UFC Fight Night: <\/strong>Rafael Fiziev vs. Mateusz Gamrot<\/h2>\n\n\n\nWhy Bet on Rafael Fiziev?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Rafael Fiziev was an undefeated prospect when he signed with the UFC in 2019 with six wins and six finishes. He made his Octagon debut in April 2019 against Magomed Mustafaev and suffered a first-round TKO loss. But ‘Ataman’ rebounded from that debut defeat and racked up six straight victories, beginning with a unanimous decision win over Alex White in October 2019.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The Tiger Muay Thai representative added Marc Diakiese, Renato Moicano, Bobby Green, Brad Riddell, and Rafael Dos Anjos to his pile of wins and earned a massive fight with former UFC interim lightweight champion Gaethje in March 2023. Fiziev held his own against ‘The Highlight’ in a competitive back-and-forth match but came up short as Gaethje took the majority decision win.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Why Bet on Mateusz Gamrot?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Mateusz Gamrot was also an undefeated prospect when he signed with the UFC in 2020. He was even the former KSW lightweight champion with multiple title defenses. ‘The Gamer’ officially made his UFC debut in October 2020 but lost to Guram Kutateladze in a close bout via split decision. The 32-year-old quickly rebounded from that defeat and won his next five fights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Gamrot defeated Scott Holtzman, Jeremy Stephens, Diego Ferreira, and Arman Tsarukyan before Beneil Dariush snapped his winning streak in October 2022 with a unanimous decision defeat. The Polish made his way back to the winning column by defeating Turner in his previous fight in March 2023 to maintain his ranking in the top 10.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Rafael Fiziev vs. Mateusz Gamrot Final Betting Analysis:<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Gamrot is an incredibly technical fighter who does a great job of controlling his opponent with grappling and landing enough strikes to frustrate his opponent, and we don\u2019t think Fiziev is going to be able to figure out the traps that Gamrot sets for him.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Fiziev has more power in his strikes, but Gamrot won\u2019t allow himself to get into a brawl as that\u2019s what happened against Dariush, and he lost.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
In his next fight, he controlled Jalin Turner, and although the fight wasn\u2019t exciting it ended up being a Gamrot win.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Gaetje exposed some holes in the defense of Fiziev, and someone as fast and smart as Gamrot would take advantage of those, and he would probably surprise Fiziev in the wrestling department. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
UFC Fight Night: <\/strong>Bryce Mitchell vs. Dan Ige<\/h2>\n\n\n\nWhy Bet on Bryce Mitchell?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Mitchell is a dangerous fighter, having begun his career 9-0 before debuting in the UFC back in 2019. He then proceeded to win his next five fights in a row, securing four of those victories by unanimous decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Unfortunately, Mitchell\u2019s undefeated ways came to an end at UFC 282. ‘Thug Nasty’ stepped into the ring with Ilia Topuria in Las Vegas, losing via second-round submission.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
It\u2019s been more than nine months since his last fight, though, leaving time to tell if he\u2019ll have any cage rust.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Why Bet on Dan Ige?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
We wonder what version of Dan Ige shows up in that night; On one hand, it wasn\u2019t that long ago that the 32-year-old was stuck in the worst stretch of his career. Ige fought to a 1-4 record from July 2020 to June 2022, even losing three fights in a row.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
On the other hand, he\u2019s coming off back-to-back victories over Damon Jackson and Nate Landwehr, defeating them by KO and unanimous decision, respectively. If he\u2019s successful on Saturday, it\u2019ll be Ige\u2019s first three-fight winning streak in over three years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Bryce Mitchell vs. Dan Ige Final Betting Analysis:<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Mitchell is our pick to win the Co-Main event. He\u2019s the more well-rounded competitor and his grappling skills truly give him an edge. Ige struggles against proficient wrestlers, highlighted by his being taken down nine times during his loss to Movsar Evloev.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Expect Mitchell to return to his winning ways as he ascends the featherweight rankings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
