{"id":49789,"date":"2026-11-11T20:27:41","date_gmt":"2026-11-12T02:27:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gambyl.com\/?p=49789"},"modified":"2026-11-11T20:27:50","modified_gmt":"2026-11-12T02:27:50","slug":"ufc-334-gane-vs-hokit-fight-card-odds-and-free-picks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gambyl.com\/en\/gambyl\/ufc-334-gane-vs-hokit-fight-card-odds-and-free-picks\/","title":{"rendered":"UFC 334: Gane vs. Hokit Fight Card, Odds and Free Picks"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Josh Hokit fights for the heavyweight title 53 weeks after his promotional debut, 16 months after earning a UFC Contender Series contract, and with a 10-0 record nobody expected to be here.<\/strong>

Ciryl Gane is the champion by elevation rather than by conquest.<\/strong> He beat Alex Pereira at UFC Freedom 250 to win the interim belt for a second time, and was made undisputed when Tom Aspinall suffered a setback from the eye injuries he took in their fight last October.

And the co-main is the bigger fight.<\/strong> Kayla Harrison defends the women’s bantamweight title against Amanda Nunes, back from a retirement that lasted from June 2023 until she walked into the Octagon after UFC 316 to call Harrison out.<\/strong> It was booked for January, postponed when Harrison needed neck surgery, and lands at Madison Square Garden instead.

Thirteen fights, a pick on every one, and an honest scorecard on the fourteen picks we published a week ago.<\/strong> We went ten from fourteen for plus 1.49 units.<\/strong>

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UFC 334 New York: Fight Card Odds and Info<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Card<\/em><\/th>Fight<\/em><\/th>Odds<\/em><\/th>Weight class<\/em><\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
Main<\/em><\/td>Ciryl Gane<\/strong> vs. Josh Hokit<\/em><\/td>-200 \/ +165<\/em><\/td>Heavyweight Title, five rounds<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Main<\/em><\/td>Kayla Harrison<\/strong> vs. Amanda Nunes<\/em><\/td>-185 \/ +155<\/em><\/td>Women\u2019s Bantamweight Title, five rounds<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Main<\/em><\/td>Caio Borralho<\/strong> vs. Yousri Belgaroui<\/em><\/td>-155 \/ +130<\/em><\/td>Middleweight<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Main<\/em><\/td>Uro\u0161 Medi\u0107<\/strong> vs. Kevin Holland<\/em><\/td>-150 \/ +125<\/em><\/td>Welterweight<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Main<\/em><\/td>Bilal Hasan<\/strong> vs. Luis Gurule<\/em><\/td>-1100 \/ +700<\/em><\/td>Flyweight<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Prelims<\/em><\/td>Stephen Thompson<\/strong> vs. Charles Radtke<\/em><\/td>-155 \/ +130<\/em><\/td>Welterweight<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Prelims<\/em><\/td>Drew Dober vs. Chris Duncan<\/strong><\/em><\/td>+135 \/ -160<\/em><\/td>Lightweight<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Prelims<\/em><\/td>Jim Miller vs. Terrance McKinney<\/strong><\/em><\/td>+165 \/ -200<\/em><\/td>Lightweight<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Prelims<\/em><\/td>Donte Johnson<\/strong> vs. Cesar Almeida<\/em><\/td>-165 \/ +140<\/em><\/td>Middleweight<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Early<\/em><\/td>Jared Gordon vs. Melquizael Costa<\/strong><\/em><\/td>+290 \/ -370<\/em><\/td>Lightweight<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Early<\/em><\/td>Macy Chiasson vs. Bia Mesquita<\/strong><\/em><\/td>+220 \/ -270<\/em><\/td>Women\u2019s Bantamweight<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Early<\/em><\/td>Alatengheili vs. Juan Diaz<\/strong><\/em><\/td>+275 \/ -350<\/em><\/td>Bantamweight<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Early<\/em><\/td>Evan Elder vs. Samuel Sanches<\/strong><\/em><\/td>+100 \/ -120<\/em><\/td>Lightweight<\/em><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n
When?<\/strong><\/td>Saturday, November 14, Early Prelims 5:00 PM ET, Prelims 7:00 PM ET, Main Card 9:00 PM ET<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Where?<\/strong><\/td>Madison Square Garden, New York, NY<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Where Can I Watch It?<\/strong><\/td>Paramount+ throughout; the Early Prelims also on UFC Fight Pass<\/em><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

