UFC Fight Night: Probabilidades y pronósticos de la cartelera de Usman vs. Buckley

The UFC Fight Night is taking a trip to Atlanta, Georgia, while two former belt holders will fight with upcoming challengers in what could be a pretty fun and entertaining night for all fight fans out there.

Our main event is the return of the former Welterweight champion, Kamaru Usman, as he takes a wild challenge in Joaquin Buckley to see if he still has it in him or if it is time to hand the torch.

The co-main event sees the former female flyweight champion, Rose Namajunas, face off against Miranda Maverick in a clash that could put the latter in title contention if she can handle the test she is up against.

Besides having multiple talented fighters from all over, we will also be able to enjoy another fight from the former Bantamweight Champion, Cody Garbrandt, who is facing Raoni Barcelos as he tries to climb his way up in the division.

Seven Prelims and six main card fights are what we get in this interesting event, and they are going to build up the hype for our main event and co-main fights for a great night inside the world’s most famous Octagon.

En Gambyl Exchange, puedes consultar todos los UFC/MMA , el análisis de cada luchador y la apuesta final que puedes realizar en estos combates.

UFC Fight Night: Probabilidades e información de la cartelera de Usman vs. Buckley

UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Joaquin Buckley

¿Por qué apostar por Kamaru Usman?

One thing that we know for certain is that Usman is getting up there in age. He is coming off an injury that has laid him out for almost two years, and to recover from an injury at the age of 36+ is pretty rough, only to come back into a fight camp that might aggravate the injury. It isn’t that great.

What we expect from Usman this weekend is pretty straightforward: we expect him to wrestle and rely on his outstanding cardio to push Buckley to his limits. We don’t know the extent of his injury, but if it’s his knees, we would have to wonder if he can even wrestle like he used to back in his prime.

¿Por qué apostar por Joaquín Buckley?

Buckley may not be the perfect welterweight, but you cannot deny that he brings the fire and fury that we all love to see as fans.

However, we do think that he needs to have a win over a young fighter for once because, after back-to-back wins against Stephen Thompson and Colby Covington, we feel like he’s getting a bit too comfortable beating up on the old guard.

Buckley’s takedown defense is reasonably good, by no means perfect. He could struggle against Usman, but by default, he’s very well-rounded and has excellent counter-wrestling instincts, stuffing quite a few takedowns here and there and overall using his speed and athleticism to defend himself.

Buckley is that he’s a very low-stance fighter: He’s got a low base, and he tends to launch himself from the low base to a standing position quickly, often catching his opponents off guard, but he’s also very linear in that regard, so we do think that it’ll take a few hits and misses for Buckley to find the chin or target that is Usman.

Final Betting Analysis: Kamaru Usman vs. Joaquin Buckley

Usman is still a potentially dangerous threat in the wrestling department, and we expect him to test the mettle of Buckley, especially during the first three rounds.

In terms of striking, he could be in a bit of a power deficit as Buckley is such an explosive and violent striker who propels himself into a collision-like exchange. He’s going to be the bully as long as the fight remains standing, and we are unsure if the ring-rusted Usman will be able to go toe-to-toe against a young, explosive fighter with a whole heap of momentum behind him.

UFC Fight Night: Rose Namajunas vs. Miranda Maverick

¿Por qué apostar por Rose Namajunas?

Namajunas is one of those fighters who is still a very tough challenge to take on but is far from the greatness she was once known for. While we think she could win against Maverick in this fight, we are highly cautious in giving her more respect than she’sworth.

Now, her takedown defense is reasonably fine, and that’s the biggest concern we think for most people since Maverick is primarily a wrestler. However, we believe that if Namajunas were to fight as if it’s a 5-rounder, she’sgoing to fall behind on the scorecards due to the pace.

On the feet, we give Rose every single advantage one can get. She’s an excellent kickboxer, and her footwork and timing will be highly important in keeping Maverick at bay, wholly unable to wrestle to an effective degree.

¿Por qué apostar por Miranda Maverick?

