Fim de semana Super Wild Card – Análise e palpites grátis

Fim de semana Super Wild Card – Análise e palpites grátis

Análise e previsão do Super Wildcard Weekend da NFL

Última atualização em 17 de janeiro de 2022 às 10h53 por Equipe Editorial da Gambyl Nation

Os playoffs da NFL finalmente chegaram, e isso significa que é hora de fazer apostas sérias na NFL.

Os maiores jogos do fim de semana são os seis confrontos Wild Card.

Passei muito tempo analisando cada jogo Super Wild Card Weekend dos Playoffs da NFL para você, um grande conjunto de escolhas gratuitas para ajudá-lo a fazer suas apostas nesta rodada de curinga.

Vamos entrar nisso!

Programação do fim de semana do NFL Super Wild Card

O Super Wild Weekend está assumindo um formato um pouco diferente. Aqui estão os 6 jogos que acontecerão no sábado, domingo e segunda-feira que completarão o quadro dos playoffs da NFL.

Com a adição de um jogo de segunda à noite aos playoffs de 2021, o Super Wild Card Weekend agora tem dois jogos Wild Card no sábado (16h30 e 20h15 horário do leste), três no domingo (13h, 16h30 pm e 20h15 ET) e um na segunda-feira (20h15 ET).

Pontuações atualizadas e resultados de seleção

Nossas escolhas do Wild Card Weekend, com apenas o jogo final entre os Cardinals e os Rams acontecendo esta noite, nossas escolhas chegaram com um saudável recorde de vitórias por 7-3. Tropeçamos um pouco no total de pontos, mas no geral nossas escolhas teriam rendido um bom lucro.

Sábado, 15 de janeiro

NFC: 16h30 (horário do leste) Nº 6 San Francisco 49ers no Nº 3 Dallas Cowboys (CBS, Paramount +, Nickelodeon, Amazon Prime Video)

Os 49ers cobriram facilmente a vantagem em +3, dando-nos um belo W, enquanto nosso segunda escolha 49ers vs Cowboys Morreram na praia. Os Cowboys tiveram mais de uma oportunidade de vencer este jogo, mas pênaltis desleixados e erros de novato custaram o jogo a Dak Prescott e seus Cowboys.

Registro: 1-1

AFC: 16h30 (horário do leste) Las Vegas Raiders número 5 no número 4 Cincinnati Bengals (NBC, Peacock, Universo)

Os Bengals finalmente conquistaram sua primeira vitória nos playoffs desde 1990. Foi uma vitória acirrada, com placar final de 26-19 a favor dos Bengals. Nosso Escolha Moneyline sobre os Bengals saiu com o W. Nossa escolha total de pontos UNDER aos 49 também nos deu um belo recorde de 2-0 neste jogo.

Recorde: 2-0

AFC: 20h15 (ET) Nº 6 New England Patriots no Nº 3 Buffalo Bills (CBS, Paramount +)

Os Bills apareceram para jogar e a Máfia dos Bills estava lá com eles. Os Pats pareciam mais lisonjeiros do que uma bola de futebol explodida por Tom Brady. Os Bills pisotearam os Pats por 47-17 em uma rota inesperada, mas divertida, depois de anos de abuso por parte dos Pats, os Bills se vingaram da famosa franquia.

Tivemos 2 escolhas da equipe Gambyl neste caso, o contas diretas ganham na Moneyline saiu com uma grande margem de lucro. Nosso total de pontos UNDER escolhido em 44 não foi aprovado, mas a Pats Defense precisava aparecer e não foi encontrada em lugar nenhum.

Registro: 1-1

Domingo, 16 de janeiro

NFC: 13h00 (ET) Nº 7 Philadelphia Eagles contra Nº 2 Tampa Bay Buccaneers (FOX, FOX Deportes)

Os Bucs derrotaram facilmente os Eagles em uma rota de 31-15 neste jogo WildCard de soneca. Nossa escolha direta do Moneyline nos Bucs não foi extremamente lucrativa, mas com o número certo de unidades você poderia ter encontrado lucratividade. É também tudo uma questão de pequenas vitórias consistentes. Tiramos um L na chamada de 44 pontos no total.

Registro: 1-1.

AFC: 20h15 (ET) Nº 7 Pittsburgh Steelers contra Nº 2 Kansas City Chiefs (NBC, Peacock, Telemundo)

Os Chiefs derrotaram os Steelers por 42-21. Recebemos um W em nossa aposta Chiefs Moneyline e um W em nosso total de 49 pontos OVER call. Este foi o jogo final para Big Ben Roethlisberger, os Chiefs seguem para lutar contra o Buffalo Bills em 23 de janeiro às 18h30 no Arrowhead Stadium em KC.

