{"id":49458,"date":"2026-10-14T21:46:05","date_gmt":"2026-10-15T03:46:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gambyl.com\/?p=49458"},"modified":"2026-10-14T21:46:10","modified_gmt":"2026-10-15T03:46:10","slug":"ufc-fight-night-buckley-vs-malott-fight-card-odds-and-free-pick","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gambyl.com\/en\/ufc\/ufc-fight-night-buckley-vs-malott-fight-card-odds-and-free-pick\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott Fight Card Odds and Free Pick"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Joaquin Buckley won six straight at welterweight. Then Kamaru Usman and Sean Brady out-wrestled him in consecutive UFC fights.<\/strong>

Mike Malott is a Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt on a four-fight winning streak, and he is bigger than Buckley.<\/strong>

That is the entire fight.<\/strong> The division found a problem with the No. 10 welterweight, and the UFC has matched him against a man made to exploit it, in front of a Canadian crowd, in the arena where Malott’s current run started two years ago.

Eleven of the thirteen fighters’ home nations on this card read Canada.<\/strong> This is the UFC’s fourth visit to Edmonton and the first since November 2024.

Catch this Saturday’s UFC\/MMA<\/a> event with full fight analysis and betting insights, then keep the adrenaline going at Gambyl Casino<\/a>, where exclusive promos and nonstop casino action bring fight night to another level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC Fight Night 291 Edmonton: Fight Card Odds and Info<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Joaquin Buckley (#10) (+120)<\/em><\/td>Mike Malott (#13) (-140)<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Erin Blanchfield (#4) (-300)<\/em><\/td> Jasmine Jasudavicius (#6) (+240)<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Kyle Nelson (+240)<\/em><\/td>Cristian Perez (-300)<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Marc-Andre Barriault (+185)<\/em><\/td>Kyle Daukaus (-225)<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Louis Jourdain (-205)<\/em><\/td>Timmy Cuamba (+170)<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Mandel Nallo (-250)<\/em><\/td>Nate Landwehr (+205)<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Tanner Boser TBD<\/em><\/td>Jhonata Diniz TBD<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Julien Leblanc TBD<\/em><\/td>Nick Galanti TBD<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Javad Mahjoub TBD<\/em><\/td>Joel Faglier TBD<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Katlyn Cerminara TBD<\/em><\/td>Mackenzie Stiller TBD<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Chad Anheliger TBD<\/em><\/td>Steven Koslow TBD<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Melissa Croden (#14) TBD<\/em><\/td>Chelsea Chandler TBD<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Cody Chovancek TBD<\/em><\/td>SuYoung You TBD<\/em><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
When?<\/strong><\/td>Saturday, October 17 \u2014 prelims 5:00 PM ET, main card 8:00 PM ET<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Where?<\/strong><\/td>Rogers Place, Edmonton, Alberta, Canada<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Where Can I Watch It?<\/strong><\/td>Paramount+ in the United States; Sportsnet and TVA Sports in Canada<\/em><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

UFC Edmonton: Joaquin Buckley vs. Mike Malott<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Buckley?<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

He is one of the hardest punchers at 170 pounds, and the six-fight run that got him here was not soft.<\/strong> Buckley beat Andre Fialho by head kick, Alex Morono, Vicente Luque by TKO, Nursulton Ruziboev, Stephen Thompson by third-round knockout at UFC 307, and Colby Covington by doctor stoppage.<\/strong>

The physical part matters more than it looks.<\/strong> Buckley is listed at 5-foot-8 with a 76-inch reach<\/strong>. Malott is 6-foot-1 with a 73-inch reach<\/strong>. The smaller man has three inches of reach,<\/strong> which means Buckley can punish entries from outside without having to be the one closing distance.

And Malott’s only UFC defeat was a stoppage on the feet<\/strong>: a third-round TKO against Neil Magny at UFC 297. The power is a live threat in all five rounds.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Malott?<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Four straight wins, and the most recent one is the credential: a third-round stoppage of Gilbert Burns in April, in his first UFC main event, worth a $100,000 bonus.<\/strong> Before that, he beat Trevin Giles, knocked out Charles Radtke, and outpointed Kevin Holland.

He is a jiu-jitsu black belt who spent years coaching striking at Team Alpha Male.<\/strong> That is an unusual combination (the grappling credential plus a genuine striking background), and it is why he can finish fights both ways.

