{"id":49799,"date":"2026-11-12T19:45:23","date_gmt":"2026-11-13T01:45:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.gambyl.com\/?p=49799"},"modified":"2026-11-12T19:45:26","modified_gmt":"2026-11-13T01:45:26","slug":"nfl-trade-deadline-winners-and-losers","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.gambyl.com\/en\/nfl\/nfl-trade-deadline-winners-and-losers\/","title":{"rendered":"NFL Trade Deadline: Winners and Losers"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Seventeen trades. Three first-round picks changed hands, both times for a defensive tackle. And Minnesota was the only club in the NFL that both bought and sold.<\/strong>

They sold J.J. McCarthy to the Giants for a 2027 fifth-round pick and then spent a 2027 third on Kirk Cousins.<\/strong> That is a 6-2 team with the best defense in football and the twenty-seventh-ranked offence, deciding the problem was the quarterback, and reaching backwards for the answer.

Indianapolis sold four veterans and kept the one everybody wanted.<\/strong> Jonathan Taylor stayed. We said on Tuesday morning he would move, and that is the headline call we got wrong.<\/strong>

And the most revealing deal of the week never happened.<\/strong> Cincinnati agreed to acquire an Eagles edge rusher, discovered the trade would cost them a projected compensatory third-round pick as well, and backed out, then sent their head coach out the next day to apologize for it.

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The Full Ledger<\/h2>\n\n\n\n
Player<\/em><\/th>Pos<\/em><\/th>From<\/em><\/th>To<\/em><\/th>What the seller received<\/em><\/th><\/tr><\/thead>
Jeffery Simmons<\/em><\/td>DT<\/em><\/td>Tennessee<\/em><\/td>Chicago<\/em><\/td>2027 1st + 2028 1st + 2027 4th<\/strong><\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Jordan Davis<\/em><\/td>DT<\/em><\/td>Philadelphia<\/em><\/td>Jacksonville<\/em><\/td>2027 1st + 2029 2nd<\/strong><\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Marvin Harrison Jr.<\/em><\/td>WR<\/em><\/td>Arizona<\/em><\/td>Houston<\/em><\/td>2027 2nd + 2027 6th<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Jessie Bates III<\/em><\/td>S<\/em><\/td>Atlanta<\/em><\/td>Jacksonville<\/em><\/td>2027 2nd + 2028 5th<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Cam Jurgens<\/em><\/td>C<\/em><\/td>Philadelphia<\/em><\/td>Baltimore<\/em><\/td>2028 2nd + 2027 5th<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Joey Porter Jr.<\/em><\/td>CB<\/em><\/td>Pittsburgh<\/em><\/td>Dallas<\/em><\/td>2028 2nd + 2027 6th<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Kirk Cousins<\/em><\/td>QB<\/em><\/td>Las Vegas<\/em><\/td>Minnesota<\/em><\/td>2027 3rd<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Quenton Nelson<\/em><\/td>G<\/em><\/td>Indianapolis<\/em><\/td>Seattle<\/em><\/td>2027 3rd + 2028 5th<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Josh Downs<\/em><\/td>WR<\/em><\/td>Indianapolis<\/em><\/td>Kansas City<\/em><\/td>2027 4th + 2027 5th<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
DeForest Buckner<\/em><\/td>DT<\/em><\/td>Indianapolis<\/em><\/td>San Francisco<\/em><\/td>2027 4th<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Jacoby Brissett<\/em><\/td>QB<\/em><\/td>Arizona<\/em><\/td>Baltimore<\/em><\/td>2027 4th + 2028 7th<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Daiyan Henley<\/em><\/td>LB<\/em><\/td>LA Chargers<\/em><\/td>Denver<\/em><\/td>a 4th + a 5th<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
J.J. McCarthy<\/em><\/td>QB<\/em><\/td>Minnesota<\/em><\/td>NY Giants<\/em><\/td>2027 5th<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Ryan Neuzil<\/em><\/td>C<\/em><\/td>Atlanta<\/em><\/td>Baltimore<\/em><\/td>OL Andrew Vorhees + 2028 6th<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Davon Godchaux<\/em><\/td>DT<\/em><\/td>New Orleans<\/em><\/td>Jacksonville<\/em><\/td>Not reported<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Keenan Allen<\/em><\/td>WR<\/em><\/td>Indianapolis<\/em><\/td>San Francisco<\/em><\/td>Not reported<\/em><\/td><\/tr>
Amani Hooker<\/em><\/td>S<\/em><\/td>Tennessee<\/em><\/td>Buffalo<\/em><\/td>Not reported<\/em><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Four defensive tackles moved, more than any other position.<\/strong> Three quarterbacks moved, and two of them involved Minnesota.<\/strong>

