{"id":36054,"date":"2024-09-26T14:18:05","date_gmt":"2024-09-26T20:18:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gambyl.com\/?p=36054"},"modified":"2024-09-26T14:18:09","modified_gmt":"2024-09-26T20:18:09","slug":"ufc-fight-night-moicano-vs-saint-denis","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gambyl.com\/en\/ufc\/ufc-fight-night-moicano-vs-saint-denis\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis Fight Card Odds and Picks"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

After such a big event like Noche UFC, one would expect that Dana White would take things back to the APEX but instead, we are getting a fun Fight Night in the Accor Arena in Paris, France, which will be filled with a ton of international talent.

The main event fight will see an interesting clash for the lightweights, as Renato Moicano and the local Benoit Saint-Denis take each other on in what could end up as a heated brawl between two exciting fighters.

The co-main event sees a possible title eliminator bout, as the local fighter, Nassourdine Imanov, faces the the American Brendan Allen on a middleweight bout that we are all awaiting to see.

Besides the French fighters on the headliners, we have another 7 Local representatives on the card, and they will be looking to please the crowd with finishes and dominating performances along the event.

We have 14 fights, with 6 of them in the main card and 8 on the Prelims, and this event will be a great time to catch with the new talents, as a lot of the fighters in the card are still on that run to make their name well known, and this might be their chance.

You can check all the\u00a0UFC\/MMA <\/a>bets, the analysis of each fighter, and the final bet you can make in these fights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis Fight Card Odds and Picks – Info<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Renato Moicano 3.385<\/em><\/td>Benoit Saint-Denis 1.333<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Nassourdine Imavov 1.421<\/em><\/td>Brendan Allen 2.82<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
William Gomis 3.22<\/em><\/td>Joanderson Brito 1.344<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Kevin Jousset 2.399 <\/em><\/td>Bryan Battle 1.564<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Morgan Charriere 1.128<\/em><\/td>Gabriel Miranda 5.77<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Fares Ziam 1.804<\/em><\/td>Matt Frevola 2.018<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Ion Cutelaba 1.785<\/em><\/td>Ivan Erslan 2.029<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Oumar Sy 1.2<\/em><\/td>Da Woon Jung 4.5<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
\u013dudov\u00edt Klein 1.077<\/em><\/td>Roosevelt Roberts 7.65<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Taylor Lapilus 1.324<\/em><\/td>Vince Morales 3.53<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Ail\u00edn P\u00e9rez 1.41<\/em><\/td>Darya Zheleznyakova 2.935<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Daniel Barez 1.968<\/em><\/td>Victor Altamirano 1.836<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Nora Cornolle 2.773<\/em><\/td>Jaqueline Cavalcanti 1.509<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Bolaji Oki 1.55<\/em><\/td>Chris Duncan 2.428<\/em><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
When?<\/strong><\/td>Saturday, September 28th, at noon ET, 11:00 am CST, 10:00 am MT, and 9:00 am PT<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Where?<\/strong><\/td>Accor Arena in Paris, France<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Where can I watch it?<\/strong><\/td>UFC Fight Pass<\/em><\/a><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

UFC Fight Night: Benoit Saint-Denis vs. Renato Moicano<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Benoit Saint-Denis?<\/strong>

It\u2019s tricky with Benoit Saint-Denis because we\u2019re currently unsure what to make of his cardio. Almost all of his fights have seen him win in very dominant fashion early, without having to really face much resistance on the return.

However, against Dustin Poirier last time, he crumbled under the pressure when it was clear that Dustin wasn\u2019t going anywhere and he eventually gassed out.

Unfortunately, there were many staph infection rumours that fight week, and we believe BSD has since come out and confirmed he had staph and that it affected him.

Therefore, we don\u2019t know whether to lean into the cardio narrative in this fight. Fighters like to make excuses, so perhaps his cardio is that bad, or perhaps he\u2019s being transparent.

Unfortunately, we think it\u2019s the key piece of the puzzle for this fight, because a win for Renato Moicano very much relies on it.

Why Bet on Renato Moicano?<\/strong>

Money Moicano is a a BJJ ace, so it\u2019s fair to assume that he can survive on the mat against Benoit in the same way that Poirier did, and provide a similar amount of resistance.

Therefore, if BSD\u2019s cardio problems against The Diamond were a true indication of his actual gas tank, Moicano has a very achievable path to victory. Especially, in a five rounder where he\u2019s got a long time to survive if his opponent starts to fade by Round 3.

Outside of the cardio dynamic though, Moicano is also in a weird position when it comes to durability. He\u2019s been frail historically, seen in the early KO losses to Korean Zombie and Rafael Fiziev, but he\u2019s also shown some impressive toughness against Jalin Turner and Rafael dos Anjos.

