Last Updated on febrero 23, 2023 5:07 pm by Erwin Noguera
This is the second week of straight UFC Apex Fight Cards in Las Vegas, Nevada, and we are getting quite an interesting headliner for this Fight Night, as the Light Heavyweight fighters Nikita Krylov and Ryan Spann go at each other to shake the division.
Apart from an exciting main event fight, we have Andre Muniz and Brendan Allen in the Co-main event fighting in the middleweight division.
This event has 6 fights in the main event, and another 7 prelim fights to keep all fight fans on the edge of their seat for the whole evening.
This is going to be a fresh event for many as there are lesser-known but talented fighters that deserve some attention as they climb the ranks.
Puedes consultar todas las UFC/MMA apuestas, el análisis de cada peleador y la apuesta final que puedes realizar en esta pelea.
UFC Fight Night: Krylov vs. Spann Betting Odds and Fight Card Picks – Info
Cuando:
Saturday, February 25th, at 4:00 pm ET
Cuotas de línea de dinero:
Nikita Krylov -175 / Ryan Spann +137
André Muniz -238 / Brendan Allen +181
Augusto Sakai -136 / Don’Tale Mayes +108
Tatiana Suarez -833 / Montana De La Rosa +501
Mike Malott -227 / Yohan Lainesse +173
Erick Gonzalez +164 / Trevor Peek -212
Gabriella Fernandes -131 / Jasmine Jasudavicius +104
Jordan Leavitt -113 / Victor Martinez -111
Ode Osbourne +132 / Charles Johnson -169
Joe Solecki -625 / Carl Deaton III +398
Nurullo Aliev -188 / Rafael Alves +146
Hailey Cowan -126 / Ailin Perez +100
Jose Johnson +127 / Garrett Armfield -163
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UFC Fight Night: Nikita Krylov vs. Ryan Spann
¿Por qué apostar por Nikita Krylov?
Krylov is the No. 6-ranked light heavyweight contender.
He’s coming off back-to-back victories after a first-round knockout of Alexander Gustafsson and a unanimous decision win against Volkan Oezdemir.
With a background in Kyokushin Karate, Krylov is a solid striker who likes to work in kicks.
But his best work comes on the ground, where he’s earned 15 career wins through submissions.
¿Por qué apostar por Ryan Spann?
Ryan “Superman” Spann is coming off a first-round knockout win against Dominick Reyes this past November.
That improved his record to 8-2 in the octagon, moving him to No. 8 in the light heavyweight rankings.
Spann is long and athletic with explosive punching ability. He also possesses dangerous submission skills and tapped out Ion Cutelaba last year.
Nikita Krylov vs. Ryan Spann Final Betting Analysis:
Both of these fighters have looked good in recent bouts, but they each come with serious flaws.
Krylov has been absorbing strikes and showing his durability. But he can get caught at medium range, which is where Spann throws with deadly power.
However, Spann might come with even more issues. He’s also hittable, and Spann’s chin tends to be weaker.
The veteran has also been showing poor intelligence during grappling exchanges, and Krylov could catch him if this fight goes to the mat.
Spann’s tendency to go full tilt with fights ending early make his cardio a major question mark.
Krylov should hold a major advantage if he manages to drag this fight into the later rounds.
UFC Fight Night: André Muniz vs. Brendan Allen
¿Por qué apostar por André Muñiz?
Andre Muniz is currently riding a 9-fight-winning streak panning his days on the Brazilian circuit.
Submissions over Jacare Souza among other UFC vets have catapulted him into the spotlight as the next big submission specialist.
¿Por qué apostar por Brendan Allen?
Brenden Allen is a well-rounded fighter, standing in a conventional stance without fear of ending up anywhere.
What that means is he is happy to stand or take the fight to the ground and has even admitted to neglecting takedown defense in some camps because he is so comfortable fighting off of his back.
André Muniz vs. Brendan Allen Final Betting Analysis:
Fighting off his back is not a luxury Allen can expect from a grappling specialist like Muniz, so he will have to make the most of the striking exchanges when he can keep it there.
This is not a clear striker vs. grappler matchup, so do not underestimate either man in either area, but in general, these are the areas they want to be in.
Although Allen is a bit more polished standing, the power and aggression that Muniz shows may be enough to get Allen on the back foot, setting up that single leg, and ultimately we do see Muniz securing the takedowns he needs to win the rounds or find the submission.
