Last Updated on November 20, 2025 11:54 am by Erwin Noguera
Following an exciting numbered card last weekend, the UFC is set to continue the excitement in Doha, Qatar, with a fight night featuring two potential title eliminators in the main event and co-main event.
The main event features Arman Tsarukyan facing Dan Hooker in the Lightweight Division. This matchup promises to be an exciting contest, as Arman aims to maintain his impressive record while going against one of the most experienced veterans in the division today.
Our co-main event features the former champion Belal Muhammad facing Ian Machado Garry as the latter attempts to establish himself as the next title contender. It is bound to be an exciting clash, as the Irishman has been working his way up, while Belal comes from a recent championship win.
Additionally, this event will feature diverse international talent, providing a great experience for casual fans and newcomers to the UFC.
At Gambyl Exchange, you can check all the UFC/MMA bets, the analysis of each fighter, and the final bet you can make in these fights.
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker Figh Card Odds and Info
| Arman Tsarukyan -833 | Dan Hooker +495 |
| Belal Muhammad +192 | Ian Machado Garry -238 |
| Volkan Oezdemir -244 | Alonzo Menifield +181 |
| Jack Hermansson +181 | Myktybek Orolbai -238 |
| Waldo Cortes-Acosta -175 | Shamil Gaziev +140 |
| Kyoji Horiguchi -200 | Tagir Ulanbekov +156 |
| Luke Riley -294 | Bogdan Grad +212 |
| Saygid Izagakhmaev -400 | Nicolas Dalby +277 |
| Alex Perez +175 | Asu Almabayev -227 |
| AbdulRakhman Yakhyaev -1667 | Raffael Cerqueira +660 |
| Bekzat Almakhan -101 | Aleksandre Topuria -132 |
| Ryan Loder +123 | Ismail Naurdiev -159 |
| Nurullo Aliev -400 | Shaqueme Rock +279 |
| Marek Bujło +143 | Denzel Freeman -189 |
| When? | Saturday, November 22nd, at 10:00 am ET, 9:00 am CST, 8:00 am MT, and 7:00 am PT |
| Where? | Ali Bin Hamad al-Attiyah Arena, at Doha, Qatar |
| Where Can I Watch it? | UFC Fight Pass |
UFC Fight Night: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Dan Hooker
Why Bet on Arman Tsarukyan?
Tsarukyan is an incredibly challenging fighter to face. He boasts remarkable speed and intelligence on the ground, excellent five-round cardio, and striking that comes from every conceivable angle.
The key for Tsarukyan in this fight will be his wrestling. He will likely need to take Hooker to the ground to neutralize Hooker’s striking advantage because, as long as they are standing toe-to-toe, Hooker has the upper hand.
Once the fight hit the mat, we expect Tsarukyan to control Hooker instead of aggressively pursuing a submission. If he gives Hooker any space to scramble and get back to his feet, Hooker will take advantage of it.
Why Bet on Dan Hooker?
Dan Hooker is up against a contender who has been at the top of the division for quite some time. He’s fighting in enemy territory and facing an opponent whose style can negate his own. However, a knockout victory is still possible.
Hooker is a powerful striker who thrives on the feet, and few can outpace him in striking exchanges. Nevertheless, we doubt Hooker will stay on his feet for too long at the beginning of each round because it won’t take long for Tsarukyan to close the distance and secure a takedown.
Final Betting Analysis: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Dan Hooker
Hooker has excellent takedown defense for someone of his fighting style, and while we are not suggesting that Tsarukyan won’t achieve a takedown, he will have to contend with an opponent who has faced wrestlers throughout his career.
That said, Tsarukyan’s path to success is straightforward: he needs to wrestle. We believe he will take the fight to the ground in every round, accumulating the necessary points to secure a decision victory if he doesn’t finish the fight on the ground first.
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Ian Machado Garry
Why Bet on Belal Muhammad?
Muhammad is coming off a tough loss against JDM, but he is a fighter who thrives in five-round bouts. The fact that he is now in a three-round fight raises questions about his ability to pace himself. Many five-round fighters tend to underperform in shorter fights because they usually start slow to conserve their energy for the later rounds. To win this fight decisively, Muhammad will need to keep Garry on the ground, as Garry has the potential to escape, rise to his feet, and attack Muhammad with jabs and straight punches at a distance.
