{"id":49262,"date":"2026-10-02T15:53:01","date_gmt":"2026-10-02T21:53:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gambyl.com\/?p=49262"},"modified":"2026-10-02T15:53:16","modified_gmt":"2026-10-02T21:53:16","slug":"liga-mx-apertura-contenders-entering-the-final-stretch","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gambyl.com\/en\/liga-mx\/liga-mx-apertura-contenders-entering-the-final-stretch\/","title":{"rendered":"Liga MX Apertura: Contenders Entering the Final Stretch"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Toluca and Am\u00e9rica are level on <strong>20 points<\/strong> with an identical <strong>+11 goal difference<\/strong>.<br><br><strong>Am\u00e9rica have played one Liga MX match fewer.<\/strong><br><br>That is the Apertura with seven rounds left: a leader who is not really leading, a defending champion who just recorded their first draw of the season, and a Chivas side that was top a fortnight ago and has just been beaten at home by Quer\u00e9taro.<br><br>At <a href=\"http:\/\/casino.gambyl.com\/\">Gambyl Casino<\/a>, the action goes beyond the field. Explore all <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gambyl.com\/en\/liga-mx\/\">Liga MX<\/a> news, predictions and betting odds while enjoying a complete Online Casino experience, with fast action and intuitive gameplay.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>The Table After Jornada 10<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table class=\"has-fixed-layout\"><thead><tr><th><em>Club<\/em><\/th><th><em>GP<\/em><\/th><th><em>GD<\/em><\/th><th><em>Pts<\/em><\/th><\/tr><\/thead><tbody><tr><td><em>1. Toluca<\/em><\/td><td><em>10<\/em><\/td><td><em>+11<\/em><\/td><td><em><strong>20<\/strong><\/em><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>2. Am\u00e9rica<\/em><\/td><td><em>9<\/em><\/td><td><em>+11<\/em><\/td><td><em><strong>20<\/strong><\/em><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>3. Guadalajara<\/em><\/td><td><em>10<\/em><\/td><td><em>+7<\/em><\/td><td><em>18<\/em><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>4. Quer\u00e9taro<\/em><\/td><td><em>9<\/em><\/td><td><em>+5<\/em><\/td><td><em>17<\/em><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>5. Le\u00f3n<\/em><\/td><td><em>10<\/em><\/td><td><em>+3<\/em><\/td><td><em>17<\/em><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>6. Atlas<\/em><\/td><td><em>10<\/em><\/td><td><em>-1<\/em><\/td><td><em>17<\/em><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>7. Cruz Azul<\/em><\/td><td><em>10<\/em><\/td><td><em>+1<\/em><\/td><td><em>16<\/em><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>8. Tijuana<\/em><\/td><td><em>9<\/em><\/td><td><em>+1<\/em><\/td><td><em>14<\/em><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>9. Puebla<\/em><\/td><td><em>10<\/em><\/td><td><em>-1<\/em><\/td><td><em>14<\/em><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>10. Monterrey<\/em><\/td><td><em>9<\/em><\/td><td><em>+2<\/em><\/td><td><em>13<\/em><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>11. Pachuca<\/em><\/td><td><em>10<\/em><\/td><td><em>+4<\/em><\/td><td><em>12<\/em><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><em>12. Pumas<\/em><\/td><td><em>10<\/em><\/td><td><em>-2<\/em><\/td><td><em>12<\/em><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Am\u00e9rica Are the Real Leaders<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Twenty points from nine matches, +11, and the best scoring rate in the division.<\/strong><br><br>They beat Necaxa <strong>4-2<\/strong> on the road in Jornada 10 to draw level with Toluca at the summit, and they did it having played a game fewer than everybody above and around them. <strong>Win the match by hand, and they are three clear.<\/strong><br><br><strong>Twenty-one scored, and ten conceded across nine matches<\/strong> is the most balanced record in Mexico. The three-defeat fortnight in September (two at the Leagues Cup, one in the Cl\u00e1sico Joven) has been answered with a run that has taken them from third to first in all but name.<br><br><strong>The case against:<\/strong> they have not yet beaten a direct rival. The 2-2 Cl\u00e1sico Nacional against Chivas was a comeback from 0-2 down rather than a statement, and the 4-3 defeat to Cruz Azul is still the only meeting with a top four side this season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Toluca Are Top and Have Stopped Winning<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Twenty points out of ten, and only one victory in the last three rounds.<\/strong><br><br>The 3-3 draw at Cruz Azul was entertaining, and it cost them the outright lead. Before that, they lost 3-2 at home to Santos (the second-worst team in the division) after going two goals up.<br><br><strong>Twenty-three scored is still the best attack in Mexico,<\/strong> and the +11 difference is joint-best. Antonio Mohamed&#8217;s side has not become bad; they have become beatable, and the gap they built in the first eight rounds has evaporated.