Last Updated on September 11, 2025 12:36 pm by Erwin Noguera
UFC Fight Night promises an explosive evening as rising featherweight star Diego Lopes takes on Seasoned contender Jean Silva in the main event.
Lopes has quickly earned a reputation as one of the most dangerous finishers in the division, showcasing elite grappling and relentless pressure. Silva, on the other hand, brings experience, striking precision, and a hunger to reassert himself among the top contenders.
In the co-main event, seasoned veteran Rob Font faces replacement fighter David Martinez, a Mexican eager to seize this opportunity and rise in the division.
With multiple Latin fighters both in the rest of the Main Card, along with the fighters racking up the prelims in this incredible 14-fight event, we are going to see the crowd blasting as they enjoy the results that should be unfolding on Saturday night.
At Gambyl Exchange, you can check all the UFC/MMA bets, the analysis of each fighter, and the final bet you can make in these fights.
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva Fight Card Odds and Info
| Diego Lopes +191 | Jean Silva -233 |
| Rob Font -152 | David Martinez +124 |
| Jared Gordon -270 | Rafa García +214 |
| Kelvin Gastelum -263 | Dustin Stoltzfus +209 |
| Alexander Hernandez -140 | Diego Ferreira +115 |
| Santiago Luna -139 | Quang Le +111 |
| José Medina +266 | Dusko Todorović -357 |
| Claudio Puelles -104 | Joaquim Silva -123 |
| Tatiana Suarez -435 | Amanda Lemos +313 |
| Jesus Aguilar +157 | Luis Gurule -200 |
| Zach Reese -270 | Sedriques Dumas +201 |
| Alessandro Costa -476 | Alden Coria +333 |
| Alice Pereira -196 | Montserrat Rendon +156 |
| Rodrigo Sezinando +209 | Daniil Donchenko -240 |
| When? | Saturday, September 13th, at 3:00 pm ET, 2:00 pm CST, 1:00 pm MT, and 12:00 pm PT |
| Where? | Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, Texas |
| Where Can I Watch it? | UFC Fight Pass |
UFC Fight Night: Diego Lopes vs. Jean Silva
Why Bet on Diego Lopes?
Lopes is coming off an arduous fight against current champion Alexander Volkanovski. While we know that Volk looked great in that fight, you have to hand it to Lopes; his striking looked sharp, his timing was great at times, and he didn’t back down from anything that Volk threw. He was there to fight, and fight he did.
Whilst Lopes may fall behind in terms of his striking compared to Silva, we believe he can surprise us all with one aspect of his skill set, and that’s his grappling.
We expect Lopes to strike, and he’s a bit of a wild man in that sense, but he will always have his wrestling and grappling to fall back on, and we think his well-roundedness will shine this weekend when he faces Silva, because Silva is still a little bit untested on the ground.
Why Bet on Jean Silva?
Silva is just an absolute animal; his striking is a threat to anyone he faces, not only because it’s dangerous and packs quite a lot of power, but also because he has so many different ways to strike. He doesn’t really show what he’s going to do until he does it, so there’s no real read for Lopes to adjust to. He has to eat it, block it, or beat Silva to the punch, and that’s not easy to do.
Final Betting Analysis: Diego Lopes vs. Jean Silva
Silva is a bit of a social experiment at the moment, and we only say that because his hype is generated through highlight reel finishes, and whilst most of his finishes have been against very hittable targets.
Lopes will have a storm to endure, but we’ve seen him go to war with some top-level fighters, so we think that the experience will give him the win here.
UFC Fight Night: Rob Font vs. David Martinez
Why Bet on Rob Font?
Font is coming into this fight with back-to-back wins against Kyler Phillips and Jean Matsumoto.
He is now up against a young and aggressive finisher who isn’t afraid to throw heavy strikes frequently. While it can be risky for an older fighter to face an explosive striker like Martinez, we must give Font the respect he deserves. He has not shown significant deterioration in his chin, and his boxing defense has always been exceptional. Additionally, his range management will be crucial in this fight, as he has a great jab and does not throw punches recklessly, remaining defensively sound throughout the bout.