UFC 334: Ciryl Gane vs. Josh Hokit<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Ciryl Gane?<\/strong>

Every measurable advantage is his.<\/strong> Gane is 14-2 overall and 11-2 with one no contest inside the Octagon across seven years as a top heavyweight, with two interim titles and two previous undisputed title challenges. He is bigger, faster, more technical, and far more experienced<\/strong>, and he dominated Alex Pereira to take the interim belt at UFC Freedom 250. Against a wrestler, the single most valuable heavyweight skill is the footwork to not be where the takedown is, and Gane’s movement is the best in the division.<\/strong>

Why Bet on Josh Hokit?<\/strong>

10-0, and the path is obvious.<\/strong> A former Division I wrestler who logged NFL practice-squad reps before switching sports, Hokit has beaten Curtis Blaydes and Derrick Lewis<\/strong> in his last two outings; two of the most credible names a prospect can be handed. He is playing with house money, and he talks constantly<\/strong>, which the UFC’s own preview flags as a live variable against a fighter whose temperament is usually described as laissez-faire. If he gets Gane to the fence early, the fight changes.<\/strong>

Final Betting Analysis: Gane vs. Hokit<\/strong>

Gane at -200 is 66.7% implied, and the honest read is that the real number is higher.<\/strong> Hokit’s case rests on one route (wrestling) against the heavyweight least likely to be wrestled.

The counter is that Gane has lost before, both times when the pressure never stopped.<\/strong> That is the Hokit blueprint, and it is why +165 is not free money for the champion.

We are taking Gane, and we are not laying more than the number.<\/strong> Fifty-three weeks from debut to title shot is a r\u00e9sum\u00e9 with gaps in it, and those gaps usually appear in round three of a five-round fight.<\/strong>

FREE PICK: Ciryl Gane (-200)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC 334: Kayla Harrison vs. Amanda Nunes<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Kayla Harrison?<\/strong>

She is the champion, she is the bigger woman, and she is the better grappler.<\/strong> A two-time Olympic judo gold medallist, Harrison signed in 2024, submitted Holly Holm, beat Ketlen Vieira, and took the belt from Julianna Pe\u00f1a at UFC 316 with a second-round Kimura. The UFC calls this one of the clearest grappler-versus-striker pairings it has booked<\/strong>, and Harrison is the grappler.

Why Bet on Amanda Nunes?<\/strong>

She is the greatest female fighter who has ever competed.<\/strong> From July 2016 to her retirement in June 2023, Nunes held and defended belts in two divisions and beat essentially everyone put in front of her. Her striking is the one thing on this card that can end a fight in a single exchange<\/strong>, and she has beaten larger, stronger opponents before by doing exactly that.

Final Betting Analysis: Harrison vs. Nunes<\/strong>

Both have a layoff question, and they are different questions.<\/strong> Nunes has not fought since June 2023. Harrison has not fought since taking the belt, and she withdrew from the January booking for neck surgery.<\/strong>

We have to flag something here.<\/strong> Three weeks ago we used inactivity against a returning fighter and were wrong: Sezinando won.<\/strong> We are not going to pretend we have a reliable read on ring rust, because we do not.

So, we are betting the structure instead.<\/strong> A 2016-to-2023 peak that ended three and a half years ago, against a judo champion who grounded the previous title-holder inside two rounds.<\/strong> Harrison’s path is the one that does not depend on timing.<\/strong>

FREE PICK: Kayla Harrison (-185)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC 334: Caio Borralho vs. Yousri Belgaroui<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Caio Borralho?<\/strong>

He answered the only real question about him this year.<\/strong> Borralho took his first Octagon defeat and responded by thoroughly out-working Reiner de Ridder at UFC 326, a win over a genuinely awkward opponent that restored him to #5. He is the more complete fighter and the one who has proven he can win a hard twenty-five minutes.<\/strong>

Why Bet on Yousri Belgaroui?<\/strong>

Three UFC fights, three finishes.<\/strong> The Dutch kickboxer has leaned on pedigree, size, and reach to present a problem nobody at 185 pounds has solved yet, most recently stopping Djorden Santos at Noche UFC. The UFC’s own framing is that he has looked good enough to be thrown into the deep end<\/strong>, which is a compliment and a warning in the same sentence.

Final Betting Analysis: Borralho vs. Belgaroui<\/strong>

This is a step up of several levels at once, and the price does not reflect it.<\/strong> -155 on a ranked contender against a man who has never faced anyone near this standard is a thin number.<\/strong>

Belgaroui’s three finishes came against opposition Borralho would beat comfortably.<\/strong> That does not make him a bad fighter; it makes the sample uninformative.