<br><br><strong>The case against:twelve conceded<\/strong>, up from six after eight matches. Six goals shipped in two games against Santos and Cruz Azul is not a run, but it is a direction, and the Leagues Cup winners have played more football this calendar year than anyone in the league.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Chivas Have Fallen Out of It, For Now<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Eighteen points out of ten, and they have just lost 2-0 at home to Quer\u00e9taro.<\/strong><br><br>Guadalajara led the Apertura after Jornada 8. Since then, they have drawn the Cl\u00e1sico Nacional from a winning position and been beaten at home by a club nobody expected to be in the conversation.<br><br><strong>Seventeen goals scored is the lowest total of any side in the top six.<\/strong> The defense remains good (ten conceded is second only to Am\u00e9rica), but a team that cannot score at home against Quer\u00e9taro is not winning a title.<br><br><strong>The case against:<\/strong> two points from the last two rounds, and the fixtures do not get easier.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Quer\u00e9taro Are Fourth, and Nobody Can Explain It<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Seventeen points from nine matches, +5, and a 2-0 win at Guadalajara.<\/strong><br><br>We flagged Gallos a fortnight ago as the surprise of the tournament and ranked them above their table position based on a game in hand and a run of away results. <strong>They have now added the best win of anyone&#8217;s season.<\/strong><br><br>The profile has not changed: <strong>thirteen scored and eight conceded<\/strong> is modest at both ends, and they win close matches rather than good ones. <strong>Mateo Coronel and Iker Benito lead the attack; goalkeeper Guillermo Allison organizes the defense.<\/strong><br><br><strong>They also still hold a match in hand on Le\u00f3n, Atlas and Cruz Azul<\/strong>, which means fourth understates them.<br><br><strong>The case against:<\/strong> thirteen goals in nine matches is a Liguilla profile, not a title one. One injury to the spine of this team ends the story.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Cruz Azul Finally Drew a Match<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The 3-3 with Toluca was the defending champions&#8217; first draw of the season.<\/strong><br><br>Nine matches, five wins, four defeats and nothing in between: we wrote that it was a temperament rather than a record. The tenth produced a six-goal draw against the league leaders, which is somehow the most Cruz Azul outcome available.<br><br><strong>Sixteen points, +1, seventh.<\/strong> Nineteen scored and eighteen conceded by the reigning champions, who also lost the Campeones Cup at Inter Miami last month.<br><br><strong>The case against:<\/strong> eighteen conceded in ten matches is the worst defensive record in the top seven by a distance, and a club in the quarter-final places on a +1-goal difference is not a contender. They will beat anybody. They will also lose to anybody.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>The Cluster on 17, and the Problem with Atlas<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Le\u00f3n and Atlas are level with Quer\u00e9taro on 17 points. Their goal differences are +3 and -1.<\/strong><br><br><strong>Atlas sixth with a negative goal difference<\/strong> is the clearest overperformance in the division. They scored 16 and conceded 17 across ten matches and sit in a quarter-final place, having just won 3-2 at Tijuana.<br><br><strong>Le\u00f3n at +3<\/strong> is the more solid of the two and beat Ju\u00e1rez 2-1.<br><br><strong>Neither is the title contender.<\/strong> Both are fighting for seeding, and the difference between fourth and sixth is the difference between playing the fifth-placed side and playing a team that finished third.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div id=\"advad-gambyl-3815577900\" class=\"house advad-gambyl-third-paragraph advad-gambyl-entity-placement\" style=\"margin-top: 10px;margin-right: 10px;margin-bottom: 10px;margin-left: 10px;clear: both;\" data-cfpa=\"31717\" data-cfpw=\"31717\"><h2><strong><span style=\"color:#F0BE00;font-weight:800;\">Attention New Players!<\/span><\/strong><\/h2>\r\n\t<img src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciIHZpZXdCb3g9IjAgMCA4MDAgMTk3IiB3aWR0aD0iODAwIiBoZWlnaHQ9IjE5NyIgZGF0YS11PSJodHRwcyUzQSUyRiUyRnd3dy5nYW1ieWwuY29tJTJGd3AtY29udGVudCUyRnVwbG9hZHMlMkYyMDI0JTJGMDclMkZHYW1ieWxfZ29sZF9sb2dvcy13aGl0ZS1zcGFuaXNoLTEucG5nIiBkYXRhLXc9IjgwMCIgZGF0YS1oPSIxOTciIGRhdGEtYmlwPSIiPjwvc3ZnPg==\" data-spai=\"1\" alt=\"Gambyl\" width=\"125\" height=\"36\">\r\n<p><a style=\"color:white;\" href=\"http:\/\/exchange.gambyl.com\/signinredirection\" data-bid=\"1\" data-no-instant=\"1\" rel=\"noopener\">Bet on Sports legally at the Gambyl Betting Exchange. New player offer: $10 USD for all new verified accounts plus a 100% match bonus on your first deposit.<\/a><\/p>\t\r\n<p><a style=\"color:white;\" href=\"http:\/\/exchange.gambyl.com\/signinredirection\" data-bid=\"1\" data-no-instant=\"1\" rel=\"noopener\">Join Today!