Gambyl Betting Exchange

Real Sociedad vs. Real Madrid Preview and Free Pick

Last Updated on April 25, 2024 4:32 pm by Erwin Noguera

LaLiga is living its final stretch, and on matchday 33, Real Madrid, leader of the competition, has to face a complex match, as they must visit Real Sociedad in Bilbao. 

The Basques are coming from a 1-1 draw away to Getafe, so they are sixth with 51 points. 

La Casa Blanca defeated Barcelona 3-2 in El Clasico, with a heroic goal by English midfielder Jude Bellingham, and is very close to the title. 

When and where?

Friday, April 26th, 3:00 pm ET at Anoeta

Moneyline odds: 

Real Sociedad 2.782

Real Madrid 2.72

Draw Offs


Where can I watch it?

DSports and Movistar Deportes

Why Bet on Real Sociedad?

Real Sociedad has had a good season but was unable to have the leap in quality expected by its fans, who hope to at least qualify for European competition next season. Despite a goal by Ander Barrenetxea, they were held to a 1-1 draw at Getafe. 

With this result, the club is in sixth place with 51 points, for now qualifying for the next Europa League, incredibly thanks to its fiercest rival, Athletic Club. Although the Leones are fifth, they are already champions of the Copa del Rey and, therefore, qualify automatically for the Europa League, giving the qualification spot of fifth place to the sixth. 

The 10 points difference with Atlético de Madrid seems difficult to deduct, so playing in the Champions League next year will depend on the quotas that LaLiga has with the new format of the European tournament. 

Real is a strong defensive team, having allowed only 34 goals. It is the third-best defense in Spanish soccer. At home, the Basques have won only one of their last five matches. So far, they have six wins, six draws, and only three losses. 

The injured players are Carlos Fernández, Martín Merquelanz, Aihen Múñez and Brais Méndez. Martín Zubimendi, suspended, will be able to return. 

Why Bet on Real Madrid?

Real Madrid has shown that it has no rival in Spain, not only because it is the sole leader, but also because it has gone the furthest in the Champions League. La Casa Blanca comes from a hard-fought and remarkable victory in El Clasico against Barcelona by 3-2. Vinícius, Lucas Vásquez, and Jude Bellingham scored the goals. 

The English midfielder, the best player of the capital team in this campaign, scored the winning goal. In LaLiga alone, he has 17 goals, one behind the player currently winning the Pichichi, Ukrainian Artem Dovbyk. With this goal in El Clasico, Bellingham cut short a streak of four games without scoring. 

Real Madrid, which has the Champions League semifinals against Bayern Munich on the horizon, is a great visitor, with 11 wins, four draws, and one defeat. That’s 37 points away from home. The Merengues have 70 goals scored, the best record in the tournament, and only allowed 22, making them the best defense. 

Considering that they have an 11-point lead with 18 points at stake and that on Tuesday they will be playing in Germany in the Champions League semifinal, it is likely that Carlo Ancelotti will field substitutes this Friday. 

The club’s only injured players are David Alaba and Thibaut Courtois. 

Final Betting Analysis: Real Sociedad vs. Real Madrid

This season, they met at the Santiago Bernabéu, and the victory went to the Merengue by 2-1, with goals from Federico Valverde and Joselu. The last time they played in San Sebastian, the home side won 2-0. 

The numbers at Gambyl Exchange have Real Sociedad as the favorite. Their Moneyline shows 2.72, Real Sociedad has 2.782, and the draw is at 3.47.

Real Madrid is on the verge of winning a new LaLiga title, and at Real Sociedad’s home, the victory will be for Carlo Ancelotti’s team before facing the Champions League semifinals. We’ll go for a 0-2.

Go for a win for Real Madrid. If you bet $100 at 2.782, you will gain $178 for a total payout of $278. 

Real Sociedad vs. Real Madrid Betting Pick: Real Madrid

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