UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland: Probabilidades y pronósticos de la cartelera

UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland: Probabilidades y pronósticos de la cartelera

UFC 293: Adesanya vs.Strickland

Last Updated on septiembre 6, 2023 4:03 pm by Erwin Noguera

The Qudos Bank Arena will be the venue to host the next UFC numbered event, 293, so we are taking the trip to Sydney, New South Wales, Australia to see the Middleweight championship being placed on the line, along with a banger fight card to go along with the bout.

This event will be headlined by ‘The Last Stylebender’, Israel Adesanya, who is making a title defense against the American challenger, Sean Strickland to see who is the best man in the 185 pounds division.

The Co-main event gets a Heavyweight clash between Tai Tuivasa and Alexander Volkov, which should be a barnburner as both fighters are finishers. We also get a clash between Manel Kape and the undefeated debutant Felipe Dos Santos.

For this event, we get 12 exciting fights, which means that as usual for a numbered event, 5 of them are in the main card and the other 7 are spread around the Prelims.

With a lot of talent on the board, we are expecting the crowd to be more than simply excited, as there are 6 local fighters on the card! (If we include New Zeland on it)

Puedes consultar todas las UFC/MMA , el análisis de cada luchador y la apuesta final que puedes realizar en estos combates.

UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland Fight Card Odds and Picks – Info

Cuando: 

Saturday, September 9th, at 6:30 pm ET

Cuotas de línea de dinero:

Israel Adesanya -666 / Sean Strickland +430

Tai Tuivasa +181 / Alexander Volkov -238

Manel Kape -400 / Felipe dos Santos +280

Justin Tafa -232 / Austen Lane +179

Tyson Pedro -106 / Anton Turkalj -120

Carlos Ulberg -285 / Da Un Jung +212

Jack Jenkins -217 / Chepe Mariscal +167

Jamie Mullarkey -263 / John Makdessi +196

Nasrat Haqparast -476 / Landon Quiñones +331

Blood Diamond +226 / Charlie Radtke -303

Shane Young -178 / Gabriel Miranda +140

Kevin Jousset -156 / Kiefer Crosbie +123

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UFC Fight Pass

UFC 293: Israel Adesanya vs. Sean Strickland

¿Por qué apostar por Israel Adesanya?

Adesanya has undeniably etched his name in the company’s history as one of its most exceptional fighters. He stands among the absolute best, fresh off his iconic victory against Alex Periera at UFC 287.

Adesanya looked back to his best in his win over Pereira in April and managed to climb over a pretty sizeable mental hurdle in the process. 

¿Por qué apostar por Sean Strickland?

‘Stillknocks’ became only the second man, after Adesanya, to beat former middleweight champ Robert Whittaker earlier this year, knocking him out in stunning fashion.

‘Tarzan’ is a big 185lber, he boasts a good reach of 76”, he can sit behind his jab nicely, and he’s also a solid fighter in the clinch and on the ground should the fight hit there.

However, he has a dangerous tendency to hold his chin too high and often drops his hands worryingly low too. 

Israel Adesanya vs. Sean Strickland Betting Analysis:

The promotion wanted Adesanya to headline this weekend and du Plessis simply wasn’t ready, and so Sean Strickland has been pushed into the spot instead.

In all honesty, this isn’t a bad fight by any means. Strickland is currently on a two-fight win streak and looked good in dispatching Abus Magomedov in July.

Overall, barring a freak occurrence, it’s hard to imagine Strickland doing anything to put Adesanya in danger here. It’s more likely that ‘The Last Stylebender’ takes a round to warm up before dispatching his challenger in the second.

UFC 293: Tai Tuivasa vs. Alexander Volkov

¿Por qué apostar en Tai Tuivasa?

If you think heart wins fights, then toss a unit on “Bam Bam,” a portly power puncher who brings all kinds of chaotic energy into the Octagon. Tuivasa surprises his opponents with his strength — both on punches and low kicks — and has won seven of his eight UFC fights by KO/TKO.

Tuivasa’s defense is suspect, but he could easily score an underdog KO. 

¿Por qué apostar por Alexander Volkov?

With a five-inch advantage in both height and reach over Tuivasa, Volkov can do some damage. The Russian’s leg reach will loom large, too, as we can expect him to devastate any opponent’s midsection with front kicks.

