{"id":49550,"date":"2026-10-21T21:16:02","date_gmt":"2026-10-22T03:16:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gambyl.com\/?p=49550"},"modified":"2026-10-21T21:16:14","modified_gmt":"2026-10-22T03:16:14","slug":"ufc-333-volkanovski-vs-evloev-fight-card-odds-and-free-pick","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gambyl.com\/en\/ufc\/ufc-333-volkanovski-vs-evloev-fight-card-odds-and-free-pick\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev Fight Card Odds and Free Pick"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

A featherweight title fight priced at -110 on both sides. A bantamweight title trilogy at one win apiece. Fourteen fights, and the UFC main card starts at two in the afternoon.<\/strong>

Alexander Volkanovski is 8-0 in successful title defences and chasing the divisional record. Movsar Evloev is 20-0 and has never been beaten anywhere.<\/strong> The books cannot separate them.

Below that, Petr Yan and Merab Dvalishvili meet for a third time with the bantamweight belt on the line.<\/strong> Yan took it back last December by holding Dvalishvili to two takedowns from twenty-nine attempts.<\/strong> Dvalishvili had won fourteen in a row before that night.

This is the strongest UFC card of the autumn, and it runs in the morning for American viewers.<\/strong> Early prelims at 10:00 AM ET, main card at 2:00 PM.

Catch this Saturday’s UFC\/MMA<\/a> event with full fight analysis and betting insights, then keep the adrenaline going at Gambyl Casino<\/a>, where exclusive promos and nonstop casino action bring fight night to another level.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC 333 Abu Dhabi: Fight Card Odds and Info<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Alexander Volkanovski (C) (-110)<\/em><\/td>Movsar Evloev (#1) (-110)<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Petr Yan (C) TBD<\/em><\/td>Merab Dvalishvili (#1) TBD<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Lone’er Kavanagh (#6) (-105)<\/em><\/td>Ramazan Temirov (#10) (-115)<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Alexander Volkov (#2) (-120)<\/em><\/td>Rizvan Kuniev (#7) (+100)<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Aaron Pico (#11) (-105) <\/em><\/td>Losene Keita (-115)<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Azamat Murzakanov (#7) (-220)<\/em><\/td>Dominick Reyes (#8) (+180)<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Nikita Krylov (#15) (+350)<\/em><\/td>Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev (-450)<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Abus Magomedov (#12) (-120)<\/em><\/td>Cam Rowston (+100)<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Grant Dawson (-125)<\/em><\/td>Nurullo Aliev (+105)<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Colby Thicknesse (+400)<\/em><\/em><\/td>Asaf Chopurov (-550) <\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Abubakar Vagaev (-190)<\/em><\/td>Jacob Malkoun (+160)<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Bolaji Oki (+110)<\/em><\/td>Daniel Santos (-130)<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Kody Steele (-155)<\/em><\/td>Noah Gugnon (+130)<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Iasmin Lucindo (-350)<\/em><\/td>Nicolle Caliari (+275)<\/em><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
When?<\/strong><\/td>Saturday, October 24 \u2014 early prelims 10:00 AM ET, prelims 12:00 PM ET, main card 2:00 PM ET<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Where?<\/strong><\/td>Etihad Arena, Yas Island, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Where Can I Watch It?<\/strong><\/td>Paramount+ (early prelims also on UFC Fight Pass)<\/em><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Volkanovski?<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Eight successful title defences, and a ninth would set a new featherweight record.<\/strong> He reclaimed the belt in 2025 and defended it earlier this year against Diego Lopes in Sydney<\/strong>, dominating from the opening bell and taking Fight of the Night<\/strong> in the process.

UFC’s own preview calls him “arguably the most complete fighter to ever grace the Octagon.”<\/strong> That is not promotional vocabulary about a prospect; it is a two-time champion with nothing left to prove and a specific record in his sights.

And Evloev has never fought anyone like him.<\/strong> Twenty wins, no titleholders among them.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Evloev?<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

20-0. Ten wins from ten UFC starts. Thirty-two years old and still unbeaten.<\/strong>

The context: UFC supply is the striking part: fewer than twenty fighters in the promotion’s history have won ten or more consecutive bouts at this level.<\/strong> That is the company Evloev is in.