Why Bet on Ian Machado Garry?
Garry is primarily a jab and straight punch striker; he rarely diversifies his striking style because he sees no need to complicate things. In this fight, one noticeable aspect is that Garry often retreats, creating space to set up his counters. If Muhammad can capitalize on Garry’s retreat and force a frenetic pace, it may disrupt Garry’s ability to strike comfortably.
Watch for two key points from Garry: first, he possesses excellent takedown defense. He is adept at fighting for underhooks and using his long frame to reverse positions against the cage. This allows him to land elbows during separations or maintain a clinch to target his opponent’s body with knees. Second, Garry excels as a sniper and counter-fighter; he aims to pull Muhammad into his striking range, where he can unleash his punches. If Garry effectively uses his jab early on, it may limit Muhammad’s vision and overwhelm his senses, making him susceptible to feints and disrupting his pressure style.
Final Betting Analysis: Belal Muhammad vs. Ian Machado Garry
It’s hard to see a scenario where Garry wins unless it’s through a knockout or a submission, if Belal can increase the intensity in the first round and utilize his impressive cardio to overwhelm Garry. However, the challenge for Muhammad is that his striking defense can be quite poor; he often takes significant damage while trying to close the distance for grappling. This raises concerns about whether he can withstand Garry’s sharp striking.
UFC Fight Night: Volkan Oezdemir vs. Alonzo Menifield
Why Bet on Volkan Oezdemir?
Volkan Oezdemir is an excellent striker with a clean kickboxing style. He effectively targets various parts of the body and mixes up his strikes. Compared to Menifield, we believe he will be the sharper and faster striker. However, our main concern is that he can be somewhat vulnerable to being knocked out. Since Menifield is known for his impressive knockout power, there may be some tense moments where Oezdemir could be at risk of being finished.
Why Bet on Alonzo Menifield?
Menifield is facing Oezdemir, even though we personally feel he doesn’t deserve such a high-profile fight. Nevertheless, here we are. Menifield is recognized for his power; he is built like a tank and isn’t afraid to throw heavy punches often, especially in the early rounds. His cardio holds up fairly well for about eight minutes before he starts to fatigue. This is why we believe Oezdemir’s strategy should focus on attacking Menifield’s cardio and mobility.
Final Betting Analysis: Volkan Oezdemir vs. Alonzo Menifield
The key for Oezdemir in this matchup is to stick and move. He should utilize his speed and striking skills to target Menifield’s body and legs, neutralizing the power difference. By doing so, Oezdemir can turn the tide and begin landing his own strikes, as we all know he is the better striker. The longer the fight goes, the more it favors Oezdemir, and we anticipate a clear decision victory for him.
UFC Fight Night: Jack Hermansson vs. Myktybek Orolbai
Why Bet on Jack Hermansson?
Hermansson is entering this fight after a mix of wins and losses. Normally, we would be concerned when a fighter drops down in weight, but this situation raises additional red flags. Not only is Hermansson moving down to 170 pounds, but he is also doing so at the age of 37, which is nearing the end of his career.
Hermansson is an intelligent striker with sharp boxing skills. He excels at positioning himself well to strike while avoiding his opponent’s counters. Being the taller and longer fighter in this matchup gives him some advantages. However, the primary concern for Hermansson is the weight cut. He is not a bulky Middleweight; instead, he is lean and well-suited for that division. It’s difficult to imagine that the weight cut will be easy for him.
If the fight stays standing, Hermansson has a chance to pull off an upset by sticking and moving to evade Orolbai’s wrestling and powerful strikes. Orolbai hits hard, and Hermansson is coming off a knockout loss against Robocop, which adds to the concerns about his performance, especially at this new weight.
Why Bet on Myktybek Orolbai?
Orolbai is likely to close the distance quickly, land powerful strikes, and then clinch for a takedown. He sticks to his opponents closely, so even if Hermansson’s historically good takedown defense holds up, he will have to fend off Orolbai’s attacks and maintain his balance. These tasks could become challenging, especially if Hermansson is drained from the weight cut.
Orolbai’s multifaceted approach to winning will put Hermansson’s defense to the test. He will not only seek takedowns but will also look to land significant strikes, forcing Hermansson to spread his defense thin.
