UFC: Royval vs. Kape Fight Card Odds and Free Picks

Last Updated on Dezembro 11, 2025 2:04 pm by Erwin Noguera

We had quite an eventful weekend, but the UFC is not slowing down as it continues to roll out fight cards this year in a new Fight Night event. They are once again hosting events at the UFC Apex to provide a comfortable setting as they prepare to close out the year.

The main event has suddenly gained more importance since the title in the division has changed hands. Brandon Royval will face Manel Kape in what could easily turn into a title eliminator match for a shot at the championship.

In the co-main event, the spotlight shifts to the Featherweight division as Giga Chikadze takes on Kevin Vallejos. Both fighters are looking to climb the ranks and challenge for the title in the near future.

Additionally, we have an intriguing Middleweight bout between Cesar Almeida and Cezary Oleksiejczuk, along with a Featherweight clash featuring Morgan Charrière and Melquizael Costa.

The Heavyweights are also well represented on the main card, with Kennedy Nzechukwu going up against Marcus Buchecha, along with King Green facing Lance Gibson Jr. to kick off the main card.

In addition to these exciting matchups, there will be seven preliminary fights to build anticipation for the event. This lineup aims to showcase some fresh talent as we approach the end of the year and look forward to a new year filled with opportunities and thrilling fights.

No Troca de Gambila, você pode verificar todos os UFC/MMA apostas, a análise de cada lutador e a aposta final que você pode fazer nessas lutas.

Royval vs. Kape Fight Card Odds and Info

Noite de Luta do UFC: Brandon Royval vs. Manel Kape

Por que apostar em Brandon Royval?

Royval is coming off a tough loss against Joshua Van, where he was outlanded and outperformed in striking. This pattern has been a consistent theme in many of Royval’s recent fights. While his style isn’t the most intricate, he is a high-output striker who can also take opponents to the ground. However, he generally prefers to keep the fight standing and looks to strike effectively.

For Royval to secure a victory, he needs to drag the fight into the later rounds, making it an exhausting contest for Kape. Cardio will play a crucial role in this matchup, and Royval has proven to have strong endurance. If he can remain competitive and withstand the initial onslaught in the first three rounds, he may well take control in the final rounds.

Por que apostar em Manel Kape?

Kape is riding a wave of momentum with back-to-back wins against Bruno Silva and Asu Almabayev. While these opponents may not be top contenders, Kape shows all the signs of being a future champion. He is a highly accurate striker with extensive experience, known for his ability to pick off opponents from a distance while maintaining solid defensive skills.

Final Betting Analysis: Brandon Royval vs. Manel Kape

Kape’s kickboxing and counter-striking skills are exceptional—arguably the best in the sport. His success is rooted in his sharp striking and high-level counterattacks. While Royval poses a danger with his relentless aggression, there will likely be moments in the fight where Kape’s counters will effectively slow Royval down.

Regardless of the outcome, Kape’s fights are always a spectacle to watch, and this matchup against Royval is no exception. It’s an exciting clash that could reshape the division heading into the new year.

We predict that Kape will inflict significant damage in the first three rounds, outworking Royval until a momentum shift occurs in the final two rounds, leading to a split decision victory for Kape in what promises to be an entertaining fight.

Noite de Luta do UFC: Giga Chikadze vs. Kevin Vallejos

Por que apostar em Giga Chikadze?

Chikadze is coming off back-to-back losses against Onama and Allen, which have been disappointing for his fans. Known for his powerful body kicks, he often targets the liver, but it seems that age is starting to take its toll on him. With age often comes a reduced ability to improve in areas that need attention.

Expect to see solid striking from Chikadze, including those signature boy kicks. He can also use his boxing effectively when fighting at close or mid-range. However, the concern is that Vallejos excels in the pocket, and there is likely to be a significant speed difference between the two fighters.

Por que apostar em Kevin Vallejos?

Vallejos has not faced anyone of the same caliber as Chikadze, making it intriguing to see how he performs against a seasoned fighter. One thing that stands out about Vallejos is his excellent timing with strikes. He is agile and quick on his feet, allowing him to transition from a defensive guard position to a fast, well-timed blitz that can catch opponents off guard.

