Last Updated on January 22, 2026 12:00 pm by Erwin Noguera
The UFC returns this weekend to the capital of combat, Las Vegas. UFC 324 will be held at the T-Mobile Arena, a numbered event that promises to be high-octane from the start, with all eyes on the lightweight division, where the interim belt is up for grabs again after being vacated.
The main event will pit two very different profiles from the lightweight elite against each other: Justin Gaethje, an explosive athlete who is going through a remarkable competitive maturity, and Paddy Pimblett, a media figure who has backed up his fame with victories. Gaethje comes in after defeating Rafael Fiziev at UFC 313, while “The Baddy” is coming off a crushing victory over Michael Chandler at UFC 314. The winner will leave the cage with the interim title and on a direct path to the undisputed championship.
The card also features top-level names beyond the main event. The co-main event will feature former bantamweight champion Sean O’Malley against Song Yadong, and other highlights include Derrick Lewis vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta in heavyweight, Jean Silva vs. Arnold Allen in featherweight, and Natalia Silva vs. Rose Namajunas in women’s flyweight. The negative note is the cancellation of the women’s bantamweight title fight between Kayla Harrison and Amanda Nunes following a neck injury to Harrison, putting on hold a bout that promised to be historic for women’s MMA.
At Gambyl Exchange, you can check all the UFC/MMA bets, the analysis of each fighter, and the final bet you can make in these fights.
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett Betting Odds and Info
| Justin Gaethje +190 | Paddy Pimblett -235 |
| Sean O’Malley -210 | Yadong Song +170 |
| Waldo Cortes-Acosta -325 | Derrick Lewis +250 |
| Natália Silva -440 | Rose Namajunas +320 |
| Arnold Allen +230 | Jean Silva -300 |
| Umar Nurmagomedov -1600 | Deiveson Figueiredo +800 |
| Ateba Gautier -1000 | Andrey Pulyaev +625 |
| Nikita Krylov +125 | Modestas Bukauskas -150 |
| Alex Perez +170 | Charles Johnson -210 |
| Michael Johnson +170 | Alexander Hernandez -210 |
| Josh Hokit -250 | Denzel Freeman +200 |
| Ricky Turcios +165 | Cameron Smotherman -205 |
| Ty Miller -420 | Adam Fugitt +310 |
| When? | Saturday, January 24, 8:00 pm ET, 7:00 pm CST, 6:00 pm MT, and 5:00 pm PT |
| Where? | T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada. |
| Where Can I Watch it? | UFC Fight Pass |
UFC Fight Night: Justin Gaethje vs. Paddy Pimblett
Why Bet on Justin Gaethje?
Justin Gaethje, a 37-year-old veteran and former interim lightweight champion, faces a new major challenge in his career. With devastating strikes and a recent string of victories against high-level opponents such as Rafael Fiziev and Dustin Poirier, the American is looking to prove that he can still compete at the highest level before considering retirement.
His powerful leg kicks and striking volume make him a constant threat on the canvas.
Why Bet on Paddy Pimblett?
Paddy “The Baddy” Pimblett is undefeated in the UFC with a 7-0 record and a recent KO victory over Michael Chandler. Known for his creative grappling and active striking, the Brit has the advantage of youth and speed, capable of imposing his unconventional style and looking for opportunistic submissions.
Keeping the fight standing and taking advantage of his awkward striking will be key to surprising Gaethje in the early rounds.
Final Betting Analysis: Justin Gaethje vs. Paddy Pimblett
Although Pimblett is the betting favorite, Gaethje has the experience and knockout power to dominate key exchanges. The early rounds will set the pace, with Gaethje taking advantage of Pimblett’s low defense to seek the finish or control by volume. Gaethje’s experience in five-round wars and ability to absorb punishment point toward a long, attritional fight, while Pimblett’s unpredictability and finishing instincts keep him dangerous throughout.
UFC Fight Night: Sean O’Malley vs. Yadong Song
Why Bet on Sean O’Malley?
Sean O’Malley arrives after two consecutive defeats, looking to regain lost ground in the bantamweight division. His high volume of strikes and accuracy allow him to control the pace of the fight when he imposes distance and avoids his opponent’s grappling.
Sean O’Malley comes into this fight with an urgent need to get back to winning ways after a difficult period. After losing the bantamweight belt and suffering consecutive defeats against relentless opponents, the American needs a convincing performance to reestablish himself as a contender. His precise boxing, reach, and ability to manage distance remain his main weapons when he manages to impose his rhythm.
