UFC Fight Night: <\/strong>Ciryl Gane vs. Serghei Spivac<\/h2>\n\n\n\nWhy Bet on Ciryl Gane?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
The last time we saw Ciryl Gane in action, the former interim heavyweight champion was facing Jon Jones for the undisputed title vacated by Francis Ngannou.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
‘Bon Gamin’ had high hopes of producing a special win, but instead, he looked overwhelmed, and found himself taken down and choked out in just two minutes. Despite Jones\u2019 status as an all-time great, it was an embarrassing loss for Gane, who has not fought since.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Whether he can bounce back from it is anyone\u2019s guess really, but the promotion hasn\u2019t thrown him a softball here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Why Bet on Serghei Spivac?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Sergey Spivak has developed from a fighter who essentially looked like a tomato can in his octagon debut into one of the more dangerous heavyweights on the roster.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Since losing his debut to Walt Harris, ‘The Polar Bear’ has reeled off eight wins with just two losses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
He\u2019s taken out Tai Tuivasa, Greg Hardy, and Derrick Lewis, now sitting at No. 7 in the division. If he can win here, he could throw his hat in for title contention.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Ciryl Gane vs. Serghei Spivac Betting Analysis:<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Ngannou also outworked the Frenchman on the ground, and before that, Gane had largely beaten striking-based foes like Lewis and Jairzinho Rozenstruik.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Spivak isn\u2019t as good a wrestler as Jones, but does he have takedowns as effective as Ngannou? Probably, and if he gets ‘Bon Gamin’ on his back, then the crowd could quickly be silenced.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The native of Moldova is lethal once he gets top position, and can easily finish his opponents from the mount or the back mount should he advance to those spots.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
However, he\u2019s much smaller than Gane, and on the feet, this fight is a no-contest. Spivak is simply too plodding to be able to deal with Gane\u2019s combination attacks, and based on his KO losses to Harris and Tom Aspinall, his chin isn\u2019t the best.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
This one is a close one to call, then, but Gane will enjoy home turf advantage, and is the naturally bigger man, enjoying a three-inch reach advantage over ‘The Polar Bear’.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Things could go wrong quickly if Spivak can land an early takedown, but the smarter bet seems to be on Gane finding his range and abusing the Moldovan en route to a knockout.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
UFC Fight Night: <\/strong>Manon Fiorot vs. Rose Namajunas<\/h2>\n\n\n\nWhy Bet on Manon Fiorot?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
It\u2019s not hard to see why Fiorot is favored considering that she\u2019s heading into UFC Paris on a 10-fight winning streak. The hometown hero hasn\u2019t even tasted defeat since her first-ever professional MMA bout.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
After dominating UAE Warriors and EFC, Fiorot has impressed with a 5-0 record in the UFC. She started her run in style with back-to-back TKO victories before following those up with three consecutive unanimous decision wins over Mayra Bueno Silva, Jennifer Maia, and Katlyn Chookagian.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Why Bet on Rose Namajunas?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
On the other side, Namajunas can\u2019t be overlooked despite the odds not being on her side this time around.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
ESPN\u2019s 2017 MMA Fighter of the Year has produced results like few have in recent years, winning nine of her last 12 fights since joining the UFC.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
She\u2019s proven that she can overcome any opponent in several ways during that run, winning four times by decision, thrice by submission, and twice by KO\/TKO.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Keeping that in mind, Namajunas is coming off a split-decision loss that saw her lose the UFC Women\u2019s Strawweight Championship to Carla Esparza at UFC 274 \u2014 nearly 16 months ago.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Manon Fiorot vs. Rose Namajunas Betting Analysis:<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
While Namajunas is the more accomplished fighter,\u00a0we are taking Fiorot to win in her home country.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
It\u2019s just hard to like Namajunas when she\u2019s been away for over a year and has never competed as a flyweight. Expect Fiorot to feed off to crowd\u2019s support, resulting in a win, but do NOT expect Namajunas to let her do it easily.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
UFC Fight Night: <\/strong>Benoit Saint-Denis vs. Thiago Mois\u00e9s<\/h2>\n\n\n\nWhy Bet on Benoit Saint-Denis?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Saint-Denis is among the many poor souls who used a short-notice opportunity up a weight class to get their foot in the door.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
After getting smacked around by Elizeu Zaleski, Saint-Denis dropped to Lightweight and ripped off three straight finishes, showcasing powerful kickboxing, top-tier jiu-jitsu, and a relentless pace.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Why Bet on Thiago Mois\u00e9s?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
At 28 years of age, Moises has already fought quite a handful of top talent. The Brazilian is good everywhere, but the mat is where he shines, having finished eight opponents via submission.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Benoit Saint-Denis vs. Thiago Mois\u00e9s Betting Analysis:<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
This bout comes down to takedown defense. Both men are skilled everywhere, but the biggest difference-maker that jumps off the page is kickboxing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Saint-Denis is just a much more aggressive, punishing striker. He hurts people fairly often, whereas striking is often a means to an end for Moises.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The question is whether Moises can drag him to the floor and impose his excellent top game.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Given that the defensive wrestling of Saint-Denis has never really been tested, all we can judge him by is his wrestling offense. In that regard, Saint-Denis is technical, and physical, and can keep wrestling without slowing down.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
We are expecting his defense to help him earn the victory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