Final Betting Analysis: Jack Hermansson vs. Myktybek Orolbai
Given that Hermansson is coming off a knockout loss, it is likely he will prioritize striking defense over takedown defense to avoid another KO. However, this may leave him vulnerable to takedowns.
Additionally, Hermansson’s drop in weight class raises the expectation that he may either become fatigued during the fight or not appear as competitive.
UFC Fight Night: Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs. Shamil Gaziev
Why Bet on Waldo Cortes-Acosta?
Taking a fight on just three days’ notice without a training camp is a bold move, but Cortes-Acosta comes into this bout having won three of his last four matches and will not have to cut weight. This could be his chance to make a statement in the division. While it’s a high-risk, high-reward situation, his knockout power could work in his favor.
Why Bet on Shamil Gaziev?
Gaziev has a world of possibilities ahead of him. Initially, we thought he had a slim chance against Spivac, but now he faces a strong opponent in Waldo Cortes-Acosta. However, Gaziev benefits from the fact that Cortes-Acosta is stepping in on short notice without a training camp. Despite this advantage, Gaziev must contend with the fact that Cortes-Acosta comes in not needing to cut weight and is on a good streak.
Final Betting Analysis: Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs. Shamil Gaziev
While Shamil Gaziev has the benefit of a full training camp and is well-prepared to step into the octagon, he must now contend with Cortes-Acosta’s knockout power, which he may not have adequately prepared for. Although Gaziev may have the edge in cardio and conditioning, the significant threat posed by Cortes-Acosta’s striking ability could be a serious problem for him.
While picking the short-notice fighter may seem like a wild choice, we believe that Waldo Cortes-Acosta will continue his winning momentum.
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Tagir Ulanbekov
Why Bet on Kyoji Horiguchi?
Horiguchi is a legendary name in the sport, and while there’s excitement surrounding his return to the octagon this weekend, it’s hard to feel completely confident about his debut against Ulanbekov. He’s getting older, and although his fighting style remains dangerous and tricky, there are concerns about his ability to compete against a younger opponent who is significantly taller and longer, with strong grappling skills.
One notable aspect of Horiguchi’s fighting is his free-flowing striking style. He keeps his hands low, moves them around, and maintains a wide stance while utilizing effective footwork. This makes him a challenging fighter to read, which could pose problems for Tagir Ulanbekov early in the fight. However, the main intrigue lies in seeing how well Ulanbekov can neutralize Horiguchi’s takedown threat while also being cautious of Horiguchi’s explosive power.
Why Bet on Tagir Ulanbekov?
Ulanbekov is an interesting fighter. Despite his impressive achievements and victories in the UFC, he rarely employs a fundamental striking technique—leg kicks. This is significant because Horiguchi’s wide, bladed stance makes his lead leg vulnerable. If Ulanbekov doesn’t target those legs early, he could find himself at a disadvantage when it comes to explosiveness, especially since Horiguchi is incredibly fast on his feet.
Striking-wise, Ulanbekov often uses his punches to set up his right hand. His height allows him to deliver powerful straight punches that can reach over an opponent’s jab. In Horiguchi’s case, given his bladed fighting style, Ulanbekov’s strikes could very well land flush on Horiguchi’s chin.
If Ulanbekov’s striking falters, he is willing to engage closely with his opponents, throw a flurry of strikes, and then clinch to utilize his wrestling skills, aiming to take the fight to the ground.
Final Betting Analysis: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Tagir Ulanbekov
When it comes to striking speed, it’s difficult to see how Ulanbekov will safely close the distance to initiate his takedowns. Horiguchi’s right-side attacks are lightning-quick, and since Ulanbekov will likely need to lower his base to secure takedowns, Horiguchi may effectively counter-strike him.
If Horiguchi misses even once, Ulanbekov could quickly capitalize by wrapping his hands around Horiguchi and securing a takedown. Even if Ulanbekov struggles with successful takedowns, he can still work to wear Horiguchi down by grinding him against the cage, which may be crucial for Ulanbekov’s chances of winning.
UFC Fight Night: Luke Riley vs. Bogdan Grad
Why Bet on Luke Riley?