He is also the bigger man, fighting at home, on his sixth consecutive start on Canadian soil<\/strong>, in the building where this streak began two years ago.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Final Betting Analysis: Buckley vs. Malott<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

The UFC’s own preview is blunt about the pattern: Buckley was out-wrestled in both of his losses and can be taken down and controlled.<\/strong> Usman did it over five rounds in June 2025; Brady did it over three at UFC 328 in May.

The counter-argument is real and worth stating.Malott is not the wrestler Usman or Brady is.<\/strong> If Buckley stuffs the first few entries, this starts to look like the version of him that won six in a row.

But that is a conditional case, and Malott’s is not.<\/strong> Bigger man, longer streak, more ways to score across 25 minutes, home crowd. Buckley’s path requires his power to land before the grappling does.<\/strong>

At -140, Malott is priced as a modest favourite in a fight where the stylistic advantage is clear.<\/strong> That is not a generous number, but it is the right side.

FREE PICK: Mike Malott by decision.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC Edmonton: Erin Blanchfield vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Blanchfield?<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

One comparison settles most of this fight.<\/strong> Both women have faced Manon Fiorot. Jasudavicius was stopped by Fiorot in the first round. Blanchfield went the full twenty-five minutes with her and lost a decision.<\/strong>

Blanchfield is 14-2, 8-1 in the UFC<\/strong>, a jiu-jitsu black belt with submission wins over Tracy Cortez, Jessica Andrade and Molly McCann.<\/strong> She beat Rose Namajunas by unanimous decision the last time the UFC was in Edmonton<\/strong>, and avenged her disputed loss to Cortez at UFC 322.<\/strong>

At 27 and ranked fourth, she is the better fighter on every measure except availability.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Jasudavicius?<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Blanchfield has not fought since November 2025 and is returning from injury.<\/strong> The co-main is itself a rebooking: this exact matchup was scheduled for UFC 330 in August, and Blanchfield withdrew hurt.<\/strong> Eleven months out is a long time for a grappler.

Jasudavicius has won six of her last seven<\/strong>, including a third-round submission of Ariane da Silva on the previous Edmonton card that won Performance of the Night<\/strong>, and a decision over Karine Silva in April.

And there is genuine bad blood.<\/strong> Jasudavicius handed Fatima Kline <\/strong>(Blanchfield’s main training partner and close friend) her first career loss, and the Niagara Top Team fighter has not been shy about mentioning it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Final Betting Analysis: Blanchfield vs. Jasudavicius<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

-300 is a big number, and the Fiorot comparison justifies most of it.<\/strong> The two are physically close (Jasudavicius is three inches taller at 5-foot-7 with the same 68-inch reach<\/strong>), so this is about skill rather than frame.

The only real argument against Blanchfield is the layoff<\/strong>, and at 37 Jasudavicius does not have time to wait for a better opportunity. Alexa Grasso is the clubhouse leader for the next title shot<\/strong>, which means the winner here is making a case rather than booking a date.

FREE PICK: Erin Blanchfield by decision. No stake at -300.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC Edmonton: Kyle Nelson vs. Cristian Perez<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Nelson?<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

He is 17-7-1; he has done well in his last two appearances on Canadian soil, and he has won four of six.<\/strong>

The Frevola result was strange and instructive.<\/strong> In Vancouver last October, Nelson appeared to stop Matt Frevola in the opening round; the referee allowed the fight to continue, and Nelson held serve the rest of the way.<\/strong> That is a veteran handling an officiating mistake without unravelling.

He failed against Terrance McKinney in March<\/strong>, but he arrives as the experienced measuring stick in a fight against a man who has never walked to the Octagon.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Perez?<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

15-2 with twelve finishes in fifteen wins, split evenly between knockouts and submissions.<\/strong> The 27-year-old trains out of The Goat Shed in Miami<\/strong> and earned his roster place at the second attempt, stopping Logan Paxton in the second round<\/strong> after losing to Manoel Sousa the previous season.

“Puas” had considerable success under the Combate banner<\/strong>, and the market has noticed: he is a -300 favourite making his UFC debut.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Final Betting Analysis: Nelson vs. Perez<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

-300 on a debutant against a veteran with more than a dozen Octagon appearances, on that veteran’s home continent, is a price built on projection more than evidence.<\/strong>

Perez may well be the better fighter. He has not yet proved it at this level<\/strong>, and the single most common mispricing in MMA betting is a Contender Series graduate against a durable gatekeeper.

