{"id":41933,"date":"2025-03-27T15:07:32","date_gmt":"2025-03-27T21:07:32","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gambyl.com\/?p=41933"},"modified":"2025-03-27T15:07:36","modified_gmt":"2025-03-27T21:07:36","slug":"ufc-fight-night-moreno-vs-erceg","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gambyl.com\/en\/ufc\/ufc-fight-night-moreno-vs-erceg\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg Fight Card Odds and Picks"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

The UFC is going to pull another Fight Night, as we are getting a whole other event in Mexico City, which will be showcasing a ton of their talented fighters in a venue where the crowd couldn’t get more excited to see some action take place.

Things are supposed to get hyped, as the main event clash showcases a match between Mexico’s former, first and only Champion of the World, taking Steven Erceg in a bout in the Flyweight Division.

Along with the main event fight, we also get a pretty fun clash between Manuel Torres and Drew Dober, in which the crowd is likely to get hyped. Additionally, there are also other big Mexican names like Raul Rosas Jr., “Lazy Boy” Rodrigez, Edgar Chairez, and Rafa Garcia.

This fight night has 13 interesting fights showcasing a lot of Mexican talent and other Latin American fighters in a card that an amped-up crowd will enjoy, as it is split into six main event fights and seven prelims.

You can check all the\u00a0UFC\/MMA<\/a> bets, the analysis of each fighter, and the final bet you can make in these fights.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg Fight Card Odds and Info<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Brandon Moreno 1.42 <\/em><\/td>Steve Erceg 2.975<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Manuel Torres 1.973<\/em><\/td>Drew Dober 1.822 <\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Kelvin Gastelum 3.33<\/em><\/td>Joe Pyfer 1.319<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Raul Rosas Jr. 1.232 <\/em><\/td>Vince Morales 4.1<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
David Martinez 1.262<\/em><\/td>Salmon Oliveira 3.805<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Ronaldo Rodr\u00edguez 1.647<\/em><\/td>Kevin Borjas 2.237<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Edgar Ch\u00e1irez 1.363<\/em><\/td> CJ Vergara 3.18<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Ateba Gautier 1.216<\/em><\/td>Jos\u00e9 Medina 4.285 <\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Melquizael Costa 2.256<\/em><\/td>Christian Rodriguez 1.636 <\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Julia Polastri 2.866 <\/em><\/td>Lupita Godinez 1.41 <\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Rafa Garc\u00eda 1.201 <\/em><\/td>Vinc Pichel 4.475<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Jamall Emmers 1.311<\/em><\/td>Gabriel Miranda 3.41<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Austin Hubbard 2.441<\/em><\/td>MarQuel Mederos 1.562<\/em><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
When?<\/strong><\/td>Saturday, March 29th, at 4:00 pm ET, 3:00 pm CST, 2:00 pm MT, and 1:00 pm PT<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Where?<\/strong><\/td>the Arena CDMX, in Mexico City<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Where Can I Watch It?<\/strong><\/td>UFC Fight Pass<\/em><\/a><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Steve Erceg<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Brandon Moreno?<\/strong>

Moreno\u00a0fighting in a main event in front of his home country is just a beautiful moment, and we are so happy to get it to happen again because, for the most part, he\u2019s earned it. Moreno\u2019s last fight was against Albazi, in which both fighters engaged in a fairly fast-paced bout for five rounds, with Moreno ultimately coming out on top.

The one thing that we expect from Moreno is a high variation of strikes and early moments of incredible aggression. However, we think the altitude and the atmosphere of the arena will give Erceg a few things to worry about, and with his last fight being over within a round, we could see Erceg play a bit more defensively throughout the first couple of rounds.

Why Bet on Steve Erceg?<\/strong>

Erceg has shown to be able to hang with the best there is, and his fight against Pantoja was highly competitive. He nearly got the belt if he hadn\u2019t struggled so hard in those later rounds.

Erceg is really well-rounded, but we feel like he is going to suffer a bit when it comes to matching the volume and aggression of Moreno because Moreno always presses forward with relentless action, and since Erceg thrives in a fight that\u2019s a bit more slower-paced.

That is not to say he is going to lose this one cleanly because if the fight goes the distance and Erceg\u2019s cardio holds up well, it could practically go either way, but if Moreno fights at his fast and furious pace, we think Erceg is going to be on the defense a bit or maybe expose himself to further damage by trying to fight fire with fire to mixed results.

Brandon Moreno vs. Steve Erceg Final Betting Analysis:<\/strong>

We expect Moreno to attack all parts of the body, primarily the body, with his kicks and both the torso and the head with boxing combinations. Either way, Moreno\u2019s incredible ability to switch up the target mid-combo is gorgeous.