Final Betting Analysis: <\/strong><\/em>Renato Moicano vs. Benoit Saint-Denis <\/strong>

If BSD has much more in the tank and can go hard for a longer period when not hampered by staph, then his aggressive style should be all too much for his Brazilian opponent.

Regardless, we think it\u2019s fair to say that Moicano is in real trouble early in this fight, and he\u2019s going to have to really persevere and fight physically and mentally if he wants to make it to the second round.

BSD has all the finishing upside early in the fight, and the main narrative that would see him come unstuck isn\u2019t even a confirmed weakness.

It\u2019s possible he loses this fight if Moicano can survive and turn the tide, but he could also very simply blitz the frail Brazilian, and score a dominant early win on home soil.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC Fight Night: Nassourdine Imavov vs. Brendan Allen<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Nassourdine Imavov?<\/strong>

We think Nassourdine Imavov is capable of keeping this fight standing, in the same way that Chris Curtis did. Whilst we don\u2019t think Imavov\u2019s pure takedown defence is quite as good as Curtis\u2019, his striking output and overall IQ are much higher, which should negate the number of takedown attempts he faces in the first place.

We have seen Imavov face Curtis himself, and he absolutely destroyed him until the weaseling took place. In our opinion, Imavov is a fighter that continues to impress and is underrated by most.

We tried to bet Jared Cannonier against him, so until recently we were also some of these people.

Why Bet on Brendan Allen?<\/strong>

Brendan Allen is existing on borrowed time in the division\u2019s top 10, or so we think. However, he is still the guy that barely got past Jacob Malkoun, and the guy that got KO\u2019d by Sean Strickland and Chris Curtis.

His time in the top has shown him massively overachieve due to favourable match-making \u2013 A good grappler with mediocre strikes will always do well against Paul Craig, Andre Muniz, Sam Alvey, and Krystof Jotko. The Malkoun win was by the skin of his teeth. The only very impressive performance was against Bruno Silva.

Final Betting Analysis: <\/strong><\/em>Nassourdine Imavov vs. Brendan Allen <\/strong>

We think Nassourdine Imavov can put on a dominant performance here, and show that there are levels between the elite folks at 185lbs, and those who do not belong.

This clash should be the one that finally writes Allen off the top ten in the division, and let someone else more deserving to slip in.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC Fight Night: William Gomis vs. Joanderson Brito<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on William Gomis?<\/strong>

Gomis is one of the more successful Frenchmen on the UFC\u2019s roster, but we guess the issue is that he\u2019s a pretty boring fighter to watch. His striking is pretty inoffensive and risk-averse.

He likes to do his work from distance and avoid a brawl as much as possible. He\u2019ll mix in takedowns too, but he\u2019s not a beast wrestler and doesn\u2019t really do too much with them when he gets them. Your classic decision guy that\u2019ll lull you to sleep.

Why Bet on Joanderson Brito?<\/strong>

When Joanderson made his UFC debut, we thought that he could be the next big Brazilian star. During the fight with Bill Algeo, he slowed down and his cardio lost him the fight.

We expected Jonathan Pearce to beat him out, and we were looking like geniuses as Pearce wiped the floor with him, then an opportunistic submission flipped the script. We were fuming, but when he was booked against Jack Shore, and we were once again convinced that the fade was on.

Brito has grown a bit since the Algeo debut though \u2013 we think his fight IQ has improved, as has that cardio. The way he utilised the leg kick against Jack Shore was so smart, we weren\u2019t even mad that we lost our bet then, all we could do was applaud.

Final Betting Analysis:<\/strong><\/em> William Gomis vs. Joanderson Brito <\/strong>

It feels to us like Brito could land half the amount of strikes as Gomis does, and he\u2019d be still win the round with how much he does with them.

That\u2019s not to say that Gomis can\u2019t win this fight. If he can stay to the outside, use his range, mix in takedowns, he can win a decision on home soil.

Brito\u2019s got too much fight ending capabilities on his side to be discredited, and we expect him to win here one way or another.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC Fight Night: Kevin Jousset vs. Bryan Battle<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Kevin Jousset?<\/strong>

We bet on Kevin Jousset in his UFC debut. Largely, due to the fact that Kiefer Crosbie is a roleplayer with absolutely no business fighting UFC\/Bellator\/PFL level competition.

Jousset didn\u2019t even look amazing to us on tape, we just knew we\u2019d only get a few bites of the cherry to fade the Conor McGregor wannabe. He didn\u2019t even look that great, and the finish seemed a bit fortunate.

However, that was followed up with a much better showing against Song Kenan, demonstrating that decent striking game that he\u2019s been sharpening at City Kickboxing.

