{"id":36896,"date":"2024-10-17T15:49:47","date_gmt":"2024-10-17T21:49:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gambyl.com\/?p=36896"},"modified":"2024-10-17T15:49:53","modified_gmt":"2024-10-17T21:49:53","slug":"ufc-fight-night-pereira-vs-hernandez","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gambyl.com\/en\/ufc\/ufc-fight-night-pereira-vs-hernandez\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC Fight Night: Pereira vs. Hernandez Fight Card Odds and Picks"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

The streak of UFC Apex events keeps going, as we approach another interesting card taking place for a Fight Night in the UFC’s controlled space inside their headquarters.

We are going to be getting a fun headliner, as we get a clash between two exciting middleweights who are looking to break into the top names, and this could be their best chance at that.

We are talking about the headliner between the unorthodox Michel Pereira and the upcoming talent Anthony Hernandez, who are looking to get a finish and send a statement with their performance in this clash.

The co-main will see Rob Font welcoming Kyler Philips into the top names in the Bantamweight division, and this could be an action-filled clash if things go well for both sides.

Besides that, we are getting a lot of international talent coming to make their name known on this card, which will have five main card bouts and another six prelims, for 11 events.

You can check all the\u00a0UFC\/MMA <\/a>bets, the analysis of each fighter, and the final bet you can make in these fights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC Fight Night: Pereira vs. Hernandez Fight Card Odds and Picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
When?<\/strong><\/td>Saturday, October 19th, at 4:00 pm ET, 3:00 pm CST, 2:00 pm MT, and 1:00 pm PT<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Where?<\/strong><\/td>The Apex, in Las Vegas, Nevada<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Where can I watch it?<\/strong><\/td>UFC Fight Pass<\/em><\/a><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
Michel Pereira 2.09<\/em><\/td>Anthony Hernandez 1.74<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Rob Font 4.03<\/em><\/td>Kyler Phillips 1.26<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Sumudaerji 3.04<\/em><\/td>Charles Johnson 1.4<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Jake Hadley TBD<\/em><\/td>Cameron Smotherman TBD<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Darren Elkins 2<\/em><\/td>Daniel Pineda 1.81<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Matheus Nicolau 3.095<\/em><\/td>Asu Almabayev 1.373<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Brad Katona 2.935<\/em><\/td>Jean Matsumoto 1.41 <\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Joselyne Edwards 1.38<\/em><\/td>Tamires Vidal 3<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Jessica Penne 2.33<\/em><\/td>Elise Reed 1.6<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Alice Ardelean 2.1<\/em><\/td>Melissa Martinez 1.71<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Robelis Despaigne 1.232<\/em><\/td>Austen Lane 4.05<\/em><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Anthony Hernandez<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Michel Pereira?<\/strong>

Pereira\u00a0is, first and foremost, a fantastic underdog. We were surprised that he was one considering how much he has blasted through his last few opponents. However, we think the problem with Pereira lies in how much he lacks defensive fundamentals and gives in to pressure too much.

Yes, he has insane punching power and is a crazy, crazy explosive fighter thanks to his Capoeira background. However, if Hernandez gets in close and manages to get a hold of him, it could be a rough night in the office, especially if Pereira succumbs to cardio problems from the third round onwards.

However, with that said, Pereira is a freakish sniper. He gives in to pressure but remains calm and often needs to throw off a quick and explosive combination to make his opponent step back.

Pereira has a disgusting takedown defense percentage of 94%. No one has really tried to test that takedown defense outside of Ponzinibbio, so maybe we are going to see a more accurate percentage once Hernandez tries to grapple with him. Still, any time the fight remains standing, Hernandez is in massive danger of eating a powerful right hand to the face.

Why Bet on Anthony Hernandez?<\/strong>

Hernandez\u00a0has upset a bunch of parlays during his career, and there\u2019s a reason why he does that. It’s because he has a remarkable ability to stay in the fight long enough to find an opening on the ground in which he can quickly snatch up a submission.

He submitted Rodolfo Vieira, one of the best grapplers to grace the octagon. Hernandez is not too great on the feet though, as he is susceptible to eating a lot of heavy shots. Still, he hangs on in the fight long enough for his opponent to expose their neck or feel too comfortable to see a takedown coming.

Final Betting Analysis:<\/strong><\/em> Michel Pereira vs. Anthony Hernandez <\/strong>

Hernandez needs to get this fight to the ground to win, we do not see him outstriking someone like Pereira. We don\u2019t know how difficult that will be for him as we have not seen him face someone with such good takedown defense on paper.

We expect that if the fight hits the mat, Hernandez will be incredibly quick to lock up a body triangle and look for that submission. Still, it’s the stand-up sequence that concerns us the most for him as Pereira is dangerous.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC Fight Night: Rob Font vs. Kyler Phillips<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Rob Font?<\/strong>

Font\u00a0has had it rough this past year, with two tough losses against Figueiredo and Sandhagen. Its clear that whilst he is fighting the top of the division, he falls behind when it comes to people who know what a takedown is.

