UFC: Bonfim vs. Brown Fight Card Odds and Free Picks

Last Updated on Novembro 6, 2025 12:24 pm by Erwin Noguera

The UFC is keeping things interesting as we get another Fight Night at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada, featuring several veteran fighters in the promotion against some of the fresher names that are looking to come up in the divisions, while giving them the chance to shine in the spotlight and make their way up the rankings.

This main event clash features Gabriel Bonfim and Randy Brown in a welterweight clash that is likely to send one of them rising in the division as they test their capabilities in a 5-round fight.

Our Co-main event has Matt Schnell taking on Joseph Morales in a flyweight clash as they try to rise to the ranks of the division dominated by the Brazilian Alexandre Pantoja.

Besides the names in the main and co-main events, we have some names that the seasoned UFC viewers are bound to recognize, both in the main card and around the prelims of this 12-fight event.

There is a bunch of international talent in the card, along with local fighters, so this one is going to be a fun one for the fans to catch up with and add some names to their own radar.

No Troca de Gambila, você pode verificar todos os UFC/MMA apostas, a análise de cada lutador e a aposta final que você pode fazer nessas lutas.

Noite de Luta do UFC: Bonfim vs. Brown Fight Card Odds and Info

Noite de Luta do UFC: Gabriel Bonfim vs. Randy Brown

Por que apostar em Gabriel Bonfim?

Bonfim is currently on a solid winning streak, with victories over Stephen Thompson, Ange Loosa, and Khaos Williams. He has demonstrated strong takedown offense and a keen ability to hunt for submissions. However, he may face a significant challenge in this matchup because Randy Brown is a well-rounded fighter with considerable reach and height advantages.

The reality of this fight is straightforward: if Bonfim cannot secure a takedown against Brown, two major issues will arise. First, Bonfim will likely exhaust himself, as he needs to maintain his cardio for five rounds against a fighter like Brown, who is effective in three-round bouts. Second, failing to secure takedowns will give Brown more chances to strike as Bonfim repeatedly attempts the same entries.

Por que apostar em Randy Brown?

Brown enters this fight with a heavy heart; his home country has suffered greatly due to a devastating hurricane. While this emotional burden could weigh down anyone, it might also serve as motivation, and we believe Brown is the type of fighter who can channel that into his performance.

In this matchup, Brown holds a significant advantage in striking. He possesses powerful hands, impressive boxing skills, and a substantial reach advantage that will help him keep Bonfim at a distance.

Final Betting Analysis: Gabriel Bonfim vs. Randy Brown

The betting odds suggest that Bonfim has a chance to win this fight, but it’s important to remember that MMA is not the same as Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu. While we believe that Bonfim would excel if the fight goes to the ground, getting it there will be a challenge for him.

Brown’s takedown defense may not be as strong as Usman’s, but it is sufficient to stop Bonfim’s attempts. In a five-round fight, Brown’s chances of winning outweigh those of Bonfim, as Bonfim will need to exert significant effort to bring the fight to the ground. The more he pushes for takedowns, the more fatigued he will become.

Noite de Luta do UFC: Matt Schnell vs. Joseph Morales

Por que apostar em Matt Schnell?

Schnell is well-known for one main thing: his Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu (BJJ) capabilities. He has a number of impressive submissions in his arsenal, and Morales definitely knows that if the fight goes to the ground, he will face various submission attempts for as long as it remains a grappling match. Schnell’s activity with his submission attempts may be enough to deter Morales; however, since Morales has a top-tier ground game and is the younger prospect, we feel uncertain about Schnell’s effectiveness on the ground. It’s unclear whether he will score enough points through his submission attempts to secure a victory.

Por que apostar em Joseph Morales?

Morales has made his way back into the UFC after an impressive win against Alivi Idiris. He has also competed in the “TUF” finale, showing his resilience and skill. Morales appears to be the new up-and-coming fighter in this division. His first win came via submission, which left a positive impression on us. However, the transition from a TUF finalist to a UFC veteran is no easy feat.

