{"id":40407,"date":"2025-01-09T15:49:36","date_gmt":"2025-01-09T21:49:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gambyl.com\/?p=40407"},"modified":"2025-01-09T15:49:39","modified_gmt":"2025-01-09T21:49:39","slug":"ufc-fight-night-dern-vs-ribas-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gambyl.com\/en\/ufc\/ufc-fight-night-dern-vs-ribas-2\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Ribas 2 Fight Card Odds and Picks"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

The UFC is taking this upcoming fight night to the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada, and we are getting a rematch that was rescheduled from the middle of December to give this event it’s main fight as two strawweights go back at each other to see who is likely to be on the track to the next possible title shot.

Our main event for this Saturday night will feature Mackenzie Dern and Amanda Ribas, who had a clash back in October 2019, and are looking to get back at it once again to see who can get some momentum as they try to work their way to a title shot.

The co-main will be a pretty fun clash in the Welterweight division, as Santiago Ponzinibio and Carlston Harris clash in a bout that is likely to end before the judges get involved, and that is likely to increase the hype before we arrive at the main event.

The other main card fights include two middle weight clashes, the first between Abdul Razak Alhassan and Cesar Almeida, and the second pits Chris Curtis against Roman Kopylov, along with a featherweight clash between the undefeated Austin Bashi and the talented Christian Rodriguez, and a welterweight bout between Punahele Solano and Uros Medic to open the main card.

The prelims are filled with a lot of international talent, which means that things are going to be quite entertaining as we coast through the eight prelims and six main card fights of this upcoming UFC fight night.

You can check all the\u00a0UFC\/MMA <\/a>bets, the analysis of each fighter, and the final bet you can make in these fights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC Fight Night: Dern vs Ribas 2 Fight Card Odds and Info<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Mackenzie Dern 2.525<\/em><\/td>Amanda Ribas 1.554<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Santiago Ponzinibbio 1.803<\/em><\/td>Carlston Harris 1.995<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Abdul Razak Alhassan 3.285<\/em><\/td>C\u00e9sar Almeida 1.336<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Chris Curtis 3.145<\/em><\/td>Roman Kopylov 1.347<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Austin Bashi 1.444<\/em><\/td>Christian Rodriguez 2.754<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Punahele Soriano 2.576 <\/em><\/td>Uros Medic 1.511<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Jose Johnson 11.488<\/em><\/td>Felipe Bunes 2.631<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Marco Tulio 1.241<\/em><\/td>Ihor Potieria 3.975<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Thiago Mois\u00e9s 1.632<\/em><\/td>Trey Ogden 2.284<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Preston Parsons 4.615<\/em><\/td>Jacobe Smith 1.19<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Ernesta Kareckaite 1.414 <\/em><\/td>Nicolle Caliari 2.944<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov 1.333<\/em><\/td>Bruno Lopes 3.28<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Victoria Dudakova 4.74<\/em><\/td>Fatima Kline 1.188<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Joe Solecki 5.51<\/em><\/td>Nurullo Aliev 1.141<\/em><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
When?<\/strong><\/td>Saturday, January 11th, at 4:00 pm ET, 3:00 pm CST, 2:00 pm MT, and 1:00 pm PT<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Where?<\/strong><\/td>UFC Apex, in Las Vegas<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Where can I watch it?<\/strong><\/td>UFC Fight Pass<\/em><\/a><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

UFC Fight Night: Mackenzie Dern vs. Amanda Ribas<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why bet on Mackenzie Dern?<\/strong>

Dern\u00a0is one of the most dangerous grapplers in the UFC at the moment. Any time she gets a fight to the ground and starts doing her BJJ wizardry, we hold our breath because we know she\u2019s mere seconds away from something insane.

However, for as much as she is incredible on the ground, she falls a bit behind in other disciplines. Her striking is rather rough and her inability to wrestle is also a detriment to her, it\u2019s something that\u2019s holding her back greatly.

We are hopeful that we are wrong with that though, and this weekend we see an upgraded version of Dern. Historically, she has struggled to get fights to the ground, a place in which she sorely needs fights to go in order to win.

