UFC: Burns vs. Malott Fight Card Odds and Free Pick

Last Updated on Abril 16, 2026 1:32 pm by Erwin Noguera

The UFC returns to Canada with a new Fight Night featuring Gilbert Burns against Mike Malott at the Canada Life Centre in Winnipeg. The card marks the promotion’s long-awaited return to the city and features a mix of veteran names and rising prospects across multiple divisions.

In the Co-main fight, Kyler Phillips and Charles Jourdain meet in a high-paced striking matchup. Meanwhile, Jasmine Jasudavicius enters as a top contender against Karine Silva, who looks to disrupt the division with her finishing ability.

This UFC Fight Night event is not stacked with title contenders on all fronts, but filled with fighters either rising or trying to stay relevant.

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Burns vs. Malott Fight Card Odds and Info

UFC Fight Night: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott

Por que apostar em Gilbert Burns?

Gilbert Burns enters this fight as a proven veteran with elite-level experience and one of the most dangerous grappling arsenals in the division. A former title challenger, Burns, combines high-level Brazilian jiu-jitsu with explosive striking, making him a threat in every phase.

However, context matters. He’s currently on a four-fight losing streak, though those losses came against top-tier competition. That experience still gives him an edge in fight IQ, composure, and adaptability, especially in a five-round main event.

Por que apostar em Mike Malott?

Mike Malott represents the rising wave of the welterweight division. He enters with momentum, riding a three-fight win streak and holding a strong 12-2-1 record.

Fighting at home in Canada adds another layer: energy, confidence, and crowd support.

Malott is well-rounded, with solid striking and a capable grappling game. Unlike Burns, he is trending upward, showing improvement in both composure and fight management. He also holds physical advantages, including size and reach, which could play a key role at distance.

Final Betting Analysis: Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott

This fight is a clear clash of timelines: experience versus momentum.

Burns offers proven durability, elite grappling, and championship-level experience. But his recent skid and age raise questions about consistency and durability at this stage.

Malott, meanwhile, enters as a heavy betting favorite, reflecting expectations that he is the fresher, more consistent fighter right now.

If Burns can turn this into a grappling-heavy fight, he has a real path to victory.

UFC Fight Night: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain

Por que apostar em Kyler Phillips?

Kyler Phillips enters this co-main event in a must-win situation. Despite recent losses, he remains one of the most well-rounded fighters in the bantamweight division, with wins over high-level names like Song Yadong and Pedro Munhoz.

Another important element is urgency. Coming off back-to-back losses, Phillips is under pressure to perform, which often brings out sharper, more aggressive game plans.

Por que apostar em Charles Jourdain?

Charles Jourdain enters this fight with momentum and confidence. Since dropping to bantamweight, he has looked significantly improved, earning back-to-back submission wins and showing a more complete skill set.

Jourdain’s biggest strength is his finishing ability. He ends a high percentage of his wins inside the distance, whether by knockout or submission, making him a constant threat.

Additionally, he will have the home crowd behind him in Canada, which can be a real factor in energy and momentum. His striking is aggressive and creative, and he thrives in chaotic exchanges.

Final Betting Analysis: Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain

This matchup is a classic momentum vs. bounce-back scenario.

Phillips offers versatility, athleticism, and a more structured game. However, his recent performances raise questions about consistency and cardio over three rounds.

Jourdain, on the other hand, is trending upward. He’s finishing fights, adapting well to bantamweight, and enters as the betting favorite.

If Phillips can control the fight with wrestling and pace, he has a clear path. However, if Jourdain keeps it standing and forces exchanges, his power and finishing ability become the biggest factor.

UFC Fight Night: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert

Why Bet on Mandel Nallo?

Mandel Nallo enters this fight as one of the most intriguing newcomers on the card. He’s riding strong momentum, including multiple first-round finishes, and brings a sharp, technical striking style with impressive accuracy. His ability to land clean at a high rate and finish fights early makes him immediately dangerous.

Another key advantage is his efficiency. Nallo doesn’t waste output—he picks shots carefully and controls distance well. Add in his perfect takedown defense (albeit in a limited sample size), and he becomes a difficult puzzle for opponents trying to mix in grappling.

Por que apostar em Jai Herbert?

Jai Herbert brings experience and proven durability against high-level competition. Despite an inconsistent UFC record, the level of opposition he has faced is significantly higher, including elite names in the division.