Maverick has always been a tough challenge for many of her opponents. She’s a gritty fighter and great at finding entries for her takedowns, but she has also fought some awful opponents who have a clear disadvantage on the ground, which has led to her success in recent years.

Still, she has a clear way to win this fight, and that’s to wrestle, but we highly doubt she can wrestle to the same effect that Blanchfield did because there have been moments in her fights in which she looks like she was struggling to get the takedown.

Final Betting Analysis: Rose Namajunas vs. Miranda Maverick

Maverick is likely to either be stifled with her approach to getting into a wrestling position by Roses’ movement and long strikes, or she is going to come into this fight with overwhelming activity and look to outwork the former champion. We don’t know what her approach will be in this fight, but she will want to wrestle and look for those takedowns.

We think that the former champ will make the most of every second standing and get the fight in her pocket that way.

UFC Fight Night: Edmen Shahbazyan vs. Andre Petroski

¿Por qué apostar por Edmen Shahbazyan?

Shahbazyan is one of those hard-to-predict fighters who has won against some seriously terrible fighters but loses against mediocre specialists, and we think Petroski falls into that “mediocre specialist” category quite well.

Shahbazyan is, as advertised, a solid kickboxer with tremendous power in his strikes. The only thing that concerns us is that he’s never a combination fighter. He doesn’t throw with enough volume to overwhelm his opponents and always strikes with a short combination or singular strikes.

His power side leg and body kick will be a major threat to Petroski early, especially as Petroski stands a little bit too still at times, leaving him open for strikes. However, Shahbazyan’s right straight will be the perfect weapon to use since Petroski is known for having a susceptibility to getting punched in the face and wobbling in quite a lot of his fights.

¿Por qué apostar por André Petroski?

Petroski is rather one-dimensional in his approach to fighting. He’s a wrestler who wants nothing more than to get takedowns and grind out a win, and for the most part, he has achieved just that throughout his UFC career so far.

His last win against Vieira was impressive because we finally saw him be a little bit more comfortable on the feet. His check hook was a highlight strike for us during the tape watch for that particular fight. Even though he can stand and strike effectively enough against Shahbazyan to beat him on the feet, we believe the variation in styles and his massive improvements over time with his striking will shine this weekend.

Final Betting Analysis: Edmen Shahbazyan vs. Andre Petroski

Shahbazyan has an issue with his inability to fight consistently throughout all three rounds.

After the first round, there is a noticeable decline in his output, and his body language screams “fatigue.”

If Petroski can survive and weather that first-round storm, we do think that Petroski can get those takedowns and further demoralize Shahbazyan and eventually win those last two rounds.

Now, Shahbazyan’s takedown defense has improved. He has quick hips and can get that sprawl going at the right time, but we think Petroski is highly capable of chaining takedowns together. We suspect we will see a double-leg attempt followed by a body lock takedown, as that is seemingly the only thing that can get Shahbazyan to the ground with some certainty.

UFC Fight Night: Cody Garbrandt vs. Raoni Barcelos

¿Por qué apostar por Cody Garbrandt?

We’ve all heard that Garbrandt is washed, and his chin is gone, and all that other stuff, but Barcelos has never been a knockout artist. He never had that one-punch power that could shut the lights out. He has always been a ground-and-pound finisher if he were to get a KO.

Garbrandt, despite his difficult loss against Figueredo a year ago, is still a top-level wrestler. He has experience fighting wrestlers and remains very young compared to Barcelos.

On the feet, we would give Garbrandt all the advantages, from his speed to his timing and accuracy. He is fantastic when it comes to boxing, and while he sometimes sees red and gets a bit too violent without thinking, when he’s switched on, he is a world-beater.

¿Por qué apostar por Raoni Barcelos?

Barcelos is coming off a massive upset win over rising star Payton Talbott, and he used the perfect style to defeat a sniper like Talbott: constant pressure and high-volume takedowns.

It wasn’t a fun fight to watch, especially for us bettors, but it was a perfect execution from an older fighter who was in the line of fire from the younger prospect.

