Last Updated on Agosto 1, 2025 12:37 pm by Erwin Noguera
The UFC is getting ready to bring us another Fight Night this Saturday at the UFC Apex with an Exciting Headliner, putting the fastest division in the spotlight.
The main event will pit Tatsuro Taira, a rising talent who has been tearing his way through the division, against the undefeated Hyun Sung Park, the Road to UFC winner, who is looking to march forward in a fight that appears to be a title eliminator bout for the Flyweight division.
Our co-main event sees Chris Duncan and Mateusz Rebecki facing each other in the Lightweight division, and seeing both of them go at each other is likely going to be a big show for the fans.
The event for Saturday is split between six prelims and six main card fights, and we believe that things will be pretty interesting from start to finish, as the UFC is driving international talent forward. It will be great for the fans to catch up on the rising names of the sport.
No Troca de Gambila, você pode verificar todos os UFC/MMA apostas, a análise de cada lutador e a aposta final que você pode fazer nessas lutas.
UFC Fight Night: Park vs. Taira Fight Card Odds and Info
| Tatsuro Taira -312 | Hyun Sung Park +250 |
| Chris Duncan +172 | Mateusz Rębecki -217 |
| Esteban Ribovicsvs -270 | Elves Brener +206 |
| Karol Rosa -175 | Nora Cornolle +141 |
| Neil Magny +156 | Elizeu Zaleski -196 |
| Danny Silva +300 | Kevin Vallejos -417 |
| Nick Klein +119 | Andrey Pulyaev -147 |
| Rinya Nakamura -385 | Nathan Fletcher +292 |
| Rodolfo Vieira -256 | Tresean Gore +118 |
| Felipe Bunes +345 | Rafael Estevam -476 |
| Piera Rodriguez -156 | Ketlen Souza +126 |
| Austin Bashi -550 | John Yannis +400 |
| Quando? | Sábado, 2 de agosto, às 18h00 horário do leste dos EUA, 17h00 CST, 16h00 horário da montanha e 15h00 horário do Pacífico |
| Onde? | O UFC Apex, em Las Vegas, Nevada |
| Onde posso assistir? | Passe de Luta do UFC |
Noite de Luta do UFC: Tatsuro Taira vs. Hyun Sung Park
Por que apostar em Tatsuro Taira?
Taira is coming off a pretty disheartening loss in his first main event fight against Brandon Royval, and we have to say that, despite there being a loss on the record, Taira is still a fantastic young talent in this very stacked division.
The problem with Taira is his striking output, as he is very one-dimensional, primarily being grappling-focused, and avoids any long exchanges on the feet.
Taira excels at getting opponents to the ground, often using single-leg takedowns. Once on the ground, he is skilled at taking the back and setting up his submission attempts.
What we can expect from Taira is great grappling, some truly magical-looking armbars, and arm triangles. We can also expect some improvements to his striking as he has been getting more comfortable with his strikes. While we don’t expect some Ilia Topuria level of striking, we believe he will be more active on the feet.
Por que apostar no Hyun Sung Park?
Hyun Sung Park is a dangerous wrestler and grappler, perhaps not as slick on the ground as Taira, but his strength and physicality could prove an advantage if he can power out of Taira’s positions.
Park is an interesting change of opponent for Taira. We assume Taira’s primary focus for this fight is reversing position and defending takedowns, as that would have been Albazi’s game plan during this fight.
Still, we have an interesting fight that surely will hit the mat from the beginning.
Final Betting Analysis: Tatsuro Taira vs. Hyun Sung Park
The primary advantage Taira has over Park here is that everything is on schedule for Taira; he has made his weight cut by now, is on time with everything, and so on. In contrast, Park has probably had to cut his training short to lose weight and make 126 pounds.
The first fighter to gain control in this match is likely to use that momentum to continue winning rounds. However, when it comes to cardio, we believe Taira may have a slight advantage since he has prepared for a five-round fight, whereas Park has not.
Noite de Luta do UFC: Chris Duncan vs. Mateusz Rębecki
Por que apostar em Chris Duncan?
