Athletic Club vs. Atletico Madrid Free Pick and Preview

Last Updated on December 4, 2025 4:03 pm by Erwin Noguera

Exciting match this weekend in LaLiga Matchday 15 as two teams with European ambitions, both coming off defeats, face each other: Athletic Club vs. Atlético Madrid.

Athletic Club played an early fixture this week and lost at home to Real Madrid, who beat them 0–3.

Meanwhile, Atlético Madrid also had an early match, against Barcelona, and they were defeated as well (3–1).

At Gambyl Exchange, you can explore all the predictions for the LaLiga EA Sports, the final bets for this matchday, and the odds for each match.

Athletic Club vs. Atlético Madrid Betting Odds and Info

Why Bet on Athletic Club?

It hasn’t been a good tournament for Athletic Club, as they have more losses (7) than wins (6). They sit in eighth place with 20 points, 17 behind the top and 11 away from the Champions League spots, currently held by their rival.

After defeating Levante 0–2, they faced Real Madrid at home this week and lost 0–3 following a Kylian Mbappé brace.The Basque side has two home defeats in its last three matches, both against Madrid-based teams. Even at San Mamés, they have conceded more goals (9) than they have scored (8). Their four home wins have all been by a one-goal margin.

Their lack of goals has been an issue, as they average fewer than one per match: 14 goals in 15 games. Their top scorers are Nico Williams and Robert Navarro, both with three.

Among Ernesto Valverde’s injured players are Iñaki Williams, Beñat Prados, and Maroan Sannadi, while Yeray Álvarez is suspended.

Why Bet on Atlético Madrid?

Atlético Madrid is coming off the end of a strong, positive run and a huge missed opportunity to enter the battle for the top spot. On Tuesday, in an early fixture, they lost 3–1 to Barcelona and drifted further from first place, which is currently held by the Catalan side.

Atlético sits in fourth place with 31 points after nine wins, four draws, and two losses.Those two defeats came in the first and most recent matchdays, both away against Barcelona-based teams, meaning they had a 13-game unbeaten streak in LaLiga. They are now six points behind the top.

With 28 goals scored, they are averaging nearly two per match, while their 14 goals conceded reflect close to one per game. In the attack, Julián Álvarez must be mentioned. One of the best forwards in the world is going through a terrible spell. He has gone four league matches without scoring and has only one goal in his last eight, and it came from a penalty. Even so, he remains the team’s top scorer with seven.

Playing away has been a problem; they have earned just nine out of a possible 21 points on the road.

In addition to the loss against Barcelona, Diego Simeone suffered three major injuries that day: Alex Baena, José María Giménez, and Johnny Cardoso, who joined Marcos Llorente and Robin Le Normand on the sidelines.

Final Betting Analysis: Athletic Club vs. Atlético Madrid

A match between two teams with Champions League ambitions, both coming off losses to the favorites and both dealing with important absences. They’ve struggled to score, but playing at home gives them a slight edge, which is why we believe they will manage to earn a draw.

The numbers at Gambyl Exchange favor Atlético Madrid, with their Moneyline set at +127, while Athletic Club stands at +254, and a draw is priced at +244.

The last time they faced each other was on March 1 of this year, when Atlético won 1–0 with a goal from Julián Álvarez. Meanwhile, the last time they met in Bilbao was on August 31, 2024, and the Madrid side won by the same score, that time with a goal from Ángel Correa in the 90+2 minute.

Atlético have three consecutive league wins over Athletic.Counting Copa del Rey and the Spanish Super Cup, the series is tiedwith five wins each in their last 10 matchups. They haven’t drawn since 2021.

Go for a draw in the Moneyline. If you bet $100 at +244, you will gain $244 for a total payout of $344.

Athletic Club vs. Atlético Madrid Betting Pick: Draw