{"id":33600,"date":"2024-08-29T18:01:43","date_gmt":"2024-08-30T00:01:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gambyl.com\/?p=33600"},"modified":"2026-10-26T17:40:49","modified_gmt":"2026-10-26T23:40:49","slug":"pittsburgh-steelers-betting-odds","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gambyl.com\/en\/nfl\/pittsburgh-steelers-betting-odds\/","title":{"rendered":"Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Odds"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"wp-block-aioseo-table-of-contents\"><ul><li><a class=\"aioseo-toc-item\" href=\"#aioseo-team-overview\">Team Overview<\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"aioseo-toc-item\" href=\"#aioseo-offensive-line-analysis\">Offensive Line Analysis<\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"aioseo-toc-item\" href=\"#aioseo-defensive-line-analysis\">Defensive Line Analysis<\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"aioseo-toc-item\" href=\"#aioseo-2024-nfl-season\">2026 NFL Season<\/a><ul><li><a class=\"aioseo-toc-item\" href=\"#aioseo-week-18-review-vs-cincinnati-bengals\">Week 1<\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"aioseo-toc-item\" href=\"#aioseo-week-2\">Week 2<\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"aioseo-toc-item\" href=\"#aioseo-week-3\">Week 3<\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"aioseo-toc-item\" href=\"#aioseo-week-4\">Week 4<\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"aioseo-toc-item\" href=\"#aioseo-week-5\">Week 5<\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"aioseo-toc-item\" href=\"#aioseo-week-5\">Week 6<\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"aioseo-toc-item\" href=\"#aioseo-week-5\">Week 7<\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"aioseo-toc-item\" href=\"#aioseo-week-5\">Week 8<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><li><a class=\"aioseo-toc-item\" href=\"#aioseo-odds-to-win-division-and-super-bowl\">Odds to Win Division and Super Bowl<\/a><\/li><li><a class=\"aioseo-toc-item\" href=\"#aioseo-predictions-16\">Predictions<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/div>\n\n\n<h2 id=\"aioseo-team-overview\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Team Overview<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pittsburgh enters 2026 under new leadership for the first time in nearly two decades after Mike Tomlin&#8217;s 19-year run without a losing season came to a close. Mike McCarthy takes over and immediately reunites with Aaron Rodgers, who has called this his final NFL season, giving the Steelers a familiar coach-quarterback pairing from their Green Bay days. The roster added weapons like Michael Pittman Jr. and Rico Dowdle around a defense still anchored by T.J. Watt and Patrick Queen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">After capturing the division a year ago, Pittsburgh now faces a transition season with plenty of variables, from a new offensive system to questions about quarterback depth behind an aging Rodgers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"aioseo-offensive-line-analysis\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Offensive Line Analysis<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pittsburgh&#8217;s line is talented but unsettled, with Troy Fautanu sliding from right tackle to left tackle, Mason McCormick moving inside to guard, and Pro Bowl-caliber center Zach Frazier as the lone lineman staying put from a year ago. New offensive line coach James Campen inherits real upside here, but the shuffling, plus lingering questions about Broderick Jones&#8217; health after neck surgery, make this a unit that could take time to settle into its final form.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"aioseo-defensive-line-analysis\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Defensive Line Analysis<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The Steelers&#8217; defense still runs through T.J. Watt and Cameron Heyward up front, with Patrick Queen anchoring the linebacker corps under new defensive coordinator Patrick Graham. Last year&#8217;s unit finished just 17th in points allowed, so improved consistency in the trenches will be essential if McCarthy&#8217;s Steelers want to complement a retooled offense rather than lean on it to cover for defensive lapses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"aioseo-2024-nfl-season\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">2026 NFL Season<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"aioseo-week-18-review-vs-cincinnati-bengals\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">Week 1<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Steelers vs. Atlanta Falcons | Sunday, September 13 | 1:00 PM ET | Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pittsburgh opens as a home favorite at -175 on the moneyline against Atlanta&#8217;s +145, with the total set at 42.5 points, one of the lower marks on the Week 1 board. That modest number reflects lingering questions about both offenses, even with Rodgers making his Steelers debut in front of a home crowd eager to see the McCarthy era get off to a winning start.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">A favorable home opener against a Falcons team still finding its own footing gives McCarthy a real chance to open his Pittsburgh tenure with a win.