Riley is a promising talent hailing from Liverpool, known for his exceptional skills in the Cage Warriors promotion. He has dominated his opponents with impressive striking, combining aggression with considerable patience and grit. This makes him a tough competitor to face. Even if he gets taken down, he manages to create a small amount of separation before explosively getting back on his feet. When fighting toe-to-toe, Riley truly excels, demonstrating his ability to press forward with fierce strikes.
His Thai clinch is noteworthy, as he effectively lands knees to both the body and head. Riley focuses on delivering impactful strikes rather than merely appearing busy. However, this fight marks his debut in a different country, and he will be competing in front of what is expected to be a sold-out crowd. It’s uncertain whether this environment will positively or negatively impact his performance, but he’s definitely a fighter to watch closely.
Why Bet on Bogdan Grad?
Grad is coming off a decision loss to Muhammad Naimov. While Grad performed decently, he struggled to keep pace with Naimov’s overwhelming activity. If Grad cannot maintain that intensity, he may face similar challenges in this fight, likely remaining defensive and putting his chin to the test.
Grad’s twitchy style could allow him to keep Riley at bay if he employs his feints effectively. However, Riley tends to disregard feints and opts for aggressive flurries of punches.
Final Betting Analysis: Luke Riley vs. Bogdan Grad
Grad’s defensive strategy primarily relies on his offensive output. He uses his attacks to keep opponents at bay, but if Riley adopts that style, Grad may find himself repeatedly getting hit by combinations. A concerning aspect of Grad’s performance is that he tends to show signs of being affected by strikes, even when the damage may not be severe.
To succeed in this fight, Grad needs to establish his respect early on; otherwise, he may struggle to cope with the relentless and aggressive pace that Riley brings to the octagon.
UFC Fight Night: Saygid Izagakhmaev vs. Nicolas Dalby
Why Bet on Saygid Izagakhmaev?
Izagakhmaev showcases a typical Dagestani fighting style and has experience competing in some of the most respected organizations in his region, with One Championship being his most recent venture into MMA. He is known for his relentless forward pressure, quick and sharp feints on the feet, and high-paced wrestling capabilities.
He has achieved a notable victory over Shinya Aoki, a prominent name in the sport, although it is worth mentioning that Aoki was in his 40s at the time, which somewhat diminishes the impressiveness of the win. It is important to focus on Izagakhmaev’s striking; while it may be rudimentary, his boxing is effective enough in an MMA context to be relevant.
Why Bet on Nicolas Dalby?
Dalby is a UFC veteran who appears to be nearing the end of his career and is likely being matched with a younger fighter in this bout. He possesses a solid crashing style and demonstrates good karate-style kickboxing, accompanied by adequate cardio to maintain his aggressive approach throughout the three rounds.
However, the primary concern for Dalby is his takedown defense; it is expected that his opponent will exploit this weakness.
Final Betting Analysis: Saygid Izagakhmaev vs. Nicolas Dalby
Overall, Izagakhmaev is the stronger fighter and is favored to win against an aging Dalby, whose wrestling defense has been a consistent issue. Expect Dalby to be quickly pressured against the cage. After a few feints aimed at the upper body, a takedown attempt will likely follow. Once the fight hits the ground, it is reasonable to anticipate that it will remain there for the duration.
UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Asu Almabayev
Why Bet on Alex Perez?
Alex Perez is a name that may have faded from the spotlight in the world of competitive MMA, primarily because he has not been successful in recent fights. His last victory came against Matheus Nicolau, but aside from that win, he has struggled to deliver noteworthy performances that once made him a contender for the title.
After his loss to Taira, Perez sustained a severe knee injury, which left his knee mangled and bent at odd angles. This injury likely required extensive recovery time, impacting his training and ability to return to form. Considering he will be facing a high-pressure, high-volume wrestler like Almabayev, my main concern with Perez is his knee and his counter-wrestling skills.
Why Bet on Asu Almabayev?
Almabayev is known for his strong wrestling capabilities, which significantly work in his favor in this matchup. Although Perez has decent takedown defense on paper, he often finds himself in positions where he is taken down, making it easier for his opponents to capitalize on their wrestling skills.