Vallejos is a skilled pocket boxer who effectively closes the distance to land powerful hooks. He also maintains his ground when his opponent becomes aggressive; instead of backing down, he shells up and counters with his own strikes, showcasing his raw power and speed. This new generation of fighters has brought exciting developments to the sport.

Final Betting Analysis: Giga Chikadze vs. Kevin Vallejos

It won’t take long for Vallejos to adapt, especially if he encounters difficulties. Expect him to implement his takedown offense, which is often the most effective strategy against Chikadze. We have a strong sense that Vallejos will embrace the challenges and demonstrate his ground game. However, his speed also poses a significant threat to Chikadze if he engages in close exchanges. We believe Vallejos will make an impact in this fight.

Noite de Luta do UFC: César Almeida vs. Cezary Oleksiejczuk

Por que apostar em César Almeida?

Almeida is coming off back-to-back wins against moderately decent competition in Abdul-Razak Alhassan and somewhat lacking competition in Ihor Potieria. He is an elite-level kickboxer who is reaching the end of his prime. It’s unfortunate because we would have loved to see how a younger Almeida would perform in the UFC.

Why Bet on Cezary Oleksiejczuk?

Oleksiejczuk is the younger brother of Michal, and he fights very much like him. He embodies Polish power and aggression, constantly walking his opponents down and launching strikes without concern for what comes back. We believe that Oleksiejczuk’s relentless aggression and all-out style will pressure Almeida and potentially neutralize his striking. Almeida prefers a clean fight, while Oleksiejczuk thrives in chaos.

Final Betting Analysis: César Almeida vs. Cezary Oleksiejczuk

Almeida is an exceptionally sharp striker; when he’s ableto counter, he can be incredibly effective. However, we think Oleksiejczuk will have to absorb some significant strikes to get in close for his wrestling. If he doesn’t take risks, we could see Almeida excel on the feet. That said, Almeida can be quite hittable due to his stationary stance, which he uses for counter striking. Oleksiejczuk isn’t likely to allow Almeida to maintain a clean distance, and that may be the key to securing a victory.

Noite de Luta do UFC: Morgan Charrière vs. Melquizael Costa

Por que apostar em Morgan Charrière?

Charrière is incredibly quick on his feet and has the ability to adapt his fighting style to counter his opponents. While this strategy may not always succeed, his experience in the cage should not be underestimated. Although he is facing a promising fighter like Costa, there is a potential way for Charrière to secure a victory. This path lies in being the more aggressive fighter, denying Costa any time to adapt and retaliate. Charrière excels at applying pressure and unleashing his strikes.

Por que apostar em Melquizael Costa?

Costa has proven to be a dangerous featherweight who deserves serious respect. He trains with a team known for producing powerful fighters, including Brito, which signals just how formidable Costa can be. While he is competent both standing and on the ground, there is a significant concern: Costa tends to keep his chin exposed, which is risky against someone like Charrière. To capitalize on his height advantage, Costa should use his kicks effectively to maintain distance and avoid Charrière’s powerful punches.

Final Betting Analysis: Morgan Charrière vs. Melquizael Costa

In this fight, Charrière will likely need to take risks, absorbing some hits to close the distance and land his own strikes. Ultimately, this match will hinge on who can fight more effectively at their preferred range. We believe that Costa has the advantage in this regard.

Noite de Luta do UFC: Kennedy Nzechukwu vs. Marcus Buchecha

Por que apostar em Kennedy Nzechukwu?

Nzechukwu is coming off a tough loss against Valter Walker, where Walker executed his strategy effectively, targeting Nzechukwu’s heel and ending the fight. Nzechukwu has a distinct advantage in striking, boasting a 6-inch reach and a 3-inch height advantage. His primary pathway to victory lies in landing significant strikes and knocking Buchecha out before he can implement his grappling strategy.

Por que apostar em Marcus Buchecha?

Buchecha has had only one fight in the UFC, which was a loss to Martin Buday. That fight was not very entertaining, as Buday effectively neutralized any action. Buchecha will need to focus on grappling, as standing and striking with Nzechukwu is not a viable option; he is likely to lose 9 out of 10 times in that scenario.

