{"id":43419,"date":"2025-07-17T20:23:38","date_gmt":"2025-07-18T02:23:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gambyl.com\/?p=43419"},"modified":"2025-07-17T20:23:45","modified_gmt":"2025-07-18T02:23:45","slug":"ufc-318-holloway-vs-poirier","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gambyl.com\/en\/ufc\/ufc-318-holloway-vs-poirier\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier Fight Card Odds and Picks"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

The UFC brings us a high-caliber card as we take the trip to the Smoothie King Center in New Orleans this Saturday, where the 3rd fight between Max Holloway and Dustin Poirier will take place, with the BMF belt on the line for everyone to enjoy.

We expect the main event fight to go to the last rounds with these two going at it, both with the respect from their previous bouts, and a message to send with the BMF Title on the line.

The co-main surprisingly sees Paulo Costa in it, and we get Roman Kolyov coming in what could be an interesting middleweight clash, which comes right after the Trailblazer faces Daniel Rodriguez in the cage.

The event is a stacked card, 14 fights from start to finish, and a lot of known names in the 9 Prelims and the five main fight card of a pretty exciting event.

At Gambyl Exchange<\/a>, you can check all the\u00a0UFC\/MMA<\/a> bets, the analysis of each fighter, and the final bet you can make in these fights.

UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier Fight Card Odds and Info<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Max Holloway -120<\/em><\/td>-102 Dustin Poirier<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Paulo Costa +219<\/em><\/td> -270 Roman Kopylov<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Kevin Holland -476<\/em><\/td>+333 Daniel Rodriguez<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Dan Ige -182<\/em><\/td>+149 Patricio Pitbull<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Michael Johnson +384<\/em><\/td>-556 Daniel Zellhuber<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Kyler Phillips TBD<\/em><\/td>Vinicius Oliveira<\/em> TBD<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Marvin Vettori +181<\/em><\/td>-217 Brendan Allen<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Francisco Prado -152<\/em><\/td>+121 Nikolay Veretennikov<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Ateba Gautier -536<\/em><\/td>+371 Robert Valentin<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Adam Fugitt +425<\/em><\/td>-714 Islam Dulatov<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Jimmy Crute -294<\/em><\/td>-217 Marcin Prachnio<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Ryan Spann -238<\/em><\/td>+183 \u0141ukasz Brzeski<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Bruno Ferreira -769<\/em><\/td>+435 Jackson McVey<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Carli Judice -294<\/em><\/td>Nicolle Caliari +223<\/em><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
When?<\/strong><\/td>Saturday, July 19th, at 6:00 pm ET, 5:00 pm CST, 4:00 pm MT, and 3:00 pm PT<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Where?<\/strong><\/td>Smoothie King Center in Newark, New Orleans, Luisiana<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Where Can I Watch it?<\/strong><\/td>UFC Fight Pass<\/a><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

UFC 318: Max Holloway vs. Dustin Poirier<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Max Holloway?<\/strong>

Hollowayis making a move back to 155 lbs. This time, he’s filling out with muscles, and we believe it’s a great move because he belongs at 155.

Holloway’s boxing has always been a little better than Poirier’s, and perhaps more so now because Poirier has taken a lot of damage in the last two years, making him a bit susceptible to getting hurt.

He’s a stand-and-bang fighter. He thrives in the same environment that Holloway thrives in. We know that Holloway himself is coming off a KO loss. However, a singular KO loss is not as detrimental to brain health and KO susceptibility as numerous heavy strikes that he received when he fought Benoit Saint-Denis, Michael Chandler, and Justin Gaethje.

We believe we’re going to see Poirier get hurt a fair bit more than Holloway. Alongside that, Holloway is coming off his first KO loss in his career, and that can perhaps change a few things stylistically for Holloway.

Holloway can withstand being punched, but now that he’s moving up to 155lbs permanently, we can expect a more intelligent boxing defense from him, or we could get a classic Holloway throwing fists without holding back.

Why Bet on Dustin Poirier?<\/strong>

Poirier is a much more well-rounded fighter than Holloway, so expect to see a lot more leg kicks, perhaps some wild attacks due to this being his final fight. Ultimately, we don’t expect to see Poirier fight any differently than he’s used to.

What we expect from Poirier is gorgeous boxing, especially his amazing left hook, and some dangerous leg kicks, as those have been key to his victories in the past. In terms of grappling, it’s hard to ignore that he’s a solid BJJ fighter when the fight hits the mat, but we are very doubtful that he will want to take this fight to the ground in front of his hometown crowd.