UFC Fight Night: Augusto Sakai vs. Don’Tale Mayes
Why Bet on Augusto Sakai?
Augusto Sakai is a fighter that found significant success early on in his UFC career.
He won his first five fights under the UFC banner and then started getting the very real steps up in competition.
That is when the losses started to pile up.
Sakai se encuentra actualmente en una racha de cuatro derrotas consecutivas, pero no es ninguna vergüenza perder ante esa lista de oponentes, que incluye a Overeem, Rozenstruick, Tuivasa y Spivac.
¿Por qué apostar por Don'Tale Mayes?
Don'Tale Mayes ha logrado victorias en UFC, pero para lograrlo ha necesitado algunos de los niveles más bajos de peleadores que la división de peso pesado tiene para ofrecer.
Mayes has opted for wrestling in a previous spot, but that success was exploiting a glaring weakness from an opponent and not showing off his capabilities in that area.
Augusto Sakai vs. Don’Tale Mayes Final Betting Analysis:
The reality is this fight pits fighters with very real similarities against one another.
Sakai is the fighter that has the better overall skill set, and the betting lines do not accurately reflect the level above that Sakai is.
Now, Sakai lacks real power, much like Mayes, so despite the weight class, this is a fight that is more likely to reach the judge’s scorecards than see a finish.
We are however placing our token on Augusto Sakai to get back in the winning column.
UFC Fight Night: Tatiana Suarez vs. Montana De La Rosa
¿Por qué apostar por Tatiana Suárez?
Tatiana Suarez is looking to continue her unbeaten streak in a recent move to flyweight.
This is after a long three-year layoff from what was originally a neck injury in 2019 as well as a knee injury in 2023.
Suarez is surely looking to make a statement in her comeback bout after remarkable finishing wins against top names like current flyweight title challenger Alexa Grasso and former two-time champion Carla Esparza.
¿Por qué apostar por Montana De La Rosa?
De La Rosa enters this bout with a 2-inch height and 2-inch reach advantage.
As well as this, she’s 4-years Suarez’s junior, only now entering what could likely be her athletic prime at 28 years old.
However, De La Rosa may also still be reeling from a loss in momentum from her April loss against Maycee Barber in a bout that many belief was a robbery.
Tatiana Suarez vs. Montana De La Rosa Final Betting Analysis:
One thing is for certain in this fight, and that’s that this will most likely end up becoming a grappling clinic.
Both fighters have proven themselves to have some of the best grappling in their divisions with solid gas tanks to back it.
For us, Suarez will likely win her flyweight debut this Saturday, simply given the fact that De La Rosa’s striking, despite being fairly more adept than Suarez, will likely not make much of a difference unless she could manage to stay in the center of the octagon throughout the entirety of the fight.
The crushing American wrestling style from Suarez will allow her to steal the rounds and get a decision.
UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott vs. Yohan Lainesse
¿Por qué apostar por Mike Malott?
Mike “Proper” Malott, 31, is a Team Alpha Male coach turned UFC fighter. As a pro, Malott is 8-1-1 with four knockout and four submission wins.
His sole loss was a knockout fall to Hakeem Dawodu in WSOF in 2014. The only time Malott has fought go longer than 5 minutes, it ended in a draw.
Malott moves smoothly on the feet, has fairly solid wrestling, switches stances well, and lands good counter combinations.
However, he looks a step slow in the cage, his smooth movement reduces once he’s pressured, and can telegraph his combinations in the pocket.
Why Bet on Yohan Lainesse?
Yohan “White Lion” Lainesse, 30, is 9-1 as a professional and is 1-1 in the UFC following a DWCS win in 2021.
Lainesse was knocked out in his debut but he followed it up with a split-decision win his last time out.
Lainesse has heavy hands but tends to primarily kick from range, has decent at best striking technique, and sacrifices fundamental defense in favor of his explosive offense.
Typically, Lainesse looks dangerous in round 1 when he has the energy for his explosive and powerful movements.
Mike Malott vs. Yohan Lainesse Final Betting Analysis:
Malott has a skillset that allows him to respond to most fighters. If an opponent has a striking gap, Malott can counter with power.
If an opponent has a wrestling gap, Malott can drag him down and find a finish on the mat.
But, against athleticism, strength, or talent, Malott is likely to struggle.
