UFC Fight Night: <\/strong>Edson Barboza vs. Billy Quarantillo<\/h2>\n\n\n\nWhy Bet on Edson Barboza?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Barboza, who still has one of the best resumes in the UFC, has dropped his last 2 fights and is 2-5 in his last 7.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
He\u2019s split his two wins between knockout and decision while his losses include 2 unanimous decisions, 2 split decisions, and 2 knockouts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
He has excellent kicks, strikes with speed and power, and has an athletic and electric style. He is, even at 37, incredibly fast and dangerous, and ramps up his power as the fight goes on.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
His striking, at one time, was one of the most feared skill sets in the lightweight division. The criticism of Barboza has been the same for his whole career: grappling.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Why Bet on Billy Quarantillo?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
The 34-year-old Billy Quarantillo is 5-2 in the UFC but is only 3-2 in his last 5.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
All three of his wins have come via knockout, in late round two and round three, while both of his losses were via unanimous decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Quarantillo, or \u201cBilly Q,\u201d is one of the most gritty fighters on the roster. He has excellent cardio, one hell of a chin, and a will to push through adversity like few others.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
In each of his fights, Quarantillo shows that he can not only withstand punishment but thrive despite it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Edson Barboza vs. Billy Quarantillo Final Betting Analysis:<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Quarantillo has to often overcome the lack of natural gifts in the cage and rely on toughness, cardio, and pressure to win fights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
That is not to say he is without skill. Bill Q has a black belt, is good on the ground on top and from his back, and can pile up damage on the feet through relentless volume.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Barboza has the striking speed and variety that should allow him to piece Quarantillo up for 15 minutes given the predictable movement and pressure he gives.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
However, the Mitchell fight did happen and it showed a less-than-skilled striker who was a step slow land cleanly, and even drop Barboza.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
That leads many to believe Billy Q can have similar success on the feet. Moreover, Mitchell landed 4 takedowns and controlled Barboza for over 11 minutes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
While Billy Q is not the wrestler that Mitchell is, Barboza seemed exhausted by the end of his previous fight and the first is more than capable of exhausting opponents through his grappling.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Quarantillo is insanely tough so Barboza will be unlikely to get the finish. And Billy Q will likely look to grind out a decision win to negate the flashy attacks, resulting in a clinch and wrestle-heavy fight that lends itself to a decision as well.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
UFC Fight Night: <\/strong>Dustin Jacoby vs. Azamat Murzakanov<\/h2>\n\n\n\nWhy Bet on Dustin Jacoby?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Dustin \u201cThe Henyak\u201d Jacoby, 35, has been nearly perfect in the UFC following a Dana White\u2019s Contender Series win in 2020. Since then, Jacoby has tallied up an impressive record of 6-1-1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
He dropped his first fight last time out to the resurging Rountree via split decision. His wins are split evenly between 3 knockouts and 3 decisions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
While his UFC record was perfect before his split draws against Cutelaba, Jacoby showed significant improvement after that fight. His kickboxing, which has always been technical and varied, appeared to level up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Even in his split decision loss last time out, Jacoby\u2019s offense looked polished and he landed effectively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Why Bet on Azamat Murzakanov?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Azamat \u201cThe Professional\u201d Murzakanov, 36, joined the UFC via DWCS late in his career but has made the most of his stint thus far. He is 2-0 with back to back 3rd round finishes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Murzakanov has a perfect record and back-to-back finishes. On paper he seems like a killer in the cage, but, watching him fight, I\u2019m not sold.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
However, defensively, he is slow and hittable. He tends to walk straight forward with a wide base and look for hooks that leave him exposed to straight shots up the middle.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
His striking is powerful but limited. He tends to throw a looping left hook and follow it with a straight right or an overhand right, rinse, and repeat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
His tendency to move forward through fire allows him to pin opponents against the cage where his hooks are more effective and he can look to land spinning or leaping attacks as well.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Dustin Jacoby vs. Azamat Murzakanov Final Betting Analysis:<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
This fight should answer a lot of questions about both men, namely, how does Jacoby fare against a dangerous striker- he lost against the only one he\u2019s faced- and how does Murzakanov fare against a fighter that can match his athleticism and doesn\u2019t have a clear Achilles heel.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Murzakanov is riding back-to-back highlight knockouts that have likely impacted the line. However, Jacoby\u2019s tendency to let his opponents stick around for 15 minutes is something to be worried about, as Azamat is dangerous.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Still, we like Jacoby here. Outside of a 3rd flash finish in a row for Murzakanov, we don\u2019t see him keeping pace with the more experienced and technical kickboxer.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
UFC Fight Night: <\/strong>Ion Cutelaba vs. Tanner Boser<\/h2>\n\n\n\nWhy Bet on Ion Cutelaba?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Cutelaba is a fairly infuriating fighter. For literal years now, we’ve thought that he had the athleticism, punching power, and wrestling skill to pick up decent wins at 205 lbs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
His complete lack of defense and ability to maintain a pace, however, routinely offset those gifts, which is tough.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Why Bet on Tanner Boser?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Boser made his name by being a small Heavyweight and capitalizing on speed and conditioning against fatter, sloppier opposition.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
That works a lot better against Raphael Pessoa than Ciryl Gane, and since hitting a wall in his last four bouts, Boser has decided to try his hand at Light Heavyweight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Based on Instagram, he looks to be in tremendous shape for the occasion, which is a very positive sign.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Ion Cutelaba vs. Tanner Boser Final Betting Analysis:<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Boser\u2019s takedown defense was never great at Heavyweight, and there are arguments for it being better or worse at Light Heavyweight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