Recorde: 2-0

Segunda-feira, 17 de janeiro

NFC: 20h15 (ET) 5º Arizona Cardinals no 4º Los Angeles Rams (ESPN/ABC, ESPN2, ESPN+, ESPN Deportes)

Os Green Bay Packers, mais bem colocados da NFC, e os Tennessee Titans, mais bem colocados da AFC, estão se despedindo.

NFC: 16h30 (horário do leste) Nº 6 San Francisco 49ers contra Nº 3 Dallas Cowboys (CBS, Paramount+, Nickelodeon, Amazon Prime Video)


Let’s start with the game that’s getting the most action, 49ers-Cowboys. The Cowboys opened as a three-point favorite and the line has not moved since. However, there has been sharp money on both sides of this game. The sharps are betting on the Niners plus the points, while some smart money is on the Cowboys plus three. 

The Niners have lost just once since Week 11 (at Seattle). That one loss was by a mere six points, and they destroyed the Giants and Broncos in their two most recent games. Meanwhile, Dallas has feasted on weak competition to finish out its regular season schedule, but had some big problems against playoff-caliber teams. 

In terms of NFL betting trends, Dallas is a lousy home team with just one win in its last four games at Jerryworld (Packers and Eagles). Conversely, San Francisco has won three straight road playoff game by an average margin of 11 points per game. The Cowboys are 0-11 ATS the L11 years when favored by three or four points, while the Niners are a solid 11-12 ATS their L23 playoff games. 

In terms of NFL betting trends for individual players, Dak Prescott has been terrible on the road this season (65% completion rate and only six touchdowns compared to five interceptions). Meanwhile, Jimmy Garoppolo is coming off a game in which he completed 70% of his passes and threw for two touchdowns.

49ers at Cowboys Free Pick

All things considered, I believe the 49ers are a live underdog in this game. The sharps agree, and that’s why we’re seeing some good value on San Francisco at +3.

MyBookie.ag has the 49ers at +3 (-105) – I’m thinking the 49ers are going to upset the Cowboys and cover that spread.

You’ll get solid value with a $95.24 payout on a $100 wager.

AFC: 16h30 (horário do leste) No. 5 seed Las Vegas Raiders at No. 4 Cincinnati Bengals (NBC, Peacock, Universo)

Despite losing by a field goal as seven-point favorites against the Chargers last Monday, the Raiders attracted plenty of action on Sunday when they were installed as three-point road dogs versus Cincinnati.

The sharps are all over Oakland plus the points. The most recent three trends on the side of Oakland include: 

The Raiders are a solid 13-15 ATS their L28 playoff games, while Cincy is just 18-25 ATS its last 43 home games. Teams in this series that have won 11+ regular season games verse teams with eight or fewer wins are a perfect 11-0 ATS since 1992. Oakland is also 15-18 ATS its last 33 road games, while Cincy is just 27-37 ATS in the friendly confines of Paul Brown Stadium over that same span (including 0-11 SU/ATS as home favorites).

The Bengals have been terrible this season, and their defense is ailing. The Raiders should have no trouble moving the ball through the air against Cincy’s crew. Meanwhile, Oakland’s improved running game will also aid in keeping drives alive (I expect many short passes to RB Jalen Richard).

According to the oddsmakers from online sportsbook 5Dimes, the sharps anticipate an easy Raider victory, while fans are eager to bet against Oakland after last Sunday’s defeat. As a live underdog in NFL betting, I’m definitely keeping an eye on this one.

Raiders at Bengals Pick:

Both teams are coming into this Wild Card matchup with a regular season 10-7 record. The difference here is the Raiders are coming in with 4 game win streak to round out the regular season.

While I’m looking for the Raiders to win this one, both teams have been wildly unpredictable all season long. Given this I’m going to protect my bankroll and play a safe Over on 49 total points.

Both teams offenses will be fired up, so I’m looking for a high scoring game that could go in either direction.

With 49 total points at -110 you’ll be getting another solid value wager taking home $90.91 on a $100 bet.

AFC: 8:15 p.m. (ET) No. 6 New England Patriots at No. 3 Buffalo Bills (CBS, Paramount+)


The New England Patriots and Buffalo Bills will renew hostilities in the AFC Wild Card Round after splitting their season series – thanks to Orchard Park’s wild winds in Week 13, which aided New England in grinding out a 14-10 win. Twenty days later, the Bills answered with a 33-21 win at Foxborough.

For some reason, bettors still can’t shake that Week 13 wind-altered result from their heads and with the forecast calling for dangerously cold temperatures on Saturday night, the mind drifts to the Under. But if you look at the totals set for the past two meetings between the Pats and Bills, we see openers in the 45 and 44.5-point range.