Tai Tuivasa vs. Alexander Volkov Betting Analysis:

Volkov isn’t an elite fighter, but he’s composed and accurate — the antithesis of Tuivasa’s game plan. The size differential would freak out any Tuivasa backer, too.

We like Tuivasa and I’ll give him massive credit for prioritizing entertainment over his win-loss record. We just don’t think Volkov sees it that way. Drago, much like his Russian brethre Sergei Pavlovich, should come out of the gates on a mission.

UFC 293: Manel Kape vs. Felipe dos Santos

¿Por qué apostar por Manel Kape?

‘Starboy’ is compact, powerful, and capable of a dynamic knockout while also possessing the cardio to secure a decision win.

He is quite a skilled fighter and coming in from a 3 fights winning streak, he is looking sharp and ready to go at his next shot after a streak of canceled fights against top contenders in recent months.

¿Por qué apostar por Felipe dos Santos?

The 22-year-old was originally scheduled to fight on Dana White’s Contender Series before that fight got nixed. Now he’ll be thrust into a massive spotlight on a UFC pay-per-view.

‘Lipe Detona’ trains with Chute Boxe in Brazil, home of former UFC lightweight champ Charles Oliveira, so it’s not unreasonable to draw similarities. We imagine he’s got some chaotic spirit to him, but his opponent is a warrior in his own right.

Manel Kape vs. Felipe dos Santos Betting Analysis:

Honestly, we just don’t know enough about Dos Santos. We’ve watched a bit of tape — the kid is lean, quick, and strong off his back — but we might be steering clear.

Against a UFC newcomer, Kape has enough experience to win inside the distance. As I said, dos Santos is creative and comfortable in the cage, but he’s way too lean to withstand even 15 minutes of Kape’s punishment. 

UFC 293: Justin Tafa vs. Austen Lane

¿Por qué apostar por Justin Tafa?

Justin Tafa (6-3) is a former rugby player who turned to kickboxing before making mixed martial arts his full-time gig. Combat sports have been in his family his whole life as his grandfather was a national boxing champion and his brother Junior Tafa is a current UFC heavyweight alongside him.

Tafa is coming off back-to-back wins for the first time in his UFC career and will be looking to make it three in a row this Saturday.

¿Por qué apostar en Austen Lane?

Austen Lane (12-3) es un ex ala defensiva de los Jacksonville Jaguars que se convirtió en artista de artes marciales mixtas. Es un contendiente imponente de peso pesado que tiene poder de nocaut como lo ha demostrado en 11 de sus 12 victorias.

Hará su debut en UFC contra su adversario más duro hasta la fecha, Justin Tafa, este fin de semana.

Justin Tafa vs. Austen Lane Betting Analysis:

It took two tries but Austen Lane finally got the contract that he deserved after his second stint on the Contender Series. He knocked out Richard Jacobi in the first round which solidified his roster spot in the UFC. He was scheduled to fight Justin Tafa’s brother Junior Tafa but he had to withdraw due to injury.

Fast forward four months later, Lane now gets to make his promotional debut against another Tafa brother.

Lane is large for the division and has one-punch knockout power which will have to come in handy against another power puncher like Justin Tafa.

UFC 293: Tyson Pedro vs. Anton Turkalj

Why Bet on Tyson Pedro?

Pedro is an Australian mixed martial artist with a professional MMA record of 9-4 with four TKO/KOs and five submissions at the age of 31. He trains out of the great City Kickboxing gym in New Zealand with some of the best fighters in the world, including the headliner of this card Israel Adesanya.

Pedro ha tenido una larga carrera en UFC, a pesar de que se perdió tres años debido a una cirugía de reconstrucción en su rodilla y la pandemia.

¿Por qué apostar por Anton Turkalj?

Turkalj es un artista marcial mixto sueco con un récord profesional de 8-2 con cinco KO/TKO y dos sumisiones en su haber con sólo 27 años.

Sus primeras dos derrotas fueron sus últimas dos apariciones en UFC, lo que significa que esta próxima pelea es enorme para su carrera; a veces, la situación en la carrera de un atleta marca una gran diferencia al momento de hacer selecciones de UFC.

“The Pleasure Man” aporta mucha confianza y una personalidad interesante a UFC si comienza a realizar actuaciones ganadoras.

Tyson Pedro vs. Anton Turkalj Betting Analysis:

Este es un enfrentamiento interesante entre un veterano del deporte probado en batalla con un gran equipo contra un joven peleador muy talentoso que tiene el potencial de ser un muy buen peleador en UFC. 