UFC Fight Night: <\/strong>Marina Rodriguez vs. Michelle Waterson-Gomez 2<\/h2>\n\n\n\nWhy Bet on Marina Rodriguez?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Since their first fight, Rodriguez nearly locked down a title shot before losing a couple of fights to top-tier talent. She beat multiple Top Five-ranked opponents. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
Rodriguez had success while letting her hands go on the inside and winning the fight on the scorecards due to her output and ability to land punches.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Why Bet on Michelle Waterson-Gomez?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
‘The Karate Hottie,’ meanwhile, is winless since their first fight! Given that Rodriguez cleanly won the first fight, it makes very little sense to book a rematch after her result results.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Waterson is just barely hanging onto her spot in the rankings.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Marina Rodriguez vs. Michelle Waterson-Gomez Final Betting Analysis:<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
At 37 years of age, why would we expect the 16-year pro to show the considerable development and improvement necessary to get the better of Rodriguez two years later?<\/p>\n\n\n\n
It\u2019s nonsensical. Rodriguez was the vastly superior striker in 2021, and there\u2019s no reason to believe that\u2019s no longer the case.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
We are easily picking Rodriguez to win in this clash.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
UFC Fight Night: <\/strong>Bryan Battle vs. AJ Fletcher<\/h2>\n\n\n\nWhy Bet on Bryan Battle?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Battle might just be something special. He\u2019s one of those fighters who isn\u2019t spectacular on paper, but he\u2019s consistently exceeded expectations. Nobody expected him to win The Ultimate Fighter (TUF), let alone four of his first five UFC fights. Better yet, the submission ace has picked up his last two wins via knockout! <\/p>\n\n\n\n
Why Bet on AJ Fletcher?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Fletcher is a 26-year-old professional MMA prospect with a record of 10-2, and nine of those victories have come with a finish. He has an impressive physique for a welterweight but lacks some length to his frame.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Fletcher is still finding his footing inside the Octagon, having recently scored his first win. He\u2019s an aggressive finisher, capable on both the canvas and in the stand-up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Bryan Battle vs. AJ Fletcher Final Betting Analysis:<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Fletcher is majorly aggressive, but he leaves openings in the process. Given Battle\u2019s developing range offense and countering skills, that feels like a problem, especially with the reach differential. Maybe Fletcher can make up for it by changing levels, but that\u2019s historically not his usual path to victory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
More likely, he gets cracked on his way into the pocket and fails to get his offense going.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
UFC Fight Night: <\/strong>Charles Jourdain vs. Ricardo Ramos<\/h2>\n\n\n\nWhy Bet on Charles Jourdain?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Jourdain is a Canadian fighter with a professional MMA record of 14-6-1, with eight TKO\/KO wins and four wins by submission. At the age of only 27, this is his 12th UFC bout.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
‘Air’ is one of the most fun fighters to watch on the roster. He is consistently getting into fight-of-the-night contenders but has only won it once.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
He was also a two-division champion in the TKO Major League MMA promotion before signing with the UFC.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Jourdain is more of a specialist, an all-action striker. His jiu-jitsu is also quite good, but it\u2019s rare to see him attempt a game plan other than high-volume kickboxing.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Why Bet on Ricardo Ramos?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Ramos is a Brazilian mixed martial artist with a professional record of 16-4 with four TKO\/KO wins and seven submissions. At the age of 28, he is 7-3 inside the UFC and <\/strong>will be making his 11th walk to the octagon.<\/p>\n\n\n\nRamos hasn\u2019t managed to break into the rankings, but he\u2019s proven himself a skilled athlete capable of creating some incredible finishes. He\u2019s got a real penchant for spinning techniques, but the Brazilian is overall a well-rounded and athletic fighter. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