One thing that we don\u2019t exactly want to see from Moreno in this fight is grappling. Erceg is a solid grappler with great BJJ, and whilst Moreno is quite dominating when he\u2019s in top control, Erceg is so good at tying up his opponent and nullifying the threat on the ground. Most of the success for Moreno will stem from the striking, and we expect a knockout within the first three rounds.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC Fight Night: Manuel Torres vs. Drew Dober<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Manuel Torres?<\/strong>

Torres\u00a0is coming off a tough KO loss by Bahamondes in which, for the most part, he looked good until Bahamondes dropped him with a right-straight counter off of Torres\u2019 rather wide left hook.

Now, Torres has a solid reach advantage as well as a bit of a speed advantage in this fight. His one-two down the line is a fantastic weapon to use against someone like Dober, whose reliance on forward pressure and powerful strikes sometimes leaves his chin open to be tagged up. We expect Torres to throw that one-two as it is his best weapon.

The fantastic thing about Torres is that he doesn\u2019t throw pitter-patter punches, as everything he throws comes with a knockout or fight-ending intent. Ultimately, the fight will likely lead to some incredibly chaotic moments against someone who thrives in the chaos.

Why Bet on Drew Dober?<\/strong>

Dober\u00a0is an absolute warhorse in this division. Drew has been through so many battles, and regardless of his wins and losses, he remains one of the most dangerous fighters to face on the feet.

Our main concern for Dober is his age and his chin. He has taken a lot of shots in his career, and Torres is seemingly a little bit fresher. Though we think Dober is a perfect dance partner for Torres, we have our doubt that he will walk away unscathed.

Dober is a solid striker, both at range and within the pocket, and we suspect that it will be the pocket exchanges in which Dober will thrive the most.

Manuel Torres vs. Drew Dober Final Betting Analysis:<\/strong>

We won\u2019t say that Dober will time his shots with similar success against Torres this weekend. However, if Torres does come into this fight looking how he did against Bahamondes, we suspect Dober and his team have figured out the right game plan to deal with it.

Now, as with Torres, Dober\u2019s strikes are loaded up, and he throws his entire body into it, making them powerful but also highly readable, and we feel like it\u2019s only a matter of time before either fighter beats the other one to the chin. This is a clash between finishers, and what you can only expect during this excellent matchup is violence and sheer power being exchanged.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC Fight Night: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Joe Pyfer<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Kelvin Gastelum?<\/strong>

Gastelum\u00a0is one of the most tempting underdogs to bet on this card. Gastelum went five rounds against Adesanya, Whittaker, and Cannonier, went to the distance against Curtis, and has not been knocked out once.

The thing that makes Gastelum relatively tricky to strike against is the range at which he propels himself to attack. He stays just out of range from most of his opponent\u2019s straight attacks to calculate the correct timing and correct the angle to attack. He doesn\u2019t dabble in a range in which he can be on the receiving end of strikes, as he\u2019s always at a safe distance until he wants to engage.

Now, there\u2019s no doubt that Pyfer will look to land his powerful right hook or straight, and he\u2019s going to have great success with it early on. However, Gastelum not only has a granite chin to rely on, but he can also mix it up with his wrestling offense, even if that means clinching up to land some punches within the pocket, something that Gastelum also does reasonably well given his smaller stature, he can deal some significant damage in such a short distance.

Why Bet on Joe Pyfer?<\/strong>

Pyfer\u2019s wins have been absolutely brilliant to witness, with his most recent one being a KO against an incredibly tough Marc-Andre Barriault.

Now, the one thing we like about Pyfer is that his power alone is a threat, even if he\u2019s not throwing anything, and that\u2019s what we saw when he fought Barriault, a fighter who did nothing but cover up and didn\u2019t throw back despite Pyfer being wide open for a counter, it is that threat of a power shot that makes Pyfer a dangerous foe, and we think if Pyfer lands something big that maybe stumbles Gastelum, then that would absolutely freeze up Gastelum and perhaps make him hesitate as Barriault did.

Kelvin Gastelum vs. Joe Pyfer Final Betting Analysis:<\/strong>

Gastelum has a wealth of knowledge and experience to rely on when dealing with Pyfer unless he lands something that can cleanly put Gastelum away, we don\u2019t think we\u2019re going to see a finish, and we\u2019re probably going to see a grueling war that goes, nervously, to the judge\u2019s scorecards.

Expect Pyfer to use his boxing, including a lot of jabs early on, to find the range for his subsequent strikes. He isn\u2019t too tricky on the feet to deal with, but his reach and power are a nightmare for many of his opponents.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC Fight Night: Raul Rosas Jr. vs. Vince Morales<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Raul Rosas Jr.?<\/strong>

Rosas Jr\u00a0is a rising prospect with one main goal in mind in every fight, and that\u2019s to wrestle and maul his opponents, and he does it well. His cardio and pace are otherworldly, and we believe that he will give Morales a lot of problems keeping up with the offense because Rosas Jr. is relentless with his takedown attempts and his striking offense. He might not be the cleanest boxer in the world, but a punch thrown at an opponent is still a punch that can rattle the system.