Font is a sharp boxer, the longer this fight stays on the feet, the more confidence he grows, and if he becomes confident, boy he is a phenomenal top-tier fighter. Again though, his deficiencies as a fighter are well known, he struggles against people who are outstanding wrestlers and grapplers, and it just turns out that\u2019s what Phillips is, so this fight ultimately comes down to whether or not he can keep the fight standing.

Why Bet on Kyler Phillips?<\/strong>

Phillips\u00a0is on an absolute tear at the moment, and we know that he lost a majority decision to Paiva, but holy hell you cannot deny that this guy has snuck his way to this position without saying much.

He goes into the cage, does his work, then leaves the victor for the most part. We have been ridiculously high on Phillips for one main reason, and that\u2019s his fight IQ and his ability to level change at the right time. However, he also feels incredibly comfortable on his feet regardless of the threat standing before him.

At range, he typically uses a lot of kicks to just deal damageand slow down his opponent as wellas keep the range where he wants to. We think that if he smacks the legs of Font early, that will severely diminish his punching power and allow Phillips to be a lot more free to strike.

Ultimately though, his best and cleanest way to win the fight is to wrestle, as he has done so effortlessly in the last few fights.

Final Betting Analysis: <\/strong><\/em>Rob Font vs. Kyler Phillips <\/strong>

We don\u2019t know if Font has improved during this camp to where he can stuff Phillips’ takedowns. Still, we are somewhat doubtful that he will be that successful in stuffing all those takedowns.

Phillips’ well-roundedness will be key in dismantling the NEC boxer, and unless Font has indeed worked and improved his takedown defense substantially, can\u2019t help but see Phillips just outworking him, getting those takedowns, and being too much for Font to handle. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC Fight Night: Sumudaerji vs. Charles Johnson<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Sumudaerji?<\/strong>

Sumudaerji\u00a0has had a rough couple of years, as he has not been too active, nor has he achieved a victory against his two opponents Matt Schnell and Tim Elliott. We mean, to lose to those two fighters is kind of telling of how good a fighter is.

Sumudaerji is a relatively strong starter, he can be an aggressive fighter for that first round, constantly in his opponents’ faces. At times, that is often the best strategy when fighting someone like Johnson.

Our concern is how slippery Johnson can be. He is not exactly a uniform fighter, he doesn\u2019t do things in a traditional sense, and he\u2019sgreat at moving away from danger, yet switching it up on the fly and going on the attack at any moment. He is so hard to predict and read, which is why action early is best in order to make sure that the chaos that Johnson brings is calmed a bit.

Why Bet on Charles Johnson?<\/strong>

Johnson is not what we’d call a great fighter because he doesn\u2019t fight like such, but we think that works in his favor.

He throws a wide net of attacks out at an arrhythmic pace. There\u2019s no real way to tell what he\u2019s going to throw or when he\u2019s just so chaotic and random, it’s great when it works in his favor and awkward when it doesn\u2019t.

Considering that Johnson’s cardio is out-freaking-standing, we expect to see him look like the fresher fighter as the rounds go by as well. We think early on if he utilizes his teeps to the body, that divide in cardio and fatigue from both fighters will grow wider and wider as Johnson looks fresh, and due to the body strikes, Sumudaerji fades a bit due to the body strikes.

Final Betting Analysis:<\/strong><\/em> Sumudaerji vs. Charles Johnson <\/strong>

Sumudaerji is going to have to mix in all of the tools in his toolbox to at least get a small advantage over the ever-so-dangerous Charles Johnson. That is because if he is unable to keep up with Johnson’s pace and level of activity, he is just going to fall behind on the scorecards.

We got Johnson winning this one, as we think this is going to be a competitive fight for the first round. However, if he digs into the body with those teeps and continues to be a hard-to-hit target, he should come out on top here.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC Fight Night: Jake Hadley vs. Cameron Smotherman<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Jake Hadley?<\/strong>

Hadley\u00a0has always been someone we have had a rather soft heart for. He is a relatively well-rounded fighter who has a really fast and sharp hand. In fact, we would comfortably say that we think he has a huge speed advantage, not only with his footwork and hand speed, but just overall being a hard-to-track target, and considering that Smotherman looks like a head hunter, we can\u2019t help but think that Hadley is going to be too hard to hit.

Hadley is also a fairly decent wrestler, but we wonder if that\u2019s too risky given Smothermans decent submission ability. So, it would be interesting to see where Hadley is going to go in this fight.

Why Bet on Cameron Smotherman?<\/strong>

Smotherman didn’t achieve much success during his DWCS fight against Charalampos Grigoriou but bounced back quite well when he returned to Fury FC.

Now, Smotherman\u2019s striking is pretty good. His jab is a major building block for his future success during that bout, he builds off it rather well, but there is one thing that we don\u2019t quite like andthat\u2019s his head movement and really how easy of a target his head is.