His hands are slower than many UFC-caliber fighters, his wrestling is fundamental but not strong, and his gas tank is unproven.
Lainesse carries legitimate power and looks for the finish for 5 minutes.
Beyond his 5 minutes of dangerous striking, Lainesse is a decent wrestler who can use his strength to keep the fight standing and land his takedowns at the end of rounds.
It will be a matter of survival in the first round, as both are early finishers, but they both have untested gas tanks.
If the match gets past the first round, we believe Mike Mallot will begin breaking down the holes in Lainesse’s game and land a victory.
UFC Fight Night: Erick Gonzalez vs. Trevor Peek
Why Bet on Erick Gonzalez?
Erick Gonzalez will be looking to keep his UFC tenure alive after being finished twice in two fights against Jim Miller and Terrance McKinney.
The alarming thing for Gonzalez is he was knocked out by Miller and submitted by McKinney.
Generally speaking, we would expect those methods of finish to be reversed given those two fighters, so Gonzalez, respectfully, finds more creative ways to lose.
¿Por qué apostar por Trevor Peek?
Trevor Peek es un debutante extremadamente emocionante que consiguió su boleto a la promoción con una victoria por nocaut en la segunda ronda de la Serie Contender de Dana White.
Esa pelea marcó su séptima victoria consecutiva por nocaut, manteniendo intacta su tasa de finalización de 100%.
El golpe de Peek es la joya de su conjunto de habilidades. Es muy agresivo y aporta un poder muy real con la capacidad de poner fin a la pelea con todas sus extremidades.
Análisis final de apuestas de Erick González vs.Trevor Peek:
Peek presiona a lo largo de sus peleas y ha demostrado durabilidad por su estilo de acción. Puede ser realmente abrumador para los oponentes y agradece un tiroteo con quienquiera que se enfrente.
Esperamos que González inicialmente agradezca los golpes de Peek hasta que sienta el poder detrás de los golpes.
If he is not finished quickly, he will almost certainly resort to wrestling. While he is capable in that department, Peek possesses sound takedown defense, but that is not the most important factor.
Peek will not be held down to the point of losing rounds, and once he gets back to his feet and continues the barrage of power shots, things won’t be looking good for Gonzalez.
UFC Fight Night: Gabriella Fernandes vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius
¿Por qué apostar por Gabriella Fernandes?
Gabriella Fernandes (8-1) defeated future hot prospect Iasmin Lucindo in her professional debut, only to fall to eventual Contender Series hopeful, Maria Silva, three months later.
Her current seven-fight win streak includes three in Legacy Fighting Alliance (LFA), where she captured the interim Flyweight title by choking out Karoline Martins.
She steps in for Cortney Casey on one month’s notice.
¿Por qué apostar por Jasmine Jasudavicius?
Jasmine Jasudavicius (7-2) followed her Contender Series victory over Julia Polastri by upsetting Kay Hansen in her UFC debut.
Her next assignment pitted her against Natalia Silva, who outstruck the Niagara Top Team product to snap her three-fight winning streak.
Gabriella Fernandes vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius Final Betting Analysis:
This is a test of whether Jasudavicius learned anything from that loss to Silva.
Though not quite as quick or dynamic as her fellow Brazilian, Fernandes offers a similar blend of powerful kicks and combination punching that figures to give the lumbering Jasudavicius fits.
Jasudavicius’ best chance lies in her wrestling, as Fernandes hasn’t shown off much of a ground game and doesn’t move laterally the way Silva did.
That said, “Gabi’s” kickboxing gives her enough of an edge on the feet to earn our vote on this match.
UFC Fight Night: Jordan Leavitt vs. Victor Martinez
Why Bet on Jordan Leavitt?
Four months after beating Luke Flores to earn a UFC contract, Jordan Leavitt (10-2) secured his first Octagon victory and a post-fight bonus by slamming Matt Wiman unconscious.
He’s 2-2 since most recently suffering a career-first submission loss to Paddy Pimblett.
Six of his seven professional stoppage wins have come via submission.
Why Bet on Victor Martinez?
Victor Martinez (13-3) capped off a six-fight winning streak by knocking out Luis Luna in his Combate debut.
Though he missed out on a Contender Series berth in 2020, he ultimately got his shot a year later, outlasting Jacob Rosales to win a unanimous decision and secure a contract.