And the wrestling is the problem Volkanovski has to solve.<\/strong> Against Lerone Murphy<\/strong>, Evloev struck for two rounds, and then went 9 for 10 on takedowns across the final three.<\/strong> He has suffocated everyone he has faced.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Final Betting Analysis: Volkanovski vs. Evloev<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

-110 on both sides is the books telling you they have no edge, and for once we agree with them.<\/strong>

One number cuts against the challenger: Evloev has never finished anyone in the UFC.<\/strong> Ten wins, no stoppages. If this becomes a five-round grind, Volkanovski has been in more of them than any featherweight alive.<\/strong>

The fight is a referendum on one question: can Evloev’s wrestling hold a man who has defended the title eight times?<\/strong> The Murphy sequence says the takedowns will come. The counter is that Volkanovski’s takedown defence and get-ups are the best the division has produced, and that twenty-five minutes of chain wrestling against him has never worked.<\/strong>

Our lean is the champion, narrowly, and we are not going to dress it up as more than that.<\/strong> Experience in championship rounds against a man who has never seen them is the thinnest honest edge available.

FREE PICK: Alexander Volkanovski by decision, at a reduced stake. This is a genuine coin flip, and the price says so.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC 333: Petr Yan vs. Merab Dvalishvili<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Yan?<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

The most recent evidence is a masterclass, and the numbers are extraordinary.<\/strong> At UFC 323 last December<\/strong>, Yan limited Dvalishvili to two takedowns on twenty-nine attempts<\/strong>, landed 5 of 9 of his own<\/strong>, and connected at a 60% clip across five rounds<\/strong> to become a two-time champion.

Stopping twenty-seven of twenty-nine takedown attempts against the most relentless wrestler in the division is the single most impressive defensive performance in bantamweight history.<\/strong>

He has now won four straight and is 20-5<\/strong>, at 33, with the all-time-great conversation reopening around him.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Dvalishvili?<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

He won the first fight, and he won it comfortably.<\/strong> In their March 2023 main event,<\/strong> he went 11 for 49 on takedowns<\/strong>, nearly doubled Yan’s striking output, and cruised to a unanimous decision.

And the December defeat has an explanation he has offered himself.<\/strong> The loss snapped a fourteen-fight winning streak<\/strong>, and Dvalishvili has said in the build-up that he “appeared to get deflated”<\/strong> that night; he was the reigning champion attempting a fourth title defence inside a single year.

Ten months of preparation instead of a punishing schedule is a materially different Dvalishvili.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Final Betting Analysis: Yan vs. Dvalishvili<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

One win each, and both were one-sided in opposite directions.<\/strong> That is the rarest shape a trilogy can take, and it is why no price has been posted.

Yan attributed his first loss to injury limitations. Dvalishvili attributes his second to volume and fatigue.<\/strong> Both explanations are plausible, and both are self-serving. What is not in dispute is that each man has now had ten months to prepare for one opponent.<\/strong>

We take the more recent fight over the older one<\/strong>, and the more recent fight was not close.

FREE PICK: Petr Yan by decision. No line posted; this is a read, not a play.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC 333: Lone’er Kavanagh vs. Ramazan Temirov<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Kavanagh?<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

He beat a former champion in February and then won Fight of the Night against a top candidate in July.<\/strong> The short-notice unanimous decision over Brandon Moreno<\/strong> was the breakout; the three-round war with Brandon Royval<\/strong> was the confirmation.

This is his third appearance of the year,<\/strong> and he arrived in the UFC off a stunning knockout of An Tuan Ho<\/strong> to open Season 9 of the Contender Series. No flyweight has had a better 2026.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Temirov?<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

A twelve-fight winning streak and a 20-3 record<\/strong>, most recently a first-round stoppage of former title challenger Steve Erceg<\/strong> on the UFC’s July visit to this same arena.

He also beat CJ Vergara and Charles Johnson in his first two Octagon appearances.<\/strong> Stopping Erceg inside a round is the single best result on either man’s recent sheet.

The asterisk is between those wins: a one-year suspension for an anti-doping violation.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Final Betting Analysis: Kavanagh vs. Temirov<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

-105 and -115 is another pick’em, and the division is why it matters.<\/strong> Champion Joshua Van<\/strong> and Manel Kape<\/strong> appear headed for a title fight early next year, which leaves the next challenger slot genuinely open. A statement here puts the winner on that list alongside Royval and Asu Almabayev.<\/strong>

Kavanagh has beaten the better opposition. Temirov has produced the better single performance.<\/strong> Kavanagh is also fighting for the third time this year, which is either momentum or mileage.