Final Betting Analysis: Cody Garbrandt vs. Raoni Barcelos

Garbrandt is expected to be more challenging to keep down due to his wrestling background, coupled with an impressive 80% takedown defense percentage across 15 fights. He hasn’t just faced one-dimensional strikers in the past, making this a tough matchup for Barcelos. Additionally, he may find himself outmatched on the feet as well.

UFC Fight Night: Cody Brundage vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik

¿Por qué apostar por Cody Brundage?

Brundage is perhaps one of the worst MMA fighters we have ever seen in recent years, and for some reason, he keeps on coming back for more.

Brundage is a fairly typical one-dimensional wrestler with a terrible, non-existent stand-up game that makes Maycee Barber’s striking look great.

Unless Abdul-Malik does some illegal stuff and knees a grounded opponent or something, we cannot see how Brundage can win this one unless he goes for an unprecedented amount of takedown attempts early on, catching Abdul-Malik off guard, and considering that wrestling is the only thing that Brundage has in his arsenal, we think he’s going to try just that.

¿Por qué apostar por Mansur Abdul-Malik?

Abdul-Malik may be new to the UFC. However, he is looking to be one of the more solid prospects to come from DWCS. On the feet, Abdul-Malik is patient, strikes only when the time is right, and doesn’t overthrow as he has the reach advantage over most of his opponents.

There is no incentive to look busy when you can fire off single shots at range without much concern for what comes back. Abdul-Malik’s low stance allows him to defend takedowns reasonably well, and we saw how incredible his takedown defense is with that gorgeous sprawl defending one of Klein’s takedowns early in the fight.

Final Betting Analysis: Cody Brundage vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik

On the feet, we expect Brundage to struggle. He is not the most gifted striker in the UFC, but he has weapons to defend himself in his arsenal. However, we expect Abdul-Malik to deal some serious damage as long as the fight remains standing.

Everything Abdul-Malik has done in his previous fights tells us he has what it takes to run through Brundage like a marathon runner through the finish line tape.

UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Oumar Sy

¿Por qué apostar por Alonzo Menifield?

Menifield isno doubt a powerhouse and has really solid boxing, but we cannot think of a worse opponent that he could face than a juggernaut athlete like Sy.

Menifield is terrifying when he strikes, and he could create moments in which he lands cleanly against the much larger fighter, but if this were to be a technique vs. technique-based fight, we believe Sy is going to snipe and snipe.

We do want to highlight that Sy does go for takedowns often. While Menifields’ takedown defense is relatively good on paper, we are not sure if the multi-faceted approach of Oumar Sy will be countered by Menifields’ takedown defense alone. We believe that in Menifields’ case, a great offense is the best defense.

¿Por qué apostar por Oumar Sy?

Sy’s reach and height advantage is monstrous compared to Menifields, and we think if Sy was to keep this fight as boring and as “uneventful” as possible, he could walk away with a win, but honestly, with how explosive and how hard Menifield hits, we struggle to see Sy being calm and “in control” of this fight.

Sy has a few weapons that he can use, as he has displayed during his UFC stint so far: quick leg kicks, snappy front kicks, and sometimes jumping knees. Overall, he’s an exciting fighter who has a lot of weapons in his arsenal, but we must point out that he will be at a speed disadvantage. He isn’t the fastest striker. He’s just the busier one.

Final Betting Analysis: Alonzo Menifield vs. Oumar Sy

Given that Menifields only way to win these kinds of fights is to throw technique out the window and throw absolute bombs in the direction of Sy, we have to acknowledge that Menifield can give Sy a few things to think about.

However, without technique, he won’t outmatch Sy, who we believe will snipe his way to a victory.

UFC Fight Night: Paul Craig contra Rodolfo Bellato

¿Por qué apostar por Paul Craig?

Paul Craig is a submission specialist with a reputation for turning chaos into opportunity. While his striking is aggressive, it often leaves him exposed, particularly given his historically fragile chin. That vulnerability is a concern against a heavy hitter like Bellato.