Charles Jourdain vs. Ricardo Ramos Final Betting Analysis:<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Jourdain has some major Carlos Condit vibes. He\u2019s aggressive and dangerous, but he\u2019s also prone to giving away takedowns. If he\u2019s dealing with an opponent who cannot match his pace or kickboxing at all, it usually doesn\u2019t matter. Against someone who can threaten him in both realms, however, he ends up spending too much time on the bottom.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Ramos is a technical kickboxer with a knack for timing takedowns, and he\u2019s quick to jump the back in scrambles too. Likely, he’ll strike Jourdain long enough to bait him into over-extending, at which point he’ll start wracking up control time with his double-leg shot.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
It\u2019ll be competitive and fun, but takedowns make the difference.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
UFC Fight Night: <\/strong>Miles Johns vs. Dan Argueta<\/h2>\n\n\n\nWhy Bet on Miles Johns?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Miles Johns (13-2) followed his Legacy Fighting Alliance (LFA) title-winning decision over Adrian Yanez with a contract-winning decision over Richie Santiago on Contender Series. He currently sits at 5-2 in the Octagon, most recently beating Vince Morales in Nov. 2022.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Why Bet on Dan Argueta?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Dan Argueta (9-1) bounced back from his UFC debut loss, cruising past late replacement Nick Aguirre seven months later. ‘The Determined’ started strong his next time out against Ronnie Lawrence but had to settle for a \u201cNo Contest\u201d after the referee mistakenly assumed that Argueta\u2019s guillotine put ‘The Heat’ to sleep.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
His six professional finishes are split 4:2 between submissions and knockouts.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Miles Johns vs. Dan Argueta Final Betting Analysis:<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
‘Chapo’ has the tools to win this. Argueta is extremely easy to hit and very one-note outside of his takedowns; between Johns\u2019 jab and wrestling pedigree, the ingredients for victory are there. Unfortunately for Johns, he\u2019s never quite figured out how to keep his foot on the gas. Argueta has more than proven his ability to walk through fire and execute his game plan, while Johns can\u2019t be trusted to excel even in favorable circumstances.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
If Johns could just break his propensity for passivity, he\u2019d have several winning matchups in the division (Argueta included). As-is, expect Argueta\u2019s doggedness to carry the day as he shrugs off Johns\u2019 limited return fire to keep him either stuck on the fence or stuck on his back for the bulk of three rounds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
UFC Fight Night: <\/strong>Tim Means vs. Andre Fialho<\/h2>\n\n\n\nWhy Bet on Tim Means?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Now more than a decade removed from his UFC debut, Tim Means (32-15-1) went from reigniting his career with a 4-1 run to losing his last three. ‘The Dirty Bird’ last saw action in May, slugging it out with Alex Morono before falling victim to ‘The Great White\u2019s’ guillotine choke.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Why Bet on Andre Fialho?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Four consecutive first-round knockouts \u2014 two of them over UFC veterans James Vick and Setafn Sekulic \u2014 earned Andre Fialho (16-7) a UFC berth in 2022. He\u2019s currently 2-4 in the world\u2019s largest mixed martial arts (MMA) promotion, suffering three consecutive knockouts en route to Saturday\u2019s return.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Thirteen of his 14 finishes have come by knockout.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Tim Means vs. Andre Fialho Final Betting Analysis:<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Best as we can tell, Means has the less-damning losing streak of the two. Yes, he\u2019s well past his expiration date, but he kept pace with Max Griffin and Alex Morono for much of their fights. He can still bust out plenty of his old tricks, while Fialho has seemingly been stuck in first gear since smoking the undersized Cameron VanCamp.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Fialho\u2019s ongoing habit of freezing up against competent strikers figures to rear its head once again, and though he still has that death hook at his disposal, it hasn\u2019t shown itself against strong competition of late. Means\u2019 more diverse kickboxing attack overwhelms Fialho to his first (technical) knockout finish in nearly a half-decade.<\/p>\n\n\n\n