Final Betting Analysis: Alex Perez vs. Asu Almabayev
While Perez is typically a well-rounded and capable fighter, his recent knee injury and a year away from competition raise concerns, especially as he faces an aggressive wrestler like Almabayev. We expect Almabayev to be successful in securing takedowns against Perez, although it may require considerable effort on his part. There’s a possibility that Almabayev could play it safe by holding Perez against the cage. However, we believe that Perez’s knee issues will lead to challenging takedowns that Almabayev will take advantage of.
UFC Fight Night: AbdulRakhman Yakhyaev vs. Raffael Cerqueira
Why Bet on AbdulRakhman Yakhyaev?
Yakhyaev is coming off an impressive series of finishes, including a first-round knockout in just 30 seconds during Dana White’s Contender Series. There isn’t much to analyze about Yakhyaev, which may sound unusual, but when a fighter consistently finishes opponents in the first round, it’s hard to find anything negative to say.
Why Bet on Raffael Cerqueira?
Cerqueira has not had a successful run in the UFC, currently holding a 0-3 record. While his last fight went the distance, he was largely controlled for almost 12 minutes of that 15-minute bout. The chances of him scoring a knockout are extremely slim, and he needs to make an aggressive move early in the fight. Essentially, he must prove himself this weekend, or he risks being overwhelmed by Yakhyaev’s momentum.
Final Betting Analysis: AbdulRakhman Yakhyaev vs. Raffael Cerqueira
Yakhyaev is expected to come out with incredible urgency, seeking a first-round finish. He won’t hold back; he will attack like a shark sensing blood in the water. Cerqueira, on the other hand, is facing a tough challenge with his three-fight losing streak.
We believe Yakhyaev will apply relentless forward pressure with remarkable aggression right from the start. He will likely either win by knockout or submission, but we are leaning more towards a knockout given his track record and considering Cerqueira’s questionable durability.
UFC Fight Night: Bekzat Almakhan vs. Aleksandre Topuria
Why Bet on Bekzat Almakhan?
Almakhan recently delivered an impressive finish against Brad Katona, landing a quick uppercut that ended the fight after a flurry of rapid shots. Despite having limited experience in the UFC, Almakhan showcases remarkable versatility in the cage. He is a powerful puncher, light on his feet, and demonstrates excellent timing with his strikes. The way he executed the uppercut to finish Katona—immediately after landing a clean shot—highlights his ability to adjust his attacks on the fly, effectively penetrating his opponents’ defenses.
Why Bet on Aleksandre Topuria?
Aleksandre Topuria, the older brother of Ilia Topuria, shares several striking similarities with him. His boxing skills are top-notch, featuring an MMA boxing style that emphasizes a proper stance and guard. This allows him to land strikes effectively to the upper body and head while maintaining a low enough stance to defend against takedown attempts. Topuria’s strategy of targeting his opponent’s body is crucial for his success. By attacking the legs to neutralize a striker’s power and targeting the abdomen to disrupt breathing and lower guard positions, he can effectively weaken his opponents. His skill set on his feet is outstanding, and he is considered a special talent, training with a team known for producing some of the UFC’s biggest stars.
Final Betting Analysis: Bekzat Almakhan vs. Aleksandre Topuria
While Almakhan is indeed a heavy hitter—capable of changing the fight’s momentum with just one powerful strike—there are valid concerns about his ability to land those punches consistently against someone as skilled as Topuria. Even if Topuria manages to dodge or block the majority of Almakhan’s strikes, that one heavy shot could turn the tide quickly. Nevertheless, it is anticipated that Topuria will outclass Almakhan, showcasing his boxing expertise and securing the victory.
UFC Fight Night: Ryan Loder vs. Ismail Naurdiev
Why Bet on Ryan Loder?
Loder is a TUF winner who is coming off a tough KO loss to Bekoev. While Loder is a fantastic high-level NCAA Division 1 wrestler, his striking is subpar and primarily serves to set up his wrestling.
Loder must take this fight to the ground; there is no way he can outstrike Naurdiev. However, Loder excels on the ground and can certainly give Naurdiev some trouble there. He has great top control, ground pressure, and the ability to advance his position quickly. If Loder cannot achieve top control over Naurdiev, it is difficult to see him winning this fight.
Why Bet on Ismail Naurdiev?
