{"id":38085,"date":"2024-11-14T10:16:01","date_gmt":"2024-11-14T16:16:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gambyl.com\/?p=38085"},"modified":"2024-11-16T11:02:21","modified_gmt":"2024-11-16T17:02:21","slug":"ufc-309-jones-vs-miocic","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gambyl.com\/en\/ufc\/ufc-309-jones-vs-miocic\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic Fight Card Odds and Picks"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

The time has come for a fight that all the fans have been waiting for years now, as the current World Heavyweight Champion, Jon Jones, finally faces Stipe Miocic, the most decorated Heavyweight champion in UFC history, for a fight that Jones believes is important for his Legacy as a fighter in UFC 309.

The event will take place in Madison Square Garden, and besides having the UFC Heavyweight World Championship as the last event of the card, we have a bunch of bangers filling the rest of the main card.

The co-main event is the rematch between Charles Oliveira and Michael Chandler, who last met when they fought each other for the Lightweight title of the world, where Charles defended his title. Now, Chandler is looking to pay the favor back.

Bo Nickal and Paul Craig will go at it after Karine Silva and Viviane Araujo collide in the cage, so it is going to be a fun ride in the cage of this exciting numbered event.

With five main event fights and eight prelims ready to kick off the card, we are expecting all fans to be hyped up as the event leads to the long-awaited clash between Jones and Miocic.

You can check all the UFC\/MMA <\/a>bets, the analysis of each fighter, and the final bet you can make in these fights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic Fight Card Odds and Picks<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Jon Jones 1.13<\/a><\/em><\/td>Stipe Miocic 6.08<\/a><\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Charles Oliveira 1.36<\/a><\/em><\/td>Michael Chandler 3.21<\/a><\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Bo Nickal 1.082<\/a><\/em><\/td>Paul Craig 8.25<\/a><\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Karine Silva 1.357<\/a><\/em><\/td>Viviane Araujo 3.245<\/a><\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Mauricio Ruffy 1.108<\/a><\/em><\/td>James Llontop 7.09<\/a><\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Jonathan Martinez 2.04<\/em><\/td>Marcus McGhee 1.776<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Chris Weidman 1.9<\/a><\/em><\/td>Eryk Anders 1.879<\/a><\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Jim Miller 2.439 <\/a><\/em><\/td>Damon Jackson 1.561<\/a><\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Roberto Romero 9<\/em><\/td>David Onama 1.08<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Marcin Tybura 1.713<\/em><\/td>Jhonata Diniz 2.153<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Mickey Gall 1.729<\/em><\/td>Ramiz Brahimaj 2.115<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Oban Elliott 1.375<\/em><\/td>Bassil Hafez 3.065<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Veronica Hardy 1.614<\/a><\/em><\/td>Eduarda Moura 2.293<\/a><\/em><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
When?<\/strong><\/td>Saturday, November 16, at 4:00 pm ET, 3:00 pm CST, 2:00 pm MT, and 1:00 pm PT<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Where?<\/strong><\/td>Madison Square Garden in New York City, New York<\/td><\/tr>
Where can I watch it?<\/strong><\/td>UFC Fight Pass<\/em><\/a><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

UFC 309: Jon Jones vs. Stipe Miocic<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why bet on Jon Jones?<\/strong>

Jones has all the tools in his arsenal to win this fight. Not only is he the younger fighter, but he\u2019s also got the reach advantage to make this a hellacious fight on the feet for Stipe.

When you mix in the extremely wide range of attacks that Jones is so effective at using, we cannot help but think that the only way Miocic can triumph is to be extremely aggressive and try to replicate what gave Dominick Reyes so much success.

Jones can get uncomfortable in the cage. He often utilizes a fleet-footed retreat to get distance and reset, but he isn\u2019t impervious to pressure.

We are highly intrigued to see Jones at Heavyweight though, as this is practically Heavyweight Jones 2.0 since his first fight against Gane was mostly weight gain and mass instead of properly forming himself in the category.

Why bet on Stipe Miocic?<\/strong>

Miocic has a tough pill to swallow as a fan. We love him, but we can all agree that he has essentially retired already at this point and is only fighting to get paid and go home.

We don\u2019t know how much he has improved since his last fight, but since his demeanor was \u201cI’ll take time off to do family and work stuff\u201d it\u2019s not a great look and we can\u2019t help but think that he is going to get styled by Jones.

Final Betting Analysis: <\/strong><\/em>Jon Jones vs. Stipe Miocic <\/strong>

We are concerned by Stipe\u2019s lack of activity, and we feel like he\u2019s already one foot out the door, whereas Jones has ambitions for more fights after this one, although we think both will likely retire.