Why bet on Amanda Ribas?<\/strong>

Ribas\u00a0has one primary way she could win this fight, and that\u2019s to keep it standing and to be the faster striker. Amanda has always been a versatile fighter who is comfortable no matter where the fight goes, but there is little doubt in our minds that she will excel on the feet against Dern.

Dern on the ground is a nightmare for even the better grapplers in this division, so we highly doubt that Ribas is going to look for her iconic hip tosses here in this fight.

The main weapons Ribas will utilize are her blitz-like boxing and maybe some body kicks, although kicking could be a nightmare if Dern catches it and looks for a trip or a sweep.

Final Betting Analysis: <\/strong><\/em>Mackenzie Dern vs. Amanda Ribas <\/strong>

Dern’s single strength is where the problem lies with Ribas though because she\u2019s a very balanced fighter. She is extremely well-rounded and has all sorts of techniques and skills in her arsenal to make this one hell of a tough fight for Dern.

We think the main thing that Dern is going to struggle with is the timing on the feet against Ribas, there\u2019s no guide or book that can tell Dern how to handle Ribas, because the way Ribas moves, it\u2019s like she\u2019s dancing, light on the feet, throwing her hands around to mask the strikes, she\u2019s great at overwhelming the senses of her opponent and making it hard to read what\u2019s coming next.

It was was gave Ribas the first win when the two faced before, and we believe it is bound to happen once again.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC Fight Night: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Carlston Harris<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why bet on Santiago Ponzinibbio?<\/strong>

Ponzinibbio\u00a0is certainly past his prime by now. However, for the most part, he fights the same as he always has, high pressure, high pace, and fairly aggressive, albeit not as much as he used to be due to age and such.

Santiago Ponzinibbio will have a noticeable advantage on the feet, he has excellent striking and uses his footwork and movement to set up attacks, whenever Ponzinibbio circles away and does his little feints, you know he\u2019s about to throw something big like a head kick or a short boxing flurry.

Ponzinibbio typically uses his wrestling during his fights, although we do think that it would be a bit of a dangerous thing to do since Harris is a rather active grappler.

Why bet on Carlston Harris?<\/strong>

Harris\u00a0is a bit of a straight forward fighter, he wants to take the fight to the ground, wrap up the neck and make his opponent tap or go to sleep.

Ponzinibbio may be a bit of a handful on the feet, but if he does try to get a takedown, that would be Harris\u2019 first chance to lock up a submission, as was clearly showcased when he snatched the neck of Jeremiah Wells.

However, with that said, Harris does not have the best striking defence, nor offence, his output leaves a whole lot to the imagination and that is the exact thing that would make Ponzinibbio a major threat.

Final Betting Analysis:<\/strong><\/em> Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Carlston Harris <\/strong>

Ponzinibbio\u2019s power in his hands is going to be a great equalizer in this fight. We genuinely believe that the longer the fight remains on the feet, the more comfortable and confident he will become in throwing more volume.

The good thing about Ponzinibbio\u2019s pressure is that since he\u2019s so forward-moving, it would make Harris initiate takedowns off the back foot, and it\u2019s a fair bit easier to defend takedowns as an aggressor than it is as someone being pressured.

We do not think Harris stands much of a chance against Ponzinibbio unless it\u2019s a very well timed strike, or during a chaotic flurry, because whilst Santiago is still good at throwing out volume, he has slowed down quite a bit, but we believe the veteran will be taking the victory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC Fight Night: Abdul Razak Alhassan vs. C\u00e9sar Almeida<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why bet on Abdul Razak Alhassan?<\/strong>

Alhassan\u00a0is someone who is ridiculously hard to get a read of only because of how the UFC treats him, and that sounds weird, but the fights\u2019 and opponents he takes on are either miles ahead of him competition-wise, or they completely overwhelm him from a stylistic standpoint. There\u2019s never a really fair fight, until this one we suppose.

Alhassan is a powerful striker, that much is rather obvious, but he also has a solid Judo base, and we think that\u2019s going to be key in handling Almeida.

On the feet, we think it\u2019s going to be a power versus skill deal, where Alhassan will try to end the fight quickly through a short burst of aggressive output, or strong singular attacks. If that fails, he could, at least, crash into Almeida, lock up a clinch, and then do his Judo thing.

