sudamericana competition. With Fluminense reeling, this is a golden chance to reassert their dominance and climb further into the Libertadores zone.

São Paulo is significantly weakened due to Luiz Gustavo’s serious absence, leaving them without a key midfielder anchor.

Why bet on Fluminense?

Fluminense is in deep trouble. They sit in eighth place in the Brasileirão with 20 points from 14 games. Their league campaign has struggled to find consistency, coming into this match after a 2-1 defeat to Palmeiras.

Still, Fluminense has weapons. Jhon Arias remains a creative force, and the return of Martinelli in midfield adds much-needed stability. The team has also shown flashes of form in continental competitions, reaching the Copa Sudamericana Round of 16.

However, the “Tricolor” has conceded 17 goals in 14 matches, and their road performances have been unreliable. They have a three-game losing streak, and it seems difficult to recover from it.

Fluminense will miss creative midfielder Ganso and defensive midfielder Otavio due to injuries.

Final Betting Analysis: São Paulo vs. Fluminense

São Paulo is a well-organized, dangerous home side with solid depth and tactical clarity. Fluminense arrives with fatigue from international travel and recent inconsistencies domestically.

The numbers at Gambyl Exchange favor São Paulo with the Moneyline set at +132. Meanwhile, Fluminense is at +231, and the draw is at +224.

In recent meetings, Sao Paulo has often had the upper hand, especially at home. Given their momentum and superior consistency, we expect São Paulo to win 2-1.

Go for a win for São Paulo. If you bet $100 at +132, you will gain $132 for a total payout of $232.

São Paulo vs. Fluminense Betting Pick: São Paulo