Duncan is coming off a fantastic win against the very dangerous Vucenic, and that performance blew us out of the water. He displayed outstanding grappling and a solid stand-up game. Overall, great knowledge and intelligence, and we feel like all of that is enough to deal with a wrecking ball that is Rebecki.
Duncan’s submission game will likely be on full display in this fight. That said, we believe we are going to see some fantastic striking, and judging by the disruptive power that he has, it’s those singular shots that can rattle the brain of Rebecki that we are keeping an eye on.
Por que apostar em Mateusz Rębecki?
Rebecki is coming off a three-round war against Orolbai, and we don’t think we’ve seen Orolbai hurt that badly. Despite his short stature and explosiveness that seem somewhat inefficient, Rebecki is dangerous in all three rounds as long as he can fight.
The physicality and pressure that Rebecki uses when he fights will be something that Duncan needs to counter. Outside of a guillotine choke threat from Duncan, we struggle to see a clear way that Duncan can win this one.
Final Betting Analysis: Chris Duncan vs. Mateusz Rębecki
If Duncan cannot secure a guillotine choke against Rebecki, he will face a shorter and stockier opponent who excels in maintaining a dominant position on top. In that scenario, Duncan could be at a high risk of being knocked out, as Rebecki delivers a lot of power with every strike he throws.
If Duncan cannot get that head kick in during this clash, he is going to be dealing with a cinderblock of a left straight or hook, and that’s never a great thing. We are picking that Cinderblock to come through and allow Rebecki to get the victory.
Noite de Luta do UFC: Esteban Ribovics vs. Elves Brener
Por que apostar em Esteban Ribovics?
Ribovics is a dangerous opponent, no matter what comes his way. He should be the superior boxer; his volume throughout three rounds, his steady pressure, and his ability to mix up the angle of attack are all so impressive.
Comparing that against Brener and what you will likely notice is that Brener absorbs a lot of strikes in his fights, he tends to stay within his opponent’s range a bit too long, and that’s a dangerous game to play against such an active boxer like Ribovics.
Por que apostar nos Elfos Brener?
Brener’s success stems from two different things: his takedowns and his leg kicks. We fully expect Brener to attack the legs of Ribovics early to take the sting off of those punches, but that’s a double-edged sword because the best counter for a kick is a straight strike down the line, and we think Brener is going to feel that.
Now, the takedowns are going to be a lot more effective in our opinion because this is a smaller cage, being in the Apex, which favors a wrestler.
Final Betting Analysis: Esteban Ribovics vs. Elves Brener
Our concern for Ribovics is Breners takedowns as they are a big factor, especially if Ribovics start to feel too comfortable with his output and forgets to defend takedowns coming his way. Brener is a very physically strong fighter, so we expect at least some takedown attempts from the underdog.
Brener’s chin isn’t as durable, and the fact that he leaves it up and exposed to strikes doesn’t work against a strong boxer like Ribovics. And while that hand movement and whatnot may be effective to mask strikes, if Ribovics keeps disrupting the rhythm of Brener, then it should be an easy night for Ribovics.
Noite de Luta do UFC: Karol Rosa vs. Nora Cornolle
Por que apostar em Karol Rosa?
Karol Rosa brings a wealth of UFC experience and a grinding, high-volume striking style that’s proven effective against several seasoned bantamweights.
With a professional record of 17-6, Rosa thrives in prolonged exchanges where her cardio and output wear opponents down. Her takedown defense and clinch control make her difficult to finish, and she tends to build momentum as fights go deeper.
Against Cornolle, Rosa’s best strategy is to push forward early, mix in body and leg attacks, and take advantage of any defensive gaps in her opponent’s footwork and transitions.
Rosa is the toughest challenge Cornolle has faced that can threaten her on the ground, so we expect her to go for varied takedowns to find Cornolle’s weakness and then just keep her pinned down.
Por que apostar em Nora Cornolle?
Nora Cornolle is a fast-rising French prospect with a polished Muay Thai base and improving grappling skills.
Undefeated in the UFC at 2-0 and on a six-fight win streak overall, she enters with solid finishing credentials.