Indianapolis sold four. Jacksonville and Baltimore each bought three.<\/strong> Nobody else did more than one on either side.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Winners<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Philadelphia, and it is not close.<\/strong> They are 2-7; they sold two starters, and they came away with a 2027 first-round pick, a 2029 second, a 2028 second, and a 2027 fifth.<\/strong> Jordan Davis to Jacksonville and Cam Jurgens to Baltimore. A collapsing season converted into four premium picks is the correct response to a 2-7 record, and ESPN’s own read is that the haul is likely to age well.<\/strong>

Tennessee turned two defensive starters into three premium picks.<\/strong> Jeffery Simmons to Chicago returned a 2027 first, a 2028 first, and a 2027 fourth<\/strong> (the biggest single return of the deadline), and Amani Hooker went to Buffalo. At 1-7, scoring 18.00 a game (fifth lowest in the NFL), that is a club reading its own situation accurately.<\/strong>

Arizona, quietly.<\/strong> A 2027 second and a 2027 sixth for Marvin Harrison Jr., plus a 2027 fourth and a 2028 seventh for Jacoby Brissett.<\/strong> At 3-6 with a minus-77 differential, Arizona took real draft value for a wide receiver and a backup quarterback and did not pretend they were contenders.

Jacksonville got the players.<\/strong> Jordan Davis, Jessie Bates III, and Davon Godchaux, at a cost of a 2027 first, a 2029 second, a 2027 second, and a 2028 fifth.<\/strong> They are 6-2 with a plus-108-point differential, the best in football by twenty-nine, and they already concede the second-fewest points in the league. This is a club that decided the window is now and paid accordingly.<\/strong> Whether it was worth a first-round pick depends entirely on January.<\/strong>

And Baltimore made the most interesting set of moves nobody is talking about.<\/strong> Cam Jurgens, Ryan Neuzil, and Jacoby Brissett: a center, another center, and a quarterback, by a 4-5 team on a four-game losing run with Lamar Jackson on injured reserve.<\/strong> They rebuilt the middle of their offensive line and bought a competent starter for the interim. That is not a club waving the white flag. It is one buying the cheapest parts of a problem it can fix.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Losers<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Cincinnati, for the deal they did not make and the two they did not try.<\/strong> They are 6-2; they said publicly they would stand pat, and they did, except for one attempt that fell apart in under ninety minutes. Meanwhile, Baltimore bought three players, and Pittsburgh sold a starting cornerback. The AFC North moved around them.<\/strong>

Houston paid a 2027 second and a 2027 sixth for Marvin Harrison Jr. at 3-5.<\/strong> They score 26.12 a game, ninth in the NFL, and their problem is a 24.00 defensive average that ranks eighteenth. ESPN’s Bill Barnwell asked publicly why they made the trade, and that is the right question.<\/strong> A team two games under .500 spending second-round capital on the side of the ball that already works is the clearest misallocation of the week.<\/strong>

Minnesota, and we must be careful here because the logic is defensible.<\/strong> They are 6-2 and concede 14.50 points a game, the fewest in football. They score 18.25, twenty-seventh.<\/strong> Carson Wentz went 8 of 25 for 81 yards in Monday’s 23-6 defeat at Buffalo. The offence is the problem, and they were right to address it.<\/strong>

What they did was sell J.J. McCarthy for a fifth-round pick and spend a third on Kirk Cousins<\/strong>, a reunion with a quarterback the franchise moved on from, with Minnesota reported to be absorbing roughly $650,000 of this year’s salary and a guaranteed $10 million roster bonus due in 2027. They have swapped a young quarterback and a cheap future for a veteran and a bill.<\/strong> If it works, it works this season only.<\/strong>

The Los Angeles Chargers traded Daiyan Henley to Denver.<\/strong> They are 0-8 with the worst point differential in the league at minus 98. Denver are 7-2 and in their division.<\/strong> The return was a fourth and a fifth. Selling at 0-8 is correct. Selling to the team you must play twice is a choice.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Trade That Did Not Happen<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Cincinnati and Philadelphia agreed a deal for Eagles edge rusher Arnold Ebiketie in exchange for a 2027 sixth-round pick. Then the Bengals discovered what else it would cost.<\/strong>

Acquiring a player can cancel a projected compensatory pick<\/strong>, and Cincinnati were in line for a projected 2027 compensatory third rounder tied primarily to Trey Hendrickson’s departure to Baltimore. The sixth-round pick was the advertised price. The compensatory third was the hidden one.<\/strong>

They backed out.<\/strong> Ebiketie is still an Eagle, and Cincinnati still has their sixth-round pick.

