UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber Fight Card Odds and Picks

Once again, we get the UFC taking the fight night into the Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada, as they continue to push the lesser-known names of the rooster in an event headlined by fighters who are trying to make their way to the top of the division.

Our main event for the evening sees Erin Blanchfield and Maycee Barber clashing in the female flyweight division as they both fight their way to the top.

The co-main event also promises a night of action, as we get a clash between Mateusz Gamrot and L’udovit Klein, two seasoned fighters trying to climb the Lightweight division ranks.

Besides those, we got four other main card clashes and five prelims to get some names on everyone’s radars as we enjoy what should be quite a fun co-main and main event clashes.

At Gambyl Exchange, you can check all the UFC/MMA bets, the analysis of each fighter, and the final bet you can make in these fights.

UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Barber Fight Card Odds and Info

UFC Fight Night: Erin Blanchfield vs. Maycee Barber

Why Bet on Erin Blanchfield?

Blanchfield has incorporated her takedowns into her entire MMA skill set, and we believe that her wrestling will prove highly effective against Barber, who may not arrive at 100% due to a variety of major health setbacks last year.

In terms of strength and power, we believe that Blanchfield will be at a slight disadvantage, but she should be the far quicker fighter on the feet and the one who can out-grapple and out-scramble Barber.

Barber’s takedown defense will be tested, but as long as Blanchfield can remain in top control, we think she’s going to win that round because Barber does not have the takedown defense that Rose Namajunas has.

Why Bet on Maycee Barber?

Maycee Barber is someone who we can easily fade time after time. She fights so carelessly, but it is nothing but strength and brute power, often enough for her to succeed. However, the level of competition she has faced in comparison to what Blanchfield has faced is quite vast.

Barber could deal significant damage in the fight on the feet if she shows an incredible amount of pressure and fights at a high pace against Blanchfield, but we have heavy doubts that Barber is healthy. She has been severely sick in the past, and to go back into a full camp, get ready for a 5-round fight, and cut weight. It all adds up to a recipe for disaster here.

Final Betting Analysis: Erin Blanchfield vs. Maycee Barber

It is clear to us that Blanchfield holds the edge on the ground and should be able to achieve some solid takedowns and control time during this fight.

Now, this is a five-round fight, so we suspect that Barber fighting in the championship rounds will truly test her cardio; she does have those first three rounds to do her work, but we have seen five rounds of fairly high-paced action from Blanchfield before.

UFC Fight Night: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Ľudovít Klein

Why Bet on Mateusz Gamrot?

Gamrot is one of the most accomplished wrestlers and grapplers from Poland; his entire kit as a fighter can maul and smash his opponents on the ground, and for the most part, he does that exceedingly well.

Undoubtedly, he will be able to get takedowns against Klein here despite Klein’s fantastic takedown defense. However, Gamrot’s chin could be a problem.

Gamrot is a bit of a pressure fighter, and he must be to get off his wrestling, but he has no defense on the feet. He can raise his guard and dodge some strikes, but it does not take much to wobble him.

For Klein to be successful on the feet, he would need to maintain straight strike and kick distance, nullifying Gamrot completely.

Gamrot needs to make this fight nothing but takedown attempts and non-stop action on the ground to exhaust Klein.

Why Bet on Ľudovít Klein?

Klein has been one of the most fun fighters to rampage through the division in recent years; his kickboxing is gorgeous, and he has completely shut down some of the toughest competition in the division.

One thing to watch out for is the head kick. It’s the most likely thing that will wobble Gamrot here, and we suspect that Klein will use it as both a range-finding tool and a dissuading attack to keep distance from Gamrot.

Final Betting Analysis: Mateusz Gamrot vs. Ľudovít Klein

If Klein sticks to the takedowns, he will thrive and demolish Gamrot on the feet, but we think he won’t be able to do so for too long.

However, Klein has not fought anyone with the wrestling credentials of Gamrot, and because of that reason, we expect Gamrot to not only land the takedown but make the most out of it right afterward and put Klein in trouble for a long night.