Cornolle uses crisp combinations, great distance control, and a powerful kicking game to dictate tempo. Her clinch work is dangerous, and she’s becoming more comfortable initiating ground transitions.
We have to point out that Cornolle is the superior striker by far; she has built her career on striking, and we expect her to land some gorgeous body kicks and elbows in close range.
Our only concern here is her inability to grapple effectively against Rosa; she needs to keep the fight technical, landing cleans shot without overcommitting, defending takedowns, and exploiting Rosa’s susceptibility to counters when pressuring too aggressively.
Final Betting Analysis: Karol Rosa vs. Nora Cornolle
The problem Rosa’s likely to face when the fight hits the ground is an active guard and a quick scramble because Cornolle has improved her takedown and grappling defense quite a bit.
Cornolle is a disciplined fighter, and she has worked on her weaknesses during her MMA career, which we believe will play into this fight and allow her to defend the threats that Rosa brings into the fray.
Noite de Luta do UFC: Neil Magny vs. Elizeu Zaleski
Por que apostar em Neil Magny?
Magny used to be a reliable fighter; one would know what to expect from him. However, in the past couple of years, there has been a steady decline, and we are unsure how he’ll look against a fellow veteran who is still very dangerous when standing.
Nowadays, it feels like he gets pressured too easily. He gets hit once, and suddenly, he’s on the retreat, and considering that Zaleski is still a heavy-hitting Welterweight, we expect Zaleski to be the one to deal the heavier damage on the feet.
With that said, Magny’s cardio is still legendary. If he can turn it up to 11 when the time gets tough, we think that high pace can wear on Zaleski, but that’s if he doesn’t cave and show that he is vulnerable, because if Zaleski smells blood in the water, he’s going to go for the finish.
Bet on Elizeu Zaleski?
Zaleski has been dealt a tough hand recently, with a horrible loss by knockout against Chidi Njokuani. We believe there is minimal threat of a KO from Magny, so we should see Zaleski thrive a little more and perhaps be the one to force the action and keep Magny on his back foot.
Zaleski will likely need to invest all his energy into his strikes to try to finish the fight in the first half. However, this approach could lead to him becoming extremely fatigued. If that happens, Magny may take advantage by turning the fight around, implementing his strategy of grinding Zaleski against the cage and using knees and other clinch strikes to inflict damage.
Final Betting Analysis: Neil Magny vs. Elizeu Zaleski
This fight is split as a 50/50 for us, as we don’t know if Zaleski will be able to push the pace and take over the first two rounds or if Magny will be able to start pushing the pace back and make the most out of his cardio.
We believe that Zaleski’s pressure in the first two rounds will be enough to win the fight, as we expect him to rattle Magny in early and put him on the back foot, at least enough to take the unanimous decision.
Noite de Luta do UFC: Danny Silva vs. Kevin Vallejos
Por que apostar em Danny Silva?
Silva is coming off back-to-back split decision wins, and we believe that we have seen great improvements in Silva during his last outing, so we are likely to see some sheer violence and determination from Silva in this clash.
Silva’s stance switches open up different strikes, when he’s in Orthodox he likes to attack the calf as seen in his fight against Almeida, and when he’s in Southpaw he’s quite tricky with his aggression, bobbing and weaving into the pocket to which he launches his left hook or straight at close range, looking to rattle the chin of his opponents.
The thing in this fight is that he will be striking a bit lower, as Vallejos is a shorter fighter, so that entry into the pocket may not be effective at all against the Argentinian.
One thing to keep an eye on for Silva here is the left uppercut; both fighters are likely to fight in opposite stances, so the power side attack will be effective since Vallejos is shorter than Silva.
Por que apostar em Kevin Vallejos?
Vallejos is someone who is coming off a knockout win against a very chinny SeungWoo Choi, and whilst that win may look fantastic on the record, we cannot give Vallejos his dues because we feel like a gust of wind can put SeungWoo Choi to sleep.
Now, Vallejos is excellent when it comes to calculated attacks and timing. He doesn’t throw a lot of volume and is probably less dangerous when he does than when he’s waiting for the perfect moment to strike because his visual acuity is fantastic. He can see an opening and exploits it with ease.