Final Betting Analysis: Kennedy Nzechukwu vs. Marcus Buchecha

While Nzechukwu is not terrible on the ground, he is not particularly strong there, which is what Buchecha is counting on. Buchecha’s game plan will be to take the fight to the ground, maintain control, and look for submission opportunities. The situation is straightforward: either Nzechukwu wins through striking, or Buchecha successfully gets the fight to the ground to utilize his Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu. However, we believe this fight will likely favor Nzechukwu, the striker.

Noite de Luta do UFC: King Green vs. Lance Gibson Jr.

Por que apostar no King Green?

King Green enters this fight with a wealth of knowledge and experience, although it’s fair to say that his prime may be behind him, especially since he is coming off two consecutive losses by finish.Green can be difficult to analyze because he often engages in showboating during his fights and doesn’t seem to have a solid game plan other than relying on his boxing skills. Therefore, we anticipate that he will focus on his boxing this weekend.

Why Bet on Lance Gibson Jr.?

Lance Gibson Jr. is an intriguing fighter to watch. Upon reviewing his tape, we noticed his impressive footwork and looseness in the cage. He demonstrates solid stand-up ability, and his southpaw stance presents a unique challenge for opponents. However, one of his weaknesses is that he tends to rely heavily on kicks. Although he has a reach advantage in this fight, he seems more comfortable using kicks rather than mixing in punches. This reliance on kicking might give King Green a slight edge in the stand-up game, as boxing can effectively counter kicks.

Final Betting Analysis: King Green vs. Lance Gibson Jr.

This matchup slightly favors King Green primarily because Lance Gibson Jr. is relatively unknown, suggesting he may lack the experience to handle a seasoned veteran like Green. Additionally, Gibson Jr.’s focus on kicking may create opportunities for Green to capitalize on the stand-up exchanges.

Noite de Luta do UFC: Amanda Lemos vs. Gillian Robertson

Por que apostar em Amanda Lemos?

Lemos has the skills to be an exceptional fighter, but she often doesn’t use them effectively. It’s an unusual observation considering her experience in highly competitive fights. When you watch her, you can see that she’s quite talented, but she relies more on her physicality and strength rather than on technique. While she often starts strong in her fights, she tends to fade quickly after the first round.

That said, Lemos becomes very dangerous if the fight remains standing for an extended period. She is a formidable damage dealer, has a wide array of attacks at her disposal, and isn’t afraid to engage aggressively.

Por que apostar em Gillian Robertson?

Robertson is proving herself to be a genuinely dangerous fighter, showing growth in a highly competitive division. While she may not be particularly noteworthy in striking, she is a threat to anyone in the clinch and grappling situations. She excels at getting the fight to the ground and uses her relentless pressure and activity to create opportunities for submissions or ground-and-pound finishes.

Final Betting Analysis: Amanda Lemos vs. Gillian Robertson

Robertson needs to take the fight to the ground; otherwise, she may struggle to be as effective as she hopes. Her fighting style is straightforward—what you expect from her is typically what you get. While she may encounter resistance in the first round, as the second round begins, Lemos’s cardio is likely to wane. That’s when Robertson can start demonstrating her true capabilities and apply the relentless pressure that can overwhelm her opponents.

Noite de Luta do UFC: Joanderson Brito vs. Isaac Thomson

Por que apostar em Joanderson Brito?

Brito is an absolute force in the octagon. While he may not be the most technical striker, he hits like a freight train and is incredibly dangerous regardless of the position. His recent losses have come against wrestlers who successfully shut him down, but Brito is eager to face an opponent who is willing to stand and trade punches. We expect to see a more confident stand-up game from Brito, allowing him to unleash his power, especially since Thomson is known for engaging and exchanging strikes.

Why Bet on Isaac Thomson?

Thomson is an impressive prospect who likely would have made it to Dana White’s Contender Series (DWCS) or even into the UFC by 2026. However, he is stepping into the promotion on just four days’ notice for this fight. This quick turnaround could make it a challenging match for him as he tries to prove himself under pressure.