Why Bet on Yadong Song?
Yadong Song, ranked in the top 5 of the bantamweight division, has an aggressive and versatile style, with notable victories against elite opponents. His powerful striking and opportunistic submissions make him an opponent capable of surprising at any moment.
Song Yadong appears to be an extremely dangerous opponent for that goal. Established at the top of the division, the Chinese fighter is enjoying one of the best moments of his career. His aggressive style, combined with power, a variety of strikes, and clear improvements in wrestling and grappling, makes him a complete threat. In addition, his recent victory over a former champion cemented his status as a real contender.
Final Betting Analysis: Sean O’Malley vs. Yadong Song
The match promises intense exchanges on the feet, with O’Malley trying to control from the outside and Song applying constant pressure. If Yadong manages to close the distance and force physical exchanges, he can neutralize his opponent’s greatest asset. For O’Malley, this fight is a definitive test: winning puts him back in the title conversation; losing forces him to rethink his place in the division.
UFC Fight Night: Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs. Derrick Lewis
Why Bet on Waldo Cortes-Acosta?
Waldo Cortes-Acosta comes into this fight on a roll after a series of impressive performances. The Dominican has shown a remarkable ability to set the pace from the opening bell, with quick finishes and consistent improvement against high-level opponents. His combination of power, volume, and confidence positions him as one of the most exciting heavyweights in the division right now.
Why Bet on Derrick Lewis?
Derrick Lewis, however, remains the most dangerous wild card in the division. Despite his veteran status and not being the betting favorite, his knockout record speaks for itself. With less activity than in previous years, he retains his explosiveness, capable of changing a fight with a single punch, even when he appears to be getting outmatched.
Final Betting Analysis: Waldo Cortes-Acosta vs. Derrick Lewis
Lewis still has the power to knock out his opponents, but Cortes-Acosta could impose his rhythm and finish early. We expect a TKO/KO victory for the Dominican if he manages to land the first blow.
UFC Fight Night: Natália Silva vs. Rose Namajunas
Why Bet on Natália Silva?
Natália Silva comes into this fight as one of the most solid and consistent fighters in the flyweight division. Undefeated in the UFC and riding a long winning streak, she has proven that she can adapt to different styles and win both by submission and decision. Her high pace, mobility, and striking volume have made her a legitimate title contender.
Why Bet on Rose Namajunas?
Rose Namajunas enters this fight from a much more uncertain position. After dominating the strawweight division for years, her transition to flyweight has not been entirely convincing. Although she retains refined technique and invaluable experience, she has struggled to match the intensity and volume of the larger fighters in the division.
Final Betting Analysis: Natália Silva vs. Rose Namajunas
Silva is the favorite; Namajunas could surprise with her technique, but the prediction points to a Silva victory, probably by decision or TKO in the final rounds.
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Jean Silva
Why Bet on Arnold Allen?
Arnold Allen returns to the Octagon after a long hiatus with the mission of regaining ground in an extremely competitive division. Throughout his career, he has demonstrated solidity, tactical intelligence, and exceptional durability, never being finished by knockout. His disciplined style allows him to compete against any top opponent.
Why Bet on Jean Silva?
Jean Silva represents the opposite extreme in terms of style. Explosive, aggressive, and with a high finish rate, he has made an impact since he arrived in the UFC. His ability to finish fights both standing and on the ground makes him a very uncomfortable opponent, especially in the early rounds.
Final Betting Analysis: Arnold Allen vs. Jean Silva
Allen could control the fight and withstand the initial attacks, while Silva will look to finish early. The key strategic battlegrounds will be range management and pace control: Silva wants chaotic exchanges early, Allen wants structured, technical moments that erode Silva’s offensive bursts.
Overall, Silva’s power and aggressive finishing instincts give him the edge, but Allen’s veteran savvy and ability to absorb and avoid damage make him a live underdog if he can stay disciplined and extend the fight into later rounds.
UFC Fight Night: Umar Nurmagomedov vs. Deiveson Figueiredo
Why Bet on Umar Nurmagomedov?
Umar Nurmagomedov arrives as one of the most well-rounded talents in the bantamweight division. His sambo background, combined with constant improvement in striking, makes him an extremely difficult fighter to neutralize. His size and control in grappling exchanges are clear advantages over most opponents.
Nurmagomedov has shown consistency in the UFC, with grappling dominance and improved striking. His sambo experience and superior size make him the favorite against Figueiredo.