Why Bet on David Martinez?
Martinez is only one fight deep into his UFC career, and his previous win was barely a competitive fight against Saaiman Oliveira, a highly one-dimensional submission specialist with barely any striking worth mentioning.
Expect Martinez to start pushing with all he’s got early on, fast and explosive straight out of the gates, quickly trying to put away Font and have the entire arena cheer as their hometown Mexican fighter wins the fight.
Final Betting Analysis: Rob Font vs. David Martinez
We believe Martinez has a very early chance to get a knockout, but frankly, going from someone as mildly bad as Saaiman Oliveira to a battle-tested veteran like Rob Font is a somewhat extreme task.
Font is also generally good with his fight IQ, and he certainly knows not to engage in the pocket against the shorter length fighter. If he fights within hook range of Martinez, Font is going to go to sleep or at least have his chin properly tested, especially early on.
We think that Rob is going to run Martinez and break him down round by round.
UFC Fight Night: Jared Gordon vs. Rafa Garcia
Why Bet on Jared Gordon?
Gordon is coming off one of the biggest wins in his career over Thiago Moises with a KO win. Whilst we believed that Gordon would have made this a competitive fight, we were not expecting a knockout.
Now, Gordon’s age has come up as a talking point in recent days, and whilst we get that age is a bit of a factor these days, He still fights like he’s in his prime, he is very defensively sound, his output and offense is varied enough to give his opponent many things to think about and his right side attack is incredibly sharp, ideally all he needs to do in this fight is set up that right hand and fire away on occasion, because Garcia is quite hittable as a fighter.
Why Bet on Rafa Garcia?
Garcia is a wild fighter to keep an eye on. He is just a bundle of energy and fights at such an outlandish pace that it’s unbelievable how he doesn’t get too tired after the first two rounds of high output.
For as much as his output has looked absolutely dangerous throughout his career, there is one primary drawback, and that’s his striking. He loads up on everything he throws, and whilst that’s what makes him dangerous to engage with, it also offers opportunities to his opponents to find counters. There is rarely a fight that he’s in that he doesn’t get countered; he stands square in front of his opponent with a high reliance on landing his attacks.
Final Betting Analysis: Jared Gordon vs. Rafa Garcia
Garcia’s offense tends to be frozen momentarily by well-timed counters, and that’s where Gordon comes in, because his boxing has improved substantially. He should be able to read the attacks from Garcia.
The problem that Gordon is going to come across during this fight, though, is the difficulty in keeping Garcia off of him, and we mean that in terms of pressure because Garcia is notorious for marching down his opponent and throwing heavy, heavy attacks over and over again.
We believe Gordon will keep this fight standing and keep it a clean boxing fight.
UFC Fight Night: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Dustin Stoltzfus
Why Bet on Kelvin Gastelum?
Kelvin Gastelum is a veteran middleweight with a long history in the UFC, Known for his boxing, pressure, and toughness. He holds a pro record of roughly 20-10 (plus one no contest) and has fought top-tier opponents throughout his career. His takedown defense is respectable, and although wrestling is not his primary path to victory, he can control opponents when needed. Gastelum needs a win here to reestablish momentum after recent losses and to show he can still compete with fighters who bring both striking and grappling threats.
Why Bet on Dustin Stoltzfus?
Dustin Stoltzfus comes in as the underdog, but he presents real danger, especially on the ground. With a record of around 16-7, he mixes striking and a solid submission game. His takedown offense is better than
Gastelum and he average more submissions or attempts per fight. He has also shown he can finish fights early with six first-round finishes in his career.
The challenge for Stolzfus will be to survive the early striking pressure, avoid being countered, and take the fight where he can use his grappling strengths.
