UFC Fight Night: Brady vs. Buckley Fight Card Odds and Free Pick

Last Updated on Abril 23, 2026 12:00 pm by Erwin Noguera

The narrative surrounding the UFC Fight Night: Brady vs. Buckley has shifted dramatically in the days leading up to the event, transforming what was once a welterweight-driven card into a completely different storyline.

Originally scheduled to feature a high-stakes clash between Sean Brady and Joaquin Buckley, the event now enters fight night with another identity after that matchup was postponed. As a result, all attention turns to a reworked main event between Aljamain Sterling and Youssef Zalal, a featherweight showdown that blends championship pedigree with rising momentum.

Despite losing its original headliner, the reshaped card still offers compelling matchups, emerging prospects, and key divisional implications.

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Brady vs. Buckley Fight Card Odds and Info

UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal

Por que apostar em Aljamain Sterling?

Aljamain Sterling brings elite-level experience and a championship résumé into this matchup. As a former UFC champion, he has consistently competed against top-tier opposition, which gives him a clear edge in fight IQ and composure in high-pressure situations.

His biggest weapon is grappling. Sterling excels at chaining takedowns, controlling positions, and taking the back—areas where he can dominate rounds, especially over five rounds. His ability to dictate where the fight takes place remains a major factor.

Por que apostar em Youssef Zalal?

Youssef Zalal enters this fight as one of the hottest fighters in the division. He is riding a strong win streak and has shown major evolution in his game, particularly in finishing ability and submission threat.

His biggest advantage is versatility. Zalal blends movement, striking, and grappling fluidly, making him dangerous in transitions. He has developed into a dynamic fighter who can capitalize quickly on openings, especially during scrambles.

Another factor is momentum and youth. Zalal is the fresher fighter, with speed and pace that could challenge Sterling, especially if he avoids being controlled.

Final Betting Analysis: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal

For Sterling, the path to victory is clear. He needs to slow the fight down, initiate grappling exchanges, and control positioning over time. For Zalal, the key will be keeping the fight dynamic. If he defends takedowns and creates scrambles, his finishing ability becomes a major threat.

If Sterling dictates positioning and slows the fight down, he can control rounds. However, Zalal’s submission game and ability to capitalize on transitions make him dangerous at every moment.

UFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Joselyne Edwards

Por que apostar em Norma Dumont?

Norma Dumont enters this matchup as one of the most consistent fighters in the women’s bantamweight division. She’s riding a long win streak against high-level competition, including victories over top contenders, which has placed her firmly in the title conversation.

Her biggest strength is control. Dumont combines solid striking defense with effective grappling, averaging steady takedowns and maintaining strong cage control.

Another key factor is experience against elite opposition. Dumont has consistently faced tougher competition than Edwards, which often translates into better composure and decision-making in close fights.

Por que apostar em Joselyne Edwards?

Joselyne Edwards enters this fight as one of the hottest fighters in the division. She’s currently on a four-fight finishing streak, showing major improvements in both striking and submission ability.

Her biggest advantage is finishing upside. Edwards is dangerous everywhere. She has knockout power and a capable submission game, which makes her a constant threat. Unlike Dumont, she doesn’t need to win rounds; she needs one moment.

Another key factor is momentum. Edwards has evolved into a much more complete fighter, increasing her output and confidence, which has translated into consecutive stoppages.

Final Betting Analysis: Norma Dumont vs. Joselyne Edwards

This matchup is a clear contrast between structure and explosiveness. Dumont will look to slow the fight down and control every phase, while Edwards will aim to keep things fluid and unpredictable.

If Dumont imposes her structure and controls positioning, she can win a decision through consistency. However, Edwards’ finishing streak makes her dangerous at every moment.

UFC Fight Night: Rafa García vs. Alexander Hernandez

Por que apostar em Rafa García?

Rafa García enters this matchup with a clear identity built around pressure and grappling control. He thrives when he can close distance, initiate takedowns, and dictate the pace on the mat. Over time, that style allows him to wear opponents down and accumulate control minutes, which is especially effective in closely contested fights.

In addition, García has shown durability and composure against solid competition inside the UFC. He doesn’t rely on power or quick finishes; instead, he focuses on consistency and positional dominance. That approach becomes important against explosive strikers because it limits their opportunities to create damage.

Por que apostar em Alexander Hernandez?

Alexander Hernandez brings a very different profile into this fight. He is the more explosive striker, with clear knockout power and a higher finishing rate. His recent run has included multiple wins and stoppages, showcasing improved confidence and momentum heading into this matchup.