UFC Fight Night: Ramiz Brahimaj vs. Billy Ray Goff

Why Bet on Ramiz Brahimaj?

Brahimaj is coming off a fantastic KO win against Mickey Gall, and whilst he did look dominant against Gall, who isn’t an outlandish fighter by any means, it’s hard to gauge how good he’s going to look against a newcomer like Goff.

Now, what Brahimaj brings to the table is fearless action and pressure; he explodes forwards with quick combinations and crashes into his opponents with all sorts of attacks, whether it’s knees up the middle or a flurry of punches; he’s capable of dealing some real damage in short bursts.

But for as much as he is excellent at dealing damage and crashing forward, he leaves his chin in the open, leads with the head too much, and just overall is not that conscious of anything coming back his way. While Goff himself is by no means a technical striker, he has shown the ability to stand in the fire and let his own hands go, and we don’t know if Brahimaj is going to survive that in the long run during this fight.

Why Bet on Billy Ray Goff?

Billy Ray Goff brings chaos into the cage. He has no real striking defense, but his relentless forward pressure, volume, and power make him a nightmare to deal with. He’s the type to throw 20-30 punches per minute and willingly eat shots to land his own. While it may not be pretty, his aggression forces opponents into uncomfortable territory.

One concern is his cardio. Naturally, a fighter who moves forward throwing everything in the arsenal will raise questions about gas tanks. However, Goof has proven capable of maintaining a high, sometimes messy, pace over three rounds. That creates a hard-to-prepare-for scenario. Anyone facing Goff will have to guess what’s coming next while still dealing with constant pressure.

Final Betting Analysis: Ramiz Brahimaj vs. Billy Ray Goff

Brahimaj is probably going to be on the back foot, but only because of the way that Goff fights. It’s all action and all aggression with no regard for what comes back his way, so Brahimaj is going to have to either counter with some big attacks or fight defensively throughout this bout to try and keep Goff off of him.

Goff is facing someone who hits a fair bit harder than Waters, and that raises some concerns about whether Goff’s toughness will be enough in this fight. Goff’s intense pace is likely to hinder Brahimaj in the second and third rounds. Thus, we see the first round as the only dangerous period for both fighters, after which their real pace will show.

UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Bruno Lopes

Why Bet on Dustin Jacoby?

Dustin Jacoby is coming off a gorgeous KO win over Vitor Petrino, and he’s looking to repeat that same kind of performance against another Lopes.

Jacoby has always been a relatively dangerous kickboxer. It’s what he has built his career around, his dynamic strikes and his natural Light Heavyweight power.

The concern we have these days for Jacoby is his age. It’s clear that he’s hitting the end of his prime years and has slowed down; he looks a bit stiffer on the feet, and whilst his instincts to use his lead hand have resulted in some sharp jabs and check hooks, he does give in to the pressure of the more aggressive fighters, he struggles to press on the gas early on in the fights, and that doesn’t bode well for any of his fights if his opponents game plan is to practically “push the pace.”

Why Bet on Bruno Lopes?

On the feet, Bruno Lopes has shown to be a somewhat decent striker, but in this particular fight, we believe that the primary route of success for Lopes will be getting the fight to the ground and with the smaller cage. If he can pressure Jacoby early and back him against the cage, we’ll probably see a few attempts before he finally gets Jacoby down for a meaningful amount of time.

Lopes is at a little bit of a disadvantage on the feet simply because his speed and technique aren’t on the same level as Jacoby’s; he is probably going to have to absorb quite a few sharp jabs from Jacoby for the first round or so, but we think once Lopes lets his hands go, maybe work in the clinch a bit where he has shown some solid knees up the middle, we’ll see a momentum shift in favor of Lopes.

Final Betting Analysis: Dustin Jacoby vs. Bruno Lopes

We believe that Lopes’ lack of striking defense could give Jacoby a chance to find some power punches, but if Jacoby is constantly on the back foot, we question whether he can get the work done.

