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Chivas vs. Toluca: Liguilla Quarterfinals Preview

Last Updated on May 6, 2024 8:52 pm by Erwin Noguera

The Clausura MX 2024 reaches its climax, as we have advanced to the Liguilla quarterfinals, where Chivas and Toluca clash.

After several matches of the Play-In phase, everything has been defined, and this week, we will have the first leg matches of the Liguilla’s first stage. We are much closer to finding out if América can be the absolute champion of Liga MX or whether we will have a new name written in the coveted trophy.

Undoubtedly, we will have a spectacular Liguilla, as all the teams present have had a remarkable regular season, proving that they are ready for battle.

When and Where?

Wednesday, May 8, 9:05 pm ET at the Akron Stadium

Moneyline odds: 

Chivas 3.54 

Toluca 1.95

Draw Offs: 


Where can I watch it? 

Telemundo Deportes and ViX

Why Bet on Chivas?

Chivas de Guadalajara wants to return to the top of the Liga MX, and this Clausura 2024 tournament seems to be the ideal scenario. The team had a great performance at the end of the regular season, as they finished in sixth place in the table thanks to winning the last five games.

However, at this point in the tournament, the past is the past, as they will have to play for their lives in this series against one of the best performers in the championship, Toluca.

El Rebaño Sagrado, as we mentioned, finished the regular season with a strong performance, winning five games in a row, including two against rivals of the caliber of Pachuca (1-0) and Monterrey (2-0). Likewise, their most recent match was an excellent victory against Atlas, away, with a score of 0-1.

Why Bet on Toluca?

On the other hand, we have Toluca, a team that has pleasantly surprised everyone in this Clausura 2024 Tournament, as they were, at times, sharing the lead in the standings with América.

However, their performance began to decline in recent weeks, and as a result, they finished third in the standings with a record of nine wins, five draws, and three defeats, with 38 goals scored and 23 conceded. Toluca had the most explosive offense of the entire regular season, as they scored four more goals than Tigres, their closest pursuer in the scoring statistics. 

Notwithstanding, their defense gave them a lot of trouble, especially in the last weeks, as they have five matches conceding in a row and received ten goals in that period, almost half their total. Their lowest point was at the Azteca, where the Águilas destroyed them 5-1.

Toluca has lost two of their last three games, the most recent being against Cruz Azul, with a score of 0-1.

Final Betting Analysis: Chivas vs. Toluca

In the last 20 matches between these two teams, there has been almost absolute parity in the results obtained. Chivas has managed to win five, Toluca four, while 11 games have ended in draws.

However, Chivas achieved an excellent victory in the last match against Toluca on January 31, 2024, at the Akron Stadium by 3-2.

At Gambyl Exchange, we can see that there is a Moneyline that favors Toluca at 1.95, while Chivas starts at 3.54.

It will be a game of give and take, but we expect Chivas Guadalajara to respect their home and win 2-0.

Chivas vs. Toluca Betting Pick: Chivas

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