Another key factor is his physical advantage. Hernandez is the slightly bigger fighter, with reach and size that help him control distance and land clean shots at range. His striking is built on speed and timing, and when he finds rhythm, he can overwhelm opponents quickly.

Final Betting Analysis: Rafa García vs. Alexander Hernandez

García will look to slow the fight down and dominate positioning, while Hernandez will aim to keep it at range and capitalize on power moments.

If García successfully imposes his wrestling, he can control rounds and limit damage. However, if Hernandez keeps the fight standing, his striking advantage and finishing ability give him a clear edge.

Ultimately, we expect Hernandez to dominate on the feet and keep distance to avoid taking the fight to the mat.

UFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Adrian Luna Martinetti

Por que apostar em Davey Grant?

Davey Grant enters this matchup as a seasoned veteran with over a decade of UFC experience, and that experience plays a major role in fights like this. He has faced a wide range of opponents, from prospects to ranked contenders, which gives him a strong edge in composure and adaptability.

Moreover, Grant is known for his aggressive, fan-friendly style. He pushes pace, throws with intent, and mixes striking with opportunistic submissions. Even at this stage of his career, he remains dangerous because he thrives in chaotic exchanges where experience often becomes the deciding factor.

Another important element is durability. Grant has been through high-level battles and still finds ways to stay competitive, which becomes crucial against debuting fighters who may struggle under pressure.

Why Bet on Adrian Luna Martinetti?

Adrian Luna Martinetti enters this fight as one of the most exciting debutants on the card. He brings a strong 17-1 record and arrives on a long winning streak, including an impressive performance on Dana White’s Contender Series that earned him a UFC contract.

His biggest advantage is momentum and physical tools. Martinetti is the younger fighter, with higher striking volume and a more modern, dynamic style. He is comfortable both striking and grappling, which gives him multiple ways to approach the fight.

Additionally, confidence plays a key role. Fighters making their debut on a big streak often carry that momentum into the Octagon, especially when they can dictate pace and avoid early adversity.

Final Betting Analysis: Davey Grant vs. Adrian Luna Martinetti

This matchup presents a classic contrast between veteran experience and rising momentum. Grant brings proven durability, fight IQ, and the ability to thrive in chaotic fights, while Martinetti brings youth, volume, and a strong upward trajectory.

If the fight becomes wild and high-paced, Grant’s experience could give him the edge. However, if Martinetti manages the distance and keeps the fight technical, his output and freshness may take over as the fight progresses.

UFC Fight Night: Montel Jackson vs. Raoni Barcelos

Por que apostar em Montel Jackson?

Montel Jackson enters this matchup with clear physical advantages and a striking-based game that can dictate range. He is taller, longer, and more explosive, which allows him to control distance and land cleaner shots at range. In fights where he establishes rhythm, his timing and power become major factors.

Additionally, Jackson’s takedown defense plays a critical role here. He has shown the ability to shut down grappling attempts, which is essential against a fighter like Barcelos. If he keeps the fight standing, his striking efficiency and reach advantage could allow him to control exchanges.

Another important factor is motivation. Jackson is coming off a narrow loss that snapped a strong win streak, so this becomes a bounce-back opportunity where urgency could sharpen his performance.

Por que apostar em Raoni Barcelos?

Raoni Barcelos enters this fight with serious momentum and one of the most underrated résumés in the division. Despite being in the later stage of his career, he is currently on a strong winning streak with victories over high-level opponents, showing that his skill set remains effective.

His biggest strength is well-roundedness. Barcelos combines solid striking volume with strong grappling fundamentals, allowing him to adapt depending on the fight. Notably, he tends to land more strikes per minute than Jackson, which can help him win rounds if the fight stays competitive.

Another key factor is experience and cardio. Barcelos has consistently gone into deeper fights and maintained output, which becomes important if this turns into a three-round battle.

Final Betting Analysis: Montel Jackson vs. Raoni Barcelos

This matchup is a classic contrast between physical tools and striking vs. experience and volume. Jackson will look to control distance and keep the fight standing, while Barcelos will aim to mix things up and create a more layered fight.

If Jackson successfully defends takedowns and maintains range, his size and power give him a clear edge.

UFC Fight Night: Marcus Buchecha Almeida vs. Ryan Spann

Por que apostar em Marcus Buchecha?

Marcus Buchecha enters this matchup as one of the most decorated grapplers to ever transition into MMA. His elite Brazilian jiu-jitsu remains his biggest weapon, and when he secures top position, he can control opponents for long periods and hunt for submissions effectively. In fact, his average control time is significantly higher than Spann’s, which highlights his ability to dominate rounds on the ground.

Moreover, Buchecha’s fights tend to go longer compared to Spann’s, which suggests he is more comfortable in extended grappling battles.