The part worth recording is what happened next.<\/strong> Head coach Zac Taylor spoke on Wednesday and made clear he was doing it at the request of director of player personnel Duke Tobin, who did not speak publicly.<\/strong> Taylor said he was not comfortable doing it but would do what he was asked, that Philadelphia had been a great trade partner, and that the failure was on Cincinnati’s end.

That is an unusually direct public apology for a transaction that never existed<\/strong>, and it tells you how seriously the Bengals took the reputational cost of agreeing to a deal and then withdrawing.

For bettors, there is a practical lesson in it.<\/strong> “Sources say a deal is agreed” is not a transaction.<\/strong> We wrote on Tuesday that the gap between active talks and a signed deal is where the bad bets live. This is what that gap looks like from the inside.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Where We Were Wrong<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

We made three calls on Tuesday morning. We got one right, one wrong, and one half right.<\/strong>

Wrong: “Expect Jonathan Taylor to move and expect the price to disappoint Indianapolis.”<\/strong> He did not move.<\/strong> Reporting since has it that multiple clubs offered a second-round pick or more, that Indianapolis wanted a blockbuster, and that the Giants came closest with a second and a fifth before withdrawing the offer. Our reasoning was that a 2-7 club which has publicly committed to taking the best offer has no leverage. The reasoning was sound, and the conclusion was wrong, because we assumed the stated position was the real one.<\/strong> Daniel Jones stayed too.<\/strong>

Right: “Do not expect the Jets to sell.”<\/strong> They did not. Garrett Wilson stayed, as the club had said he would.

Half right: “Expect Jacksonville to make one more.”<\/strong> They had already completed Jordan Davis on Monday afternoon and did not add again on Tuesday.<\/strong> The prediction was about Tuesday, and the activity was on Monday, so we are counting it as a miss on timing rather than on read.

The honest summary is that the one prediction that counted was the one we got wrong<\/strong>, and the reason is worth keeping: a club saying it will take the best offer is telling you about its preference, not its price.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The One Number<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

Three first-round picks moved at this deadline, and all three went in exchange for a defensive tackle.<\/strong>

Chicago gave Tennessee a 2027 first and a 2028 first for Jeffery Simmons. Jacksonville gave Philadelphia a 2027 first and a 2029 second for Jordan Davis.<\/strong>

Four defensive tackles changed hands in total, more than any other position on the board, and two of them cost first-round capital.<\/strong> Not a quarterback, not a pass rusher, not a receiver, the interior of the defensive line.<\/strong>

Chicago is 7-2, and Jacksonville are 6-2 with the best margin in football.<\/strong> Both clubs looked at a roster that was already winning and decided the thing worth a first-round pick was the middle of their defense.<\/strong>

If you want one read on where the league thinks games are won this season, that is it.<\/strong>

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Seventeen trades. Three first-round picks changed hands, both times for a defensive tackle. And Minnesota was the only club in the NFL that both bought and sold. They sold J.J. McCarthy to the Giants for a 2027 fifth-round pick and then spent a 2027 third on Kirk Cousins. That is a 6-2 team with the […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":16,"featured_media":46738,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","page_builder":"","footnotes":"","_wpscp_schedule_draft_date":"","_wpscp_schedule_republish_date":"","_wpscppro_advance_schedule":false,"_wpscppro_advance_schedule_date":"","_wpscppro_dont_share_socialmedia":false,"_wpscppro_custom_social_share_image":0,"_facebook_share_type":"","_twitter_share_type":"","_linkedin_share_type":"","_pinterest_share_type":"","_linkedin_share_type_page":"","_instagram_share_type":"","_medium_share_type":"","_threads_share_type":"","_google_business_share_type":"","_bluesky_share_type":"","_mastodon_share_type":"","_selected_social_profile":[],"_wpsp_enable_custom_social_template":false,"_wpsp_social_scheduling":{"enabled":false,"datetime":null,"platforms":[],"status":"template_only","dateOption":"","timeOption":"","customDays":"","customHours":"","customDate":"","customTime":"","schedulingType":""},"_wpsp_active_default_template":true},"categories":[89],"tags":[564],"class_list":["post-49799","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl","tag-american-football"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t\n\t\t