The Bills offense stumbled in the middle of the season, but it bounced back during Week 14 against Tampa Bay. Since then, this offense has ranked No. 7 in EPA per play (+0.115) and is getting solid production on both the ground and through the air.

The Bills have fallen behind rapidly in their past three losses, getting outscored by a combined 35-0 in the first quarter, and New England will come out swinging to set the tone for the Over on Saturday night. Buffalo has a 1Q advantage of 31-2 over its previous three games.

Pats at Bills Pick:

It’s going to be nasty cold this weekend for the Pats and Bills. While a ton of sharps are seeing a high scoring game and suggesting the over at 44 total point at -110, I can’t see that happening.

Extreme cold stunts offenses and I’m predicting the same thing for this game. It’ll be a low scoring grind fest just like their week 13 matchup.

Take the under and pocket yourself another $90.91 on your $100 investment.

NFC: 1:00 p.m. (ET) No. 7 Philadelphia Eagles at No. 2 Tampa Bay Buccaneers (FOX, FOX Deportes)

On Sunday, the New York Giants will host the Carolina Panthers at MetLife Stadium in one of this season’s most highly anticipated games. The Philadelphia Eagles and Tampa Bay Buccaneers will play a game with the largest line movement of the week. Following a win against the Carolina Panthers, the Buccaneers are 13-4 for their third consecutive winning season.

The Eagles must be concerned about the condition of running back Miles Sanders, who is questionable to play with a hand injury. The Buccaneers have several defensive concerns, including defensive end Jatavious Bryant and linebacker Lavonte David among them.

Looking at head-to-head matchups in recent history, the Bucs have the upper hand, going 6-4 SU and 5-5 ATS in their last 10 meetings.

Other noteworthy developments include: The Eagles have been excellent on the road this season, going 6-3 SU and 5-4 ATS. Despite last week’s loss, the Eagles have been playing outstanding football in the second half of the season, winning six of eight games. The Bucs have also done well in the second half, going 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games. The Bucs were also lights out at home this season going 7-1 SU and 6-2 ATS.

Eagles at Bucs Pick:

The battered and bruised Eagles won’t be able to handle Tom Brady and the Bucs. Take the Moneyline at -390 if you’re looking for the safe bet.

Given those odds, you’ll need to throw down a cool $1000 to profit $256.41 with a total payout of $1,256.41

AFC: 8:15 p.m. (ET) No. 7 Pittsburgh Steelers at No. 2 Kansas City Chiefs (NBC, Peacock, Telemundo)

The Steelers’ luck, making it into the Wild Card Weekend, has been exceptional. The Steelers could be watching from the sofa this weekend if the Colts hadn’t choked against the lowly Jaguars in Week 18. Instead, they’ll travel to Foxborough to face arguably one of finest teams in AFC. As the seventh seed, it’s going to be a tough go for Pitt if they can win in Tennessee next weekend and travel to Buffalo or Cincinnati (most likely) afterward.

A win for the Chiefs guarantees them passage to the divisional round if the Bills triumph. If the Patriots beat the Bills, however, Kansas City would host either the Raiders or Bengals. KC will also host a conference championship game if Tennessee loses next weekend; if not, it will travel to Nashville.

The Chiefs the biggest favorite of the weekend for good reason.

Steelers at Chiefs Pick:

If you feel like gambling, you could make the argument that the Steelers can cover 13.5 points. I don’t find this likely but I’ve spoken to a few pro gramblers who see the Steelers staying within 10 points of the Chiefs.

Grab the spread bet on this one, and white knuckle it all the way through this game.

NFC: 8:15 p.m. (ET) No. 5 Arizona Cardinals at No. 4 Los Angeles Rams (ESPN/ABC, ESPN2, ESPN+, ESPN Deportes)

Both of these clubs fell apart in the second half of the season and will now meet each other following both having a decent chance to finish second at various points during the year.

They have split the season series so far with both teams winning on the road, and the winner will head to Green Bay next weekend if the Bucs and Cowboys win.

If the Niners and Bucs win, the winner here heads to Tampa. And if both higher seeds lose, the winner of this game would host San Francisco.

Lots of different options on the table for these NFC West rivals.

Cardinals at Rams Pick:

Unless anything changes both of these teams are going to see an early playoff exit. The consensus out there is the Rams will trounce the Cardinals by up to 20 points. I’d take the Moneyline here on the Rams at -110 but a solid take is taking the Rams on the spread at -4.

Unless the bookies out there know something I don’t they’re calling this a close game, I’m calling this a blow out.

That’s my wrap on the NFL Super Wild Card Weekend. Like my picks? Hate my picks? Let me know in the comments if you think I’ve lost my mind completely or if you like my picks.

Enjoy what’s going to be an amazing weekend of high intensity football!

Calendário e escolhas da NFL por semana

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