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"aioseo-week-2\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">Week 2<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Steelers at New England Patriots | Sunday, September 20 | 1:00 PM ET | Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pittsburgh heads on the road as an underdog at +195 on the moneyline against New England&#8217;s -238, with the spread at -5.5 and the total set at just 41.5 points, again among the lowest marks on the board. The Steelers got the McCarthy era off to a winning start against Atlanta, while the Patriots opened with a defeat in Seattle in the Super Bowl LX rematch and will be desperate to avoid 0-2 in front of their own crowd.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Rodgers on the road against a Drake Maye offense that finished second in MVP voting last season is a step up in class from the opener, and laying under 42 points says the market expects another grind. Pittsburgh can keep it close, but New England is the right side.\u00e7<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"aioseo-week-3\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">Week 3<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers | Sunday, September 27 | 1:00 PM ET | Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pittsburgh return home as underdogs at +142 on the moneyline against Cincinnati&#8217;s -170, with the spread at +3.5 and the total set at 43.5 points, another number in the low forties for a team that keeps being priced into grinds. The Steelers are 1-1 but arrive off the worst performance of the young McCarthy era, a 20-3 defeat at Gillette in which the offense never found the end zone and a strip-sack was returned for a score in the fourth quarter. Cincinnati come in at 2-0 and looking like the class of the division, having held Houston to six points at NRG while Joe Burrow threw a pair of touchdowns to Ja&#8217;Marr Chase.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Being a home underdog to Cincinnati is not unfamiliar territory for this franchise, and the 3.5 is short enough to leave the door open in a division game where the last ten years of history count for more than the last ten days. The problem is that Pittsburgh have given the market nothing to work with: three points against New England, and a total of 43.5 that assumes they will not need many more than that. Rodgers has one good half and one bad game to his name in black and gold, and until the offense produces something, taking the points is a bet on the rivalry rather than on the team.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"aioseo-week-4\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">Week 4<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Steelers at Cleveland Browns | Thursday, October 1 | 8:15 PM ET | Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland, OH<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pittsburgh open as 2.5-point road favorites at -148 on the moneyline against Cleveland&#8217;s +124, with the total sitting at 38.5, the lowest mark of the week and down from 40.5 at the open. The Steelers are 2-1 after beating Cincinnati 30-27, a result that arrived seven days after they were held to three points at New England. Cleveland are also 2-1, as is every team in this division.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The 30 points against the Bengals remain the outlier rather than the pattern: Pittsburgh are averaging 3.81 yards per play across the season and the offensive line and pass-catching rotation have both been thinned by injury. A 38.5 total in Cleveland on a short week is the market pricing a grind, and the model backs the Steelers by just 1.6 points. Pittsburgh should win it, but nothing about this suggests a comfortable Thursday night.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"aioseo-week-5\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">Week 5<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Colts at Pittsburgh Steelers | Sunday, October 11 | 1:00 PM ET | Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pittsburgh are home favorites at -130 on the moneyline against Indianapolis&#8217;s +110, laying 2.5 points with the total set at 44.5, down three from an opening 47.5. The Steelers are 2-2 after losing 27-24 at Cleveland on Thursday night in Week 4, a defeat that cost them a share of the division lead. The Colts arrive at 2-2 off a 30-13 win over Washington in London.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The model does not like this price at all. ESPN&#8217;s FPI makes Indianapolis the favorite by 0.2 points with a 51% win probability, against a line that has Pittsburgh laying 2.5 at home. That is close to a pure coin flip being sold as a field-goal edge, and it comes a week after the Colts put 30 points on the board in a foreign country with no apparent difficulty. Pittsburgh need this one more than the record suggests.