Final Betting Analysis: Matt Schnell vs. Joseph Morales

Schnell’s striking game is decent; he has solid boxing skills, but it’s clear that he prefers to take fights to the ground, where he can leverage his grappling to dominate and look for submissions.

We expect Morales to be confident both standing and on the ground. His takedown offense seems more reliable than Schnell’stakedown defense, which could be the key to success for Morales in this matchup.

Noite de Luta do UFC: Muslim Salikhov vs. Uros Medic

Por que apostar no muçulmano Salikhov?

Despite concerns about his age, Salikhov is the superior striker compared to Medic. While it may seem odd given that Salikhov’s physique appears to have changed with age, we believe his striking skills remain unmatched in this matchup. Fans can expect to see Salikhov attempt his signature spinning wheel kick, but beyond those flashy moves, he will likely focus on scoring points consistently throughout the fight. There is little expectation of grappling in this bout; it’s poised to be a striking showcase.

Por que apostar no Uros Medic?

Medic is known as a kill-or-be-killed fighter, willing to engage with opponents regardless of the risks involved. However, this approach may not be the best strategy against someone like Salikhov, who has faced tough competition throughout his career. Given that Medic has suffered brutal KO losses in the past, it’s questionable for him to be favored over an experienced fighter like Salikhov, who, despite being over 40, can still deliver a knockout due to his extensive kickboxing background.

Final Betting Analysis: Muslim Salikhov vs. Uros Medic

Salikhov must remain cautious when facing Medic, who possesses significant power and is known for landing precise strikes. However, Medic’s chin is often vulnerable; he can be knocked out with relative ease. We believe that Salikhov will have greater success in finding Medic’s chin than vice versa.

Noite de Luta do UFC: Ismael Bonfim vs. Chris Padilla

Por que apostar em Ismael Bonfim?

Bonfim may not have an impressive record compared to his brother, Gabriel, but he recently secured a win against Vic Pichel, who many consider to be a subpar fighter in the UFC. While Bonfim is known for his diverse striking skills, his grappling is often underestimated. We anticipate that he will focus on landing takedowns in this fight, especially to avoid the risk of losing due to a TKO, which can make a fighter hesitant and more cautious in engaging during striking exchanges.

Por que apostar em Chris Padilla?

Chris Padilla has shown adaptability in his fights, always having a counter ready, responding to strikes, and moving strategically to reset and re-approach. However, we haven’t seen consistent greatness from him, only glimpses of potential. Because of this inconsistency, it’s challenging to place our trust in him for this fight, making Bonfim the slightly more dangerous opponent.

Final Betting Analysis: Ismael Bonfim vs. Chris Padilla

If Bonfim opts for striking during this matchup, watch for his powerful kicks; his body kick is particularly devastating, and he possesses heavy hands as well. This could actually play to Padilla’s advantage, as he is skilled at countering attacks effectively. Nonetheless, if Bonfim includes takedowns in his strategy, we believe he will be able to secure a decision victory with relative ease.

Noite de Luta do UFC: Marco Tulio vs. Christian Leroy Duncan

Por que apostar em Marco Tulio?

Marco Tulio is a powerful striker known for his ability to strike with precision and intensity. One of the standout aspects of his fighting style is his fluidity; he seamlessly transitions from body kicks to spinning attacks, jabs, and boxing combinations. His high volume of strikes is impressive and makes him a dangerous opponent.

Despite being capable of fighting for three rounds, Tulio tends to rely on fewer combinations. To overcome his slight reach disadvantage against Christian Leroy Duncan, he will need to incorporate more strikes into his sequences, layering his attacks to penetrate Duncan’s range and land effectively.

Por que apostar em Christian Leroy Duncan?

Christian Leroy Duncan (CLD) is an exceptional kickboxer with a tactical approach to fighting. However, it’s important to note that the Apex facility may not favor him. Given his size and footwork, he requires more space to maneuver, and the smaller cage could quickly corner him, limiting his movement.