Final Betting Analysis: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Dustin Stoltzfus
We think the more boring this fight is, the more it favours Gastelum because he can dictate the pace through his short blitzes and ability to weave in and out of distance.
Gastelum’s greatest asset is his ability to burst into the pocket and land his tight hooks and combinations, he’s a very dangerous fighter to face head on and if Stoltzfus allows Gastelum to stay in the pocket without any deterring strike like a knee up the middle or an uppercut, anything to make it a bit dangerous for Gastelum to engage in the pocket, then Gastelum’s going to have massive success in the pocket.
UFC Fight Night: Alexander Hernandez vs. Diego Ferreira
Why Bet on Alexander Hernandez?
Hernandez is coming off an impressive knockout victory over Chase Hooper. He performed as he typically does, particularly in the first round when the fight remains standing. Historically, his cardio tends to decline after the first half of the fight.
The somewhat positive news about Hernandez taking this fight on short notice is that he is still fresh, uninjured, and in good shape. He recently completed a training camp for the Hooper fight, so he hasn’t become lazy or regained weight in an unhealthy way. Essentially, this means he is more prepared for this fight than Ferreira is.
Hernandez should be able to inflict significant damage in the first round. Even if his cardio does falter later on, the damage he inflicts on Ferreira may slow him down as well, helping to minimize the gap in cardio and pace between the two fighters.
Why Bet on Diego Ferreira?
Ferreira is currently a bit difficult to assess. In his last fight against Grant Dawson, the match unfolded as many expected, with Dawson being the more dominant wrestler and effectively executing his game plan.
Ferreira fights like a saw blade, unleashing his arsenal in short bursts, which allows him to inflict significant damage before transitioning to a takedown and utilizing his ground game.
However, age is a factor to consider here. Father Time is undefeated, and it’s uncertain whether Ferreira will be able to maintain a reasonable pace after the first round, during which Hernandez typically performs at his best.
Final Betting Analysis: Alexander Hernandez vs. Diego Ferreira
If Hernandez targets Ferreira’s body early in the fight, it will definitely drain the veteran’s stamina and lower his hands, making him more vulnerable to head strikes. Additionally, Hernandez has demonstrated incredibly fast strikes when he is fully in control and making the right reads. However, Ferreira has the potential to turn the fight around with just one takedown, utilizing his exceptional grappling skills to subdue and possibly submit Hernandez, who relies heavily on kickboxing. That said, there are too many factors currently favoring Hernandez.
UFC Fight Night: Santiago Luna vs. Quang Le
Why Bet on Santiago Luna?
Luna is making his UFC debut after defeating a 4-6 fighter, and the main thing you should really know about him is that he’s a submission specialist in a sense.
His preference when fighting is to take his opponents down and look for that submission. Keep an eye out for the huge throws that Luna uses when he fights. He’s highly explosive when it comes to wrestling takedowns, and he has just an all-out offense mindset when he’s wrestling. He rarely lets his opponent get a breath in before he finds that submission.
Why Bet on Quang Le?
Le has had a bit of a rough go in the UFC, losing his first two fights against Gutierrez and Xiao before getting a win over Bolanos, Le is likely to not deviate from what he’s known best for, and that’s his ferocious boxing, he truly does live up to his nickname “Bang” as he does tend to throw heavy and often.
The ferocious style may play against him here, as if he overexerts himself with the volume; Luna may crash forward and secure the takedown.
Final Betting Analysis: Santiago Luna vs. Quang Le
Le is very much known for his punching power, and given that Luna is extremely inexperienced in his MMA career, he may have his chin truly tested. From what we’ve seen, Luna’s striking defense is non-existent, but hopeful.
UFC Fight Night: José Medina vs. Dusko Todorović
Why Bet on José Medina?
José “Chicho” Medina (11-5) brings a heavy boxing background into this bout, with 8 of his 11 wins by KO/TKO and two by submission. He possesses decent durability, a southpaw-orthodox boxing mix, and has earned six first-round finishes in his pro career. However, in his UFC outings, he’s shown vulnerabilities: losses by KO/ TKO and decision, plus limited experience against higher-level mixed setups.