Why Bet on Deiveson Figueiredo?
Deiveson Figueiredo, former flyweight champion, has had a competitive transition to bantamweight. Although he has achieved important victories, he has also shown limitations against physically dominant fighters. His power and aggression remain dangerous, but they no longer hold the same significance as they once did.
Figueiredo has adapted his style to bantamweight, with notable victories but some losses to the division’s top fighters. His power and aggression could be a factor if he manages to impose his rhythm.
Final Betting Analysis: Umar Nurmagomedov vs. Deiveson Figueiredo
Everything points to a fight where Nurmagomedov will use his striking to set up takedowns and control the pace from the ground. If he manages to impose his physicality and grappling experience, he should gradually dominate until he finds a finish. It is a fight designed to consolidate Umar as a serious title contender.
UFC Fight Night: Ateba Gautier vs. Andrey Pulyaev
Why Bet on Ateba Gautier?
Ateba Gautier arrives with unstoppable momentum after stringing together several quick finishes since his arrival in the UFC. Beyond his power, he stands out for his technique, his constant jab, and his ability to cut off the octagon and corner opponents.
Ateba Gautier arrives with three consecutive first-round victories and outstanding striking power. His skill and discipline make him a difficult opponent to neutralize.
Why Bet on Andrey Pulyaev?
Andrey Pulyaev is a tough competitor with a tendency to fight defensively and look for decisions. However, that strategy can be problematic against an opponent who presses relentlessly and punishes every mistake with force.
Pulyaev has experience in the Contender Series and UFC, but he tends to fight defensively and may be overwhelmed by Gautier’s aggressiveness.
Final Betting Analysis: Ateba Gautier vs. Andrey Pulyaev
This middleweight bout is a compelling matchup between a rising knockout artist and a well-rounded finisher with grit. Gautier enters as a heavy favorite, reflecting his explosive finishing upside and the early-fight threat he carries. Pulyaev offers live underdog value if he can weather Gautier’s initial pressure and drag the fight past the first surge. However, the fight seems likely to end early. If Gautier lands clean strikes in the opening minutes, Pulyaev could quickly find himself overwhelmed. The difference in power and aggressiveness is a key factor in this matchup.
UFC Fight Night: Nikita Krylov vs. Modestas Bukauskas
Why Bet on Nikita Krylov?
Nikita Krylov arrives at a delicate moment in his career. After years of standing out for his toughness and aggressiveness, recent defeats have cast doubt on his endurance and ability to absorb punishment. His head-on style, which previously gave him an advantage, now exposes him to greater risks.
Krylov has shown ups and downs after breaks and injuries, although he remains tough and capable of holding his own. His recent defeats raise doubts about his endurance.
Why Bet on Modestas Bukauskas?
Modestas Bukauskas is going through a period of sustained growth. More precisely, the patient, with a better reading of fights, has been able to take advantage of key opportunities to finish fights when they arise. His recent evolution makes him a dangerous opponent for anyone.
Bukauskas enters the fight on a winning streak, having overcome injuries and refined his precision and finishing ability. His power can take advantage of any mistake Krylov makes.
Final Betting Analysis: Nikita Krylov vs. Modestas Bukauskas
The matchup favors the more stable fighter at the moment.The tactical battle will likely hinge on range control and fight pace. If Krylov insists on trading blows without the durability he once had, Bukauskas has the tools to capitalize on it. Everything points to a fight that could be decided quickly, as Bakauskas’s recent run and striking pedigree make him the logical frontrunner.
UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Charles Johnson
Why Bet on Alex Perez?
Alex Perez, a veteran with a history of injuries, seeks to regain momentum and control the fight through pressure and experience.
Perez returns to competition, attempting to regain the consistency that injuries have denied him for years. When he is on pace, he is an aggressive fighter, capable of pressuring and controlling the fight for long stretches. The problem has been maintaining that level until the end.
Why Bet on Charles Johnson?
Charles Johnson, a recent UFC winner, has speed and endurance that can complicate Perez’s rhythm.
Charles Johnson is a competitor who grows as the minutes tick by. His endurance, athleticism, and ability to adapt make him especially dangerous in long fights, where attrition plays a key role.
Final Betting Analysis: Alex Perez vs. Charles Johnson
The fight will be a test of consistency. If Perez manages to impose his plan without faltering, he has the tools to win the decision. But any physical slump could open the door for Johnson, who always finds opportunities in late-round chaos.