After all, Boser will face less of a size advantage, but Cutelaba is good at wrestling, unlike most Heavyweights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
If Cutelaba gains top position, and he probably will early on, he\u2019s prone to unleashing hell with his ground strikes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Simultaneously, his gas tank remains horrid, and Boser\u2019s strikes should be even more impactful down a weight class.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
UFC Fight Night: <\/strong>Pedro Munhoz vs. Chris Gutierrez<\/h2>\n\n\n\nWhy Bet on Pedro Munhoz?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
While Edgar represented Gutierrez’s first win over a former elite, his next opponent, Pedro Munhoz may be his toughest test yet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Munhoz, who is currently ranked #9 in the world at 135lbs, is Gutierrez\u2019s ticket to the top 10.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The Brazilian has a plethora of experience against the world\u2019s best including Sean O\u2019Malley, Dominick Cruz, Jose Aldo, Frankie Edgar, Aljamain Sterling, Cody Garbrandt, and Rob Font, the latter two whom he beat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Why Bet on Chris Gutierrez?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Chris Gutierrez is at an all-time career high for himself, coming off of a massive win over Frankie Edgar in November. Before retiring the legend he won 7 of his last 8, the only blemish being a draw to Cody Durden.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Chris Gutierrez is a specialist striker, with clean, precise movement and some of the best kicks in the UFC.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
He is extremely technical and elusive, and although he does not carry major KO power in his hands, his ability to explode into a sniper-like knee, spinning back fist, or kick allows him to finish his opponent fairly often and very definitively.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Pedro Munhoz vs. Chris Gutierrez Final Betting Analysis:<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
On paper, Munhoz has the grappling advantage, but he tends to go there opportunistically and not actively hunt for takedowns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
If Guttierez slips a punch and stuffs his distance, Munhoz may snap onto his neck, or if Munhoz connects and wobbles Gutierrez, that is when he may take positional control and make use of his BJJ credentials.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The low kicks will be a hurdle for Gutierrez to overcome, but if he can, his ability to move and get Munhoz chasing him will provide him the openings he needs to land the more significant shots.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
We don\u2019t think that Gutierrez necessarily stops Munhoz, but he could very easily hurt him in big moments throughout the fight and sway the judges even if he is out landed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
UFC Fight Night: <\/strong>Clay Guida vs. Rafa Garc\u00eda<\/h2>\n\n\n\nWhy Bet on Clay Guida?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Clay \u201cThe Carpenter\u201d Guida, 41, is still going as only he can frantically go in the UFC. Guida has 60 professional mixed martial arts fights and has an 18-16 UFC record.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
During his tenure with the UFC, Guida has 7 wins by finish and has finished himself 9 times.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Clay, despite his age, is a pressure and cardio machine in the cage. He keeps a high volume of strikes, that are more pitter-patter than actually damaging, while he looks to press forward against the cage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
He can eat heavy counterstrikes and keep walking forward to keep up his pressure.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Why Bet on Rafa Garc\u00eda?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Rafa \u201cGifted\u201d Garcia, 28, is 14-3 professionally and 3-3 in the UFC. In the Ultimate Fighting Championship, all but one of his fights have gone the distance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Garcia is an enigma in the cage. Despite losing a unanimous decision against Klose, he impressed as a massive underdog.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Rafa threw over 200 strike attempts defended 2 takedowns and landed some heavy blows.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Then, he came into his next fight as a sizable favorite and dropped a unanimous decision with a less-than-stellar performance. Yes, that decision loss was controversial; but, being the nearly 3:1 favorite that he was, the fight shouldn\u2019t have been that close.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Clay Guida vs. Rafa Garc\u00eda Final Betting Analysis:<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Both fighters like to create chaos in the cage, weather it, and capitalize on an opponent\u2019s mistake.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The key difference between them is Guida gets stronger as the fight goes on while Garcia is dangerous early but can gas late. In this kind of fan-friendly but volatile fight, you have to find plus money to bet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
We like Garcia to win in rounds 1 or 2. Both men should come out with high-pressure attacks and little regard for their defense.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Garcia is a much more explosive and dangerous fighter; so, as long as he has the energy, he should have the advantage. Plus, 4 of the last 5 times that Guida has been finished, he was finished in the 1st round.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
UFC Fight Night: <\/strong>TJ Brown vs. Bill Algeo<\/h2>\n\n\n\nWhy Bet on TJ Brown?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
T.J. Brown (17-9) rebounded from a winless (0-2) UFC start by winning two straight over Kai Kamaka III and Charles Rosa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Though he failed to get past Shayilan Nuerdanbueke, he bounced back six months later with a bonus-winning arm triangle finish of Erik Silva.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
That win marked his tenth via submission and fourteenth inside the distance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Why Bet on Bill Algeo?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
An upset decision over Joanderson Brito and subsequent beatdown of Herbert Burns \u2014 the latter of which earned Bill Algeo (16-7) his second post-fight bonus \u2014 pushed \u201cSenor Perfecto\u2019s\u201d UFC record back over .500.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
It wasn\u2019t to last, as his next appearance saw him drop a short-notice split decision to Andre Fili in Sept. 2022.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
TJ Brown vs. Bill Algeo Final Betting Analysis:<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
That win over Silva was a reminder of what Brown can do when he\u2019s firing on all cylinders.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The talent and skills are there, just held back by suspect durability and questionable decision-making. If everything goes right for him, his wrestling and boxing are enough to carry him past Algeo\u2019s offbeat offense.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
While Algeo is easy to hit and take down, though, he\u2019s also very adept at getting right back into the fight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Brown is always on the brink of disaster, so someone like Algeo who\u2019s difficult to neutralize and always in a position to end the fight presents a unique challenge.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Expect TJ to build up an early lead with takedowns and clean right hands before inevitably getting clipped.<\/p>\n\n\n\n