In the smaller cage, we have to favor Lopes here due to his wrestling capabilities; he does go for takedowns often, and it has been noted a few times that Jacoby’s takedown defense is a hit or miss, although he has shown subtle improvements.

UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Macy Chiasson

Why Bet on Ketlen Vieira?

Vieira is coming off a very one-sided loss against Kayla Harrison, and honestly, the fight went the way most expected it to. On the ground, typically, Vieira is the more tactical fighter who uses excellent BJJ to maintain control over her opponent and advance position to hunt for a submission.

In fact, that’s about all she does relatively well; her Judo allows her to get takedowns from the clinch as she can use hip throws and trips, as well as typical takedowns.

Why Bet on Macy Chiasson?

Chiasson is a bit of a frustrating fighter to talk about because she has, for the most part, been on a silent tear through the division. However, she has had numerous setbacks from interesting finishes like the up-kick KO loss from Aldana and her loss against Pennington at the mythical 145 women’s division.

The great thing about Chiasson is when the fights are clean and when it’s happening, she’s a freaking bully on the feet, her knees up the middle are gorgeous, her clinch work is vicious, and her striking at range is snappy and powerful.

On the ground, she is likely to fall behind, as we said in the section above. However, because of her length, if she can get into top control and drape herself over Vieira, we think there’s a strong possibility of Chiasson finding a choke submission.

We expect Chiasson to keep the fight standing, as that’s where Vieira has historically fallen behind on the scorecards.

Final Betting Analysis: Ketlen Vieira vs. Macy Chiasson

We think that Viera can make this a competitive fight if Chiasson tries to get takedowns on her.

However, the problem that Vieira is likely to face is the striking output and raw power that Chiasson has. Because whilst Chiasson has been a rather forgettable fighter, it’s hard to forget that she can seriously damage her opponents at all ranges.

UFC Fight Night: Zach Reese vs. Dusko Todorović

Why Bet on Zach Reese?

Zach Reese is a kill-or-be-killed kind of fighter with a 3-inch reach advantage, coming up against someone whose chin is near non-existent and has been knocked out more times than he can probably currently count.

He is probably the “fresher” KO artist in this fight night event, and considering that his striking is relatively devastating, we will give him the edge on the feet here, as that 3-inch reach advantage is going to go a long way for him to find success if he decides to strike cleanly.

Reese has the physical advantages here, and we believe he’s going to showcase some neat things this weekend against Todorovic.

Why Bet on Dusko Todorović?

Dusko Todorovic is a fighter who always seems to be hanging around the roster despite clear vulnerabilities.He’sgot solid kickboxing and decent offensive tools, but his durability is the big question mark. When he’s pressured or clipped, things tend to unravel quickly.

There’s no denying he can be dangerous in bursts. He throws with intent and has the skills to hurt opponents if they leave openings. Still, his chin has let him down too many times, and against someone like Reese, who pushes for finishes, we find it hard to trust him.

Final Betting Analysis: Zach Reese vs. Dusko Todorović

We think Todorovic is going to struggle against the reach and height of Reese, and from what we’ve seen on tape, Reese is the one who typically hunts the action, he starts the combinations, he looks for the finish, and if he starts quick, it’ll leave Todorovic on the back foot and likely on the defensive until a finish presents itself or the ref steps in.

We are not completely counting out Todorovic here, but we cannot trust his chin durability.

UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Jafel Filho

Why Bet on Allan Nascimento?

Nascimento is coming into this fight after two years of inactivity and numerous cancellations, and that’s a little bit concerning. We generally don’t like seeing someone who just recently joined the UFC have so much trouble getting fights.

Nascimento’s stand-up, firstly, is pretty great; he’s fairly sharp with his punches, and his outside leg kick has no read and is so quick. He is going to rely on that leg kick early on to dissuade Filho from charging in with his powerful singular strikes.