Final Betting Analysis: Danny Silva vs. Kevin Vallejos
The ability to read through the opening is what makes Vallejos such a heavy favourite in his fights, but as we said before, we do think that Silva is a tough opponent to box against, and we could see Vallejos struggle in this one.
It will be a battle in the first round, but we believe that Vallejos is going to play it patiently and find the opportunity to cause the most damage and turn the tide in this clash, landing the win.
Noite de Luta do UFC: Nick Klein vs. Andrey Pulyaev
Por que apostar em Nick Klein?
Nick Klein is coming off a tough loss against Abdul-Malik in which he was demolished on the feet, shutting down any takedowns attempted.
Klein can be somewhat awkward to watch when he faces a striker. His defense tends to be unreliable; he often falls for feints and lacks a smart guard to maintain his position, which means he easily gives up ground. As a result, you can expect Klein to be on the back foot in these matchups.
He can also be sneaky with his spinning attacks, as it has been a fantastic weapon to use, showing that he can be tricky to approach.
The other thing about Klein is that he has a grappler’s Chin. If Pulyaev does land a clean strike, it could completely change the fight.
Por que apostar em Andrey Pulyaev?
Pulyaev has had a little more time in the cage than Klein, and it has helped him showcase that he’s more active as a striker.
Klein actively attacks the legs for a single leg takedown, and if Pulyaev attacks the body with those roundhouse kicks, we’re going to see Klein catch and drive for a takedown, and that only makes this fight easier for the US-based fighter.
Final Betting Analysis: Nick Klein vs. Andrey Pulyaev
One massive vulnerability that we hope we see Pulyaev exploit, though, is the lead leg of Klein. He uses a wide, bladed stance. Usually, when you see someone with a bladed stance, the most juicy target for a same-stance fighter is the lower leg kick because the calf muscle isn’t shielded partially by the shin bone, so if Pulyaev is intelligent, he should attack that leg immediately.
We believe that Pulyaev’s striking is going to be as effective in this fight as Klein’s grappling. However, we believe Pulyaev’s takedown defense is effective enough to neutralize some of Klein’s wrestling and grappling, at least enough to get him the upper hand.
Noite de Luta do UFC: Rinya Nakamura vs. Nathan Fletcher
Por que apostar em Rinya Nakamura?
Nakamura is coming off a disappointing bout against Muin Gafurov, in which we saw a wrestler who didn’t know what wrestling was. It was quitedisappointing because everything pointed to him to wrestle, and yet he didn’t even do that.
His wrestling is at an extremely high level. His forward aggression and relatively high pace are absurdly good, and he is dominant when he’sinfull control of his opponent on the ground.
In addition to Nakamura’s takedowns, expect him to land powerful strikes as well. It is common for wrestlers to throw heavy punches, making this a significant threat to Fletcher.
Por que apostar em Nathan Fletcher?
Fletcher is currently 1-1 in the UFC, and we can’t see anything that stands out to us. We are aware that Fletcher has great grappling, considering he comes from the same gym that produced great grapplers like Paddy Pimblett and Chris Fishgold.
However, a submission is only useful if you can tap someone out, it’s a more strict way to win than striking and point scoring, so if Fletcher is stuck on the bottom against a great wrestler like Nakamura, for Fletcher to win, he either has to get a submission in or he has to avoid the takedowns completely and keep it standing, and that’s not going to be easy since Nakamura, when he has his “wrestling shoes” on, he’s a high quality fighter.
Final Betting Analysis: Rinya Nakamura vs. Nathan Fletcher
The good news for Nakamura is that Fletcher doesn’t have the best takedown defense, although he does have a relatively active guard. This means that Fletcher may present some early challenges for Nakamura.
Nakamura will know exactly how to avoid Fletcher’s submission attempts and will be cautious not to get trapped in situations that a takedown specialist might encounter, such as a guillotine choke.
Additionally, Fletcher will likely need to navigate heavy strikes between his takedown attempts, making things difficult for him throughout the match.
Noite de Luta do UFC: Rodolfo Vieira vs. Tresean Gore
Por que apostar em Rodolfo Vieira?
