UFC Fight Night: <\/strong>Brendan Allen vs. Paul Craig<\/h2>\n\n\n\nWhy Bet on Brendan Allen?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Allen <\/strong>is coming off a string of absolutely brilliant wins against some of the toughest middleweights in the UFC, with notable wins over the likes of Muniz, Silva, and Malkoun.<\/p>\n\n\n\nHe has certainly faced a plethora of different opponents who have mastered their style, and the way he handled them is brilliant, targeting their weakness, and sometimes even playing his opponents’ game and being better than them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Why Bet on Paul Craig?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
The biggest threat that Craig has on the ground is his triangles, especially from the bottom position, he is pretty good at shifting his legs up and getting the brawl in a favorable scenario. However, every fight starts on the feet, and Craig\u2019s striking is a bit dangerous, he has a lot of power in his hands and kicks. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
The former 205 still retains the strength from his previous weight class as he weights in the 185 division.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Brendan Allen vs. Paul Craig Final Betting Analysis:<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Allen is just such a well-rounded fighter that whatever threat Craig has on the feet or the ground, the former is going to be aware of everything and shut it down, or turn it into his advantage.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
If we are to talk about sheer power and strength, Craig has that in spades, he is a former 205er and still retains that strength and power, and Allen is going to have to be very, very careful in approaching someone like that in the cage, especially after winning against Muniz in such a fantastic fashion.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Allen is riding so much momentum coming into this fight, being such an impeccable fighter with a very well-rounded skillset, that we are placing our betting token on him.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
UFC Fight Night: <\/strong>Jake Matthews vs. Michael Morales<\/h2>\n\n\n\nWhy Bet on Jake Matthews?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Matthews <\/strong>is coming off a strong submission win against Flowers, and it was a fairly back-and-forth bout for the most part until the submission sunk in.<\/p>\n\n\n\nJake has always been a very well-rounded fighter, typically doing better on the ground than on the feet, and we believe that it\u2019s the ground in which he would want this fight to take place because he is going to be dealing with a significant reach disadvantage against a very, very good boxer. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
Why Bet on Michael Morales?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Morales has faced wrestlers before, he defeated Giles in the first round, smashed through Fugitt (who attempted 8 takedowns, only landing one), and fought the very well-rounded Griffin to a decision. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
That\u2019s already a beautiful resume to look at, and I just don\u2019t see any stylistic differences in this bout. It\u2019s just a wrestler\/grappler fighting a longer boxer, and I believe that after 3 fights against wrestle-heavy opponents, that\u2019s three camps preparing and upping the takedown defense and wrestling defense, it just seems like Morales is more than prepared to take on Matthews.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Jake Matthews vs. Michael Morales Final Betting Analysis:<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
The reach of Morales is unique and I just don\u2019t think it\u2019s that easy to emulate that kind of reach at this weight class. The longest opponent that Matthews has faced is Semelsberger, and that was a 4-inch reach advantage, this is double that and against a very, very good boxer at that.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
We got Morales winning this one, and whilst many hype trains have been derailed this year so far, we believe that Morales will stay on track and safely reach his next destination.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
UFC Fight Night: <\/strong>Jordan Leavitt vs. Chase Hooper<\/h2>\n\n\n\nWhy Bet on Jordan Leavitt?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Leavitt is coming off a strong win against Victor Martinez, and it seems like the more we see Leavitt, the more comfortable he gets at striking. We say that because Leavitt was primarily a submission specialist when he started in the UFC, but has since diversified his skill set and overall looks like a fairly good competitor now. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
Leavitt is a funky fighter, he\u2019s fairly tricky to get a read on the feet, he moves around a lot, and throws a few unconventional attacks from awkward angles, all mostly to set up the takedowns.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Why Bet on Chase Hooper?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Hooper has been a fun little experiment for the UFC though, he came in at a young age, showed a few holes in his game, and developed his well-roundedness, and whilst he still does have some weaknesses on the feet, he is slowly becoming much more confident in throwing strikes. Undoubtedly, he\u2019s getting better at it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Jordan Leavitt vs. Chase Hooper Final Betting Analysis:<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
We believe it\u2019s in those takedowns and wrestling exchanges from Leavitt that the fight gets a bit interesting because that falls into Hoopers’ world a little bit.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
This is a tough fight though, but we think Leavitt gets the win here, he\u2019s slightly more well-rounded, and whatever offense that Hooper throws on the ground will probably be negated by Leavitt on the feet, although is possible that Hooper could find a submission in this fight, so keep an eye out.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
UFC Fight Night: <\/strong>Payton Talbott vs. Nick Aguirre<\/h2>\n\n\n\nWhy Bet on Payton Talbott?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Talbott is coming off a very impressive win on DWCS, he looks confident when he fights, although he still looks ridiculously green, perhaps immature in his style, which is to be expected for a guy with 6 wins at the age of 25.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Why Bet on Nick Aguirre?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Aguirre is coming off a bit of a tough loss on his debut earlier this year, in which he lost against Argueta by way of decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
It was a fairly one-sided fight because he spent most of it on the ground with Argueta controlling him. Aguirre is a bit of a submission specialist and did try to utilize submissions during that contest, although to little success. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
