Gambyl Betting Exchange

Aston Villa vs. Liverpool Preview and Free Pick

Last Updated on May 9, 2024 9:09 pm by Erwin Noguera

The Premier League delivers in its penultimate date a crucial match for Aston Villa, who wants to secure their fourth place, while Liverpool hopes for a miracle to try to be champion. 

The Villians did not have a great performance visiting Brighton, losing 1-0 with a late goal by Brazilian Joao Pedro. 

The Reds finally recovered and beat Tottenham 4-2 at Anfield, with goals from Mohamed Salah, Harvey Elliot, Andrew Robertson, and Cody Gakpo. 

When and Where?

Monday, May 13, 3:00 pm ET at Villa Park

Moneyline odds: 

Aston Villa 4.26 

Liverpool 1.765

Draw Offs


Where can I watch it? 

Telemundo and NBC Sports 

Why Bet on Aston Villa?

Aston Villa is performing above expectations and has a chance to qualify for the next Champions League. Three points would ensure that possibility. However, the team led by Unai Emery faltered last matchday, as they lost 1-0 to Brighton.

The Villans are in fourth place with 67 points, in other words, they are qualifying for the next Champions. Their chaser is Tottenham, with 60 points and a game in hand. 

Reaching 70 points makes them unreachable for their rival, which is why they hope to be strong at Villa Park, where they have collected a good amount of points. Aston Villa is the fifth-best home team in the league, with 39 points, theproduct of 12 wins, three draws, and three defeats. However, in their last home game, they drew 2-2 with Chelsea.

The great figure of this team continues to be Ollie Watkins, who accumulates 19 goals from 12 assists. No one has assisted more than him. 

Tyrone Mings, Emiliano Buendía, Boubacar Kamará, Jacob Ramsey, and Álex Moreno are the injured players in this squad. 

Why Bet on Liverpool?

Liverpool seemed to be able to dream of winning four titles in the same season, but when they were supposed to show their face, defensive problems and the lack of goals from their most important attacking players began to appear. 

However, last matchday, Jürgen Klopp’s team recovered at home and beat Tottenham 4-2, with goals from Mohamed Salah, Andrew Robertson, Harvey Elliot, and striker Cody Gakpo. The Reds are third with 78 points, five behind Arsenal with only six points left to play. The thought of winning the Premier League is a utopia for this team. 

On the other hand, it can be said that this club has been an outstanding away team, scoring 33 points. However, they have failed to win in their last two outings in this condition, losing to Everton and drawing with West Ham. 

Egyptian Mo Salah is, once again, Liverpool’s most important player, scoring 18 goals and providing 10 assists. 

Only three injuries for Klopp: Joel Matip, Thiago, and Ben Doak.

Final Betting Analysis: Aston Villa vs. Liverpool

When Liverpool hosted Aston Villa this season, the Reds won 3-0. Moreover, the last time they played in Birmingham, Liverpool also won (1-3). Klopp’s side is seven games unbeaten against Villa, whose most recent win was on October 4, 2020, although it was a 7-2 thumping with a hat-trick from Watkins. 

The numbers at Gambyl Exchange have Liverpool as the favorite. Their Moneyline shows 1.767, Aston Villa has 4.26, and the draw is at 4.67. 

Liverpool will see the door to the championship close when they visit Aston Villa and can only take a point. The Villans will still not be able to celebrate their qualification to the next Champions League after a 2-2 tie. 

Go for a draw. If you bet $100 at 4.67, you will gain $367 for a total payout of $467. 

Aston Villa vs. Liverpool Betting Pick: Draw

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