Herbert’s striking is built around range, timing, and countering. He uses kicks and long-range weapons effectively, and his reach advantage could be a major factor in keeping Nallo at a distance. Additionally, Herbert has gone into later rounds many times, giving him a clear edge if the fight extends.

Final Betting Analysis: Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert

This matchup is a classic prospect vs. veteran dynamic.

Nallo brings explosiveness, precision, and finishing ability, but also major question marks, especially regarding experience and cardio in longer fights. Herbert, meanwhile, offers durability, high-level experience, and a more proven ability across three rounds. If Herbert survives the early storm and controls distance, his experience could become the deciding factor.

UFC Fight Night: Jasmine Jasudavicius vs. Karine Silva

Por que apostar em Jasmine Jasudavicius?

Jasmine Jasudavicius enters this matchup with a pressure-heavy, grappling-oriented style that thrives on control and consistency. She excels at closing distance, initiating clinch exchanges, and wearing opponents down with physicality. Over three rounds, that approach often translates into control time and round-winning sequences.

Another key advantage is her pace. Jasudavicius pushes a steady tempo, forcing opponents to defend takedowns and clinch pressure constantly. That kind of grinding style can disrupt rhythm and limit offensive output from more dynamic fighters.

Por que apostar em Karine Silva?

Karine Silva brings one of the most dangerous finishing skill sets in the division. Her style combines aggressive striking with a strong submission game, making her a threat in both phases of the fight. Silva doesn’t need many opportunities as she capitalizes quickly.

Her biggest advantage is her ability to end fights. Whether through submissions or explosive moments on the feet, Silva thrives in chaotic exchanges. Against a pressure fighter like Jasudavicius, those moments can appear during transitions or scrambles.

Final Betting Analysis: Jasmine Jasudavicius vs. Karine Silva

This matchup highlights control versus finishing ability. Jasudavicius will likely aim to dominate through pressure, clinch work, and grappling, while Silva will look for moments to create damage or secure a submission.

If Jasudavicius successfully imposes her pace and controls positioning, she can win rounds through consistency. However, Silva’s ability to finish makes her dangerous at every moment, especially if the fight becomes scrappy.

UFC Fight Night: Thiago Moisés vs. Gauge Young

Por que apostar em Thiago Moisés?

Thiago Moisés enters this fight as the clear veteran with a well-rounded skill set and strong Brazilian jiu-jitsu base. With years in the UFC, he has consistently faced high-level competition and developed a style built around control, patience, and grappling efficiency.

Another key factor is his ability to dictate pace. Moisés prefers slower, methodical fights where he can land calf kicks, mix in takedowns, and control positioning. When he succeeds in slowing opponents down, he becomes very difficult to outwork.

Por que apostar em Gauge Young?

Gauge Young represents the rising prospect with momentum and activity on his side. At just 25 years old, he brings a high-output striking style, averaging significantly more volume than Moisés.

Young thrives in fast-paced exchanges. He throws combinations in bunches and isn’t afraid to push forward, which can overwhelm more methodical fighters. His aggression and willingness to engage make him dangerous, especially if the fight stays standing.

Final Betting Analysis: Thiago Moisés vs. Gauge Young

This matchup is a classic veteran vs. prospect dynamic.

Moisés brings experience, grappling, and control. Young brings pace, youth, and volume. If Moisés slows the fight down and imposes his grappling, he can neutralize Young’s offense. However, if Young keeps the fight standing and pushes a high tempo, he can overwhelm Moisés with activity.

UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Marcio Barbosa

Por que apostar em Dennis Buzukja?

Dennis Buzukja enters this fight with experience inside the UFC and a well-rounded skill set. Training alongside elite fighters, he brings solid fundamentals, durability, and the ability to mix striking with grappling.

Another key factor is his ability to go the distance. Unlike his opponent, Buzukja has experience in longer fights, which gives him an edge if the bout extends into deeper rounds.

Why Bet on Marcio Barbosa?

Marcio Barbosa enters as one of the most explosive fighters on the card. He’s riding a streak of first-round finishes, with most of his recent wins coming via early stoppage.

His biggest advantage is clear: finishing ability. Barbosa averages high striking output and carries serious knockout power, making him extremely dangerous in the opening minutes.

Another important detail is his fight pattern. He rarely goes the distance, which signals a high-risk, high-reward style. If he finds his rhythm early, he can overwhelm opponents quickly.