What Craig lacks in striking durability, he makes up for on the ground. His guard game is among the best in the division, and he’s always dangerous off his back. Time and time again, we’ve seen Craig get rocked, only to lure opponents into his world and lock up submissions in the scramble. That grappling threat is his clearest and most reliable path to victory.

¿Por qué apostar por Rodolfo Bellato?

Bellato is still early in his UFC tenure, but he brings a dangerous blend of striking power and solid grappling fundamentals. While he hasn’t yet distinguished himself as elite, his physicality and finishing instincts are apparent.

The biggest advantage for Bellato here is his power. Craig’s chin has let him down before, and Bellato has all the tools to capitalize on that weakness. Additionally, Bellato isn’t reckless when defending takedowns; he tends to meet them with a strong base and seems comfortable enough to avoid being easily dragged into Craig’s grappling web.

Análisis final de apuestas: Paul Craig vs Rodolfo Bellato

Craig is always live for submission, especially when the fight hits the mat in chaotic moments. However, his tendency to absorb big shots makes this a dangerous matchup. Bellato’s knockout power and ability to defend takedowns give him a clear edge early in the fight.

While Craig’s BJJ remains a serious threat, we expect Bellato to land something significant before it ever gets to that point. If Crag can weather the early storm and drag Bellato into deep waters, he could turn the tide. But realistically, Bellato has the tools to finish this one.

UFC Fight Night: Michael Chiesa vs. Court McGee

¿Por qué apostar por Michael Chiesa?

Chiesa is seemingly making a full return to the cage after many years of us fans being quite unsure about his career.

The thing that Chiesa does exceptionally well doesn’t need much explanation; he’s a submission specialist with a solid wrestling foundation, and we would expect him to use that grappling edge against McGee effectively.

Now, he isn’t the most fantastic striker, but he does carry that power that someone from his frame might naturally have; his boxing and kickboxing are reasonably good and are mostly used to set up the takedowns and to score points on the feet, but nothing he does on the feet comes with any threat for a knockout.

¿Por qué apostar en Court McGee?

McGee is 40 years old and doesn’t have the most incredible record to back up any reason to stay in the UFC other than perhaps legacy.

Either way, McGee is a little bit difficult to get a read on, especially as age becomes more and more of a factor. However, the moment the fight hits the ground, Chiesa should be able to glide around him, beating McGee to the position, threatening with enough submissions to keep that positional advantage, as McGee may be too busy defending a choke to improve position or sweep/reverse.

We believe McGee will have a lot to offer here; he could very well keep Chiesa busy on the feet, making it challenging to get the takedown.

Final Betting Analysis: Michael Chiesa vs. Court McGee

We think Chiesa should be able to drag this fight to the ground and work his magic.

Now, the main concern for Chiesa is his output on the feet; he is one of the most inactive strikers in the UFC, he is incredibly one-dimensional, andhe has the ability to strike, but he doesn’t, and that’s never a great thing to see when dealing with someone like Court McGee.

However, We believe that Chiesa will be able to make his game plan work and take the win.

UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Kris Moutinho

¿Por qué apostar por Malcolm Wellmaker?

Wellmaker is coming off a KO win over Cameron Saaiman and is looking to replicate that same kind of success against Moutinho.

Wellmaker has a clear and definitive advantage on the feet here. We can say with the utmost confidence that Wellmaker will be a bully on the feet and perhaps even put Moutinho away here.

His striking, counters, and range management are fantastic; he has all the makings of an excellent prospect that we all will be keen to watch.

Now, there is some discussion about Moutinho getting the takedown and submission. Moutinho has achieved success in previous matchups by taking fights to the mat and securing submissions, but this is not a scenario Wellmaker needs to worry about.

Why Bet on Kris Moutinho?

Moutinho is once again being fed to a dangerous striker, and we don’t know why he accepted this fight in the first place.

Anyway, we admire his ability to absorb punches, and maybe he can grit it out and fire back to some effect, but ultimately, we think he’s going to get smashed in this fight.