Final Betting Analysis: Joanderson Brito vs. Isaac Thomson

Everything is set up for Brito to showcase his skills in what could be an exciting match. We originally had him winning against his previous opponent, and we believe this replacement fighter presents an even more favorable matchup for him under the current circumstances.

Noite de Luta do UFC: Neil Magny vs. Yaroslav Amosov

Por que apostar em Neil Magny?

Although Magny has won his last two fights, it is evident to most observers that he is no longer in his prime. However, he still possesses excellent cardio and has the ability to exhaust his opponents in the clinch and against the cage. Against younger talent like Amosov, he may struggle.

Expect Magny to utilize his length primarily to grapple and control Amosov, aiming to beat him to the punch. Amosov tends to pursue takedowns early, so we anticipate Magny will tie him up in the clinch against the cage, using his frame to neutralize many of Amosov’s takedown attempts.

Why Bet on Yaroslav Amosov?

Amosov’s presence on this card is exciting, as he is a legendary figure in Bellator and deserves this opportunity. He should find some success with takedowns or at least in controlling Magny. However, he faces a 4-inch reach disadvantage on the feet, which is concerning against a striker like Magny, who can effectively attack from a distance while remaining defensively sound.

Given that this fight takes place in the smaller Apex cage, it may be easier for Amosov to corner Magny against the cage. That said, this is still speculative, as Magny is generally a solid defensive fighter.

Final Betting Analysis: Neil Magny vs. Yaroslav Amosov

We believe that Magny could achieve an upset if Amosov exhausts himself in the first round while searching for a finish. However, we don’t consider Amosov to be a strong first-round finisher, so we expect a more competitive fight than the odds suggest.

Amosov is likely to be a challenging opponent to engage with in the clinch due to his extensive Sambo background. We are curious to see Magny’s approach in the first round, but we lean towards the younger athlete emerging victorious in the long run.

Noite de Luta do UFC: Sean Sharaf vs. Steven Asplund

Por que apostar em Sean Sharaf?

Sean “the smoke” Sharaf is a powerful heavyweight with a 4- 1 pro record and an explosive finishing profile: all four of his wins have come by first-round KO/TKO.

Despite suffering his only loss in his UFC debut to Junior Tafa via second-round TKO, Sharaf’s ability to end fights early makes him a dangerous opponent for anyone, especially in the small UFC Apex cage, where movement space is limited, and power exchanges are amplified.

Why Bet on Steven Asplund?

Steven Asplund makes his UFC debut after earning his contract with a 16-second Knockout on Dana White’s Contender Series and riding a three-fight finish streak overall.

At 27, the 6’5″ heavyweight brings size, aggression, and finishing upside—five of six career wins by KO/TKO, and he’s shown he can maintain power beyond Round 1, unlike Sharaf, whose cardio is unproven past early finishes.

Final Betting Analysis: Sean Sharaf vs. Steven Asplund

This heavyweight bout is explosiveness vs. durability and technicality. Sharaf’s 100% early finish rate makes him an exciting underdog with real upset potential if he lands early power. However, we see Asplund as the more complete fighter: he’s bigger, has a longer reach, mixes pressure with cleaner technique, and has shown the ability to finish in later rounds.

Noite de Luta do UFC: Luana Santos vs. Melissa Croden

Por que apostar em Luana Santos?

Santos is coming off a rather underwhelming win against Tainara Lisboa. Although she dominated Lisboa on the ground in the first round and secured a keylock submission in the second, the performance was not particularly impressive. However, it did highlight her Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu (BJJ) capabilities. For Santos, taking this fight to the ground may be her best route to victory. While Croden is not a world-class striker, she does throw with significant volume and intent, especially in the early rounds.

Why Bet on Melissa Croden?

Croden may not be a top-tier fighter, but she is gritty and tough, which can lead to success in the lower ranks of the UFC. However, after spending a significant amount of time counter-wrestling and exerting her arm strength, her punches can become sloppy and uncoordinated, causing her to lose the pop she had in the fight’s first half. It will be interesting to see how she performs against Santos, especially since defending against takedowns will require even more effort from her. If Santos attempts multiple takedowns, we may witness laborious striking from Croden in the later rounds.