Borralho, and the price is the only thing wrong with the pick.<\/strong>

FREE PICK: Caio Borralho (-155)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC 334: Uro\u0161 Medi\u0107 vs. Kevin Holland<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Uro\u0161 Medi\u0107?<\/strong>

Four consecutive first-round stoppages over sixteen months, with bonuses in two of them.<\/strong> Last time out, he headlined the promotion’s first card in Serbia and knocked out Daniel Rodriguez in thirty seconds. He finds the target faster than anybody in the division right now.<\/strong>

Why Bet on Kevin Holland?<\/strong>

He has never been knocked out, and he carries a ten-inch reach advantage.<\/strong> Holland has been ranked at both middleweight and welterweight, remains a credible threat to anyone at 170, and beat Randy Brown earlier this year. If this gets past the first round, every structural edge flips to him.<\/strong>

Final Betting Analysis: Medi\u0107 vs. Holland<\/strong>

This is the most interesting matchup on the card and the one we are least certain about.<\/strong> An irresistible force at -150 against an immovable object at +125.<\/strong>

The decisive fact is the one most likely to be ignored: Holland has never been stopped by strikes in a long career against hard punchers.<\/strong> Medi\u0107’s four finishes are real, but so is a chin that has never failed.

We are taking Medi\u0107 because the finishing run is against legitimate opposition and Holland’s recent form is modest, and we are saying plainly that Holland at +125 is the best-priced live underdog on this card.<\/strong> If you want one fight to fade us on, take this one.<\/strong>

FREE PICK: Uro\u0161 Medi\u0107 (-150)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC 334: Bilal Hasan vs. Luis Gurule<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Bilal Hasan?<\/strong>

11-0 as a professional with nine consecutive finishes.<\/strong> The 25-year-old won his Contender Series contract and then won his UFC debut eighteen days later, knocking out Nilson Rojas in Shanghai. He fought his regional career on the East Coast under the CFFC banner, so Madison Square Garden is closer to home than it looks.<\/strong>

Why Bet on Luis Gurule?<\/strong>

He is battle-tested, and he is here.<\/strong> Gurule picked up his first UFC win over Daniel Barez in May and then took a short-notice assignment in Macau two weeks later. He lost that one by submission to Rei Tsuruya, which is a defeat with an asterisk attached.<\/strong>

Final Betting Analysis: Hasan vs. Gurule<\/strong>

-1100 is 91.7% implied, and there is nothing to bet here.<\/strong>

The pick is obvious, and the price makes it worthless.<\/strong> Nine straight finishes against a man who was submitted two weeks after his last win is a matchup designed as a showcase, and it will probably look like one.

Hasan is the pick. Do not stake it.<\/strong> A 91.7% proposition that costs eleven units to win one is how bankrolls disappear quietly.<\/strong>

FREE PICK: Bilal Hasan (-1100), pick only, not a bet<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

UFC 334: Stephen Thompson vs. Charles Radtke<\/strong><\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Why Bet on Stephen Thompson?<\/strong>

This is the last walk of a two-time title challenger’s career, and the first time he fought for gold was in this building.<\/strong> Wonderboy’s karate footwork and range management made him one of the hardest stylistic puzzles welterweight has produced. Madison Square Garden, a retirement fight, and a crowd that will be entirely his.<\/strong>

Why Bet on Charles Radtke?<\/strong>

The record says everything the sentiment does not.<\/strong> Thompson has managed a single appearance in each of the last four years and has lost his last three fights.<\/strong> Radtke has been adding to his game, winning consecutive fights over Daniel Frunza and Francisco Prado by leaning on grappling he did not use to use, and he still has explosive power in his hands.

Final Betting Analysis: Thompson vs. Radtke<\/strong>

The market has a fighter on a three-fight losing streak, fighting once a year, as a -155 favourite in his farewell.<\/strong> That is sentiment, and sentiment is the most reliable thing to bet against in combat sports.<\/strong>

We must be careful not to overstate it.<\/strong> Thompson at range is still Thompson, and Radtke’s improvements are recent.

But 43.5% implied on the younger, more active, improving fighter against a man who has not won since 2023 is the clearest value on the card.<\/strong> Radtke.<\/strong>

FREE PICK: Charles Radtke (+130)<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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