On the upside, Duncan is up against a fighter whose aggressive style can leave openings for counters. Additionally, CLD has more experience in the UFC, which could work to his advantage. His reach will pose a significant problem for Tulio, who may struggle to throw effective jabs from his typical range. Tulio might need to put himself in risky positions to land his strikes, which could lead to CLD trying to bait him into extended exchanges, allowing for quick counterattacks..

Final Betting Analysis: Marco Tulio vs. Christian Leroy Duncan

CLD is less likely to be overwhelmed by Tulio’s high pace. His height and reach advantages will enable him to control distance effectively. If CLD can weather the early onslaught from Tulio, the latter’s pace is likely to slow down due to the heavy nature of his strikes.

This potential slowdown positions Duncan to capitalize on the momentum and turn the fight in his favor, leading us to believe he could secure a decision victory.

Noite de Luta do UFC: Jamall Emmers vs. Hyder Amil

Por que apostar em Hyder Amil?

Jamall Emmers has shown moments of brilliance in the octagon, but he can also be incredibly inconsistent, which is evident in his record. When he wins, he demonstrates aggression, strength, and fluidity on his feet. However, this can quickly change; once he gets hit with a significant strike, his defense often falters, and he struggles to respond effectively.

Por que apostar em Hyder Amil?

Hyder Amil truly lives up to his nickname, “The Hurricane”. He fights with intensity and abandon, opting for a dynamic, high-paced style rather than a cautious approach. Despite coming off a KO loss to Delgado, Amill’s chaotic fighting style may be just what he needs to secure a victory over Emmers.

Amil tends to keep the fight at a frenetic pace, making it difficult for Emmers to land any meaningful shots. While Emmers might have the opportunity to find Amil’s chin and potentially knock him down, we believe that Amil’s relentless activity will prove overwhelming. He doesn’t just throw single strikes; he combines his attacks, layering offense upon offense.

Final Betting Analysis: Jamall Emmers vs. Hyder Amil

Emmers’ fighting style is not well-suited to face someone as unpredictable and aggressive as Amil. Although Emmers has scored KO victories against weaker opponents, he has also lost to fighters who possess a style similar to Amil’s. In summary, we anticipate that Emmers will struggle to keep up with Amil’s relentless aggression and nonstop pace.

Noite de Luta do UFC: Ricky Simón vs. Raoni Barcelos

Por que apostar em Ricky Simón?

Simón is known for his fast-paced fighting style and near-endless cardio. However, despite his current winning streak, there are concerns about whether he is still the same fighter who once garnered a lot of praise. In this matchup, Simón will aggressively press Barcelos, as he often does to win fights. His impressive output keeps his opponents on the defensive.

Por que apostar em Raoni Barcelos?

Barcelos possesses solid kickboxing and Muay Thai skills, which should allow him to inflict damage both in the clinch and at range. However, his takedown defense will likely be tested against Simón, who is proficient at mixing up his attack. While Barcelos has a black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu and has won numerous competitions, Simón’s wrestling ability and his top control may effectively neutralize Barcelos’ submission threats.

Final Betting Analysis: Ricky Simón vs. Raoni Barcelos

Expect Simón to employ a strategy of blitzing and taking down Barcelos to keep him from launching effective offensive strikes. Just when Barcelos might think the fight is turning into a striking battle, Simón will likely change levels and look for a takedown. He excels at blending different martial arts techniques and overwhelming his opponents with activity. Barcelos is a skilled veteran and has the potential to cause an upset. However, if Simón continues to dictate the pace of the fight, Barcelos will have fewer chances to turn things around.

Noite de Luta do UFC: Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti

Por que apostar em Mayra Bueno Silva?

Mayra Bueno Silva (MBS) has been struggling recently, coming off back-to-back losses against Jasmine Jasudavicius, Macy Chiasson, and Raquel Pennington. She was once touted as a potential top contender, but her recent performances have been disappointing and puzzling. If she fights Cavalcanti in a similar manner, she is likely to lose decisively. Another concern is her cardio; she often appears out of breath when pushed to use her stamina. It may raise questions about her fitness level.