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"aioseo-week-5\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">Week 6<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Steelers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Sunday, October 18 | 1:00 PM ET | Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pittsburgh head to Tampa as 3-point road favorites at -155 on the moneyline against the Buccaneers\u2019 +130, with the total collapsing to 40.5 from an opening 45.5. The Steelers are 3-2 after beating Indianapolis 34-22 and sit at a plus-2 differential, while Tampa Bay are 1-4 but arrive off the biggest upset of the season: a 24-16 win in Dallas as ten-point underdogs, with rookie Jalon Daniels starting in place of Baker Mayfield and Bucky Irving running for a career-best 165 yards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">The five-point total drop is the largest move on any of these games, and ESPN\u2019s model lands exactly on the posted number: Steelers by 3 with a 61% win probability. When the model and the market agree to the decimal there is usually no edge on the side, which pushes the interest to the total. The question Tampa Bay have not answered is whether the Dallas result was the rookie or the opponent, and Mayfield\u2019s thumb decides which version turns up.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"aioseo-week-5\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">Week 7<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Steelers vs. Saints | Sunday, October 25 | 9:30 AM ET | Stade de France, Saint-Denis, France<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pittsburgh face New Orleans in the week\u2019s international fixture as 3.5-point favorites, priced at -180 on the moneyline against the Saints\u2019 +150, with the total up to 44.5 from an opening 42.5. The Steelers are 4-2 at plus nine and have won two straight, the most recent a 26-19 overtime win at Tampa Bay in which they scored sixteen points in the fourth quarter to force the extra period and Aaron Rodgers threw 49 passes at the age of 42, completing 33 for 253 yards and two touchdowns. New Orleans are 2-4 at minus twenty-six, with 178 points conceded (the most of any team in the NFC) but have won two of their last three.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">ESPN\u2019s model makes Pittsburgh favorites by 2.6 points with a 60% win probability, about a point less than the posted line. The neutral site is the detail that matters most. New Orleans are the designated home team in Saint-Denis, which strips out the one advantage the number is normally built around. A Steelers side that needed overtime and a sixteen-point fourth quarter to beat a 1-5 team is not an obvious 3.5-point favorite, and the shorter model figure says the same thing. Rodgers throwing 49 times is a tactical choice that works until it does not.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 id=\"aioseo-week-5\" class=\"wp-block-heading\">Week 8<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><em>Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers | Sunday, November 1 | 1:00 PM ET | Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pittsburgh host Cleveland as 3.5-point favorites at -180 on the moneyline against the Browns\u2019 +150, with the total unmoved from its 39.5 open, the lowest number on the Week 8 board. Both teams are 5-2 and the differentials could not be further apart: Pittsburgh at plus fifteen, Cleveland at minus thirteen. The Browns are being outscored and have the best record of any team in the NFL in that condition; they beat Tennessee 27-24 on the road with Deshaun Watson going 25 of 36 for 308 yards with an interception and no touchdown pass. Pittsburgh beat New Orleans 16-10 at the Stade de France in Saint-Denis, a game in which they conceded ten second-quarter points and nothing else, Jaylen Warren ran eighteen times for 101 yards, and New Orleans\u2019 Tyler Shough was the leading passer on the field with 278 yards.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Two things point the same way and one points back. FPI likes Pittsburgh at 66.0% against a no-vig market price of 61.6%, a 4.4-point edge to the Steelers and the second-largest model-market gap of the four games here. Against that: Pittsburgh played in Paris on 25 October and do not have a bye afterwards, so they return across the Atlantic and host a division rival six days later. That is a real and quantifiable disadvantage the FPI does not weigh heavily, and it is the argument for Cleveland at +150. We have called the Browns the most overrated team in the league three weeks running while they have gone from 2-2 to 5-2, and the minus-thirteen differential says we were right about the process and wrong about the result every single time. The lesson we took from Week 4 applies: do not publish a caveat and then bet against it. Pittsburgh are the better team, the travel is the reason to pass rather than the reason to switch, and the 39.5 total is the most interesting number on the board, the under in a division game between two defenses with a combined six wins by three points or fewer is where we would put the stake.