Why Bet on Bryan Battle?<\/strong>

Bryan Battle is a guy that we have lowkey been very impressed by since making his UFC debut. We didn\u2019t expect him to amount to much coming off TUF, but the way he\u2019s developed his entire game has been refreshing.

Guys like Ange Loosa can be tricky to deal with if you\u2019re fringe UFC calibre, but Battle went out there and styled on him. He\u2019s developed into a threat in multiple areas as well, where his striking is good and dangerous enough to compliment his already good grappling.

Final Betting Analysis: <\/strong><\/em>Kevin Jousset vs. Bryan Battle <\/strong>

Jousset was lowkey a pretty bad grappler on the regional scene. He faced some dodgy competition, and even started mixing in takedowns himself, but his kickboxing background really shows itself, and we think a lot of people who aren\u2019t familiar with his overall game are going to be surprised at how one-dimensional he suddenly looks in this fight. We think Battle can wipe the floor with him on the mat.

Of course, we still give Jousset the striking advantage, but the key talking point that still make us confident in Battle is overall dangerousness.

Jousset is a technical point fighter, but we don\u2019t really see him using the striking superiority to stop Battle dead. And even on the contrary, Battle has looked lethal himself at times, winning in under a minute on two occasions against two UFC veterans that previously hadn\u2019t been finished in the organisation. Even if not, the longer the fight lasts, the more of an opportunity it gives Battle to get himself into grappling positions.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC Fight Night: Morgan Charriere vs. Gabriel Miranda<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Morgan Charriere?<\/strong>

Charriere is an impressive fighter that we think many had high hopes for, but then the underrated Chepe Mariscal put a dent in the plans. Morgan is a great fighter but his career has been riddled with competitive decision losses.

We always say that there\u2019s no smoke without fire when it comes to these kind of trends, so we was definitely nervous that Morgan would lose on the scorecards to Chepe, even though we had him winning 2-1. Going forward, this is an undeniable red flag that we should be wary of.

Why Bet on Gabriel Miranda?<\/strong>

Miranda surprised us with that very quick win over Shane Young. He has always been a super aggressive wrestler (similar to BSD, who he actually fought semi-recently), so he hit his path to victory. But he\u2019s a very flawed fighter that slows down and only seems to have a Plan A.

Final Betting Analysis: <\/strong><\/em>Morgan Charriere vs. Gabriel Miranda <\/strong>

It’s pretty simple \u2013 Charriere is a competent grappler, we don\u2019t think Miranda is going to steam roll him or even find much of an advantage.

It is a possibility he finds that early finish though. However, we struggle to see what else Miranda brings to the table if his takedowns and submissions don\u2019t amount to anything.

On the reverse, Charriere\u2019s aforementioned decision concerns won\u2019t be at play here because it looks like Miranda is even less reliable on the scorecards than he is.

We don\u2019t give Miranda much of a shot outside that rabies grappling in the first round, and even that is a slim chance, so Morgan should be the one to get the nod.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC Fight Night: Fares Ziam vs. Matt Frevola<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Fares Ziam?<\/strong>

Actually a very interesting fight. Fares Ziam is a guy that we actually rate a fair amount at the lower level of the UFC \u2013 we think he\u2019s got a pretty competent and well rounded game, and he\u2019s hard to look good against. Those kind of guys will always thrive against the bottom third of the division.

But Fares Ziam is a pretty inoffensive guy. He\u2019s fought more than 90 minutes inside the UFC cage and we\u2019re not sure there\u2019s been a single moment where he\u2019s even been close to a finish.

Therefore, we think it\u2019s fair to say that if Ziam is going to win this fight, he\u2019s likely going to have to do so on the scorecards. That\u2019s tricky, cosidering Frevola is a great wrestler in his own right, and has the power advantage and is more damaging on the feet.

Why Bet on Matt Frevola?<\/strong>

We\u2019d say Frevola is a step above the level that Ziam should be comfortable beating, though. He\u2019s also a pretty well-rounded guy, but he\u2019s got more danger to his game, for better or worse. He hits damn hard.

He KO\u2019d Drew Dober, which is an insanely difficult thing to do! He\u2019s also been flatlined a few times himself. Most recently against BSD, but also in 7 seconds from Terrance McKinney once upon a time. And also Polo Reyes inside a minute. When you\u2019ve got 3 KO losses in under 2 minutes, it\u2019s a concern.

Final Betting Analysis:<\/strong><\/em> Fares Ziam vs. Matt Frevola <\/strong>

We don\u2019t see massive advantages on either side here, but in my opinion Matt Frevola is the slightly more assertive guy, and also has the finishing upside.

That obviously gets offset by the fears of home cooking, and the thought that Ziam will have a slight natural advantage as the Frenchman in France, but we still think Frevola should be the one to take the win here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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