Final Betting Analysis: Dennis Buzukja vs. Marcio Barbosa

This matchup is a classic durability vs. explosiveness scenario.

Buzukja offers experience, composure, and the ability to survive and adjust. However, he enters with a 1-3 UFC record, which raises concerns about consistency at this level.

Barbosa, meanwhile, is the momentum fighter. He enters as the betting favorite, backed by his finishing streak and aggressive style.

UFC Fight Night: Julien LeBlanc vs. Robert Valentin

Why Bet on Julien LeBlanc?

Julien LeBlanc enters this fight riding strong momentum with a five-fight win streak and multiple recent finishes. His style is built around pressure and opportunistic grappling, often creating collisions where he can secure takedowns and control positions.

Another key factor is his confidence and consistency. LeBlanc has shown the ability to dictate fights against regional competition, using a mix of physicality and submission skills. With a 10-2 record and balanced finishing ability, he brings a well-rounded threat into his UFC debut.

Por que apostar em Robert Valentin?

Robert Valentin brings UFC experience and a more proven level of competition. As a former finalist on The Ultimate Fighter, he has already faced higher-level opponents, even if results haven’t followed.

Valentin’s biggest advantage is his physical tools. He is long, rangy, and capable both as a striker and grappler, with multiple submission wins on his record. His ability to threaten in different phases gives him theoretical upside in this matchup.

However, consistency remains a concern. Valentin is currently winless in the UFC and has struggled to impose his game against stronger competition.

Final Betting Analysis: Julien LeBlanc vs. Robert Valentin

This matchup is a classic debuting momentum fighter versus a struggling UFC veteran.

LeBlanc enters with confidence, structure, and a clear game plan built around pressure and grappling. Valentin, meanwhile, has the experience edge but has failed to translate his tools into consistent success inside the Octagon.

The betting market slightly favors Valentin, but stylistically, LeBlanc’s direct approach may be exactly what exploits Valentin’s weaknesses.

UFC Fight Night: Tanner Boser vs. Gokhan Saricam

Por que apostar em Tanner Boser?

Tanner Boser enters this matchup as the more experienced and battle-tested fighter. With over 30 professional fights and multiple UFC appearances, he has faced a much higher level of competition.

His style is built around striking volume, movement, and durability. Boser uses a karate-based approach, mixing angles and combinations while maintaining a steady pace. His ability to go three rounds consistently gives him a clear edge if the fight extends into the later rounds.

Another key factor is composure. Boser has been in tough situations before and understands how to manage tempo against aggressive or unknown opponents.

Why Bet on Gokhan Saricam?

Gokhan Saricam enters as a dangerous newcomer with strong momentum and finishing ability. Holding an 11-2 record, he brings a heavier, more physical presence into the cage.

His biggest advantage is size and power. Saricam will likely look to pressure early, using his physicality to create exchanges where he can land damaging shots. He also enters as a slight betting favorite, reflecting expectations around his upside and explosiveness.

However, this is a major step up in competition, and how he handles UFC-level pace and pressure remains a key question.

Final Betting Analysis: Tanner Boser vs. Gokhan Saricam

This matchup is a classic experience vs. unknown upside dynamic.

Boser offers durability, volume, and proven ability across three rounds. Saricam brings size, power, and momentum, but with limited experience at this level.

If Boser survives the early pressure and turns this into a longer fight, his experience and pace could take over. However, if Saricam imposes his physicality early, he has a real chance to secure a finish.

UFC Fight Night: Melissa Croden vs. Darya Zheleznyakova

Por que apostar em Melissa Croden?

Melissa Croden enters this matchup with a physically imposing frame for the bantamweight division. At 5’9″ with long reach, she uses range effectively, mixing long kicks and jabs with dangerous clinch weapons like knees and elbows.

Another key factor is her versatility in range management. Croden can fight “all the way out or all the way in,” meaning she’s comfortable striking at distance or closing space to work in the clinch. That dual-threat approach makes her difficult to read when she’s dictating the pace.

She also carries the advantage of fighting on home soil in Canada, which can influence momentum and energy throughout the fight.

Por que apostar em Darya Zheleznyakova?

Darya Zheleznyakova brings a movement-heavy, technical striking approach. She thrives at a distance, using a variety of kicks and clean combinations to control the fight.

Her biggest advantage is her comfort in space. Zheleznyakova prefers a kickboxing-style fight, where she can stay mobile, pick shots, and avoid being trapped. When she keeps the fight standing, she has shown the ability to outstrike opponents consistently.