Jordan Leavitt vs. Victor Martinez Final Betting Analysis:
This is one of those fun matchups where both men have the tools to exploit the other’s biggest weakness.
Martinez is prone to surrendering takedowns and giving up his back, both of which Leavitt is happy to exploit, but he’s also got the boxing chops to punish Leavitt’s poor striking.
It’s competitive not in the sense that they’ll be consistently deadlocked, but because each will dominate in its wheelhouse.
We are leaning toward Leavitt to be the victor. He’s not the best wrestler out there but he can be admirably persistent when he wants to be, and Martinez only needs to slip up once for Leavitt to find his neck.
UFC Fight Night: Ode Osbourne vs. Charles Johnson
¿Por qué apostar por Ode Osbourne?
A decision over C.J. Vergara and a 61-second knockout of Zarrukh Adashev earned Ode Osbourne (11-5) his first multi-fight win streak since 2019.
The momentum wasn’t to last, as an ill-advised flying knee attempt allowed Tyson Nam to put “The Jamaican Sensation” to sleep for the first time in his professional career.
His nine finishes are split 4/5 between knockouts and submissions.
¿Por qué apostar por Charles Johnson?
Charles Johnson’s (13-3) one-sided decision loss to Muhammad Mokaev and controversial victory over Zhalgas Zhumagulov left him struggling to establish himself as a contender.
Stepping up on short notice to fight Jimmy Flick wound up being just the ticket, as he stopped the returning “Brick” late in the first round.
He replaces Denys Bondar on less than two weeks’ notice for his second fight in under two months.
Ode Osbourne vs. Charles Johnson Final Betting Analysis:
Si ambos hombres luchan lo mejor que pueden, nos espera una guerra de alto octanaje.
La cuestión es que ambos son propensos a tomar decisiones muy cuestionables, desde Osbourne entregándole a Nam ese derecho en bandeja de plata hasta Johnson caminando sonámbulo durante los primeros dos rounds contra Zhumagulov.
It seems inevitable that one guy’s wheels will fall off at some point.
Johnson tiene más margen de maniobra, ya que nunca ha sido detenido y se vuelve más fuerte a medida que avanza la pelea, mientras que Osbourne se quedó sin fuerza contra Vergara.
Mientras Johnson mantenga el pedal cerca del metal, debería abrumar constantemente a Osbourne hasta detenerlo tarde.
UFC Fight Night: Joe Solecki contra Carl Deaton III
¿Por qué apostar por Joe Solecki?
La racha de seis victorias consecutivas de Joe Solecki (12-3), que incluyó tres victorias en el octágono, llegó a su fin a manos de Jared Gordon en 2021.
Regresó a la pista contra Alex da Silva en junio de 2022, sobreviviendo a una caída temprana para llevarse a casa una decisión mayoritaria.
Siete de sus ocho finales profesionales se produjeron por sumisión.
¿Por qué apostar por Carl Deaton III?
La apuesta de Carl Deaton (17-5) por la Professional Fighters League (PFL) lo vio caer por decisión dividida ante Alejandro Flores para su segunda derrota consecutiva.
Desde entonces, ganó dos partidos seguidos, incluida una decisión sobre el veterano de UFC Justin Jaynes.
Acepta esta pelea con poco más de una semana de anticipación, ya que Solecki estaba originalmente programado para pelear contra Benoit Saint-Denis el fin de semana pasado.
Análisis final de apuestas de Joe Solecki contra Carl Deaton III:
Con el debido respeto a Deaton, no está ni cerca de la amenaza estilística que era Saint-Denis.
No puede resistir la lucha de Solecki como podría haberlo hecho “God of War” y sus golpes no son lo suficientemente peligrosos como para compensar.
Si no puedes negar consistentemente los derribos de Solecki o detenerlo de pie antes de que tenga la oportunidad de probar tu agarre, no lo estás derrotando.
Es cierto que Deaton es difícil de rematar, pero Solecki es más que capaz de aplastarlo durante 15 minutos si el estrangulamiento trasero desnudo no está ahí. Y lo más probable es que así sea.
UFC Fight Night: Nurullo Aliev vs.Rafael Alves
¿Por qué apostar por Nurullo Aliev?
Nurullo Aliev (7-0) culminó su paso por el circuito europeo con una decisión sobre Kirill Kryukov en un espectáculo combinado de AMC/Eagle FC.