His grappling could be a threat, but we ultimately think that Wellmaker will be ready for everything coming his way, and this should be “easy work” for the prospect.

Final Betting Analysis: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Kris Moutinho

As we mentioned before, Wellmaker will be more than prepared for anything that Moutinho brings to the table, which means that this fight won’t be as interesting as we’d hope it’d be unless Moutinho brings in a big surprise in this clash.

UFC Fight Night: Cody Durden vs. Jose Ochoa

¿Por qué apostar por Cody Durden?

Durden is coming off a tough loss against Joshua Van, and whilst he found success with his wrestling, he still looked very stiff and a little repetitive on the feet. That’s a main concern here because Ochoa is sharp with his boxing.

We believe Durden will aim for takedowns, but what we are most intrigued by is if he can land any takedowns on Ochoa.

Now, we have two predictions on how Durden will get the takedowns: either he will counter one of Ochoa’s leg kicks (which he uses frequently) with a rush forward and a takedown attempt as Ochoa is resetting his stance. Or he’s just going to move forward and look to overwhelm Ochoa with an insurmountable amount of forward pressure and look to smother Ochoa with activity.

Durden is a grinder; he wants to land those takedowns and would like to neutralize the striking threat by making it a grueling wrestling match.

¿Por qué apostar por José Ochoa?

Ochoa is coming off a very competitive fight against the dangerous prospect Lone’er Kavanagh, and we think we’re in for an interesting clash of styles.

Ochoa is quite chill on the feet; he has a loose shell, his hands often are low, and he does dance around the Octagon; he’s a bit difficult to read in that regard, and whilst we think he will contend with the takedowns by Durden, we don’t know if he’s going to be able to keep Durden off of him for all three rounds.

What we do know for certain is that Ochoa’s instincts to defend takedowns are reasonably good; he digs under hooks and sprawls, andit’s highly effective during frenetic and chaotic moments like in the fight against Kavanagh.

Final Betting Analysis: Cody Durden vs. Jose Ochoa

Durden is more determined with his takedowns andmore linear with his attempts and style. He is a better wrestler than Kavanagh and knows how to chain takedowns together, so we are intrigued to see how Ochoa deals with that.

However, we believe Ochoa will keep things standing for the most part and manage to get the win on the scorecards.

UFC Fight Night: Ricky Simón vs. Cameron Smotherman

¿Por qué apostar por Ricky Simón?

Simon should already have a bit of an advantage by default when it comes to cardio, and even more so now that he’s coming up against a fairly late replacement in Smotherman.

Now, Simon is a fantastic fighter who is coming off a Knockout win over Javid Basharat, shocking many and now bringing that momentum into this fight against Smotherman.

In his fights, Simon is the one pressing a stupendous pace with takedown attempts throughout all rounds; if he executes that style reasonably well against Smotherman, we don’t believe Smotherman can do anything to keep Simon off of him.

¿Por qué apostar por Cameron Smotherman?

Smotherman is coming in as a late replacement. While this may be a great opportunity for him to bounce back from a loss against Sidey, we have some concerns about his ability to thrive against a fighter like Simon.

Simon will put Smotherman in similar positions from his last fight and be a fair bit more successful in landing those takedowns, especially since Smotherman has only three days to prepare for a very experienced Simon.

Can Smotherman maybe land a knee or an uppercut up the middle to dissuade Simon from advancing and approaching? Sure, but we still think that due to Simon’s crashing style and frenetic pace with his wrestling output, we’re going to see Smotherman get bullied here.

Final Betting Analysis: Ricky Simón vs. Cameron Smotherman

This is a major step up in competition for Smotherman, and we think that we’re in for a bit of a one-sided fight.

Now, a late replacement is difficult to prepare for, and in this case, we’re going to see Simon either be a bit trepidatious on the feet against Smotherman, who could come out guns blazing as he has nothing to lose, or we could see Simon shuck aside all concern and go in for the takedown straight off the bat.