However, there are questions. His takedown success rate and defensive metrics are not elite for MMA, which means getting the fight to the ground against a strong, explosive opponent could be a challenge.

Por que apostar em Ryan Spann?

Ryan Spann brings a completely different dynamic into this fight. He is the more dangerous striker, with knockout power and a high finishing rate. Nearly 80% of his wins come inside the distance, making him one of the more explosive fighters on the card.

Additionally, Spann holds clear physical advantages. He is taller, has a longer reach, and throws more volume on the feet, which allows him to control distance and punish opponents trying to close in.

Another key factor is experience. Spann has fought a much higher level of competition and recently moved to heavyweight, where his power translates well. He also enters this fight off a first-round submission win, showing he remains dangerous in multiple areas.

Final Betting Analysis: Marcus Buchecha vs. Ryan Spann

Buchecha needs control and time. Spann needs space and moments.

If Buchecha successfully brings the fight to the ground, he can dominate through control and submissions. However, if Spann defends early takedowns and keeps the fight standing, his power and finishing ability give him a major edge. Ultimately, this fight likely comes down to the first few minutes.

UFC Fight Night: Rodolfo Vieira vs. Eric McConico

Por que apostar em Rodolfo Vieira?

Rodolfo Vieira enters this matchup as one of the most accomplished grapplers in MMA history. His Brazilian jiu-jitsu pedigree is elite, with the majority of his wins coming via submission, and his entire game revolves around controlling opponents on the mat.

Moreover, Vieira is at his best when he dictates where the fight takes place.Once he secures the top position, he becomes extremely difficult to deal with, constantly advancing position and threatening submissions like arm-triangle chokes or back takes.

Another key factor is stylistic clarity. Vieira doesn’t need a complex game plan. If he lands takedowns consistently, he can dominate rounds or find a finish.

Por que apostar em Eric McConico?

Eric McConico brings a much different dynamic into this fight. He is the more balanced striker, with knockout power and a longer reach, which allows him to control distance more effectively.

Additionally, McConico has shown finishing ability both on the feet and on the ground, with multiple first-round finishes on his record. That explosiveness makes him dangerous, especially early in fights.

Another important factor is matchup dynamics. Vieira’s success depends heavily on getting the fight to the ground, so if McConico can defend takedowns and keep the fight standing, he immediately gains a significant advantage.

Final Betting Analysis: Rodolfo Vieira vs. Eric McConico

This matchup is a textbook grappler vs. striker clash with very clear win conditions on both sides. Vieira needs control and time on the mat, while McConico needs space and striking exchanges.

Both fighters also enter this bout after knockout losses, which adds volatility and raises questions about durability.

If Vieira secures early takedowns, he can dominate through control or find a submission.

UFC Fight Night: Jackson McVey vs. Sedriques Dumas

Por que apostar em Jackson McVey?

Jackson McVey enters this matchup as the physically imposing prospect with clear upside. He is taller, longer, and younger, which immediately gives him advantages in range. Additionally, he has shown a strong finishing instinct early in his career, with most of his wins coming inside the distance.

Another key factor is momentum and market confidence. Despite limited UFC experience, McVey is currently favored, which reflects expectations around his potential and tools.

Stylistically, McVey has the kind of frame and pace that can trouble inconsistent fighters. If he uses his reach, controls distance, and avoids unnecessary exchanges, he can dictate the tempo of the fight.

Por que apostar em Sedriques Dumas?

Sedriques Dumas brings more UFC experience into this matchup, which can be a critical factor in an explosive prelim fight. He has faced a higher level of competition and understands the pace and pressure of the Octagon better than his opponent.

His biggest strength is his striking arsenal. Dumas is a rangy striker with a diverse kicking game and the ability to finish fights early. He also carries a dangerous submission threat, particularly with opportunistic chokes, making him a dual threat in transitions.

However, inconsistency remains a major concern. His recent results have been mixed, and durability and decision-making have both been questioned at times.

Final Betting Analysis: Jackson McVey vs. Sedriques Dumas

This matchup is a classic prospect vs. veteran dynamic, with both fighters under pressure to deliver. In fact, this fight has been labeled as potentially decisive for their UFC futures, which adds urgency on both sides.

McVey brings size, youth, and upside, while Dumas brings experience and a more proven finishing skill set. If McVey manages distance and keeps the fight structured, he can win rounds through control.

UFC Fight Night: Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Michelle Montague

Por que apostar em Mayra Bueno Silva?

Mayra Bueno Silva enters this matchup as the more proven UFC fighter, with experience at the highest level of the division, including a past title opportunity. That level of competition matters, especially in fights where composure and experience can influence key moments.