Payton Talbott vs. Nick Aguirre Final Betting Analysis:<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Talbott is fairly diverse on the feet, although he does tend to chase his opponent down a lot with very little defense. He eats so many punches and strikes upon closing the distance that it makes us wonder how long it will take until his chin is truly tested.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Aguirre is a bit more of a grappler than a striker, but Talbott\u2019s aggression and pace on the feet are going to make it difficult for him to settle in set his own pace, and initiate his plan.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
We can just see Talbott wearing Aguirre down over three rounds, throwing long strikes, body kicks, and anything to just chip away his rival. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
UFC Fight Night: <\/strong>Amanda Ribas vs. Luana Pinheiro<\/h2>\n\n\n\nWhy Bet on Amanda Ribas?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Ribas is coming off a tough TKO loss against Maycee Barber, in which she just got outwrestled and was the fairly smaller fighter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The thing with Ribas is that she\u2019s just a bit of a tricky fighter to predict, she is great at moving around, feinting, and showing off a whole lot of different looks whilst masking her attacks behind her movements. She is no doubt excellent at mixing in her takedowns through head throws or hip tosses, her judo is one of her strong suits when she fights and she uses it constantly in her bouts. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
Why Bet on Luana Pinheiro?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Pinheiro is coming off a split decision win against Waterson-Gomez, and whilst it was a great back-and-forth fight, she was being outstruck by her rival. That, to me, was a bit of a surprise. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
Now, Pinheiro honestly hasn\u2019t shown us that many impressive things, she did take down Markos numerous times in the first round, but that was against Markos of all people, and it ended up being a DQ win for her which already made her start to the UFC a bit funky. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
Amanda Ribas vs. Luana Pinheiro Final Betting Analysis:<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Pinheiro is fairly inefficient on the feet, landing at a fairly low rate of 30-35%, and whilst we can argue that her wrestling and takedowns are her main weapon, we don\u2019t think that\u2019s going to work out well against someone who can utilize throws in the clinch like Ribas, and that will probably be the latter’s main way of transitioning the fight to the ground.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
We expect Ribas to get the win here because we just don\u2019t see what Pinheiro can offer something the former hasn\u2019t already faced if that makes sense.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
UFC Fight Night: <\/strong>Uros Medic vs. Myktybek Orolbai<\/h2>\n\n\n\nWhy Bet on Uros Medic?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Medic is coming off a fantastic fight against the incredibly dangerous Semelsberger, and whilst he did face adversity early on in the fight, he timed his strikes well, showed an incredibly snappy left hand, and one hell of a tough chin. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
Uros is such a full-on fighter, he got rocked and dropped by Semelsberger many times in that first round and he just kept on fighting back. It was an incredible display of heart, but perhaps not the most efficient way to fight. His defenses were lacking a little bit, and if he hasn\u2019t improved his head movement and ability to see punches coming, he is in for a rough night.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Why Bet on Myktybek Orolbai?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Orolbai is coming off a string of beautiful finishes on LFA, with his most recent one being against someone who looked like they just didn\u2019t belong in the cage against someone like him. We know that sounds like we\u00b4re making him look like a great fighter, but we think his opponent was just terrible. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
Orolbai is fairly good on the feet from what we could see, with very strong strikes, a great right hook, and a long left jab, but since he\u2019s coming up against a southpaw, we\u2019ve noticed that he does leave the right side of his body a bit open for kicks.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Uros Medic vs. Myktybek Orolbai Final Betting Analysis:<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Orolbai is coming off a win just two weeks ago, which means near back-to-back weight cuts, it\u2019s going to be interesting to see if he can make weight safely, as well as prepare with enough time to face someone like Medic. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
Orolbai does have a slightly longer reach, so he could perhaps catch Medic at the end of his punches, but because we haven\u2019t seen him fight against anyone who has a similar style, it\u2019s hard for us to predict just how effective his strikes are going to be. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
We are taking Medic as our pick for this clash.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
UFC Fight Night: <\/strong>Nikolas Motta vs. Trey Ogden<\/h2>\n\n\n\nWhy Bet on Nikolas Motta?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Nikolas Motta (13-5) followed his successful Cage Fury title bout with a one-sided decision over Joseph Lowry on Contender Series, only for three planned UFC debuts to fall apart. Upon his return to action, he likewise dropped two of his next three to Jim Miller and Manuel Torres.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Why Bet on Trey Ogden?<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
Trey Ogden (16-6) came up huge on Dana White\u2019s Lookin\u2019 for a Fight, choking out J.J. Okanovich to win Fury FC\u2019s Lightweight title. He now sits at 1-2 in the Octagon, an upset of Daniel Zellhuber sandwiched between losses to Jordan Leavitt and Ignacio Bahamondes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
All 11 of his professional stoppages have come via submission.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Nikolas Motta vs. Trey Ogden Final Betting Analysis:<\/h3>\n\n\n\n
It\u2019s safe to say at this point that Motta does not have the durability or defensive skills to be a factor at 155 pounds. Getting smoked by Torres isn\u2019t damning on its own, as that was as nasty an elbow as you\u2019ll ever see, but it marked the fourth knockout loss of ‘Iron\u2019s’ career.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Luckily for him, Ogden is not a threat on the feet. Bahamondes out-landed him 2:1 and Leavitt left him looking like he\u2019d never even heard of a leg kick. Motta should have the takedown defense to keep it on the feet and have the boxing to dominate there. So long as he doesn\u2019t somehow get chinned by a guy with no knockout wins, he should piece up Ogden for a decisive victory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n