We think Simón will take the win in this clash.

UFC Fight Night: Phil Rowe vs. Ange Loosa

¿Por qué apostar por Phil Rowe?

Rowe is coming off back-to-back losses against Magny and Matthews and is looking to rebound back against the fairly dangerous Loosa.

To start with the obvious here, Rowe is a much taller and longer fighter, so one might think that he will have a great time sticking out his jab at range and using lateral movement to be a hard-to-hit target. However, we struggle to see him being successful in that regard in the long run if Loosa is the one exploding forward and trying to deal damage.

We expect moments of success from Rowe in the feet if he lets his hands go, but we don’t know how long it’ll take until Loosa goes for that takedown.

¿Por qué apostar por Ange Loosa?

Loosa has always had excellent three-round cardio, especially when he’s using an aggressive game plan of chasing down takedowns.

Now, as a striker, he’s rather rudimentary; he has a solid jab and decent footwork, but he deals most of his damage on the ground, where he likes to land ground-and-pound. We would argue that is the most effective strike that he has thrown to great effect.

Final Betting Analysis: Phil Rowe vs. Ange Loosa

Loosa is someone who can push at an above-average pace and has the wrestling chops and takedown volume to be a tricky fighter to fend off. That said, there is a clear concern in Rowe’s ability to defend against it.

If Loosa can keep his defense on point, this match will play in his favor.

UFC Fight Night: Vanessa Demopoulos vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth

¿Por qué apostar por Vanessa Demopoulos?

Demopoulos is perhaps making the trip to Flyweight in a desperate bid to find relevance after being demolished twice in her fight with Amorim and Alencar.

No matter what she tries to do in this fight, she will struggle to achieve success because while Horth may not be a world-beater, she is relatively well-rounded and intelligent enough to keep Demopoulos at jab length and away from any takedown position.

Demopoulos needs to be a little bit crazy in there to make this gritty enough for Horth to be unable to follow through defensively and react to whatever Demopoulos may do.

¿Por qué apostar por Jamey-Lyn Horth?

Horth is someone who has yet to have an interesting fight because each time a fight is announced with her name on it, we keep thinking she’s making a debut.

Anyway, Horth is a reasonably well-rounded fighter who doesn’t particularly stand out to us as somewhat of a specialist; it’s hard to break down how well she strikes when she has thrown a minimal amount of strikes, but what we can say is that her takedown defense is reasonably good and given that she has a stupendous reach advantage over Demopoulos here, she should be able to keep Demopoulos at bay on the feet.

Final Betting Analysis: Vanessa Demopoulos vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth

Unfortunately, due to the lack of activity in Horth’s fights, despite the minutes she has spent in the Octagon, we cannot say anything more other than that her takedown defense may be tested in this fight. However, we think that Horth will still use her length defensively and keep the fight upright.

We can’t trust Demopoulos to win here, so we place our vote with full confidence on Horth to take the victory.

Usman vs. Buckley Pronóstico de apuestas: Joaquín Buckley

Namajunas vs. Maverick Pronóstico de apuestas: Rosa Namajunas

Shahbazyan vs. Petroski Pronóstico de apuestas: André Petroski

Garbrandt vs. Barcelos Pronóstico de apuestas: Cody Garbrandt

Brundage vs. Abdul-Malik Pronóstico de apuestas: Mansur Abdul Malik

Menifield vs. Sy Pronóstico de apuestas: Omar Sy

Craig contra Bellato Pronóstico de apuestas: Rodolfo Bellato

Chiesa vs. McGee Pronóstico de apuestas: miguel chiesa

Wellmaker vs. Moutinho Pronóstico de apuestas: Wellmaker

Durden vs. Ochoa Pronóstico de Apuestas: Jose Ochoa

Simón vs. Smotherman Pronóstico de apuestas: Ricky Simon

Rowe vs. Loosa Pronóstico de apuestas: Angel Loosa

Demopoulos vs. Horth Pronóstico de apuestas: Jamey-Lynn Horth