However, her weaknesses are clear. Her takedown defense and ground game remain concerns, especially against opponents who can close the distance effectively.

For Zheleznyakova, the key is movement. If she can stay off the cage, avoid clinch situations, and keep the fight at range, she has a strong chance to control the striking exchanges.

Final Betting Analysis: Melissa Croden vs. Darya Zheleznyakova

Croden will likely push forward, trying to cut off the cage and force clinch or grappling exchanges. Zheleznyakova, on the other hand, will look to stay mobile and turn this into a technical striking battle.

If Croden succeeds in closing the distance and controlling positions, she can win rounds through pressure and clinch work. However, if Zheleznyakova maintains distance and avoids being pinned, her striking and movement could allow her to dictate the fight.

The margins are thin, but we lean toward Melissa Croden via decision, using pressure and control to edge a close fight.

UFC Fight Night: Mitch Raposo vs. Allan Nascimento

Por que apostar em Mitch Raposo?

Mitch Raposo enters this matchup as a high-paced, scrappy flyweight who thrives on activity and pressure. His style is built around movement, volume striking, and the ability to stay competitive in fast exchanges. Fighters like Raposo often look to overwhelm opponents with pace rather than single moments.

Another key factor is his urgency. Raposo is still trying to establish himself at the UFC level, which often translates into aggressive game plans and a willingness to push the tempo. In a division where speed matters, his ability to maintain output could be a difference-maker.

Por que apostar em Allan Nascimento?

Allan Nascimento brings a dangerous and more specialized skill set, particularly in grappling. Known for his submission ability, he is a constant threat once the fight hits the ground. In the flyweight division, that level of finishing ability is a major advantage.

Nascimento’s biggest strength is opportunism. He doesn’t need extended control—just one opening can lead to a submission. Against aggressive fighters, those openings often come during scrambles or transitions.

Additionally, stylistically, this matchup favors his strengths. Raposo’s willingness to engage could create grappling opportunities, which play directly into Nascimento’s game.

Final Betting Analysis: Mitch Raposo vs. Allan Nascimento

This matchup highlights pace versus submission threat.

Raposo will likely aim to keep the fight active and striking-heavy, using volume to win rounds. Meanwhile, Nascimento will look to slow things down, create grappling exchanges, and capitalize on any mistake.

If Raposo successfully avoids the ground and maintains a high tempo, he can make this a competitive, volume-based fight. However, the danger is constant; Nascimiento only needs one moment to secure a finish.

UFC Fight Night: JJ Aldrich vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth

Why bet on JJ Aldrich?

JJ Aldrich enters this matchup as the more experienced and technically disciplined fighter. With a long UFC run and wins over solid competition, she has built a style around clean, mid-range striking, volume, and smart decision-making. She doesn’t take unnecessary risks, which often allows her to edge rounds consistently.

Another key factor is her composure. Aldrich fights within structure, using combinations and timing rather than explosiveness. While she isn’t known for finishes, she is effective at controlling tempo and winning minutes, especially in striking battles.

Por que apostar em Jamey-Lyn Horth?

Jamey-Lyn Horth enters with momentum and increasing confidence. She’s coming off a strong first-round knockout win and has shown clear improvements in both striking power and overall aggression.

Her biggest advantage is her pace and finishing ability. Horth throws with intent and volume, and she has proven she can overwhelm opponents when she builds momentum. Additionally, she owns solid takedown defense, which could be crucial against Aldrich’s occasional wrestling.

Fighting in Canada also gives her a situational edge, as crowd energy can influence pace and momentum in close fights.

Final Betting Analysis: JJ Aldrich vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth

This matchup is a classic volume technician vs. aggressive finisher dynamic.

Aldrich offers experience, composure, and a structured approach that can win rounds. However, she rarely dominates and often relies on close decisions. Horth, on the other hand, brings momentum, power, and a higher finishing upside, which explains why she enters as the betting favorite.

If Aldrich controls distance and keeps the fight technical, she can grind out a decision.

UFC Fight Night: John Castaneda vs. Mark Vologdin

Why Bet on John Castaneda?

John Castaneda enters this matchup as the more experienced UFC fighter, with eight fights inside the Octagon and a proven ability to compete at this level. He’s known for his aggressive, high-volume striking style and constant forward pressure.