Por que apostar em Jacqueline Cavalcanti?

Jacqueline Cavalcanti has relied on point fighting to earn decision victories throughout her UFC career. With a recent win over Julia Avila, who is among the least competitive fighters in the UFC, Cavalcanti has demonstrated her striking ability. She excels at distance striking, although her style can be seen as somewhat boring; she plays it safe and stays at long range, scoring points through effective jabs and leg kicks while avoiding her opponents’ power strikes.

Cavalcanti’s reach advantage will likely be significant in this matchup, allowing her to move around the cage effortlessly and evade MBS’s strong punches, as well as any grappling attempts.

Final Betting Analysis: Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Jacqueline Cavalcanti

For MBS to win this fight, she clearly needs to take it to the ground and utilize her grappling skills, as she struggles with striking on her feet. If she can manage to get a submission, it could turn the tide. However, without a strong grappling strategy, Cavalcanti will comfortably control the striking game, leveraging her height and reach. That said, Cavalcanti’s excellent footwork should help her avoid initial takedown attempts and keep the fight standing, where she has the advantage.

Noite de Luta do UFC: Josh Hokit vs. Max Gimenis

Why Bet on Josh Hokit?

Josh Hokit comes into this heavyweight bout boasting an undefeated 6-0 professional record, having finished all his wins—three by knockout/TKO and three by submission.

He stands at 6’1″, weighing around 229 lbs, which is on the lighter side for the heavyweight division. He possesses a well-rounded finishing game, as evidenced by his rapid bout finishes in regional promotions and the fact that he earned a contract on Dana White’s Contender Series after a second-round TKO in August 2025.

Why Bet on Max Gimenis?

Max Gimenis enters with a record of 6-1, showing a significant finishing rate—4 of his six wins by knockout/TKO and one by submission. Gimenis brings a strong grappling background (notably high-level Brazilian jiu-jitsu competition) and knockout power, which gives him dual threats. If the fight goes to the ground, he has proficiency. If it’s going to be standing, he can finish. His recent regional performances show speed and aggression in the heavyweight ranks. His path to victory involves using his size/weight advantage, imposing pressure, and either finishing early or outlasting Hokit in the longer game.

Final Betting Analysis: Josh Hokit vs. Max Gimenis

This heavyweight contest offers a classic contrast: Hokit with a perfect record, diverse finishing skills, but a smaller frame, versus Gimenis with more size and a strong finishing profile but slightly more experience and one loss.

We lean toward Hokit by early finish (either knockout or submission), given his recent performance and momentum.

Noite de Luta do UFC: Tecia Pennington vs. Denise Gomes

Por que apostar em Tecia Pennington?

Tecia Pennington truly lives up to her nickname, “Tiny Tornado,” as she fights with an intense offensive style, maintaining a relentless pace and overwhelming volume in her strikes. She tends to keep her guard raised, which can leave her vulnerable to takedowns, especially since she often presents her lead leg as a target.

The positive aspect of Pennington’s fighting style is her constant activity when striking. However, once she finds herself on the ground, she becomes ineffective and easy to control, spending those minutes at a disadvantage.

Por que apostar em Denise Gomes?

Denise Gomes carries with her the potential to disrupt Pennington’s momentum, particularly due to her knockout power and strong grappling skills. In nearly all of her fights, Gomes has sought multiple takedowns, and we anticipate that she will implement this strategy against Pennington, as it presents the path of least resistance.

However, Gomes faces a challenge with this game plan. She must effectively maintain control over Pennington on the ground; otherwise, Pennington’s remarkable cardio allows her to get back on her feet repeatedly. Gomes needs to ensure her takedowns are meaningful; otherwise, she risks expending energy without gaining any advantage.

Final Betting Analysis: Tecia Pennington vs. Denise Gomes

Standing up, Gomes has the potential to catch Pennington off guard since Pennington often keeps her chin exposed. Additionally, Gomes enjoys a reach advantage, which may allow her to effectively strike and evade, frustrating Pennington and forcing her into a reckless fighting style that could lead to counterstrikes.