At her best, Bueno Silva is a high-output fighter with a dangerous submission game. She combines solid striking volume with opportunistic grappling, often using the clinch to bring fights to the ground, where she becomes a real threat. In fact, her finishing rate is heavily tied to submissions, which gives her a clear path if the fight hits the mat.

However, there is a major concern. She enters on a long losing streak and has struggled with durability and cardio in recent fights. Those issues have made it difficult for her to maintain pace beyond the early stages.

Por que apostar em Michelle Montague?

Michelle Montague enters this fight as a physically imposing and undefeated prospect with strong momentum. She is a large bantamweight with a powerful frame, and her game is built around strength, control, and grappling dominance.

Her biggest advantage is control. Montague averages significant control time and relies on takedowns and top pressure to wear opponents down. Once she gets the fight to the ground, she advances position aggressively and looks for submissions, particularly rear-naked chokes.

Another key factor is trajectory. While Bueno Silva is trending downward, Montague is still improving and building confidence at the UFC level. That contrast in momentum is one of the biggest storylines in this matchup.

Final Betting Analysis: Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Michelle Montague

Bueno Silva still has the technical edge in submissions and striking activity, but her recent decline raises serious concerns. Meanwhile, Montague offers a more reliable path through grappling control and physical dominance, which tends to translate well in matchups like this.

Ultimately, the fight likely hinges on timing. If Bueno Silva creates early chaos, she can threaten a finish. However, if Montague settles into her grappling game, she is likely to take over as the fight progresses.

UFC Fight Night: Jafael Filho vs. Cody Durden

Why Bet on Jafael Filho?

Jafael Filho enters this matchup as a dangerous submission specialist with a clear identity. His grappling is his biggest weapon, and once the fight hits the mat, he becomes a constant threat to finish. He does not need sustained control. Instead, he capitalizes quickly on openings, which makes him especially dangerous in scrambles.

Additionally, Filho has shown resilience in recent fights, bouncing back from adversity and proving he can handle pressure situations. That ability to stay composed matters against a grinding opponent like Durden, who will try to control the pace.

For Filho, the path to victory is aggressive grappling. If he can create scrambles or force takedown exchanges, his submission threat becomes the key factor.

Por que apostar em Cody Durden?

Cody Durden brings a completely different style into this matchup, built around wrestling, pressure, and control. He thrives in grinding fights where he can dictate positioning, secure takedowns, and accumulate control time across rounds.

Moreover, Durden has significantly more UFC experience, and that often translates into better round management and consistency. He does not rely on explosive moments; instead, he focuses on winning minutes, which is crucial in close fights.

Another key factor is durability and pace. Durden is comfortable pushing a steady tempo over three rounds, which can wear down opponents who rely on early finishes.

Final Betting Analysis: Jafael Filho vs. Cody Durden

This matchup is a classic submission threat vs. wrestling control dynamic. Filho will look to create chaos and capitalize on any opening, while Durden will aim to slow the fight down and dominate positionally.

If Durden successfully controls the top position without exposing himself, he can win a decision through consistency. However, Filho remains dangerous at all times, especially during transitions, where one mistake can end the fight.

UFC Fight Night: Francis Marshall vs. Lucas Brennan

Por que apostar em Francis Marshall?

Francis Marshall enters this matchup with a clear edge in UFC experience and level of competition. He has already faced tougher opponents inside the Octagon, which usually translates into better composure and understanding of pacing at this level. That experience becomes especially valuable in close or high-pressure fights.

Stylistically, Marshall is a well-rounded fighter who mixes striking with grappling. He tends to fight at a steady pace, using pressure and positional control to win rounds rather than relying purely on explosive moments. Because of that, he can adapt mid-fight, something that often separates UFC-tested fighters from newcomers.

Why Bet on Lucas Brennan?

Lucas Brennan enters this fight as an undefeated prospect with strong momentum and finishing ability. He represents the classic high-upside newcomer, bringing confidence and aggression into his UFC opportunity.

His biggest strength is explosiveness. Brennan is dangerous early, with the ability to finish fights through both striking and submissions. That makes him particularly threatening in the opening rounds, where he can capitalize on small mistakes.

Additionally, momentum plays a key role. Fighters coming in undefeated often carry a high level of confidence, and if Brennan starts fast, he can put immediate pressure on Marshall.

Final Betting Analysis: Francis Marshall vs. Lucas Brennan

This matchup is a classic experience vs. undefeated momentum dynamic. Marshall brings proven durability, composure, and a more structured approach, while Brennan brings explosiveness, confidence, and finishing upside.