Pedro tendrá una ventaja al ser el evento en casa y tener todo ese apoyo. También ha compartido jaula con gente como Shogun Rua y Ovince St. Preux.

Turkalj es un personaje interesante en este enfrentamiento porque normalmente tiene una ligera ventaja sobre sus oponentes debido a su confianza y confianza en sí mismo, pero después de perder dos peleas seguidas, su mentalidad podría ser ligeramente diferente de cara a esta.

We are expecting Pedro to get his hands raised at the end of this clash.

UFC 293: Carlos Ulberg vs. Da Un Jung

Why Bet on Carlos Ulberg?

After smashing his way past Bruno Oliveira on Contender Series, Carlos Ulberg (9-1) crashed back to Earth in his “Fight of the Night”-winning Octagon debut, which saw Kennedy Nzechukwu survive early trouble to stop ‘Black Jag’ in the second.

Desde entonces, ha encontrado su ritmo con cuatro victorias consecutivas, la más reciente de las cuales le valió la "Actuación de la noche". También ha noqueado a tres oponentes seguidos y a seis en total.

Why Bet on Da Un Jung?

Da Un Jung (15-4-1) culminó su inicio 4-0-1 en UFC con un violento nocaut sobre el mencionado Nzechukwu. Esa resultó ser su última victoria desde 2021, ya que posteriormente sufrió derrotas consecutivas ante Dustin Jacoby y Devin Clark.

Análisis de apuestas de Carlos Ulberg vs.Da Un Jung:

Ulberg has violently knocked out three consecutive lumbering sluggers and all signs point to finish No. 4. Jung has never been a technical wiz on the feet, as seen when he struggled with Sam Alvey of all people. He’s made up for it with power and sheer physicality, but Ulberg has seemingly advanced past the point where that combination poses a threat.

All Jung has going for him in this matchup is reach, which Ulberg has admittedly struggled with before. Again, though, Ulberg’s growth in the Octagon makes it hard to imagine him falling victim to a rudimentary slugger. In the end, that check hook claims yet another victim in the opening minutes.

UFC 293: Jack Jenkins contra Chepe Mariscal

¿Por qué apostar por Jack Jenkins?

Jack Jenkins (12-2) — a former Eternal MMA champ — secured his Octagon berth by beating down Freddy Emiliano Linares on Contender Series.

'Phar' actualmente tiene marca de 2-0 en la principal promoción de artes marciales mixtas del mundo después de superar a Don Shainis y superar por poco a Jamall Emmers.

Sus victorias por nocaut profesional se dividen 5:3 entre nocauts y sumisiones.

¿Por qué apostar por Chepe Mariscal?

Jose Mariscal (14-6) bounced back from a 1-3 skid with three consecutive knockouts. His success carried him to the Octagon, where he overpowered Trevor Peek in a “Fight of the Night”-worthy slugfest.

Análisis de apuestas de Jack Jenkins vs.Chepe Mariscal:

Como alguien que elogió a Jenkins antes de su debut en UFC, no ganó esa pelea con Emmers. Por suerte para él, 'Chepe' no tiene la longitud ni las habilidades de lucha que 'Pretty Boy' solía darle a Jenkins.

Los derribos de Mariscal no son lo suficientemente fuertes como para superar la lucha defensiva de Jenkins y su golpe, aunque poderoso, palidece en comparación con el boxeo afilado de Jenkins.

Subestimamos a Mariscal antes de la pelea contra Peek, pero la supremacía técnica de Jenkins será un rompecabezas mucho más difícil de resolver que la cruda brutalidad de Peek. En resumen, Jenkins lo presenta como candidato a “Pelea de la noche”.

UFC 293: Jamie Mullarkey vs. John Makdessi

¿Por qué apostar por Jamie Mullarkey?

Jamie Mullarkey (16-6) comenzó su carrera en UFC sin victorias (0-2) antes de ganar cuatro de sus siguientes cinco, incluida una batalla de la “Pelea de la Noche” con Michael Johnson. Luego llegó el sustituto tardío Muhammad Naimov, a quien Mullarkey aparentemente tenía contra las cuerdas antes de correr de cabeza hacia un contraataque que puso fin a la pelea.

His 13 professional finishes include 10 by knockout.

Why Bet on John Makdessi?