Why bet on C\u00e9sar Almeida?<\/strong>

Almeida\u00a0has come into the MMA game relatively late into his combat sports career. However, so far it\u2019s fair to say that he\u2019s done really well in adapting to different styles, and we have been seeing him evolve as a fighter in the short time he\u2019s been here.

Almeida is a fantastic kickboxer, a multiple-time kickboxing champion in numerous organizations and competitions, he is as good as they get. This is why we think Alhassan is going to most likely use his grappling to get a win here. With that said, Almeida has soaked up information like a sponge, he has very good instincts to get back to the feet and he conserves his cardio well enough to allow himself to explode back to his feet after each attempt, so he\u2019s never gassed out after getting taken down like how a typical kickboxer might be.

Final Betting Analysis: <\/strong><\/em>Abdul Razak Alhassan vs. C\u00e9sar Almeida <\/strong>

Almeida isn\u2019t exactly trained in Judo defense, he\u2019s trained in traditional takedown defense, single legs, double legs, getting up from the ground.

Judo is a whole different animal to deal with and, if Alhassan can assert himself into this fight and use his throws to sweep Almeida off his feet and slam him into the ground, we think Alhassan has a reasonably solid chance at winning this fight.

Almeida wants to keep this fight standing, there\u2019s no doubt about that, but we think there will be an eventual takedown\/trip attempt by Alhassan. However, he adapts well and we believe that he is going to find the finish during the final round.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC Fight Night: Chris Curtis vs. Roman Kopylov<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why bet on Chris Curtis?<\/strong>

Curtis\u00a0is a fun fighter to watch, but after he loses, because boy does he tweet like crazy. However, In the cage he is rather intelligent when it comes to his approach to fighting, adapts to his opponents style, and his takedown defence and wrestling ability allows him to match what his opponent is doing on the ground. He is exceptionally well trained.

The problem with him is that, whilst he\u2019s well-rounded, he doesn\u2019t exactly excel in one particular field of combat. He\u2019s a jack of all trades, master of none, and while that\u2019s great to have as a top-tier athlete, a specialist fighter will find a way to expose someone like him.

Curtis is great at shelling up, absorbing attacks and then immediately firing back. Expect him to try and find counters when Kopylov extends his combinations, we expect him to also land some body shots, a straight punch at range to the body, and level change followed by digging to the body in the closer ranges.

Why bet on Roman Kopylov?<\/strong>

Kopylov\u00a0will have a slight edge on the feet in this fight, in our opinion. That is due to the fact that he has an extensive background in combat sambo, and when you watch him fight you can just see how disciplined he is.

Roman rarely makes mistakes on the feet. He\u2019s calculated, he targets the right part of the body to subsequently open up more targets for further attacks, he\u2019s an assassin and someone who is highly capable slowly dismantling the near impenetrable guard of Curtis. He is likely to do that by being a tricky southpaw, and reading the fairly obvious attack pattern from Curtis.

Final Betting Analysis: <\/strong><\/em>Chris Curtis vs. Roman Kopylov <\/strong>

Curtis sometimes gets frustrated in the middle of a fight, and we can see that he will get frustrated in this fight as Kopylov is a far more clinical striker. So, he is likely to eat a lot of shots and perhaps not have a whole lot to answer for it.

Chris has gorgeous boxing, don\u2019t get me wrong, his boxing fundamentals are fantastic. However, his high guard leaves his body exposed and you must know that Kopylov will blast the body with kicks early to drop those hands.

Curtis is quite good at being a bladed stance boxer, he utilises the jab and lead hand distraction relatively well. When that lead hand is thrown out there, his head is somewhat exposed to a power side hook or straight. We think that\u2019s what Kopylov will aim to do, lure out a lead hand attack, and then follow with a counter left hook or straight.

If that fails him, Kopylov is also excellent at wrestling when the situation calls for it and that\u2019s also going to be a potential problem for Curtis.

With more paths to victory, we expect Kopylov to come out on top in this fight.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Christian Rodriguez<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Austin Bashi?<\/strong>

Bashi\u00a0is coming off a fantastic submission win on DWCS over Dorian Ramos, and the most impressive thing about him is his activity. His first amateur bout was at the start of Feb in 2020, that\u2019s 5 years ago, and he\u2019s had 13 pro fights.