If the fight becomes controlled and extended, Marshall’s experience and ability to manage tempo give him a clear advantage. However, if Brennan creates early chaos and lands impactful shots or initiates scrambles, he has the tools to secure a finish.

UFC Fight Night: Max Griffin vs. Victor Valenzuela

Por que apostar em Max Griffin?

Max Griffin enters this matchup as the far more experienced UFC veteran, and that experience is a major factor in fights like this. He has faced a wide range of opponents across multiple styles, which gives him a clear edge in composure and adaptability. Over time, that translates into better decision-making during key moments.

In addition, Griffin’s style is built around physicality and striking fundamentals. He carries real power, especially in exchanges, and has shown the ability to hurt opponents when he finds rhythm. While he is not always the highest-volume striker, he makes his shots count and can control tempo when needed.

Another important element is durability. Griffin has been tested repeatedly at the UFC level, and that toughness often becomes a deciding factor against less-experienced fighters.

Why Bet on Victor Valenzuela?

Victor Valenzuela enters this fight as the younger, less proven fighter, but with clear upside. He represents the typical prospect profile, bringing speed, aggression, and unpredictability into the matchup.

His biggest advantage is explosiveness. Fighters in his position often rely on early pressure and activity to create openings, which can be effective against veterans who prefer a measured pace. If Valenzuela starts fast and forces exchanges, he could disrupt Griffin’s rhythm.

Additionally, momentum plays a role. Fighters stepping into opportunities like this often bring urgency and a willingness to take risks, which can lead to swing moments in a fight.

Final Betting Analysis: Max Griffin vs. Victor Valenzuela

This matchup is a classic veteran vs. prospect dynamic, where experience and composure face youth and explosiveness.

Griffin brings reliability, durability, and a more structured approach, while Valenzuela brings unpredictability and early danger. As a result, the fight likely depends on tempo and control.

If Griffin manages distance and keeps the fight technical, his experience should allow him to win rounds.

UFC Fight Night: Talita Alencar vs. Julia Polastri

Por que apostar em Talita Alencar?

Talita Alencar enters this matchup with a very clear identity built around elite grappling. A decorated jiu-jitsu specialist, she is at her best when she can bring the fight to the ground and control positions. In fact, her control time is significantly higher than her opponent’s, which shows her ability to dominate rounds when she dictates where the fight takes place.

Moreover, Alencar comes in with momentum. She has won two straight fights, including a submission victory in her most recent appearance, reinforcing her ability to finish once she establishes control.

However, there are clear limitations. She is undersized for the division and lacks speed, which can make it difficult to close distance consistently against technical strikers.

Por que apostar em Julia Polastri?

Julia Polastri brings a completely different profile into this matchup, centered around striking volume and efficiency. She is the more active fighter on the feet, landing over six significant strikes per minute with higher accuracy than Alencar.

Additionally, Polastri has a clear physical edge. She owns a notable reach advantage and uses it effectively to manage distance and keep fights in her preferred striking range.

Another key factor is style matchup. Polastri’s takedown defense is solid enough to make Alencar’s primary path more difficult, which could force this fight to remain standing longer than Alencar would prefer.

Final Betting Analysis: Talita Alencar vs. Julia Polastri

Alencar needs control and time on the mat, while Polastri needs space and striking exchanges.

The numbers reinforce the stylistic clash. Polastri is the more efficient and active striker, while Alencar relies heavily on control time and positional dominance. At the same time, betting odds slightly favor Polastri, reflecting confidence in her ability to keep the fight standing.

Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal Palpite de aposta: Youssef Zalal

Norma Dumont vs. Joselyne Edwards Palpite de aposta: Norma Dumont

Rafa García vs. Alexander Hernandez Palpite de aposta: Alexandre Hernández

Davey Grant vs. Adrian Luna Martinetti Palpite de aposta: Adrian Luna Martinetti

Montel Jackson vs. Raoni Barcelos Palpite de aposta: Montel Jackson

Marcus Buchecha vs. Ryan Spann Palpite de aposta: Ryan Spann

Rodolfo Vieira vs. Eric McConico Palpite de aposta: Rodolfo Vieira

Jackson McVey vs. Sedriques Dumas Palpite de aposta: Jackson McVey

Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Michelle Montague Palpite de aposta: Michelle Montague

Jafael Filho vs. Cody Durden Palpite de aposta: Cody Durden

Francis Marshall vs. Lucas Brennan Palpite de aposta: Francisco Marshall

Max Griffin vs. Victor Valenzuela Palpite de aposta: Max Griffin

Talita Alencar vs. Julia Polastri Palpite de aposta: Júlia Polastri