For Medina to win, he’ll need to keep it standing, press forward with volume early, avoid being taken down, and make big shots count before Todorović’s grappling and power become a factor.
Why Bet on Dusko Todorović?
Dusko “Thunder” Todorović (12-6) is a well-rounded middleweight with a knockout-heavy resume: eight of his 12 wins by KO/TKO, plus three by submission. His striking is lethal, and he has shown the ability to finish, especially when he can impose pace. Though his recent record includes setbacks, he brings a more tested grappling base and tends to do well when he can mix levels and avoid having to engage in pure boxing wars.
Final Betting Analysis: José Medina vs. Dusko Todorović
This fight pits Medina, a powerful striker with less high-level experience, against Todorovic, a brawler with more finishes and mixed threats. The stylistic contrast is clear: Medina must use his boxing and power; Todorovic must use variety and leverage his stronger grappling and knockout threat.
Given their recent performances, Dusko appears to hold the tactical edge. His finishing ability, experience in big fights, and ability to absorb pressure favor him.
UFC Fight Night: Claudio Puelles vs. Joaquim Silva
Why Bet on Claudio Puelles?
Puelles is an extremely one-dimensional grappler who excels on the ground but struggles significantly on his feet, making him vulnerable to being hit. Silva is likely to take advantage of this because he is a more well-rounded mixed martial artist than Puelles has demonstrated. It’s a rarity to encounter such one-dimensional fighters in today’s MMA landscape.
For Puelles to succeed in this matchup, he needs to bring the fight to the ground and maintain complete control over Silva’s movements. If he fails to do so, he risks being knocked out or losing on the scorecards if he can’t secure a submission.
Why Bet on Joaquim Silva?
Silva may be the older fighter, which might make him less appealing to some, but he possesses all the skills an MMA fighter could need. In this fight, he will likely mix his styles effectively.
However, Silva may need to diversify his striking approach. If he focuses solely on head strikes, he could become vulnerable to a takedown attempt from Puelles, who is sure to fight aggressively for the takedown.
If Puelles is successful in bringing the fight to the ground, we believe that Silva will be able to defend against submission attempts. Given his black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu, he should be well-equipped to avoid danger in that scenario.
Final Betting Analysis: Claudio Puelles vs. Joaquim Silva
The biggest difference between these two fighters is their striking ability. We have little doubt that Silva will outstrike Puelles. Unless Puelles has made significant improvements to his boxing defense, we don’t expect to see anything too special or surprising in this matchup. This fight will likely play out as expected: Puelles will try hard to take the fight to the ground, while Silva will focus on keeping it standing so he can showcase his striking skills.
UFC Fight Night: Tatiana Suarez vs. Amanda Lemos
Why Bet on Tatiana Suarez?
Suarez is a fighter who consistently performs at the elite level of wrestling, and we can expect her to showcase that skill in this match. Lemos has a significant weakness when it comes to defending against wrestlers, as her ability to fight off her back is nearly nonexistent.
Suarez primarily relies on her wrestling skills and rarely engages in striking unless she needs to set up a level change. Once she establishes her wrestling, she becomes an exceptionally dominant force. We hope to see her wrestling abilities on full display again, especially since they didn’t shine through effectively in her fight against Zhang Weili.
Why Bet on Amanda Lemos?
Lemos is a bit of a wildcard fighter; she’s very well-rounded, dynamic, and capable of finishing opponents both on the ground and standing. However, the problem with Lemos is that she relies too much on her physical abilities rather than her technical skills. Although she possesses a wide variety of techniques, she often throws her strikes with such power that it causes her to lose her balance, resulting in awkward movements.