The big issue is that this is a fight set up for Jones’ success. It always has been, from its conception to this weekend. Outside of a sudden explosive attack from Stipe that clips Jones and drops him, we cannot see him coming out as the victor.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC 309: Charles Oliveira vs. Michael Chandler<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why bet on Charles Oliveira?<\/strong>

Oliveira is rightfully the favorite coming into this fight. From what we could ascertain in his last bout, he is still an astounding athlete with no sign of slowing down, especially at his age and with his background and career.

One major submission from Oliveira that we see also being a threat to Chandler is the guillotine. However, that is only because the latter’s \u201ccrashing forward\u201d style leads him right into a submission position at times and we can\u2019t help but see Charles grab that neck and squeeze early on.

Now, the reason why we want to say \u201cearly on\u201d is because we believe Chandler wants the fight to be finished early, just so he can be \u201cfresh\u201d to call out McGregor for god knows why.

Why bet on Michael Chandler?<\/strong>

For Chandler, it is true that his power has become a major factor in his success. He is an athletic powerhouse with immeasurable explosiveness, his entire skill set is \u201clet’s run forward and see what happens!\u201d and, for the most part, it works out well for him as he is nothing but muscle and speed.

His aggression is linear, he strikes in a straight path, and all it would take for Oliveira to counter is to use his lateral movement, get into a counter angle then fire away.

Final Betting Analysis:<\/strong><\/em> Charles Oliveira vs. Michael Chandler <\/strong>

Oliveira has more avenues of success than Chandler does. There is no real comparison here, and we expect Oliveira’s boxing to be a major aspect of his success this weekend.

Do Bronx’s reach advantage allow him to keep Chandler at bay with the jabs, so it\u2019s likely that Oliveira is going to drop him or at least stun him badly by a counter upon Chandler’s aggressive forward motions?

Chandler\u2019s wrestling is likely to not work against Oliveira because of his grappling ability, as he has been preparing for outstanding wrestlers actively in the past. So, whilst his takedown defence might not be able to defend against Michael explosive takedowns, the submissions off his back or even the guillotine will be there.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC 309: Bo Nickal vs. Paul Craig<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why bet on Bo Nickal?<\/strong>

Nickal is taking the toughest opponent he has ever faced in MMA, and even if his rise to this moment has been nothing short of fantastic, it also seems rushed.

Bo is an outstanding athlete, a top-tier elite wrestler, andone of the best in the world, but as much as he has great wrestling, we are still a bit unsure about how good he really can be.

Nickal is, no doubt, going to use his boxing or striking to try and finish the fight because Craig\u2019s chin is rather sketchy. So, we think there\u2019s going to be a knockout from the striking, but if he were to wrestle, the chance of success narrows extremely quickly.

Why bet on Paul Craig?<\/strong>

Craig is by no means an elite-level MMA fighter. His recent losses have been horrible for his career but we feel like this fight is a bit of a chance to create a crazy upset.

Craig should not be underestimated on the ground. It is likely his only way to win this fight, but it\u2019s going to be an uphill battle for him as Nickal\u2019s forward pressure and wrestling are going to most likely nullify a lot of his submission attempts, especially after getting submitted by Ryan. One would think that he has worked diligently on his defense coming into this fight.

Final Betting Analysis: <\/strong><\/em>Bo Nickal vs. Paul Craig <\/strong>

We do not want to just say that Nickal is going to run through Craig because we are all still learning a lot about him, but honestly, that\u2019s only going to be true if the fight stays standing because Craig\u2019s defenses will be focused on takedowns and not striking, and there\u2019s nothing more dangerous than a wrestler who can box.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC 309: Karine Silva vs. Viviane Araujo<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why bet on Karine Silva?<\/strong>

Silva has slowly made her way to this position in the rankings, and we think that she\u2019s going to keep growing because, stylistically, she\u2019s awesome.

First, her stand-up is rather kickboxing heavy, she likes to utilize all the tools in her arsenal on the feet and she strikes in such a loose manner, never tense, always in a somewhat state of flow, freely attacking her opponent because she knows the moment the fight hits the ground she\u2019s able to implement her incredible BJJ and that\u2019s where she has achieved most of her success.

Silva is one of those fighters who can switch from striking to wrestling really quickly. It\u2019s how she has achieved success against Ariane da Silva, she threw up top and then went for a takedown.

Once the fight goes to the ground, she is exceptionally good at maintaining control over her opponent. She has a heavy top-down pressure, excellent adjustments in weight distribution to maintain that position, and to keep the top-down pressure going, andwhen she\u2019s not looking for submissions, she\u2019s landing devastating elbows.

Why bet on Viviane Araujo?<\/strong>

Araujo is slowly on her way out the door, with her wins being against rather sub-par fighters and her losses being against prospects and contenders.