Bashi\u2019s skillset is very wrestling focused. He constantly goes for takedowns, and moves at such a frenetic pace that we could see him overwhelming a lot of his opponents in the future.

However, with that said, there\u2019s a tinge of nervous or anxious energy in the first round where he\u2019s throwing everything. Nothing but heavy swinging punches up top followed by rapid level changes, so many different things that are used to overwhelm his opponent. Even if it looks messy at times, its effective, and it leads to his opponent having slight openings in which he can successfully get a takedown and a solid holding position.

One thing we love about Bashi is how sticky he is to his opponents. He doesn\u2019t like separating or creating distance during the grappling moments. He\u2019s so good at staying close and just being a heavy, heavy object for his opponents to hold.

Why Bet on Christian Rodriguez?<\/strong>

Rodriguez\u00a0is probably going to get sick and tired of these wrestlers real soon. He\u2019s fought some incredible wrestlers like Rosas Jr and Isaac Dulgarian, so he no doubt is prepared for those kinds of fights, but now it\u2019s straight back into the fire after coming off a tough submission loss against Erosa.

The great thing about Rodriguez is that his cardio is fantastic. He can swim with the sharks come out on top and handle the insane pace that wrestlers often utilize in their fights. However, with every new opponent, comes new challenges, and we think one of the most dangerous things about Bashi are the unknowns, and the fact that he\u2019s one of the younger prospects to join the UFC. So, he\u2019s going to come out with extra fire under him, wanting to continue that quick rise to the top.

Final Betting Analysis: <\/strong><\/em>Austin Bashi vs. Christian Rodriguez <\/strong>

Bashi will be testing Rodriguez\u2019s takedown defense and fortitude during this fight.

Rodriguez has been here before though, he\u2019s fought young wrestlers. He\u2019s trained for many of these fights and has consistently gotten better because of that, and we genuinely think that he\u2019s going to do just fine in this fight.

Once things get to the second round, we expect Rodriguez to keep pushing forward on the judges’ cards and lock in the victory. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC Fight Night: Punahele Soriano vs. Uros Medic<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why bet on Punahele Soriano?<\/strong>

Soriano\u00a0is a tough one to speak positively about, because whilst he has been in some incredible fights in the UFC, he has also been on the receiving end of some disgusting beatdowns. Its never a great thing to see someone tough it out because their chin is so durable.

Because Soriano\u2019s chin is so durable, he doesn\u2019t exactly use a lot of defensive layers to avoid damage. There\u2019s never a lot of footwork or head movement, his shell, whilst existent, is only there so he can return fire immediately.

One thing that will always be on the side of Soriano is his tenacity. He is in the fight until he is not and he will fire back with everything in his gas tank for as long as the fight goes on.

Why bet on Uros Medic?<\/strong>

Medic\u00a0is one hell of a fighter to keep an eye on, and a win over Soriano is going to look pretty damn good on his record. He is a sniper when he fights, his distance punches and teeps to the body are beautiful to watch, and they all come from his footwork and his ability to find angles.

Speaking of finding angles, his knockout over Means is evidence of how quickly he thinks and plans an attack. Means dipped to Medic\u2019s right side, reset, then dipped again to that same side, only for Medic to find the chin with a picture-perfect left uppercut.

That is what Medic must use, his visual acuity as well as his timing, because Soriano does have slight defensive issues and if his head is exposed to a solid strike, you bet Uros will fire off that missile of a left hand and make it land.

Final Betting Analysis: <\/strong><\/em>Punahele Soriano vs. Uros Medic <\/strong>

To circle back to the fact that Soriano gets punched quite a lot, that doesn\u2019t bode too well considering the incredibly high accuracy of Medic\u2019s striking, as well as the fact that his punches are also quite heavy. One mild saving grace for Punahele is his wrestling background, and we suspect when the heat\u2019s turned up, he will rely on takedowns and control to try and reign in Medic.

One slight concern for Medic is his cardio. He has never taken a fight to the distance, and whilst that\u2019s amazing to hear, it\u2019s also perhaps a bit worrying if Soriano utilizes his wrestling and grinds out a decision win, because that\u2019s the only way we can really see Uros losing.

Still, we think that Medic will be finding the hit and landing the KO during this fight, posibly around the halfway point.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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