Final Betting Analysis: Tatiana Suarez vs. Amanda Lemos
Lemos is likely to be on the defensive as Suarez aims to push forward and take the fight to the ground. We question Lemos’s ability to get back up against someone like Suarez. While we acknowledge that Suarez did not perform well against Zhang, we believe that was primarily due to multiple cancellations and delays, which may have made her a bit rusty. Additionally, Weili Zhang is considered a top-tier talent in the MMA world.
Suarez may struggle against the power of Lemos’s striking, but as long as she can rely on her wrestling, we believe she will win this fight.
UFC Fight Night: Jesus Aguilar vs. Luis Gurule
Why Bet on Jesus Aguilar?
Aguilar has valuable experience in the UFC, having fought multiple three-round matches against competent opponents. This weekend, we expect Aguilar to perform well in wrestling, aiming to exploit Gurule like how Nick Piccinnini did during their DWCS fight.
In addition to his wrestling skills, Aguilar is fairly strong on his feet and can deliver quick combinations. However, we believe the most significant skill gap will be on the ground, where Aguilar can likely demonstrate his wrestling abilities and establish control of the fight.
Expect Aguilar to use a quick flurry of strikes followed by a level change as his primary attack strategy. This approach may help him overcome the slight reach disadvantage and bring the fight to the ground, where he feels most comfortable.
Why Bet on Luis Gurule?
Gurule has only participated in one fight in the UFC, where he struggled against Ode Osbourne. This performance wasn’t particularly impressive, especially considering that it was against a version of Osbourne that was less polished than the one we saw fight against Erceg.
While Gurule is a tenacious striker capable of delivering high volume and a variety of attacks, he has shown vulnerability to takedowns. This is where we can see the most significant skill gap between him and his opponents.
Final Betting Analysis: Jesus Aguilar vs. Luis Gurule
Gurule still lacks experience in this situation, and it’s unclear what the odds makers were considering. Aguilar should be able to secure the win if he relies on his experience and trusts his instincts.
UFC Fight Night: Zach Reese vs. Sedriques Dumas
Why Bet on Zach Reese?
Zach “Savage” Reese enters this matchup with a 9-2 professional record, showing heavy finishing ability, especially early in fights. He fights out of the WAR training Center, uses a switch stance, and possesses considerable size for a Middleweight, which aids his striking range. Reese has five wins by KO/TKO and two by submission, demonstrating versatility; most of his wins come in the first round.His recent performances include a convincing unanimous decision win over Dusko Todorovic, showing he can go full three rounds when needed.
Why Bet on Sedriques Dumas?
Sedriques “The Reaper” Dumas holds a 10-3 record and is known for his athleticism, decent striking, and an ability to go the distance. He stands about 6’2″, orthodox stance, fighting out of Team Remedy BJJ and MMA. Dumas is strikinglycompetent; he uses a kickboxing baseand has shown both knockout and submission wins, though his recent losses suggest vulnerability in defensive striking and perhaps in early exchanges.
Additionally, in past fights, he’s won by decision consistently when he can manage distance and avoid being overwhelmed early.
Final Betting Analysis: Zach Reese vs. Sedriques Dumas
This is a stylistic contrast: Reese looks for early finishes, pressure, and uses his height/reach to control striking.
Dumas will likely try to avoid taking a big shot early, pick his range, and force Reese into longer exchanges. For Dumas, survival in the first round is critical; once he weathers the early storms, he can use jab, movement, and volume to try to outpoint Reese over three rounds.
UFC Fight Night: Alessandro Costa vs. Alden Coria
Why Bet on Alessandro Costa?
Costa is coming off a knockout win against Kevin Borjas, which is a respectable victory. He is known for his brute strength and powerful striking. Additionally, Costa is fairly skilled at taking fights to the ground, where he can utilize his dangerous ground-and-pound techniques.
In his fighting style, Costa maintains a high guard, which allows him to disguise his leg kicks without lowering his hands, as is typically recommended. His greatest asset lies in his ability to throw heavy punching combinations in explosive bursts. He is extremely dangerous on his feet, and we expect his ferocity to be evident right from the start.