We expect Rosas Jr. to come out with all pistons firing. He\u2019s likely to start out with some strong short-boxing combinations. Then, once he\u2019s landed or thrown those strikes to open up Morales, the takedowns will come shortly after.

Why Bet on Vince Morales?<\/strong>

Morales\u00a0is on a bit of a losing streak, with losses against Lapilus and Elijah Smith. We don\u2019t know where Morales stands in his career. He has always been a bit crafty, especially on the ground, where he has the ability to throw up submissions and make his opponent be a bit more careful with their own grappling approach, but Morales still is not too great at defending takedowns.

Morales has a whole lot of experience compared to Rosas Jr, but he has a tendency to be easily overwhelmed by pressure wrestlers, and whilst his submission game could be a bit of a threat against Rosas Jr, the speed of the takedowns and the overwhelming activity that Rosas Jr utilizes on the ground will be more than enough to stifle any clean submission attempt by Morales, and it would only get worse for the fighter who certainly doesn\u2019t train at altitude.

Raul Rosas Jr. vs. Vince Morales Final Betting Analysis:<\/strong>

Rosas Jr.\u2019s key to a victory is pressure and pace. He cannot let Morales settle into a rhythm because Morales\u2019 striking is a fair bit better than Rosas Jr, but if Rosas Jr were to press on the gas and never give Morales space to breathe and assess an approach, we are doubtful that outside of a few lucky or well-timed counters that Morales will land anything of any danger to the wrecking ball in front of him.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC Fight Night: David Martinez vs. Salmon Oliveira<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on David Martinez?<\/strong>

Martinez\u00a0is seemingly someone who doesn\u2019t hesitate to throw volume at his opponent, and his win over Xavier Franklin, in which Martinez shredded the legs of Franklin, landing some gorgeous punches up top, showed clearly that.

Martinez is likely to have a massive striking advantage, plus it\u2019s in his home country, so he would be used to fighting at a high pace at altitude. In this debut, Martinez will show up and showcase his ability.

He is always tightened up like a spring coil, ready to launch himself into an attack with his feints and explosiveness.

Why Bet on Salmon Oliveira?<\/strong>

Oliveira\u00a0is 0-2 in the UFC, with his most recent loss being by KO, and that\u2019s a bit of a concern because that KO loss was two years ago. That\u2019s two years of inactivity, and now he\u2019s fighting at altitude in front of a hostile crowd against a hot prospect who looked incredible in his DWCS fight.

He can get an overwhelming output early on to make Martinez uncomfortable because Martinez did get clipped a few times by Franklin\u2019s explosive attacks.

David Martinez vs. Salmon Oliveira Final Betting Analysis:<\/strong>

Martinez\u2019s lateral movement will allow him to frustrate Oliveira and maybe even lower Oliveira\u2019s guard due to the periods in between actions in which there is no real action other than circular movement.

Oliveira can make it a bit messy in there, having a chance for an upset.

However, Martinez\u2019s incredible pace will cause nightmares for Oliveira during this fight, and we believe it will secure victory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC Fight Night: Ronaldo Rodr\u00edguez vs. Kevin Borjas<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Ronaldo Rodr\u00edguez?<\/strong>

Rodriguez\u00a0seemingly has come out of nowhere because he has been successful and relatively good at times during his UFC career so far.

He looks a little bit too funky in there, wide-eyed and reacting to strikes rather than being the one to initiate action, but with that said, he has been successful in the UFC and is now fighting in his home country, and that\u2019s pretty great.

However, for as good as he looks, he somewhat does live up to his nickname \u201cLazy Boy,\u201d he doesn\u2019t move around too much, utilizes slow forward pressure, and is quite patient in the first round.

When he fought Bondar, he got taken down a few times, which does not look great. However, his urgency to get back to his feet through sweeps or rolling with the takedown is pretty impressive, and we saw more of his aggressive wrestling when he fought Osbourne.

Why Bet on Kevin Borjas?<\/strong>

Borjas\u00a0has yet to win in the UFC and has been outstruck in both of his fights against Van and Alessandro Costa.

Borjas withdrew from his last scheduled fight back in 2024, and with the reason being unknown, it does make us wonder if there was an injury that led to that withdrawal. With that said, the one thing we think Rodriguez will attack initially is the lead leg of Borjas.

Given that Borjas is mostly a boxer, he would need that lead leg to transfer power, so if Rodriguez is smart, we expect that leg to be smacked with thunderous kicks early on.

Ronaldo Rodr\u00edguez vs. Kevin Borjas Final Betting Analysis:<\/strong>

We will see Rodriguez\u2019s steady pressure come into effect, with Rodriguez slowly marching down his opponent. However, if Borjas cannot keep Rodriguez off of that forward pressure, the whole fight will be Borjas backing up.

We think leg kicks are the main thing that Borjas needs to defend against because he got destroyed by Costa\u2019s leg kicks, so it would be silly to leave that as a vulnerability. Borjas will implement a switch stance game plan here to freeze up Rodriguez, but that\u2019s a bit of a long shot.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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