One major thing that Araujo is going to utilize this weekend against Silva is the leg kicks. It is one of her best strikes and Karine is often someone who doesn\u2019t check the leg kicks, usually eating one to deal a strike back.

Final Betting Analysis: <\/strong><\/em>Karine Silva vs. Viviane Araujo <\/strong>

It\u2019s a clash when it comes to numbers, but in practice, we think Silva will be able to achieve success in transitioning the fight to the ground.

We are curious to see what Araujo does in the first round because Silva hasn\u2019t shown a lot of her takedown defense inside the UFC. So, there\u2019s also a chance that Araujo is going to try and test out that aspect of her game.

Araujo has a black belt in BJJ, she knows how to grapple, so we are genuinely interested in what happens when the fight hits the mat.

This won’t be an easy fight for Silva but we think she will get it done in the end.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC 309: Mauricio Ruffy vs. James Llontop<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Mauricio Ruffy?<\/strong>

Ruffy is only one fight into his UFC career, but there is no denying that he has quite the hype and momentum behind him. The one major thing that gives him all of the advantages in this fight is the preparation time.

The great news for him is that he is likely to look good regardless of his prep time because he seemingly adapts to his opponents’ style as he fights. He reads what\u2019s coming his way, and thanks to his wide assortment of techniques at his disposalhe is able to fight the perfect fight, especially on the feet.

Leg kicks are going to be a major contributor to success in this fight because Llontop isn\u2019t exactly the hardest fighter on the feet but his forward pressure could cause some challenges.On the flip side, James is great at throwing leg kicks, so it\u2019s going to come down to who is going to check those leg kicks first as a dissuasive measure to stop his opponent.

Why Bet on James Llontop?<\/strong>

Llontop coming in as a late replacement raised a few eyebrows. The thing we like about him is his head movement. He can be good at keeping his head off the center line, making him a fighter that\u2019s difficult to track down.

However, as much as he has great head movement, his strikes often come from wide angles that are easy to counter. He is also slow with the strikes and easy to read. Borshchev was able to counter and out-speed him on the feet, and if he can do that, so can Ruffy, but with the additional advantage of being the more prepared fighter.

Final Betting Analysis: <\/strong><\/em>Mauricio Ruffy vs. James Llontop <\/strong>

We expect Llontop\u2019s body to be a major target for teeps and body punches, as he has a very loose shell that\u2019s rather wide.

That body kicks or punches will be critical in a short victory as Llontop is a bit compromised with his cardio, and attacking those systems will only drain him more.

With Ruffy fully prepared, we can only expect him to land a victory in this clash.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC 309: Jonathan Martinez vs. Marcus McGhee<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Jonathan Martinez?<\/strong>

Martinez has a pretty good kicking ability, and we firmly believe that his leg and body kicks will be a major key to victory. That will be a bit more prevalent here givenMcGhee\u2019s incredibly aggressive style, and in order to stop that, you have to target the mobility and cardio systems of the fighter.

The quickest route to slowing down an aggressive fighter is to attack the leg and take away its propulsion system.That\u2019stypically what Martinez does all the time in the first minutes.

We are unsure if McGhee is going to be able to check Martinez’s kicks. However, the more he focuses on defending those leg kicks, the less he is being an aggressor, and that\u2019s important.

Why Bet on Marcus McGhee?<\/strong>

McGhee is a fun fighter to watch, and when this fight was first announced, we jumped at the chance of wanting to pick him this week. This was prior to watching him again.

After viewing his fights with the mindset of \u201chow is he going to fair against a highly experienced kicker like Martinez?\u201d We cannot see this fight being as easy as Marcus has made his other fights.

McGhee is comfortable on the gas pedal, he thrives on making his opponents uncomfortable and panic as he pushes them against the fence with pressure.

One of the biggest potential changes we can see from him this weekend is slowing down and fighting tactically. Still, we feel like that would be a massive change and pretty uncharacteristic, so maybe we\u2019ll see a typical approach from McGhee. That is, devastatingly heavy strikes to start the fight, nearly emptying his gas tank, followed by a leisurely pace in the second and third rounds.

Final Betting Analysis: <\/strong><\/em>Jonathan Martinez vs. Marcus McGhee <\/strong>

McGhee throws stupendously heavy in the first round, and he is one of the most ferocious first-round starters we have seen in a long time. We guarantee that, if there\u2019s ever to be a finish, it will be from him, but the point is that the planted stance that he uses when he strikes, is wide, and it\u2019s a power stance. Nothing but power is generated, no need for mobility and light footedness when you punch like a Middleweight.

However, that wide stance can be perfectly countered by a leg kick. Buckle the legs from under McGhee and he will be more cautious in throwing heavy.

We believe McGhee will slow down in the second and third, with that first round being mostly his to win. Whatever the case, those early leg kicks will be essential in solving the tricky puzzle of The Maniac.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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