Naurdiev is coming off a very competitive fight against Park. Although he lost on the scorecards—partly due to an illegal knee against Park while on the ground and also because Park won rounds through takedowns and control—Naurdiev is expected to pose significant challenges for Loder on the feet.
It’s possible that Naurdiev will quickly engage in striking range and land solid shots on Loder. He was taken down by Park in the third round with relative ease, which suggests that his cardio may have been lacking at that point, affecting his takedown defense.
If this is the case, we believe that Loder, if he can withstand Naurdiev’s initial onslaught in the first round, might secure takedowns in the later rounds and win through control alone.
Final Betting Analysis: Ryan Loder vs. Ismail Naurdiev
Loder needs to achieve top control, as that is where wrestlers excel. He is not a BJJ specialist and cannot effectively work from his back or guard against Naurdiev.
Naurdiev must keep the fight standing to secure a victory or at least make Loder work hard for takedowns. By doing this, he can wear down Loder’s arms and reduce the effectiveness of Loder’s defense, allowing Naurdiev to unleash his striking.
UFC Fight Night: Nurullo Aliev vs. Shaqueme Rock
Why Bet on Nurullo Aliev?
Nurullo Aliev represents a typical European wrestler, known for his quick takedowns and impressive striking power. He frequently delivers powerful, thunderous strikes that force his opponents to open up, making it easier for him to secure takedowns. When he gets into a dominant position on the ground, he applies immense top pressure and delivers effective ground and pound.
One underappreciated aspect of Aliev’s game is his solid boxing. While his strikes may not be delivered quickly or in high volume, they are varied enough to keep his opponents on the back foot. This striking power effectively threatens takedowns; once his opponents feel the impact of his strikes, they instinctively raise their guard, allowing him to secure takedowns more easily.
Why Bet on Shaqueme Rock?
Rock is making his UFC debut following a competitive bout against Korkmaz a few months ago at Oktagon 71. He is quick on his feet and often utilizes feints to overwhelm his opponents. However, it raises an interesting question: how effectively can Rock use his feints against Aliev’s bulldozer-like striking?
Rock excels at level changes against his opponents, typically following a quick combination on the feet or a flash one-two that isn’t meant to land but aims to raise the opponent’s arms.
Final Betting Analysis: Nurullo Aliev vs. Shaqueme Rock
Once on the ground, expect Aliev to apply significant downward pressure and ground and pound. He is active on the ground and does not just hold his opponents down to run out the clock; he seeks to finish fights and gives his all in the Octagon.
It remains to be seen how effective Rock’s style will be against someone like Aliev, who will be pressuring him backwards. It is often difficult for fighters to execute their own takedowns while constantly defending against level changes.
Ultimately, this matchup will come down to who can apply pressure effectively. Given that Aliev has faced UFC-level competition and demonstrated his ability to apply pressure, we can confidently say that he presents a greater threat both on the feet and on the ground compared to Rock.
UFC Fight Night: Marek Bujło vs. Denzel Freeman
Why Bet on Marek Bujło?
Marek Bujło is an MMA and BJJ coach who runs his own gym. Although it’s unclear whether his coaching background guarantees a high level of fighting skill, he has recently entered competitive fights after his debut in 2024. This has piqued our interest to see how far he can go in the UFC.
Bujło’s grappling appears to be his strongest asset. He possesses typical heavyweight power but seems much more comfortable on the ground, where many opponents often struggle with Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu (BJJ) defense, especially since BJJ is relatively rare in this division. With a black belt in BJJ, he has undoubtedly participated in high-level grappling tournaments.
Why Bet on Denzel Freeman?
Denzel Freeman is a classic heavyweight who relies on his knockout power. He showcased a flexible left side kick during his PFL bout against Raiden Kovacs a couple of years ago. Freeman’s striking style involves unleashing powerful punches while maintaining minimal head movement, making him a destructive force. However, he is vulnerable to takedowns and counterattacks.
Final Betting Analysis: Marek Bujło vs. Denzel Freeman
In this matchup, we can expect Bujło to focus on grappling, particularly if his striking proves ineffective. Given that Freeman possesses significant knockout power and likely has a weight advantage of over 20 pounds this weekend, we believe Bujło will quickly attempt to take down the knockout artist Freeman.
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