We do not like Smotherman in this fight at all. He has great boxing combinations, but the output is what makes him dangerous, andif Hadley is able to survive any storm that Smotherman is bound to bring into the cage during that first round.We can\u2019t help but think Smotherman is going to slow down a little bit after that first round andthat\u2019s perhaps when Hadley is going to start picking up the pace.

Final Betting Analysis: <\/strong><\/em>Jake Hadley vs. Cameron Smotherman <\/strong>

We give Hadley the edge overall as he has been tested properly in the UFC whereas Smotherman is just someone we can\u2019t quite get a proper read on.

We expect Smotherman to come out very strongly in the first round, wanting to prove a point to everyone and all that, and if Hadley survives, then he will likely take over as his rival fatigues as he did not have a full camp and is fighting down a weight class.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC Fight Night: Darren Elkins vs. Daniel Pineda<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Darren Elkins?<\/strong>

Elkins has been a fantastic fighter for most of his career. He thrives in chaotic fights andeats whatever he needs to in order to get close to his opponent to wrestle, and that has been his key to victory for as long as we have seen him fight.

Elkins has seemingly extended his career through decent wins and fairly competitive bouts. Even if his fight against JSP (Jonathan Pearce) was fairly competitive when it came to wrestling and grappling, he managed to stuff quite a few takedowns, and that somewhat cements his capabilities as a wrestler more.

We wonder how much damage Elkins will absorb to achieve success this weekendbecause the damage is a major scoring factor, and even if Elkins gets cut open, that could tilt the scorecards a bit, but we believe his wrestling is going to be ever so present during this bout.

Why Bet on Daniel Pineda?<\/strong>

Pineda\u00a0is a weird one to talk about because he has never really shown himself to be a UFC-level fighter.Despite fighting in the UFC, we suppose we call these kinds of fighters fillers, ones that Dana calls just so the card gets fuller.

There is no denying the fact that Pineda is a prolific finisher though. He has a 100% finishing rate on his win column, and that could perhaps be replicated here if he manages to successfully reverse positions that Elkins puts him in and starts hammering ground and pound. That is because, eventually, Elkins will wilt due to the damage.

However, we justdon\u2019t know how good he is at the moment because his wins have been against horrible fighters. His losses have been by veterans, so we justdon\u2019t quite know if Pineda is up to the tall task of taking out Elkins.

Final Betting Analysis: <\/strong><\/em>Darren Elkins vs. Daniel Pineda <\/strong>

Darren has a clear advantage in the wrestling department for this fight because frankly, we cannot remember Pineda ever being a good counter wrestler. So, we suspect that Elkins is going fight like Elkins typically does, push forward, be incredibly aggressive with his forward pressure and just crowd the punches of Pineda through takedown attempts and level changes. Anything to somewhat not allow Pineda to settle in, Elkins will do.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC Fight Night: Matheus Nicolau vs. Asu Almabayev<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Matheus Nicolau?<\/strong>

Nicolau\u00a0is on a tough losing streak, and it\u2019s often difficult to gauge how far a fighter has improved when both of those losses haven\u2019t gone the distance,or there just hasn\u2019t been enough visual evidence of improvement.

Now, Nicolau is a sharp boxer who is lightning quick on the feet and honestly lands at a stupendously accurate rate of 52% throughout his career, that\u2019s massive for someone with his career length. However, how much of that accuracy is going to take place if he\u2019s being pushed and pressured by Almabayev?

Now, Nicolau, when he\u2019s feeling himself and is in a flow state, his boxing is fantastic, he\u2019s hard to track down and he has so many combinations in his arsenal that it is hard to predict and read what\u2019s coming.

Why Bet on Asu Almabayev?<\/strong>

Almabayev\u00a0has seemingly come out of nowhere but is suddenly a top 15 with wins over Jose Johnson and CJ Vergara. Nothing makes sense anymore.

Almabayev is coming into this fight with quite a lot of momentum behind him, and the primary talking points surrounding him are his wrestling pace and sheer pressure. He is relentless and just a monster to deal with, but we would be remiss if we did not mention our concern surrounding his cardio in the later rounds against a tough boxer like Nicolau.

Almabayev has many, many hours of fights under his belt. He is very experienced and his entire game plan when he fights is to wrestle, wrestle, and wrestle. Eventually, someone’s cardio must run out and it seems like Almabayev\u2019s cardio is solid enough for him to fight at a high pace for three rounds. Still, we genuinely would love to see more of what he can do, particularly in the striking department.

Final Betting Analysis: <\/strong><\/em>Matheus Nicolau vs. Asu Almabayev <\/strong>

Nicolau loves to posture up and make sure his right hand is ready to fire, and he often uses a lot of lateral movement and leg kicks to slow down his opponent. That could be key in stopping the initial momentum from Almabayev, but if it doesn\u2019t, we feel like Almabayev will have the freedom to just pressure and make Nicolau panic.

Almabayev seemingly is a machine of pressure and if he can put a halt toNicolau\u2019s ability to grow in confidence during the fight, we are likely to see him just go for takedown after takedown.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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