Why Bet on Alden Coria?
Coria is making his debut after a win against an opponent who has more losses than wins. This is somewhat unusual on his record, and it raises questions about why the UFC would bring him onto a relatively big card following such a victory.
Coria is a talented wrestler, excelling at level changes and effectively bringing fights to the ground, particularly after exchanges on the feet. One clear indicator that he will attempt a level change is his boxing; whenever he starts landing punches, he often follows up with a double or single-leg takedown before working from there on the ground.
That’s about all we can say regarding Coria. He might be the fresher fighter in terms of ring rust, but his primary advantage in the matchup will be his wrestling skills.
Final Betting Analysis: Alessandro Costa vs. Alden Coria
We are eager to see if Coria can achieve success in his wrestling, but he will soon learn that going toe-to-toe with someone as powerful as Costa is a risky decision. We anticipate that the striker will emerge victorious in this matchup.
UFC Fight Night: Alice Pereira vs. Montserrat Rendon
Why Bet on Alice Pereira?
Pereira is an exceptionally talented kickboxer, especially for her age. While it’s likely that she will experience some setbacks in the UFC, we believe that, thanks to traditional matchmaking—which often involves propelling a “hype train” by matching them against less formidable opponents—she could be fighting for the title within a couple of years. Given that this fight is taking place in the Bantamweight division, the path to the title is relatively short and straightforward.
We expect to see some impressive strikes from Pereira in her fights, especially on the feet, but those may be the extent of her skills. Look for her to deliver some solid punches.
Why Bet on Montserrat Rendon?
Rendon is a 36-year-old Bantamweight who seems to be on this card primarily because she is Mexican, which is a sad truth. She has a record of 1-1 in the UFC; her only victory came against a very mediocre fighter, Tamires Vidal. Currently, she is coming off a loss to Darya Zheleznyakova, who is known to be an easy opponent to defeat.
Final Betting Analysis: Alice Pereira vs. Montserrat Rendon
It appears that the UFC matchmakers are hoping Pereira achieves a quick knockout victory over a 36-year-old fighter who began her UFC career quite late in her prime years. If Pereira is taken down—something that is very likely—the hype surrounding her won’t just be derailed; it won’t even have gotten off the ground. However, if the fight stays standing, Pereira is likely to secure the win.
UFC Fight Night: Rodrigo Sezinando vs. Daniil Donchenko
Why Bet on Rodrigo Sezinando?
Sezinando’s striking is notably wild and raw; however, if he can find his footing and maintain his position, he has the potential to become the kind of mid-card action fighter and bonus magnet that the UFC welterweight division desperately needs.
He excels on the ground, where he delivers powerful strikes while advancing his position and can quickly take his opponent’s back to secure a rear-naked choke. However, he faces challenges when he is unable to bring the fight to the mat under his preferred conditions. Although his strikes are powerful and he maintains a good volume, his big swings are vulnerable to being countered by the more disciplined boxers in the 170-pound weight class.
Why Bet on Daniil Donchenko?
Daniil Donchenko may not yet be one of the most disciplined boxers, but at just 24 years old, he has plenty of time to develop his skills. While he is still inexperienced, his natural abilities are more impressive than those of Sezinando.
As a powerful and athletic welterweight, Donchenko’s striking may be raw, but it undeniably carries significant power. He doesn’t yet throw combinations as often as he should, but he is more defensively sound than many fighters with similar experience. So far, he has been successful by overwhelming his opponents with more powerful and frequent shots.
Final Betting Analysis: Rodrigo Sezinando vs. Daniil Donchenko
We believe that Donchenko’s wrestling may be more effective than technically sophisticated. However, throughout his regional career and “TUF,” it has consistently allowed him to control when and if the fight goes to the ground.
If he decides to keep the action standing in this match, we expect both fighters to have their moments on the feet. However, Donchenko is likely to gradually pull ahead due to his superior movement and power, ultimately winning by TKO in the third round.
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