UFC Fight Night: <\/strong>Volkan Oezdemir vs. Bogdan Guskov<\/h2>\n\n\n\nWhy Bet on Volkan Oezdemir?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Oezdemir is a pretty well-known quality at this point. He\u2019s got serious knockout power, a solid chin, and wrestling that is mostly good enough.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
However, he will slow down a bit in long fights, and top-of-the-food-chain wrestlers have certainly succeeded in overpowering his takedown defense.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Why Bet on Bogdan Guskov?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Guskov is looking to debut straight into the Top 10! The Uzbek knockout artist is known for finishing fights violently and quickly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
He\u2019s got an absolutely brutal right hand that can end fights in an instant, and he\u2019s got some sneaky kickboxing combinations as well.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Volkan Oezdemir vs. Bogdan Guskov Betting Analysis:<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Historically, blitzing Oezdemir with power is not the way to defeat \u201cNo Time.\u201d It worked for Jiri Prochazka, but well, \u201cBJP\u201d is special.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
He\u2019s durable and composed in the pocket, able to back off most aggressive punchers with his formidable knockout power.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Despite having been knocked out once previously, the 30-year-old Guskov still fights with the absurd confidence of an undefeated teenager.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
All the technical signs argue that Oezdemir should win this. His combinations are better, his defense is tighter, and his low kicks could break apart Guskov\u2019s flat-footed stance.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
UFC Fight Night: <\/strong>William Gomis vs. Yanis Ghemmouri<\/h2>\n\n\n\nWhy Bet on William Gomis?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Gomis is an MMA Factory product that shows their usual game plan: rangy kickboxing, good footwork, and solid takedown defense.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Why Bet on Yanis Ghemmouri?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Ghemmouri cut his teeth in BRAVE CF and UAE Warriors, mostly as a Featherweight. He\u2019s something of a generalist, having finished opposition via knockout and submission at a fairly even clip.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
William Gomis vs. Yanis Ghemmouri Betting Analysis:<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
This was supposed to be Ghemmouri\u2019s first appearance at 135 pounds since 2021, which adds some intrigue here. He\u2019s no longer going to be the bigger man here, which will impede his efforts to land and secure takedowns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
He\u2019ll still be fighting a striker, but Gomis is more of a kicker compared to Loughran and his combination punching.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Despite the change in opponent, our prediction of how the fight will play out remains unmoved. Gomis is the superior striker, and he\u2019s shown the defensive wrestling to keep this one in his wheelhouse, leading to an unsuccessful debut for his fellow Frenchman.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
UFC Fight Night: <\/strong>Morgan Charriere vs. Manolo Zecchini<\/h2>\n\n\n\nWhy Bet on Morgan Charriere?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
After a long stretch of inconsistent success, Morgan Charriere (18-9-1) now sits at 6-2 in his last eight. He last saw action in July 2023, when he stopped Diego Silva with punches late in the third.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Why Bet on Manolo Zecchini?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Manolo Zecchini (11-3) opened his professional career with five first-round finishes before dropping three of his next seven.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
He enters the cage this Saturday on the heels of two straight wins, including a vicious knee knockout in his last effort. Nine of his 10 professional finishes have come by knockout.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Morgan Charriere vs. Manolo Zecchini Betting Analysis:<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
This boils down to whether Charriere can keep his foot on the gas. ‘The Last Pirate’ has a history of narrow defeats and has been worryingly passive in recent efforts, perhaps as a result of fading down the stretch before.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
If his head\u2019s on straight, it\u2019s his fight to lose; as fearsome as Zecchini\u2019s hands are, the latter\u2019s tendency to drop his left hand when throwing his right is just begging for Charriere to slam home a fight-ending counter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Charriere is more experienced, takes a better shot, and has the skill set to exploit Zecchini\u2019s most prominent weakness. So long as he lets his hands go, he\u2019ll floor Zecchini before long.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
UFC Fight Night: <\/strong>Taylor Lapidus vs. Caol\u00e1n Loughran<\/h2>\n\n\n\nWhy Bet on Taylor Lapilus?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Taylor Lapilus (18-3) went 3-1 in the Octagon, notably beating Yuta Sasaki and Leandro Issa, but did not get his contract renewed. He quickly proved the move ill-advised by winning eight of his next nine and claiming titles in both TKO and Ares FC.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
This marks his first UFC appearance in seven years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Why Bet on Caol\u00e1n Loughran?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
After an 8-2 amateur run saw him rack up six knockout wins, Team Kaobon London\u2019s Caolan Loughran (8-0) turned professional in 2019. Four fights later, he found his way to Cage Warriors, stopping all four of his opponents and winning the Bantamweight title along the way.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
He boasts two submission wins alongside his five professional knockouts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Taylor Lapidus vs. Caol\u00e1n Loughran Betting Analysis:<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Both of these men were originally in different matchups \u2014 Lapilus was slated to meet Tajik slugger Muin Gafurov, while Loughran had a date with sharpshooter Yanis Ghemmouri.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Lapilus figures to have the easier transition, as Loughran is roughly similar to Gafurov, while Lapilus is more skilled, experienced, and mobile than Ghemmouri.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
That mobility looks to be the deciding factor here. Loughran excels at close range, and while he would have had plenty of opportunities to get inside on the flat-footed Ghemmouri, Lapilus will be much more difficult to hunt down.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Loughran needs to hit consistent takedowns and stay in Lapilus\u2019 face, and while he might have the skills and physicality to do so, I have more faith in Lapilus\u2019 ability to chip him down from range.<\/p>\n\n\n\n