Final Betting Analysis: Max Holloway vs. Dustin Poirier <\/strong>

Expect these two warriors to come out and put on a performance that will put them in the history books of combat sports.

We think Holloway will finally best Poirier this time around because of the accumulated damage that Poirier has received.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC 318: Paulo Costa vs. Roman Kopylov<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Paulo Costa?<\/strong>

Costa\u00a0needs no introduction. He has been in some iconic fights in the last six years, from his war against Romero to his weight miss against Marvin Vettori.

Paulo Costa is a powerful and pressure-heavy striker, although his defense is questionable as he absorbs more than he throws. Costa’s takedown accuracy could allow him to shift the fight to the mat and exploit his submission upside if the stand-up battle doesn’t go his way.

Why Bet on Roman Kopylov?<\/strong>

Kopylov\u00a0has been a fun fighter to watch. His kickboxing isn’t fascinating or unique, but it’s clean and sharp, and we can see him landing the body kick in this fight time after time.

Kopylov is good at springing out that body kick then moving laterally for another angle to strike, we think that he might fatigue in the later rounds due to the constant lateral movement and such but we believe the more he tags Costa’s body, the less aggressive Costa will be, the more his hands will drop and the more available that head kick will become.

Kopylov being on the back foot could be detrimental to him on the scorecards because it would seem that Costa is the more aggressive fighter. Still, Kopylov’s striking will be the main story in this fight.

Final Betting Analysis: Paulo Costa vs. Roman Kopylov <\/strong>

We expect Costa to be walking down Kopylov in this fight with relentless pressure, but we wouldn’t say that he will win this fight with that alone, because even on the back foot, Kopylov is very good.

We expect Costa to throw leg kicks early and often to slow down Kopylov’s mobility. While we know he’s going to throw some hands, outside of a flush KO, we don’t see him winning against such a technician like Kopylov.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC 318: Kevin Holland vs. Daniel Rodriguez<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Kevin Holland?<\/strong>

Holland is coming off an anaconda choke submission win over Vicente Luque, whichsurprised us because we thought he was going to box all the way.

Kevin Holland has a substantial reach advantage of 8 inches. It will be a hard task for Rodriguez to fight around without using his kicks to shut down the boxing of Holland, but still, the speed and power of Holland is a fair few steps ahead of what Rodriguez can generate, despite Rodriguez having that \u201cold man power\u201d.

Why Bet on Daniel Rodriguez?<\/strong>

On the other hand, Rodriguez is very much one of those mainstay fighters who have moments of greatness and also moments in which he doesn\u2019t look so great.

Rodriguez does have a lot of power in his hands, but at an 8-inch reach disadvantage, the only real way he can land with power is through a collision against Holland, in which a wild exchange happens and someone’s chin gets truly tested.

Kevin Holland vs. Daniel Rodriguez Final Betting Analysis:<\/strong>

We believe we will see an immense output from Rodriguez from the second round onwards, compared to Holland, who is a theoretical 5-round high-pace fighter.

Holland, when he\u2019s switched on, is an absolute juggernaut of a fighter, unstoppable and one of the best fighters we will see.

Unfortunately, he has been hard to track and predict as his performances haven’t been consistent. We believe we will see him at top speed on Saturday.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC 318: Dan Ige vs. Patricio Pitbull<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Dan Ige?<\/strong>

Ige\u00a0is as fantastic as they come, and he showed what Dynamite he has in his hands. The main advantage Dan Ige has over Pitbull would be on the feet with the striking. His boxing is top-level, and he carries power so well, which could test the chin of the 38-year-old.

Dan Ige can switch stances to mask the power shots, going from Southpaw to Orthodox to enter range and attack the legs, switching back to Southpaw to throw that special hook.

Why Bet on Patricio Pitbull?<\/strong>

Pitbull\u00a0was getting torn to shreds when he fought Yair, and that doesn’t bode well when fighting someone like Ige. The writing is on the walls for this one, it seems.

Pitbull has one clear path to victory here, and that’s to wrestle and submit. To do any of that, though, he has to penetrate through the extremely sharp boxing of Ige, and that’s no easy task.

Final Betting Analysis: Dan Ige vs. Patricio Pitbull<\/strong>

Pitbull’s only way to counter anything that Ige does is to wrestle, and we believe that’s exactly what Pitbull will try to do this weekend.

We’d argue that Ige could also find a submission, besides his regular paths to victory, especially a front headlock choke like a guillotine or a brabo.