<\/a><\/p>\r\n<\/div><br style=\"clear: both; display: block; float: none;\"\/><script type=\"text\/javascript\">;new advadsCfpAd( 31717 );<\/script><h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Pachuca Are Still the Best Team Outside the Eight<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Eleventh on 12 points, with a goal difference of +4.<\/strong><br><br>That figure is better than Le\u00f3n (+3), Atlas (-1), Cruz Azul (+1), Tijuana (+1), Puebla (-1) and Monterrey (+2). <strong>Only the top three have a better underlying record than a club sitting eleventh.<\/strong><br><br><strong>Fifteen scored and eleven conceded<\/strong> is a top six profile. Three draws in ten matches is why they are not there, and the 1-0 defeat at Santos in Jornada 10 is the sort of result that is quietly ending their tournament.<br><br><strong>They are four points off eighth with seven to play.<\/strong> It is recoverable, and it has been recoverable for a month.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>The Cut Line<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Tijuana holds eighth on 14 points with a game in hand. Puebla are ninth on 14. Monterrey are tenth on 13 with a game in hand.<\/strong><br><br><strong>Ninth is elimination.<\/strong> There is no Play-In, and there is nothing beyond eighth place, which makes the gap between Puebla and Tijuana the most consequential point in the division.<br><br><strong>Monterrey are the club most likely to climb into it<\/strong>: 13 points from nine, +2, and the squad that should not be outside. They were beaten <strong>4-2 by Atlante<\/strong>, the club that returned to the first division this year by taking Mazatl\u00e1n&#8217;s place rather than by winning promotion.<br><br><strong>And at the bottom, Ju\u00e1rez have three points from ten matches and a -18-goal difference.<\/strong> Under Article 35, that carries no sporting consequence whatsoever.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>What the Last Seven Rounds Decide<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>The title is between Toluca and Am\u00e9rica<\/strong>, and Am\u00e9rica hold the advantage because of the fixture in hand and because they are playing better right now.<br><br><strong>Chivas needs a response immediately.<\/strong> Two points from two rounds and a home defeat to Quer\u00e9taro is how a title challenge becomes a seeding fight.<br><br><strong>Quer\u00e9taro are the team to watch.<\/strong> Fourth, with a game in hand, and the only side in the top four whose presence nobody predicted. If they finish there, the 4 v 5 quarterfinal is close to a coin flip, and they will fancy it.<br><br><strong>Monterrey and Pachuca will decide on the eighth-place line<\/strong>, two clubs with better underlying numbers than several teams above them and seven matches to prove it.<br><br>Toluca led this tournament for a month and stopped winning. Am\u00e9rica have not been top all season and are about to be. Seven rounds left, and the only certainty is that ninth place ends it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-ink-adddata-ink-adddata-ink\"><\/div>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Toluca and Am\u00e9rica are level on 20 points with an identical +11 goal difference. Am\u00e9rica have played one Liga MX match fewer. That is the Apertura with seven rounds left: a leader who is not really leading, a defending champion who just recorded their first draw of the season, and a Chivas side that was [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":16,"featured_media":37275,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_angie_page":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","page_builder":"","footnotes":"","_wpscp_schedule_draft_date":"","_wpscp_schedule_republish_date":"","_wpscppro_advance_schedule":false,"_wpscppro_advance_schedule_date":"","_wpscppro_dont_share_socialmedia":false,"_wpscppro_custom_social_share_image":0,"_facebook_share_type":"","_twitter_share_type":"","_linkedin_share_type":"","_pinterest_share_type":"","_linkedin_share_type_page":"","_instagram_share_type":"","_medium_share_type":"","_threads_share_type":"","_google_business_share_type":"","_bluesky_share_type":"","_mastodon_share_type":"","_selected_social_profile":[],"_wpsp_enable_custom_social_template":false,"_wpsp_social_scheduling":{"enabled":false,"datetime":null,"platforms":[],"status":"template_only","dateOption":"today","timeOption":"now","customDays":"","customHours":"","customDate":"","customTime":"","schedulingType":"absolute"},"_wpsp_active_default_template":true},"categories":[93],"tags":[171],"class_list":["post-49262","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-liga-mx","tag-soccer"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO Pro 5.0.2.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Toluca and Am\u00e9rica are level on 20 points with an identical +11 goal difference. 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