Premier League: Manchester United vs. Manchester City

Last Updated on January 14, 2026 1:45 pm by Erwin Noguera

This weekend in the Premier League, we will have the Manchester derby, as United host City on Matchday 22.

Manchester United comes into the match in a tough moment, especially mentally, and will be debuting a new manager: Michael Carrick.

Manchester City, meanwhile, has not performed as expected in recent matches and will be looking to get back on track in order to keep pace with the league leaders.

At Gambyl Exchange, you can explore all the predictions for the Premier League, the final bets for this matchday, and the odds for each match.

Manchester United vs. Manchester City Betting Odds and Info

Why Bet on Manchester United?

It has been several years now that Manchester United has been struggling. Recently, Rúben Amorim was dismissed after a 1–1 draw against Leeds United. The Portuguese manager coached 63 matches, winning 25, drawing 15, and losing 23, just over a year in the role.

Darren Fletcher took over as interim manager and drew 2–2 with Burnley, before being eliminated from the FA Cup at home by Brighton (1–2). ThisTuesday, Michael Carrick was officially appointed as the new manager, set to lead the team until the end of the season. The former midfielder and captain of the ‘Red Devils’ managed Middlesbrough from 2022 to 2025, recording 63 wins, 24 draws, and 49 losses.

The club currently ranks seventh with 32 points, having achieved eight wins, eight draws, and five losses. They have scored 36 goals but conceded 32, which is the highest number of goals conceded among the top 14 teams in the table.

Although they are unbeaten in their last four league matches, they have won just one of their last six (seven including the recent FA Cup match) and are on a run of three consecutive draws, two against teams in the relegation zone and another against the side in 16th place.

Benjamin Šeško has rediscovered his scoring touch and has netted the team’s last three goals across the two most recent matches. Before that, he had not scored since October 4. The team’s top scorer remains Bryan Mbeumo with six goals, but he has not played since December 15 due to the Africa Cup of Nations. He has now returned and is expected to start.

The only absences will be Matthijs de Ligt, due to injury, and Noussair Mazraoui, who is away with his national team.

Why Bet on Manchester City?

Manchester City, meanwhile, is also not going through its best moment and has slipped a bit from the top. With 43 points, they sit second, six behind Arsenal. They have recorded 13 wins, four draws, and four losses, boast the league’s best attack with 45 goals scored, and the second-best defense with 19 goals conceded.

They are coming off a 0–2 win over Newcastle in the EFL Cup and previously thrashed League One side Exeter City 10–1 in the FA Cup. However, in the Premier League, they are on a run of three consecutive draws. Overall, they are unbeaten in 13 matches, winning 10 of them.

When it comes to attack, Erling Haaland must undoubtedly be mentioned. The Norwegian is the league’s top scorer with 20 goals, but he has found the net only once in his last six matches, including the game against Exeter in which City scored 10 goals, and that strike came from the penalty spot.

At the moment, the new star is Antoine Semenyo. The ‘Citizens’ have just paid $84 million to Bournemouth for him, and the Ghanaian scored a goal and provided an assist in his debut, followed by another goal in his second match. Semenyo sits third in the scoring charts with 10 goals, all scored while wearing the ‘Cherries’ shirt.

Pep Guardiola has several absences to deal with: Savinho, John Stones, Mateo Kovačić, Oscar Bobb, Joško Gvardiol, and Rúben Dias are all injured, while Omar Marmoush is away at the Africa Cup of Nations.

Final Betting Analysis: Manchester United vs. Manchester City

No matter the form of each side, a derby is a derby. In recent meetings between these two teams, United have always been competitive and have even picked up better results, and they are motivated to start on the right foot with their new manager. In addition, City have not been getting good league results. We believe this match will end in a draw.

The numbers at Gambyl Exchange list Manchester City as the favorites, with a moneyline of +100, while Manchester United are priced at +207 and the draw at +307.

The last time these two teams met was on September 14, 2025, when Manchester City won 3–0 with a brace from Haaland and a goal by Phil Foden. The most recent match at Old Trafford ended in a 0–0 draw. In the last five meetings, United have won two, including the FA Cup final, and the teams have drawn twice, including the Community Shield, which the ‘Citizens’ went on to win on penalties.

Go for a draw. If you bet $100 at +307, you will gain $307 for a total payout of $407.

Manchester United vs. Manchester City Betting Pick: Draw