FREE PICK: Lone’er Kavanagh by decision.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC 333: Alexander Volkov vs. Rizvan Kuniev<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Volkov?<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Six wins from seven, and the only defeat was a disputed split decision against Ciryl Gane at the end of 2024.<\/strong>

He is one win from a title shot, and he knows it.Ciryl Gane fights Josh Hokit at Madison Square Garden next month<\/strong>, and a Volkov win here paired with a Gane win there sets up the rematch Volkov has been chasing for two years.

At #2, he is the highest-ranked fighter on this card outside the two champions.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Kuniev?<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

UFC’s own preview calls this a trap fight for Volkov, and Kuniev is the trap.<\/strong> The 34-year-old is 2-1 in the promotion<\/strong> with wins over Jailton Almeida and Tyrell Fortune<\/strong>, the latter winning Fight of the Night<\/strong> in July after he finished the American in the third with knees to the body.<\/strong>

His only UFC loss is a split decision to Curtis Blaydes<\/strong>, which is the kind of defeat that says more about the opponent than the fighter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Final Betting Analysis: Volkov vs. Kuniev<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

-120 and +100 on a fight between the second- and seventh-ranked heavyweights is a very short price on the better-established man.<\/strong>

That reflects the specific risk.<\/strong> Volkov is risking a ranking and a title shot against an opponent with everything to gain and a Fight of the Night finish to his name. Heavyweight is also the division where one clean shot overrides every other consideration.<\/strong>

Volkov’s length and volume are the right tools, and he has been the better fighter for longer.<\/strong>

FREE PICK: Alexander Volkov by decision, at a reduced stake. Kuniev at +100 is a live price.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC 333: Aaron Pico vs. Losene Keita<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Pico?<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

He steadied himself with a unanimous decision over Patricio Pitbull<\/strong> after arriving in the UFC as the betting favourite against then-unbeaten Lerone Murphy<\/strong> and losing.

That favourite’s price on debut tells you what the promotion thinks of him.<\/strong> Beating a former Bellator champion in his second outing is the result that made the Murphy loss a setback rather than a verdict.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Keita?<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

A first-round knockout of Muhammad Naimov in Paris<\/strong>, which reset his standing after a rough start: he missed weight for his debut against Pitbull<\/strong> and then dropped a split decision to Nathaniel Wood in March.

He arrives on genuine momentum and the shortest turnaround on the card: seven weeks since that knockout.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Final Betting Analysis: Pico vs. Keita<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

A top-fifteen place is reserved for the winner<\/strong>, which makes this the most consequential fight on the card outside the title bouts.

-105 and -115 is a third pick’em on this main card.<\/strong> Pico has the better single win; Keita has the better recent form and the more emphatic finish.

The tiebreaker is the calendar.Seven weeks between a knockout win and a card like this is a very short camp<\/strong>, and Pico was originally preparing for Arnold Allen<\/strong>, a stylistically different opponent, which cuts the other way.

FREE PICK: Aaron Pico by decision.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC 333: Azamat Murzakanov vs. Dominick Reyes<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Murzakanov?<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

Six straight wins to open his UFC career, and he was pushing for the top five before he met Paulo Costa.<\/strong> That defeat at UFC 327 in April<\/strong> was the first of his entire career;<\/strong> he is 16-1.<\/strong>

One loss in sixteen fights, to a former title challenger, is not a pattern.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Reyes?<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

He is 16-5 and has fought for a championship.<\/strong> His three-fight winning streak was snapped last autumn by current champion Carlos Ulberg<\/strong>, and he returned in April with a split decision over Johnny Walker.<\/strong>

The honest note from UFC’s preview is that the Walker fight was “tepid” and that Reyes remains vulnerable to clean power shots.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Final Betting Analysis: Murzakanov vs. Reyes<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

-220 is a solid price, and the records support it.<\/strong> Murzakanov has lost once in sixteen; Reyes has lost five times and been stopped by the champion.

The case for Reyes at +180 is experience in five-round fights and the fact that Murzakanov has not won since losing.The case against is that a man described as vulnerable to power is facing someone who built a six-fight UFC run on it.<\/strong>

FREE PICK: Azamat Murzakanov by TKO.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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