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"aioseo-odds-to-win-division-and-super-bowl\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Odds to Win Division and Super Bowl<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Odds to Win AFC North:<\/strong>&nbsp;+550<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Odds to Win the Super Bowl:<\/strong>&nbsp;+7000<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 id=\"aioseo-predictions-16\" class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Predictions<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Overall Record:<\/strong>&nbsp;8-9<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Playoff Chances:<\/strong>&nbsp;A true coin flip, sitting right on the playoff bubble<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Super Bowl Chances:<\/strong>&nbsp;A distant long shot this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pittsburgh&#8217;s outlook is tied directly to how quickly McCarthy&#8217;s offense clicks with Rodgers and how the defense adjusts to life without Tomlin&#8217;s steady hand. A return to the playoffs is possible but far from guaranteed, and the season may ultimately be judged more by the foundation McCarthy builds than by the final record.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td><strong>NFC East<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>NFC North<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>NFC South<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>NFC West<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a href=\"#h.n7k3z6p0s6al\">Dallas Cowboys<\/a><\/td><td><a href=\"#h.kk6wae5ntw2i\">Chicago Bears<\/a><\/td><td><a href=\"#h.lp8vrx5d46uz\">Atlanta Falcons<\/a><\/td><td><a href=\"#h.fgnw2kk21xko\">Arizona Cardinals<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a href=\"#h.vppq5zhh9qy7\">New York Giants<\/a><\/td><td><a href=\"#h.rbvnso4fzcx\">Detroit Lions<\/a><\/td><td><a href=\"#h.3bnmm4u14ngn\">Carolina Panthers<\/a><\/td><td><a href=\"#h.oqs11ic4auc8\">Los Angeles Rams<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a href=\"#h.ggqr8emb328\">Philadelphia Eagles<\/a><\/td><td><a href=\"#h.eu1i3suho1e9\">Green Bay Packers<\/a><\/td><td><a href=\"#h.k57wzbjk4j7f\">New Orleans Saints<\/a><\/td><td><a href=\"#h.pesgeiu2bgpo\">San Francisco 49ers<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a href=\"#h.oe8dmcvrk3yh\">Washington Commanders<\/a><\/td><td><a href=\"#h.dzd9z7mcpfhg\">Minnesota Vikings<\/a><\/td><td><a href=\"#h.8c2gv84c11xw\">Tampa Bay Buccaneers<\/a><\/td><td><a href=\"#h.kpnuvj9u6z39\">Seattle Seahawks<\/a><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td><strong>AFC East<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>AFC North<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>AFC South<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>AFC West<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a href=\"#h.pmz42maqgaxp\">Buffalo Bills<\/a><\/td><td><a href=\"#h.ku0m6je2ddrt\">Baltimore Ravens<\/a><\/td><td><a href=\"#h.le67z5h9ntxg\">Houston Texans<\/a><\/td><td><a href=\"#h.6ptbtsdlr6bb\">Denver Broncos<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a href=\"#h.jw7jyhtpy8gf\">Miami Dolphins<\/a><\/td><td><a href=\"#h.59g0ol1f1eef\">Cincinnati Bengals<\/a><\/td><td><a href=\"#h.g7733x72sm8p\">Indianapolis Colts<\/a><\/td><td><a href=\"#h.yofi5atclks0\">Kansas City Chiefs<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a href=\"#h.70fqk7dbyank\">New England Patriots<\/a><\/td><td><a href=\"#h.lmk2zxancaf7\">Cleveland Browns<\/a><\/td><td><a href=\"#h.al65ovgqdw5o\">Jacksonville Jaguars<\/a><\/td><td><a href=\"#h.9nfev7egdjyi\">Las Vegas Raiders<\/a><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><a href=\"#h.hacsfj5kztay\">New York Jets<\/a><\/td><td><a href=\"#h.eon1aiwz26x4\">Pittsburgh Steelers<\/a><\/td><td><a href=\"#h.ddrvvqd5i7yx\">Tennessee Titans<\/a><\/td><td><a href=\"#h.i0f2az6j3pv8\">Los Angeles Chargers<\/a><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Team Overview Pittsburgh enters 2026 under new leadership for the first time in nearly two decades after Mike Tomlin&#8217;s 19-year run without a losing season came to a close. Mike McCarthy takes over and immediately reunites with Aaron Rodgers, who has called this his final NFL season, giving the Steelers a familiar coach-quarterback pairing from [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":16,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","page_builder":"","footnotes":"","_wpscp_schedule_draft_date":"","_wpscp_schedule_republish_date":"","_wpscppro_advance_schedule":false,"_wpscppro_advance_schedule_date":"","_wpscppro_dont_share_socialmedia":false,"_wpscppro_custom_social_share_image":0,"_facebook_share_type":"","_twitter_share_type":"","_linkedin_share_type":"","_pinterest_share_type":"","_linkedin_share_type_page":"","_instagram_share_type":"","_medium_share_type":"","_threads_share_type":"","_google_business_share_type":"","_bluesky_share_type":"","_mastodon_share_type":"","_selected_social_profile":[],"_wpsp_enable_custom_social_template":false,"_wpsp_social_scheduling":{"enabled":false,"datetime":null,"platforms":[],"status":"template_only","dateOption":"","timeOption":"","customDays":"","customHours":"","customDate":"","customTime":"","schedulingType":""},"_wpsp_active_default_template":true},"categories":[89],"tags":[125,562,1196],"class_list":["post-33600","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-nfl","tag-football","tag-nfl","tag-nfl-teams"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- 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