UFC Fight Night: Michael Johnson vs. Alexander Hernandez
Why Bet on Michael Johnson?
Michael Johnson combines experience and speed, although his tendency to become disorganized under pressure can be a risk.
Michael is a veteran with undeniable talent, but marked by inconsistency. His hand speed and power remain respectable, although his ability to handle pressure has historically been his greatest weakness.
Why Bet on Alexander Hernandez?
Alexander Hernandez has shown consistency in his recent fights and an ability to keep his distance and counterattack.
Hernandez has evolved into a more cautious and strategic style. After years of ups and downs, he has found a balance that allows him to compete without exposing himself unnecessarily, relying on counterattacks and controlling the pace.
Final Betting Analysis: Michael Johnson vs. Alexander Hernandez
The matchup is shaping up to be a duel of patience. Johnson will look for the decisive blow, while Hernandez will try to stay out of danger and score points. Tactical discipline could be the difference. Hernandez is favored by decision, capitalizing on his patience and counterattacking style.
UFC Fight Night: Josh Hokit vs. Denzel Freeman
Why Bet on Josh Hokit?
Josh Hokit is one of the most athletic prospects in the heavyweight division. His combination of wrestling, strength, and explosiveness allows him to impose his game quickly, as he demonstrated in his debut with a lightning-fast finish.
Hokit impresses with his athleticism and wrestling skills, capable of finishing quickly.
Why Bet on Denzel Freeman?
Denzel Freeman, also wrestling-based, is more methodical and less explosive. His approach is usually to wear down and control, although he lacks the immediate impact of his opponent.
Freeman is consistent but slower, relying on ground fighting to gain an advantage.
Final Betting Analysis: Josh Hokit vs. Denzel Freeman
The match favors the fighter who imposes his physique first. Hokit seems to have the tools to dominate from the start and prevent Freeman from setting his pace. Everything points to an early finish if Hokit plays his cards right.
UFC Fight Night: Ricky Turcios vs. Cameron Smotherman
Why Bet on Ricky Turcios?
Ricky Turcios brings with him experience gained in the UFC and a style that combines aggression and creativity, albeit sometimes in a disorderly fashion. His ability to set the pace from the outset and seek out active exchanges can disorient opponents who are less accustomed to his constant pressure.
Turcios has also shown resilience against opponents who try to counter his aggressiveness, allowing him to stay in the fight even if his initial attempts are not decisive.
Why Bet on Cameron Smotherman?
For his part, Cameron Smotherman is a more patient and methodical fighter, with a tendency to wait for his opponent’s mistakes to capitalize with precise strikes or submissions. His style is more conservative, which has allowed him to succeed in long fights, but he could have problems against Turcios’ intensity and variable pace.
In addition, Smotherman tends to rely on a gradual development of the fight, which makes him vulnerable to an explosive and aggressive start from his opponent.
Final Betting Analysis: Ricky Turcios vs. Cameron Smotherman
Turcios is the favorite to win by decision thanks to his ability to keep the fight under control, imposing pressure and a constant pace. Smotherman could survive isolated rounds, but his lack of explosiveness and reliance on counterattacks made it difficult to neutralize Turcios’ aggressiveness throughout the fight.
UFC Fight Night: Ty Miller vs. Adam Fugitt
Why Bet on Ty Miller?
Ty Miller is emerging as a rising prospect in the welterweight division, standing out for his physical consistency and ability to pressure larger opponents. His size and stamina allow him to maintain a high pace throughout all three rounds, accumulating hits that wear down opponents with less offensive volume.
In addition, Miller has demonstrated an ability to capitalize on mistakes and open up gaps in his opponent’s defense, increasing his ability to finish fights early.
Why Bet on Adam Fugitt?
Adam Fugitt, for his part, is a solid and durable fighter, capable of withstanding the initial pressure of explosive opponents. However, he lacks power and sustained pressure against opponents with high offensive activity.
His more strategic and defensive style can be effective if he manages to control the distance, but he runs the risk of getting caught in prolonged exchanges, where Miller’s physical superiority and pace become evident.
Final Betting Analysis: Ty Miller vs. Adam Fugitt
Miller is favored to win by technical knockout in the second round thanks to his ability to maintain pressure and land powerful punches consistently. Fugitt could withstand some exchanges, but the difference in pace and strength seems decisive for the fight.
EN 
ES 
PT 
PT_BR