Argentina vs. Colombia Preview and Free Pick

The last Copa América final will be repeated as Argentina, the winners of the qualifiers, host a Colombia side walking a tightrope.

Argentina is coming off a 1-0 away win over Chile in Santiago, securing first place in the CONMEBOL qualifiers with three matches to spare.

Colombia, on the other hand, couldn’t get past a goalless draw at home against Peru and is currently facing a significant crisis in both results and performance.

Argentina vs. Colombia Betting Odds and Info

¿Por qué apostar por Argentina?

The Reigning champions of both the World Cup and the most recent Copa América, Argentina, heads into this match as leaders of the CONMEBOL Clasificatorios para el Mundial, already qualified for the 2026 World Cup.

They are coming off a 1-0 away win over Chile, with a goal from Julián Álvarez, one of the top strikers in the world today. Lionel Messi started on the bench and came on in the second half, while 17-year-old Franco Mastantuono—River Plate’s latest gem and a reported multimillion-euro target for Real Madrid—made his debut.

Argentina has 34 points from 11 wins, one draw, and three losses. They are on a four-game winning streak, having 1-0 victories over Peru, Uruguay, and Chile and a 4-1 thrashing of Brazil. At home, they have six wins and one loss (0-2 versus Uruguay).

Lionel Scaloni has built a formidable team that has shown it doesn’t depend solely on Messi to win. However, the Inter Miami star is still the top scorer in the qualifiers with six goals—though three of those came in a 6-0 win over Bolivia. Messi has scored in just three matches and hasn’t found the net in the team’s last five games, though he missed two of those.

¿Por qué apostar por Colombia?

Colombia is in crisis—not just in terms of results but also in their style of play and even internal team dynamics. They are coming off a 0-0 draw at home against Peru in a match where they didn’t register a single shot on target. That makes it two consecutive home draws, preceded by three straight losses.

With 21 points, they currently sit in sixth place. Another loss could drop them to seventh, as Venezuela trails by just three points. Falling into the playoff spot would be a fatal blow for a team that, up until the Copa América, was considered one of the best in the world.

Since losing the Copa América final to Argentina, Colombia has recorded two wins (one of them against Argentina), three draws, and four defeats. Away from home, they drew 0-0 with Peru, then lost three straight matches to Bolivia, Uruguay, and Brazil—the last two defeats coming from goals scored in the final moments.

Poor results and lackluster performances have led to reported tensions within the squad. Colombian media claim that striker John Jader Durán had an altercation with James Rodríguez and Jefferson Lerma in the locker room. The Al-Nassr player was later left out of the squad due to a supposed injury.This has left the ‘Cafeteros’ short on attacking options, especially since John Córdoba was already injured, and his replacement, Rafael Santos Borré, also went down.

The only good news for coach Néstor Lorenzo is the return of Luis Díaz. The Liverpool winger was suspended and didn’t play against Peru. He is currently the top scorer in the qualifiers with six goals and has found the net in his last two matches.

Análisis final de apuestas: Argentina vs Colombia

Argentina is leading the qualifiers and playing at an exceptionally high level. While they’ve already secured their spot in the World Cup, they’ll be eager to defeat Colombia—especially since the Colombians won in the first leg. This matchup has become increasingly heated and controversial in recent years. Scaloni’s team is expected to take all three points.

Los numeros en Gambyl Exchange favor Argentina, with a Moneyline of -114, while Colombia sits at +366 and a draw at +250.

The last time these two teams faced off was on September 10, 2024, when Colombia won 2-1 with goals from Yerson Mosquera and James Rodríguez. The most recent match in Argentina was on February 1, 2022, with the home side winning 1-0 thanks to a goal from Lautaro Martínez.

In World Cup qualifiers, the ‘Tricolor’ hasn’t beaten Argentina since the famous 0-5 win in 1993. Since then, Argentina has recorded five victories and two draws, conceding only one goal during that span. Before the 0-5, the only other qualifier between them in Argentina was in 1985, when the ‘Albiceleste’ won 1-0.

Go for a win for Argentina. If you bet $100 at -114, you will gain $87.72 for a total payout of $187.72

Argentina vs. Colombia Betting Pick: Argentina