John Makdessi (18-8) — reeling from a 2-4 skid — quietly worked his way back into the Lightweight discussion with three straight victories. He’s since dropped two of three, an upset of Ignacio Bahamondes sandwiched between losses to Francisco Trinaldo and Nasrat Haqparast.

“El Toro” torea por primera vez en un año y apenas por segunda vez en los últimos 2.5.

Análisis de apuestas de Jamie Mullarkey vs.John Makdessi:

This should be a clear Mullarkey win on paper. That’s because the last time Makdessi fought a physical pressure fighter, Francisco Trinaldo bullied him from bell to bell.

La cuestión es que Mullarkey parece no poder encontrar el equilibrio. Se mostró como un acosador versátil e indestructible, pero ha sido noqueado dos veces en sus últimas cuatro peleas y fue extremadamente afortunado de salir con la decisión contra Michael Johnson, quien parecía una elección fácil para el estilo de Mullarkey.

We recognize that Makdessi has one win over a current member of UFC’s roster and hasn’t scored a knockout since the Obama administration. He still acquitted himself well against Haqparast, while Mullarkey got slumped by a Featherweight. In other words, we have a gut feeling Makdessi’s sharper hands eke out a decision.

UFC 293: Nasrat Haqparast vs. Landon Quiñones

¿Por qué apostar por Nasrat Haqparast?

The 5-1 run for Nasrat Haqparast(14-5) came to a screeching halt thanks to back-to-back losses against Dan Hooker and Bobby Green. He managed to get back on track last time out against John Makdessi, ending a five-fight knockdown drought in the process.

Esta marca su primera pelea en un año.

¿Por qué apostar por Landon Quiñones?

Landon Quiñones (7-1-1) regresó de una lesión para ganar y defender el título de peso ligero del Titan FC con nocauts consecutivos.

Su éxito le valió un lugar en The Ultimate Fighter (TUF) 31, donde sucumbió a un triángulo de Jason Knight a menos de un minuto del primer asalto.

Análisis de apuestas de Nasrat Haqparast vs. Landon Quiñones:

Realmente creemos que Quiñones es mucho mejor de lo que demostró contra Knight. Es un luchador de presión letal con manos limpias, patadas afiladas y un tanque de gasolina ridículo. Haqparast ha tenido muchos fracasos desde la debacle de Drew Dober y ha tenido problemas con delanteros de alto rendimiento antes.

En resumen, si Haqparast todavía está estancado en su rutina, Quiñones tiene las habilidades para ganar esto.

Seguimos volviendo al tema del alcance. Quiñones no maneja la distancia tan bien como Green. Por ejemplo, a veces se queda adentro, lo que le hizo retroceder dos peleas.

Incluso si Haqparast no es el bulldozer que era al comienzo de su mandato en UFC, sigue siendo un golpeador venenoso que es agudo en el contraataque. Espere que ponga a Quiñones en su asiento al menos una vez, neutralizando la presión de Quiñones con consistentes y poderosos contraataques de izquierda en el camino hacia una detención temprana o una victoria por decisión.

UFC 293: Diamante de sangre contra Charlie Radtke

¿Por qué apostar por Blood Diamond?

Mike Mathetha (3-2), el hombre al que llaman “Diamante de sangre”, tuvo marca de 51-14 en el ring de kickboxing antes de dedicar toda su atención a las MMA. Todavía está persiguiendo su primera victoria en UFC después de caer ante Jeremiah Wells y Orion Cosce.

¿Por qué apostar por Charlie Radtke?

Charlie Radtke (7-3), que alguna vez fue un peso ligero 3-3, dio nueva vida a su carrera al subir a 170 libras. Su última victoria fue la más importante hasta la fecha, ya que venció al invicto Raheem Forest para reclamar el oro del CFFC.

La victoria marcó su quinto final profesional y el segundo por sumisión.

Análisis de apuestas de Blood Diamond contra Charlie Radtke:

This is Mathetha’s most winnable UFC matchup to date just by Radtke being a striker. Still, it’s hard to have much faith in City Kickboxing’s red-headed stepchild — We’d never pegged his style as a good fit for mixed martial arts and his recent efforts have done little to convince me that I was wrong.

Radtke’s power makes him a threat to Mathetha on the feet. And while he’s not much of a takedown artist, he is a very adept scrambler who could make Mathetha’s life hell if he decides to take it south. Even if it does stay standing, Mathetha’s inability to put away a half-dead Cosce makes us think Radtke can hold his own. Indeed, Radtke overpowers him somewhere around the midway point.