Another key advantage is his versatility. Castaneda mixes striking with offensive wrestling, and when he’s able to dictate pace, he can overwhelm opponents with activity.

His finishing ability, combined with early-round sharpness, makes him particularly dangerous in the opening minutes.

However, his biggest flaw is also clear. He tends to stick to one gear and doesn’t always adjust mid-fight, which can become a problem against adaptable opponents.

Why Bet on Mark Vologdin?

Mark Vologdin enters this fight as a high-upside debutant coming off Dana White’s Contender Series. Despite losing that fight, his performance was strong enough to earn a UFC contract, highlighting his toughness and potential.

His biggest advantage is pace and durability. Vologdin thrives in extended fights, using pressure, clinch work, and scrambles to wear opponents down. He also lands at a higher striking volume, which becomes more impactful as the fight progresses.

Additionally, his style is built for accumulation rather than moments. While Castaneda may have sharper bursts, Vologdin tends to win longer exchanges and grind out rounds.

Final Betting Analysis: John Castaneda vs. Mark Vologdin

Castaneda brings experience, sharper striking, and early finishing upside. Vologdin brings pressure, durability, and a stronger ability to win extended fights. The betting market reflects this balance, with only a slight edge either way depending on the book.

If Castaneda starts fast and lands clean, he can control the fight early. However, if Vologdin absorbs that pressure and pushes the pace into rounds two and three, his grinding style could take over.

We lean towards Mark Vologdin via decision, especially if he drags the fight into deeper waters and controls tempo late.

UFC Fight Night: Jamie Siraj vs. John Yannis

Why Bet on Jamie Siraj?

Jamie Siraj enters this fight as a high-pressure prospect making his UFC debut with a strong 14-3 record. He’s known for a wrestle-boxing style, combining aggressive striking with well-timed takedowns.

His biggest advantage is forward pressure. Siraj constantly pushes opponents backward, forcing exchanges and creating opportunities to mix in grappling. Even though he may give up reach or athleticism, he compensates with pace and physicality.

Another key factor is momentum. He comes in on a strong run outside the UFC and has shown finishing ability, particularly with submissions, which adds another layer to his game. However, there is one concern: the weight cut. This is his first time fighting at bantamweight in years, which could impact his cardio and durability.

Por que apostar em John Yannis?

John Yannis enters this fight with UFC experience, which is always a key advantage in these matchups. Despite losing his debut via submission, he has a solid 9-4 record and has shown knockout power earlier in his career.

His biggest strength is his striking base. Yannis operates well at range, using a more traditional kickboxing approach compared to Siraj’s pressure-heavy style. If he can keep distance and avoid being pushed backward, he has the tools to make this a competitive striking fight.

Another factor is familiarity with the UFC environment. Unlike Siraj, he won’t be dealing with debut nerves, which can be significant in early prelim fights.

Final Betting Analysis: Jamie Siraj vs. John Yannis

This matchup is a classic debuting pressure fighter vs. anexperienced but inconsistent UFC competitor.

Siraj enters as a clear betting favorite, reflecting confidence in his style and momentum. His aggressive approach and grappling mix make him the more reliable minute-winner.

Yannis, however, has a clear path. If he keeps the fight standing and avoids early pressure, he can turn this into a more competitive striking matchup.

Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott Palpite de aposta: Gilbert Burns

Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain Palpite de aposta: Charles Jourdain

Mandel Nallo vs. Jai Herbert Palpite de aposta: Jai Herbert

Jasmine Jasudavicius vs. Karine Silva Palpite de aposta: Jasmine Jasudavicius

Thiago Moisés vs. Gauge Young Palpite de aposta: Thiago Moisés

Dennis Buzukja vs. Marcio Barbosa Palpite de aposta: Marcio Barbosa

Julien LeBlanc vs. Robert Valentin Palpite de aposta: Julien LeBlanc

Tanner Boser vs. Gokhan Saricam Palpite de aposta: Tanner Boser

Melissa Croden vs. Darya Zheleznyakova Palpite de aposta: Melissa Croden

Mitch Raposo vs. Allan Nascimento Palpite de aposta: Allan Nascimento

JJ Aldrich vs. Jamey-Lyn Horth Palpite de aposta: Jamey-Lyn Horth

John Castaneda vs. Mark Vologdin Palpite de aposta: Mark Vologdin

Jamie Siraj vs. John Yannis Palpite de aposta: Jamie Siraj