Now, in terms of counter-wrestling and grappling, we will say with incredible amounts of confidence that Nascimento is going to out-scramble and outwork Filho on the ground. He is so active off his back, throwing up all sorts of submissions and sweeps. The one thing that we guarantee we will see from Nascimento is a Kimura sweep, especially if his opponent goes for something like a knee tap takedown or a double leg.

Why Bet on Jafel Filho?

Filho is a bit more difficult to talk about, and not because he’s a bad fighter or there’s not a lot of tapes or anything like that, but as we said just recently, it’s hard to gauge a fighter who wins so quickly, especially if they’re a grappler. The only thing that we can say about Filho that may give him a hint of an advantage in this fight is his physicality on the feet; he throws around his weight when he strikes, with nothing but power and aggression. However, it’s not as quick or as clean as Nascimento’s, but in this sport, power strikes can change the momentum of the entire fight.

Final Betting Analysis: Allan Nascimento vs. Jafel Filho

We think what we’re likely to see here is Filho land heavy strikes up top, or at least attempt to, as well as shoot for takedowns, and whilst it’s true that Nascimento gives in to takedowns. He’s not that easy to keep down in a position that can be advantageous for his opponents.

When it comes to this clash, we believe this is what will get Nascimento the edge he needs to win the encounter.

UFC Fight Night: Jordan Leavitt vs. Kurt Holobaugh

Why Bet on Jordan Leavitt?

Jordan Leavitt is a slick grappler and submission threat who excels when the fight hits the mat. He’s awkward but effective. What gives him the edge in this fight night event is Holobaugh’s defensive holes, especially in grappling exchanges.

Holobaugh tends to give up positions too easily, and his takedown defense is far from reliable.

If Leavitt initiates the wrestling and controls the top position, he’s likely to dictate the pace and win rounds by simply being the more composed and technical fighter on the ground.

Why Bet onKurt Holobaugh?

Holobaugh brings veteran grit, but he’s aging and has looked slower with each outing.

Holobaugh’s always been a gritty grappler, but if Leavitt ends up in top control during this fight, it’ll just be a copy and paste of what will happen each round, as Holobaugh hasn’t shown much defense.

If, by any chance, Holobaugh ends up in top control from getting a takedown, then it gets interesting, and we may see some solid BJJ work from both Leavitt and Holobaugh because at least Leavitt has shown to be decent on the ground defensively in some of his fights.

Final Betting Analysis: Jordan Leavitt vs. Kurt Holobaugh

After 1.5 years away from the cage, we can’t gauge how well he will fight this weekend, as he has never been a highlight fighter.

However, this fight looks like a stylistic advantage for Leavitt. He’s younger, fresher, and has a clear path to victory with his grappling.

UFC Fight Night: Andres Gustafsson vs. Trevin Giles

Why Bet on Andres Gustafsson?

Gustafsson is coming off a KO win on DWCS, which has propelled him into this position against the DWCS gatekeeper Trevin Giles, and we genuinely think that we’re going to see some great things from Gustafsson here.

Gustafsson is an explosive starter; he walks straight into his opponent’s range and lets his hands go.

Gustafsson represents absolute chaos and violence; he’s vicious, and every minute in the cage is a minute in which Gustafsson is pressing on the gas pedal to bully his opponents.

Why Bet on Trevin Giles?

Giles is a fairly decent wrestler who fights a little too clean, in our opinion, and that’s generally not what you want to see when matched up against such a visceral fighter like Gustafsson.

We think we’re going to see Giles be on the defensive quite a lot, perhaps with his back against the cage, whilst Gustafsson pins him there, controlling him and fighting for the takedown position.

Either way, Giles is going to have to show some uncharacteristic things in this fight night like actual aggression and the ability to make a fight gritty to win because, frankly, we have seen nothing like that from Giles. He’s too clean and too standard to win against someone as scrappy and as chaotic as Gustafsson.