Nelson’s floor is high.<\/strong> He has been stopped, but he has also absorbed a lot, kept working, and the venue has suited him.

FREE PICK: Kyle Nelson at +240, the best value on the main card.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC Edmonton: Marc-Andre Barriault vs. Kyle Daukaus<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Barriault?<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Fight of the Night bonuses in each of his last two outings.<\/strong> The 36-year-old from Gatineau, Quebec,<\/strong> is in his eighth year on the roster and has been one of the division’s most reliably entertaining fighters for all of it.

And the style matchup favours him more than the records do.The thing Daukaus has historically struggled with is exactly what Barriault does best:<\/strong> closing distance quickly and making a fight frenetic.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Daukaus?<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

He opened his second UFC run with rapid stoppages of Michel Pereira and Gerald Meerschaert.<\/strong> That is two quick finishes against real opposition.

The Nickal loss is the obvious mark against him<\/strong> (a first-round stoppage at UFC Freedom 250), but it came against one of the division’s most highly regarded prospects.

The record argument is decisive.Barriault has one win in his last six outings<\/strong>, and he lost both of those Fight of the Night performances on the scorecards. Entertaining and losing is still losing.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Final Betting Analysis: Barriault vs. Daukaus<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

-225 is fair rather than generous, and that is the honest verdict.<\/strong> The board has the form right: one win in six against a man with two quick finishes in his last three appearances.

Barriault backers are paying for durability and a home crowd.<\/strong> Both are real. Neither is worth the thirty-two percent the price implies against these recent results.<\/strong>

FREE PICK: Kyle Daukaus by TKO.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC Edmonton: Louis Jourdain vs. Timmy Cuamba<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Jourdain?<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

He arrives on a four-fight winning streak<\/strong>, having claimed his roster spot with a third-round submission over Magno Dias<\/strong> on the Contender Series.

He is also the second Jourdain to reach the UFC<\/strong> (brother Charles is already an active competitor), and the stylistic difference is worth knowing. Louis is more fundamentally focused and direct, whereas Charles is fluid and flashy.<\/strong> For a debut, fundamentals travel better than flash.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Cuamba?<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

He has five UFC appearances, and Jourdain has none.<\/strong>

And the record is better than it reads.<\/strong> Cuamba is 2-3 overall but 1-1 since settling at bantamweight;<\/strong> both of his first two defeats came up at lightweight and featherweight, at the wrong weight entirely. He looked crisp beating Chang Ho Lee<\/strong> last November before losing to Benardo Sopaj<\/strong>.

The other factor is rust. Jourdain has been sidelined for just over a year.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Final Betting Analysis: Jourdain vs. Cuamba<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

This is the right first assignment for Jourdain, and the market has priced it that way at -205.<\/strong> Cuamba is a known quantity who will test a debutant without overwhelming him.

A twelve-month layoff into a UFC debut is the live risk<\/strong>, and Cuamba at +170 is a reasonable price on that specific scenario. But Jourdain is the better prospect and the more complete fighter.<\/strong>

FREE PICK: Louis Jourdain by decision.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC Edmonton: Mandel Nallo vs. Nate Landwehr<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Nallo?<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

He is 14-4 with one no contest, and he has never once seen the scorecards.<\/strong> In eighteen professional fights, he has been past the first round only five times.<\/strong>

The Tristar Gym product had Jai Herbert on the ropes in his debut and got caught and finished himself<\/strong>, a fight he will want back, and one that showed both the danger and the recklessness.

Against a 38-year-old moving up a weight class after 26 fights at featherweight, that profile is a strong one.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Landwehr?<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

“The Train” is an all-action veteran and a bonus magnet<\/strong>, and he has stopped more experienced men than Nallo in worse positions.

That is the entire positive case<\/strong>, and it has to be set against this: Landwehr is on a three-fight skid and has been finished in every one of those defeats.<\/strong> He is 38 and moving to lightweight after a long featherweight career.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Final Betting Analysis: Nallo vs. Landwehr<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

This fight will not need judges and both profiles say so.<\/strong> The UFC’s own preview says it plainly: it will be chaotic, exciting, and probably short.

Landwehr at +205 is not value.A price around thirty-one percent on a fighter coming off three consecutive stoppage losses, moving up in weight at 38, is not low; it is accurate.<\/strong>

FREE PICK: Mandel Nallo by TKO.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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