Still, age is not on Pitbull’s side, and as much as we want to give him a lot of praise, the age factor is really in play here. Lastly, we believe that Ige has fought against much better competition, and that plays into this match too.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC 318: Michael Johnson vs. Daniel Zellhuber<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Michael Johnson vs. Daniel Zellhuber?<\/strong>

Johnson\u00a0has certainly not looked like his old self in recent years, and we know that he is coming off a fantastic Knockout win against Ottman. However, Ottman is more one-dimensional, and Johnson operates with efficient striking.

Johnson still possesses excellent boxing instincts, particularly in the early rounds of a fight. However, given that Zellhuber has faced a tough battle against Ribovics and emerged from it competitively, it’s difficult to determine if Johnson can keep up with that level of talent.

Why Bet on Daniel Zellhuber?<\/strong>

At 26, the rangy Mexican prospect brings youth, reach, and technical striking tools to the octagon, with a Kickboxing-heavy arsenal and aggressive counter-striking.

Zellhuber has a good defensive base, and that’s going to be pivotal in ensuring success throughout the second and third rounds. We suspect Johnson will be very dangerous in the first round as he tries to break through Zellhuber’s guard.

Zellhuber’s boxing is going to look good, as he can fight defensively and offensively while keeping it safe with a high defense and his chin tucked. All of these things will make it difficult for Johnson to chip at the chin of Zellhuber, and we think that lowers the chances of Johnson winning.

Final Betting Analysis: Michael Johnson vs. Daniel Zellhuber<\/strong>

We believe that Zellhuber will be too much for the aged fighter. We expect some wrestling to happen from Johnson, but we don’t know if it will be out of desperation or a well-thought-out game plan.

This is the old guard being fed to the new guard, and we think Zellhuber will get it done.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC 318: Kyler Phillips vs. Vinicius Oliveira<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Kyler Phillips?<\/strong>

Kyler Phillips is a well-rounded fighter with solid wrestling and great BJJ. However, Oliveira has faced and defeated fighters like Ricky Simon and Said Nurmagomedov. That could be the reason why Phillips is presented as the underdog in this fight.

The one thing we are most concerned about is Phillips being too reserved on his cardio. When he fought Rob Font we saw him ran out of gas, that often leads to two things happening in a fighters’ next bout, either they have trained their cardio as a primary focal point of their camp or they fight reserved, and that’s just going to give Oliveira more time to land his attacks and deal the damage.

Why Bet on Vinicius Oliveira?<\/strong>

Oliveira\u00a0is truly special. He seemingly came out of nowhere with a nice Knockout win on the DWCS, then he just blasted through his competition with barely any resistance.

Oliveira is very well-rounded; his striking may not be super technical, but it’s unpredictable, and that’s mostly due to the distance he strikes at and the stance he fights, low hands and relatively at a safe distance, where he can counter effectively, and he can kind of feint his way into range effectively.

Final Betting Analysis: Kyler Phillips vs. Vinicius Oliveira<\/strong>

Oliveira is particularly hard to read as an analyst. He is nearly impossible to break down, and we can only describe him as someone who freestyles in the cage. And that can be hard to fight against, and we think Phillips is going to find that out after the first round.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC 318: Marvin Vettori vs. Brendan Allen<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Marvin Vettori?<\/strong>

Vettori\u00a0is an interesting case for the Middleweight Division. He has consistently been in some of the most gritty fights in the UFC of the past few years, with epic bouts against the likes of Paulo Costa, Jack Hermansson, and Jared Cannonier. He has been through some intense battles and always fought just as hard in the final rounds.

Our slightest concern for Vettori isn\u2019t his striking, output, or his cardio. It\u2019s his takedown defense, and considering that Allen\u2019s primary way to win his fights is to take his opponents down and submit them, we do think that Vettori is either going to be stifled with his output due to that takedown threat, or he\u2019s going to fall into a trap of throwing too heavy which leaves openings for a level change from Allen.

Why Bet on Brendan Allen?<\/strong>

Allen is coming off two consecutive losses to Imavov and Hernandez. In both fights, we found a noticeable pattern: when Allen feels uncomfortable or struggles to initiate his takedown attempts, he tends to become stagnant and unsure of how to get out of that situation.

We do think that early on we\u2019ll see what his gameplan will be, and if he successfully gets Vettori to the ground, then we could very, very well be in for an upset here, but if, as we predict, Vettori comes out guns blazing and just thriving on the feet, stuffing those takedowns and marches down Allen.

Final Betting Analysis: Marvin Vettori vs. Brendan Allen <\/strong>

We expect Vettori to come out with sheer aggression. He is on a losing streak, and he used to be a dangerous threat to the upper echelon of the division, so he sees this fight as a massive opportunity to bounce back and restart his journey as a contender.

This will be too much for a slow-starting Allen to handle.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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