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Arsenal vs. Burnley Preview and Free Pick

Last Updated on November 9, 2023 5:42 pm by Erwin Noguera

Arsenal missed the opportunity to be the sole leader of the Premier League, but now the 12th matchday presents them with an opportunity to regain confidence by hosting lowly Burnley. 

The Gunners are coming off a 1-0 polemic defeat away to Newcastle, which featured a goal from England winger Anthony Gordon. 

The Clarets, one of the newly promoted to the league, are coming off a 3-0 home loss to Crystal Palace, suffering goals from Jeffery Schlupp and Tyrick Mitchell.


Saturday, November 11, 10:00 am ET at the Emirates

Moneyline odds: 

Arsenal -500 

Burnley +1900

Draw Offs:


Where Can I Watch? 


Why Bet on Arsenal?

Arsenal is one of the big teams in the Premier League and is a great candidate for the fight for the title that belongs to Manchester City. 

However, they have just suffered a tough 1-0 defeat against Newcastle, in a match marked by a refereeing controversy. This result left the Gunners in fourth place with 24 points and a goal difference of +14. 

The team led by Mikel Arteta has 23 goals scored and has the English Eddie Nketiah as its best striker, with five goals so far. He is followed by Bukayo Saka with four goals and three assists. 

Despite their good campaign, the Emirates Stadium has already seen two teams take points off Arsenal, as Tottenham and Fulham played out 2-2 draws in London. 

But there is one thing that can be highlighted about this squad, and that is their defense. The duo of Gabriel Magalhães and William Saliba has been very secure this season and so far only allowed nine goals, the second-lowest number in the Premier League. 

The injured players for Arteta are Thomas Partey, Martin Odegaard and Gabriel Jesus. However, the Norwegian could return to action this weekend.

Why Bet on Burnley?

Burnley arrived in the Premier League this year and is one of the clubs that bet on maintaining the base that brought them to the English top flight. 

But this has not paid off. In the last game, they lost 2-0 at home to Crystal Palace, who had goals from Jeffery Schlupp and Tyrick Mitchell. This defeat leaves the 19th team with only four points. 

Vincent Kompany’s side is used to defeat this season. They have lost nine of the 11 matches they have played, winning once and drawing the remaining one. They have only been able to score eight goals, the worst record in the league, and have conceded 27 goals, the second most worrying record. 

Despite Kompany’s intention for his team to keep the Championship idea, the level of the Premier League is becoming too complex, and it seems that relegation will be a matter of time. 

Away from home, they have taken all their points, drawing with Nottingham Forest and beating Luton Town. 

Among their injured players are Josh Cullen, Hjalmar Ekdal, and Aaron Ramsey.

Final Betting Analysis: Arsenal vs. Burnley 

The defeat against Newcastle wounded Arsenal’s pride, who in their return home, will take the three points against a Burnley team that has shown not to have the level to compete in the Premier League. 

The numbers at have Arsenal as the favorite, as the Moneyline for them shows -500. Meanwhile, Burnley has +1900, and the draw is at +700.

Seeing how disproportioned the odds are, we recommend complementing the bet with the UNDER, as a wounded Arsenal with no world-class reference in attack will find it hard to penetrate the defense of a Burnley that will show a low block. However, they’ll end up winning by 2-0.

Go for a straight win in Arsenal’s Moneyline. If you bet $100 at -500, you will gain $20 for a total payout of $120. 

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