Final Betting Analysis: Andres Gustafsson vs. Trevin Giles

Gustafsson has a complete disregard for what comes his way, which is pretty fun to see, and given that Giles is one of the most passive fighters in the UFC at the moment, we can’t help but think that we’re going to see Gustafsson bulldoze through Giles round after round.

We think that, at least in the first two rounds, it will be Gustafsson’s fight because we somewhat question whether or not he has the cardio to fight like he does for three rounds.

UFC Fight Night: Bolaji Oki vs. Michael Aswell

Why Bet on Bolaji Oki?

Oki is coming off a painful submission loss against Chris Duncan, and frankly, I question why he went for the takedown anyway when he was out-striking Duncan on the feet.

Anyway, the one thing we like about Oki is that, despite his incredible power, he uses it sporadically and often pockets the explosiveness until the right time.

For the most part, when he fights, it’s nothing but jabs and subtle feints; he’s so quick with his twitch movements, and we believe it’s going to give Aswell a fair bit to think about early on.

Why Bet on Michael Aswell?

Aswell is a late replacement for this fight night event, and he is doing his UFC debut in this same fight, so he will have to make the most out of his momentum with five decision wins and 5 Kos.

The problem that we see Aswell facing when he fights Oki this week, though, is being outgunned. Both fighters are going to trade, and that’s a given, but Oki is known for his power, while Aswell has banked a lot of fights on decision wins.

Final Betting Analysis: Bolaji Oki vs. Michael Aswell

This is a bit of a tough fight to break down overall because we had to look a little late into Aswell’s tape, but if both of them are going to be trading, we believe Oki will likely pull ahead on the scorecards or find the KO.

UFC Fight Night: Rayanne dos Santos vs. Alice Ardelean

Why Bet on Rayanne dos Santos?

Dos Santos is somewhat of a mediocre fighter. She’s currently one of the worst fighters in the UFC. On the feet, she’s relatively okay; she’s a mixed martial arts fighter who knows how to throw kicks and punches to varying degrees of success, but her clear way of winning is taking the fight to the ground.

Now, as long as the fight remains standing, she is quite capable of meeting the fire and fury of her opponents. Dos Santos can throw volume in retaliation, but she can not meet the intensity of some strikes. Ardelean is one of the most talentless fighters in the world; she still packs a fair bit of power and is quite aggressive, so overall, we feel like the path of least resistance for Dos Santos is on the ground.

Why Bet on Alice Ardelean?

Ardelean, as mentioned above, is athletic and can throw serious power in a disgustingly sloppy way.

Now, Ardelean likes to be in a fistfight, but the ultimate challenge that she has yet to overcome each time we see her fight is her inability to track down opponents who use a lot of lateral movement; she’s a linear striking fighter and moves forward in a straight line when she strikes. That has always been her main way to win fights, but we don’t think Dos Santos is going to make it easy for her.

Final Betting Analysis: Rayanne Dos Santos vs. Alice Ardelean

It is going to be the ability to move around from dos Santos that may be the downfall of a very lackluster Ardelean, but that’s pretty much it when it comes to this fight.

Dos Santos has to keep it moving around and then take the chance to get the fight to the floor to get things done.

Blanchfield vs. Barber Betting Pick: Erin Blanchfield

Gamrot vs. Klein Betting Pick: Mateuz Gamrot

Brahimaj vs. Goff Betting Pick: Billy Ray Goff

Jacoby vs. Lopes Betting Pick: Bruno Lopes

Vieira vs. Chiasson Betting Pick: Macy Chiasson

Reese vs. Todorović Betting Pick: Zack Reese

Nascimento vs. Filho Betting Pick: Allan Nascimento

Leavitt vs. Holobaugh Betting Pick: Jordan Leavitt

Gustafsson vs. Giles Betting Pick: Andreas Gustafsson

Oki vs. Aswell Betting Pick: Bolaji Oki

Dos Santos vs. Ardelean Betting Pick: Rayanne Dos Santos