Los planes iniciales para unirse a Legacy Fighting Alliance (LFA) se convirtieron en una oportunidad de la Serie Contender, que “Tajik Eagle” aprovechó al derrotar a Josh Wick al final del primer cuadro.
¿Por qué apostar por Rafael Alves?
Después de cuatro cancelaciones de peleas y una derrota por decisión ante Damir Ismagulov, Rafael Alves (20-11) obtuvo su primera victoria en UFC al estrangular a Marc Diakiese en sólo 108 segundos.
Luego vino Drew Dober, quien detuvo a “The Turn” con un golpe al cuerpo en el tercer asalto en UFC 277.
Ha sometido a ocho enemigos profesionales y noqueado a otros siete.
Análisis final de apuestas de Nurullo Aliev vs.Rafael Alves:
A pesar del talento físico que tiene Alves, no hay un tejido conectivo real en su juego, nada en lo que pueda apoyarse cuando fallan los grandes ataques llamativos y la guillotina asesina.
El enfoque de Aliev es mucho más consistente y es un luchador lo suficientemente fuerte como para ejecutarlo contra oponentes de nivel UFC.
Sin embargo, el hecho de que Alves no pueda preparar sus ataques no significa que no sean peligrosos, y Aliev puede convertirse en un ciervo bajo fuego.
Si Aliev puede entrar consistentemente y pegarse a Alves contra la cerca, la explosividad de “The Turn” no puede salvarlo, y un esfuerzo constante debería ser su plan de juego para esta pelea.
UFC Fight Night: Hailey Cowan contra Ailin Pérez
¿Por qué apostar por Hailey Cowan?
Hailey Cowan (7-2) se recuperó de una derrota por decisión ante Kelly Clayton con una victoria por sumisión en su debut en Invicta, estableciendo una oportunidad de la Serie Contender contra Claudia Leite.
A pesar de una dura segunda ronda, Cowan superó a Leite para ganar una decisión dividida y un contrato con UFC.
¿Por qué apostar por Ailin Pérez?
Ailin Pérez (7-2), cuya única derrota previa fue por descalificación contra la futura competidora de UFC Tamires Vidal, se unió a UFC en 2022 y se preparó para debutar contra Zarah Fairn.
Cuando “Infinite” se retiró, Pérez se enfrentó a Stéphane Egger, quien estranguló al argentino en París.
Cinco de sus victorias profesionales se produjeron en la distancia, cuatro de ellas por nocaut.
Análisis final de apuestas de Hailey Cowan contra Ailin Pérez:
Ambas mujeres hacen su mejor trabajo en el clinch, lo que significa que es muy probable que veamos largos períodos de inactividad contra la valla.
Aunque la fuerza física de Cowan es una clara ventaja, aquí estamos favoreciendo a Pérez.
Ella es la atacante más natural de los dos y es mucho más peligrosa desde arriba, lo que la hace más probable que capte la atención de los jueces siempre que no estén estancados.
Es probable que su agresividad triunfe en un asunto competitivo y a veces aburrido.
UFC Fight Night: José Johnson contra Garrett Armfield
¿Por qué apostar por José Johnson?
Los impresionantes paros de Mo Miller y Dulani Perry le valieron a José Johnson (15-7) una segunda oportunidad en la Serie Contender, donde anteriormente había perdido por decisión ante Ronnie Lawrence.
Esta vez, resistió el contrato de lucha libre de Jack Cartwright para ganar por decisión y conseguir su boleto al octágono.
¿Por qué apostar por Garrett Armfield?
Después de lograr una racha de 6-1, Armfield dio un paso adelante sin previo aviso para enfrentar al ex rival aficionado David Onama en peso pluma.
Aunque ambiciosa, la medida no produjo dividendos, ya que sucumbió a un triángulo de brazos en la segunda ronda.
Sus ocho victorias profesionales incluyen siete por nocaut.
Análisis final de apuestas de José Johnson contra Garrett Armfield:
Si bien Armfield tendrá problemas con la longitud de Johnson, la tendencia de "Lobo Solitario" a protegerse bajo el fuego debería darle a Armfield muchas oportunidades para poner en marcha su combinación de golpes.
Además, el fuerte juego de Johnson se ve compensado por derribos bastante débiles, por lo que mientras Armfield no haga un mal tiro como lo hizo contra Onama, no debería haber mucho que le impida mantenerlo en su timonera.
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