Previa y pronóstico gratuito del Benfica vs. Real Madrid

Last Updated on enero 26, 2026 4:12 pm by Erwin Noguera

Two European giants will battle for a spot in the next round of the Champions League on the final matchday, with a desperate Benfica hosting Real Madrid.

Benfica are coming off a 2-0 loss to Juventus in their last match and are currently outside the playoff zone.

Meanwhile, Real Madrid crushed Monaco 6-1 and sits third, but their direct qualification spot is still not secured.

En Gambyl Exchange, puedes explorar todos los pronósticos para la UEFA Champions League, las apuestas finales para esta jornada y las cuotas de cada partido.

Benfica vs. Real Madrid Betting Odds and Info

¿Por qué apostar por el Benfica?

Benfica is in serious trouble. With six points and a goal difference of -4, they sit 29th, eliminated from any stage. There are three teams with nine points and another three with eight inside the top 24, which were the spots they could realistically aim for, but there are other teams still in the mix. They must win by a solid goal margin and hope several results go their way.

They started the tournament with four straight defeats, scoring just two goals in the opening match, a 2-3 home loss to Qarabag. They then fell to Chelsea (1-0), Newcastle (3-0), and again at home against Bayer Leverkusen (0-1). After that, they managed two consecutive 2-0 wins, one away to Ajax and another at home versus Napoli. However, last week they lost 2-0 in Italy to Juventus, further complicating their situation.

With just six goals scored, they are one of the weakest attacking sides in the tournament, and only Leandro Barreiro has more than one goal. They are coming off a 4-0 win over Estrela Amadora this weekend in the Portuguese league.

Among the absences for Jose Mourinho are Richard Rios and Dodi Lukebakio, while Alexander Bah has been sidelined since February of last year.

¿Por qué apostar por el Real Madrid?

Real Madrid is in a more comfortable position, but they cannot afford to relax. With 15 points, they sit in third place, just two points ahead of Barcelona and four other teams that are outside the top eight, which are the spots that qualify directly.

They had been going through a small results crisis that led to the departure of Xabi Alonso and the arrival of Alvaro Arbeloa, but in their most recent Champions League match they put those doubts to rest by crushing Monaco 6-1, with a brace from Kylian Mbappe, who is the tournament’s top scorer with 11 goals and has 34 in 28 matches this season with the Spanish side. The French striker has more goals than 15 of the teams competing in the tournament, including Benfica.

It is now three straight wins for the ‘Blancos’, who beat Levante 2-0 and Villarreal 0-2 in their most recent league outings this weekend. Mbappe scored three of those four goals.

Defense continues to be this team’s Achilles’ heel when it comes to injuries, with Eder Militao, Antonio Rudiger, Ferland Mendy, and Trent Alexander-Arnold all sidelined.

Análisis final de apuestas: Benfica vs. Real Madrid

It has been a terrible tournament for Benfica, and there is also a lot of pressure on them in this match. While Real Madrid does not face the same level of urgency as their opponent, they still need to win and continue improving their image. Mbappe’s level has been outstanding, and we believe he will lead his team to victory.

Los numeros en Gambyl Exchange favor Real Madrid with a Moneyline of -134, while Benfica is priced at +362, and the draw is listed at +342.

During the 1960s, these teams faced each other three times in the tournament. The first encounter was the 1962 final held in Amsterdam, where Benfica triumphed with a score of 5-3. This match was notable for a brace by Eusebio for the Portuguese side and a hat trick by Puskas for the Spaniards.

They then met again in the 1965 quarterfinals, with the Portuguese winning 5-1 at home in the first leg, and the Spaniards taking the second leg 2-1.

Go for a win for Real Madrid. If you bet $100 at -134, you will gain $75 for a total payout of $175.

Benfica vs. Real Madrid Betting Pick: Real Madrid