Gomes is a dangerous opponent on her feet, and her solid wrestling background poses a real threat to Pennington when the fight goes to the ground.

Noite de Luta do UFC: Miles Johns vs. Daniel Marcos

Por que apostar em Miles Johns?

Johns possesses significant raw power in his hands and tends to rely on big swings and powerful strikes. While his striking technique primarily revolves around overhand rights and solid left hooks, he often leaves himself exposed by overthrowing.

We believe Johns will test Marcos’ takedown defense, leveraging his wrestling background. Expect to see two key aspects from Johns: initially, he will likely focus on singular attacks, throwing sporadic jabs and right overhands in the first round. He doesn’t typically throw a high volume of strikes, so his game plan will be more reactionary at the start.

However, if he gains some momentum, Johns will increase his output, throwing more attacks and even feinting a level change to elicit a reaction and lower Marcos’ hands.

Por que apostar em Daniel Marcos?

Marcos is an interesting fighter to analyze. At first glance, his once undefeated record may lead you to believe he’s an elite competitor, but his fighting style can appear quite clumsy at times.

When striking, he often puts together combinations effectively, but he also tends to leave his chin exposed and throws punches while appearing off-balance. It’s almost chaotic when he unleashes his flurries, as he seems more focused on landing his boxing combinations than on maintaining defensive positioning.

In contrast, Johns poses a greater threat in terms of striking power compared to Marcos. However, if Marcos is able to throw a significant number of strikes during the fight (which may be challenging due to concerns about his stamina), we believe he could secure a victory.

Final Betting Analysis: Miles Johns vs. Daniel Marcos

John’s chances of success depend entirely on how Marcos fights. The more intense and frenetic the pace of the fight, the more likely it is that Johns will become tired and unable to throw the heavy punches he is known for.

The most challenging aspect to predict in this fight is whose stamina will run out first. While Johns may have the advantage in power and aggression during the first two rounds, Marcos is expected to have better cardio. However, his stamina advantage may not be sufficient to secure him the victory.

Noite de Luta do UFC: Jackson McVey vs. Zach Reese

Por que apostar em Jackson McVey?

Only one fight into his UFC career, McVey was originally scheduled to meet “The Ultimate Fighter 32″finalist Robert Valentin this weekend before Valentin withdrew with a back injury.

McVey will still get to stay on the card and try to earn his first UFC victory when he faces Reese, so he has a full camp to take advantage of.

Por que apostar em Zach Reese?

Reese is coming off a 51-second No Contest result against Sedriques Dumas in September. “Savage” is 3-2 since joining the UFC outside of the Dumas fight, and his record includes a 20-second knockout of Julian Marquez that still lingers in our memory.

Final Betting Analysis: Jackson McVey vs. Zach Reese

Usually, a short-notice fighter is at a big disadvantage due to the fact that their opponent tends to have a full training camp, which allows them to be more prepared, but in this clash, we don’t believe that McVey is going to get any advantage over Reese.

We believe that Reese’s hands will be dangerous for McVey and that even though he came to save his appearance on this card, he comes to take the fight as the price to pay for it.

Bonfim vs. Brown Escolha de apostas: Randy Brown

Schnell vs. Morales Escolha de apostas: José Morales

Salikhov vs. Medic Escolha de apostas: Salikhov muçulmano

Bonfim vs. Padilla Escolha de apostas: Ismael Bonfim

Tulio vs. Duncan Escolha de apostas: Christian Leroy Duncan

Emmers vs. Amil Escolha de apostas: Hyder Amil

Simón vs. Barcelos Escolha de apostas: Ricky Simon

Silva vs. Cavalcanti Escolha de apostas: Jaqueline Cavalcanti

Hokit vs. Gimenis Escolha de apostas: Josh Hokit

Pennington vs. Gomes Escolha de apostas: Denise Gomes

Johns vs. Marcos Escolha de apostas: Milhas Johns

McVey vs. Reese Escolha de apostas: Zack Reese