Final Betting Analysis: Luana Santos vs. Melissa Croden

While it’s difficult to predict how this fight will unfold, I am fairly confident that Santos will try to take the fight to the ground, with mixed success given Croden’s tendency to use underhooks to create separation. The smaller cage should work to Santos’s advantage, as it limits movement and may make it easier for her to pin Croden against the cage. However, if Santos cannot get the fight to the ground, we can expect Croden to create separation and effectively use her boxing to accumulate damage over time.

Noite de Luta do UFC: Allen Frye vs. Guilherme Pat

Why Bet on Allen Frye?

The only footage available of Frye is from an amateur camera angle, showing him landing punches on an opponent with a large beard. As a result, we cannot confidently assess how skilled he is, his fighting style, or his stance. He has only fought six times in a promotion we’ve never heard of, so we’re essentially going in blind.

Why Bet on Guilherme Pat?

Pat has competed in LFA, which is a credible promotion, but he hasn’t fought in a year. He is taller and bigger than Frye, which could allow him to impose his size advantage. However, we don’t feel motivated to investigate further.

Final Betting Analysis: Allen Frye vs. Guilherme Pat

Pat is tall and has a kickboxing frame; however, he is vulnerable to leg kicks and takedowns. Unfortunately, our knowledge is limited, making it challenging to predict the outcome accurately.

Still, we believe Frye will apply forward pressure to discomfort Pat and come away with the victory in this matchup.

Noite de Luta do UFC: Tereza Bledá vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth

Por que apostar em Tereza Bledá?

Bledá hasn’t fought in 2.5 years, and her last victory was against Gabriella Fernandes. However, that win may not be very relevant now, considering she could have improved significantly during her time away. Bledá is typically a well-rounded fighter who demonstrated her wrestling skills effectively in her match against Fernandes, where she focused on takedowns and controlled the fight for two-thirds of its duration. Her length has been a crucial factor in her ability to secure takedowns.

Wrestling is her primary path to victory in most of her fights because, frankly, her striking leaves much to be desired.

Por que apostar em Jamey-Lyn Horth?

Horth is coming off a victory against Vanessa Demopoulos. While winning is typically a positive indicator, this particular win is less impressive since Demopoulos has struggled in the octagon. It’s clear that Horth needs to keep this fight standing. However, given Tereza’s significant reach advantage, trading strikes may prove difficult for Horth. Therefore, she will need to rely on her speed and agility to swiftly enter the range, land a quick strike, and then circle away to reset.

Lateral movement will also be critical for Horth, considering Bledá tends to pursue linear and aggressive takedowns.

Final Betting Analysis: Tereza Bledá vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth

Bledá must take the fight to the ground to secure a victory. Her size advantage allows her to effectively control Horth once the fight hits the mat, where she can initiate ground-and-pound tactics and potentially seek a finish. This strategy has been consistent for Bledá. However, her absence from competition raises some concerns; it’s unclear whether it was due to injury. Despite this uncertainty, as a last-minute replacement fighter, we believe she will manage to secure the win in this matchup.

Royval vs. Kape Escolha de apostas: Manel Kapé

Chikadze vs. Vallejos Escolha de apostas: Kevin Vallejos

Almeida vs. Oleksiejczuk Escolha de apostas: Cezary Oleksiejczuk

Charrière vs. Costa Escolha de apostas: Melquizael Costa

Nzechukwu vs. Buchecha Escolha de apostas: Kennedy Nzechukwu

Green vs. Gibson Jr. Escolha de apostas: Rei Verde

Lemos vs. Robertson Escolha de apostas: Gillian Robertson

Brito vs. Thomson Escolha de apostas: Joanderson Brito

Magny vs. Amosov Escolha de apostas: Yaroslav Amosov

Sharaf vs. Asplund Escolha de apostas: Steven Asplund

Santos vs. Croden Escolha de apostas: Luana Santos

Frye vs. Pat Escolha de apostas: Allen Frye

Bledá vs. Horth Escolha de apostas: Tereza Bleda