UFC 293: Shane Young contra Gabriel Miranda

Why Bet on Shane Young?

Back-to-back wins over Rolando Dy and Austin Arnett put Shane Young’s (13-7) loss to Alexander Volkanovski in the rearview mirror and upped his record to 7-1 in his previous eight. He now finds himself winless in four years after falling to Ludovit Klein, Omar Morales, and Blake Bilder.

¿Por qué apostar por Gabriel Miranda?

‘Fly’ — winner of seven of his previous eight — moved up in weight on short notice to battle Benoit Saint-Denis in his UFC debut. Though he showed admirable heart, he succumbed to ‘God of War’s’ power early in the second round.

Todas sus victorias profesionales se han producido en la distancia, 15 de ellas por sumisión.

Shane Young vs. Gabriel Miranda Betting Analysis:

Miranda nunca iba a vencer a Saint-Denis: sus habilidades de sumisión no eran un factor contra un luchador mucho más grande y poderoso. Esto, por otro lado, parece un poco más fácil de ganar.

Young had zero snap in his punches against the very hittable Bilder and his wrestling has let him down before, suggesting that Miranda can take things to the mat without fear of another battering.

At this point in Young’s career, he just seems like he doesn’t have it. Beating two of the worst fighters on UFC’s roster and showing little life in his four defeats doesn’t give us hope for his future. Miranda got torched himself last time out, but there were enough extenuating circumstances and he’s skilled enough in his wheelhouse to earn our nod.

UFC 293: Kevin Jousset vs. Kiefer Crosbie

¿Por qué apostar por Kevin Jousset?

Kevin Jousset (8-2) de City Kickboxing reclamó el oro de peso mediano en la Hex Fight Series al superar a Priscus Fogagnolo. Tres meses después, volvió a bajar a 170 libras, donde derrotó a Kitt Campbell para reclamar también el título de peso welter de la promoción.

¿Por qué apostar por Kiefer Crosbie?

Kiefer Crosbie (10-3) — fighting out of SBG — ended his three-year Bellator run at 4-3 in the promotion. After bouncing back with a quick finish of the hopelessly overmatched Brian Lo-A-Njoe, he claimed his biggest scalp to date by brutalizing Alex “Cowboy” Oliveira in April 2023.

He’s knocked out five professional opponents and submitted two others.

Análisis de apuestas de Kevin Jousset contra Kiefer Crosbie:

Esto va de dos maneras. Si el público australiano consigue lo que quiere, Jousset utilizará su tamaño y sus ventajas de agarre para tirar a Crosbie a la lona y golpearlo hasta someterlo. De lo contrario, Crosbie usará su velocidad y poder para explotar la debilidad clave de Jousset: la gente simplemente se acerca a él y le lanza 100 golpes a la cara.

Con toda seriedad, es una cuestión de si Jousset puede atar a Crosbie antes de que la falta de velocidad y movimiento de cabeza del primero le valgan una ráfaga que ponga fin a la pelea hacia la cúpula. Seremos optimistas y diremos: "Sí". Esto se debe a que después de ver a Crosbie desmoronarse contra Charlie Leary y Georgi Karakhanyan, hay más fe en la capacidad de Jousset para luchar contra la adversidad que en la de Crosbie. Al final, se abre paso a golpes hasta la victoria.

Adesanya vs. Strickland Pronóstico de apuestas: Israel Adesanya

Tuivasa contra Volkov Pronóstico de apuestas: Alexander Volkov

Kape contra Dos Santos Pronóstico de apuestas: Manuel Kape

Tafa vs. Lane Pronóstico de apuestas: austen carril

Pedro contra Turkalj Pronóstico de apuestas: Tyson Pedro

Ulberg contra Jung Pronóstico de apuestas: Carlos Ulberg

Jenkins contra Mariscal Pronóstico de apuestas: Jack Jenkins

Mullarkey vs. Makdessi Pronóstico de apuestas: John Makdessi

Haqparast vs. Quiñones Pronóstico de apuestas: Nasrat Haqparast

Diamante contra Radtke Pronóstico de apuestas: Charlie Radtke

Young vs. Miranda Pronóstico de apuestas: Gabriel Miranda

Jousset contra Crosbie Pronóstico de apuestas: Kevin Jousset

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