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Botafogo vs. Grêmio Preview and Betting Odds

Last Updated on November 7, 2023 2:42 pm by Erwin Noguera

Botafogo is in urgent need: if they want to be champions, they must win whatever the calendar throws at it because the gap with its pursuers has narrowed to worrying levels. The next hurdle is one of the toughest teams in the Brasileirão, the Grêmio of Uruguayan striker Luis Suárez. 

‘O Fogo’ suffered another setback in the season and lost 1-0 away to Vasco da Gama, so they are sharing the top with Palmeiras, but with one game less. 

The ‘Tricolor Gaucho’ made their home ground respected in the last matchday and won 1-0 against Bahía with a goal by Suárez, so they are fourth with 56 points, 3 behind the ‘Fogao.’


Thursday, November 9, 6:00 p.m. ET at the Estádio Olímpico Nilton Santos

Moneyline odds: 

Botafogo -111 

Grêmio +295

Draw Offs :


Where Can I Watch? 

ViX, Paramount+, Premiere 2, and Fanatiz USA  

Why Bet on Botafogo?

Botafogo is struggling at the most important moment of the season, as it has been dropping points and is no longer the sole leader of the Brasileirão, tied on points with Palmeiras. If you consider that at some point, they almost had a 20-point lead, their downfall looks more severe.

In the last match, the team lost 1-0 in its visit to Vasco da Gama, which only needed a goal by Paulo Henrique to take the three points. Thus, the ‘Fogao’ has 59 points, the same as the ‘Verdao,’ but with the good fortune of still having to play a game. 

But it must be said that the team from Rio de Janeiro has three defeats in a row and four matches without a win. Although they are still the best defense in the tournament (24), they have lost their offensive skills and have gone scoreless in two of the last three matches. 

And their stadium, the Olímpico Nilton Santos, is no longer a fortress, as they have not won any of their last five matches, losing the last two. The outlook is complex for the team led by Lúcio Flávio. 

The injured players are Rafael and Patrick de Paula, while Marlon Freitas, Víctor Cuesta, and Adryelson will be able to return after serving their suspension.

Why Bet on Grêmio?

Grêmio had a difficult time between September and October, but for the final stretch of the league, it has rebounded and already has four wins in a row, scoring 10 goals in that period. 

In the last game, they beat Bahia 1-0 with a goal from Uruguayan striker Luis Suárez, who has 11 goals and 10 assists in the Brasileirao. 

Suárez is one of the most decisive players in Brazilian soccer, as no one has been involved in more goals than him (21). He is followed by Tiquinho Soares with 20 and Hulk with 19. 

Despite not being a good away team, the ‘Tricolor’ has two consecutive victories, beating América Mineiro and Coritiba. The worrying thing for the team coached by Renato Portaluppi is that they have conceded 32 goals away from home. 

Grêmio is fourth with 56 points, three behind the leaders and their next opponents, Botafogo. Winning in Rio de Janeiro is essential for the Porto Alegre side. 

Grêmio’s most important injured players are Nathan, Rodrigo Ely, and Paraguayan striker Juan Iturbe.

Final Betting Analysis: Botafogo vs. Grêmio

Botafogo’s first big test was against Palmeiras but now the Brasileirão presents them with another great opportunity at home, as they will have to face a Grêmio team that has been raising its level. The ‘Fogao’ will take advantage of the support of their fans and return to winning ways at home, striking a blow that will bring them closer to the title. 

The numbers at have Botafogo as favorites, as the Moneyline for them shows -111. Meanwhile, Grêmio has +295, and the draw is at +254. 

This season these clubs have already met, and the win was 2-0 for Botafogo, with goals from Carlos Eduardo and Carlos Alberto. But the last meeting in Rio de Janeiro ended 5-2 in favor of Grêmio in 2021. 

Go for a win in Botafogo’s Moneyline. If you bet $100 at -111, you will gain $90 for a total payout of $190. 

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