Vieira is coming off a tough loss against Andre Petroski, and what was immediately noticeable was that Vieira falls apart when he doesn’t get the takedowns. He goes from an absolute monster of a grappler to a fighter who might as well be blind in both eyes and have two missing arms.
We have to point out that his striking output has been getting better each time we see him, and we hope to see improvements once again this weekend against Gore. We also hope to see better wrestling because if Vieira is unable to get the fight to the ground against Gore, he will be in trouble.
Por que apostar em Tresean Gore?
Gore numerically has a relatively high takedown defence rate, but the thing here is that Gore hasn’t been wrestled a lot in his fights; you can count on one hand the amount of times he has been taken down and attempted to be taken down, and that’s throughout his UFC career aside from his TUF finale fight against Battle.
If Vieira applies a strong pace with his wrestling, it will truly challenge Gore. For Vieira to get into a takedown position, he has already moved into the first step of his game plan. This could be problematic for someone like Gore, who often struggles to keep up when he is falling behind.
Gore needs to keep this fight standing and at striking distance to win. Since he’s going to be fighting in a smaller Octagon, it only leads Vieira to use less forward movement to pin Gore against the cage, making him vulnerable to takedowns.
Final Betting Analysis: Rodolfo Vieira vs. Tresean Gore
Still, Gore is a relatively hard-hitting fighter, and that’s always going to be a threat, especially as a grappler who isn’t used to getting punched in the face.
Gore does have a wrestling background, but since we haven’t exactly seen it in action during his short UFC stint, we cannot judge if he’s ready for the 5+ takedown attempts that Vieira is very likely to use.
We believe Vieira will show urgency, as he knows that if Gore keeps this fight standing, his chances to win skyrocket.
Noite de Luta do UFC: Felipe Bunes vs. Rafael Estevam
Por que apostar em Felipe Bunes?
Bunes is a frustrating fighter to watch, and we know that’s already a harsh thing to say, but his fight against Jose Johnson left so much to the imagination.
His striking is nothing but loaded up strikes with minimal power and a lot of read to it. You can see him pull his arm back as if he’s loading up a punch before he throws it.
Any well-timed takedown will be a perfect counter to that kind of striking, and for someone to fight like that as a 21-fight veteran and at 35 years old is odd.
Por que apostar em Rafael Estevam?
Estevam is coming off back-to-back wins against Aguilar and Johnson. His takedown offense is insane; he went for 19 takedowns against Aguilar and 22 against Charles Johnson, so straight off the bat, you can probably expect a dozen takedown attempts against Bunes.
Now, Estevams’ striking offense is rather unreliable and lacklustre; he looks to be nothing but a wrestler who relies on constant takedowns to win his fights.
Final Betting Analysis: Felipe Bunes vs. Rafael Estevam
Bunes’ grappling is relatively good, and it could be his primary way to win his fights. However, since every fight starts standing and Estevam has fantastic wrestling output and a quick level change, we cannot see Bunes being any more effective outside of a chaotic moment in which he can capitalise via takedowns and submissions.
Estevam is like glue when he grapples, never letting go of his opponent and always waiting to ragdoll them back to the ground, so we expect his game plan to work.
Noite de Luta do UFC: Piera Rodriguez vs. Ketlen Souza
Por que apostar em Piera Rodriguez?
Rodriguez falls under the category of fighters in the UFC that we aptly consider “filler” fighters. She isn’t exactly a great fighter, but she is well-rounded enough to make some fights interesting.
Her striking in particular can look effective, especially when she lets her hands go and then shoots for that takedown. When it comes to her entire style and skill set, her wrestling is where she thrives, and we expect her to rely on it to varying degrees of success here against Souza.
All that aside, the simplest way to break down Rodriguez here is just to expect takedowns and volume associated with takedowns, some ground and pound here and there, some strikes to set up a takedown, you know, typical stuff.
Por que apostar em Ketlen Souza?
Souza is someone who has both terrible takedown defense and relatively decent submission offense, but they kind of go hand in hand. Like a good grappler invites the takedown instead of fighting it, so we think that’s going to be in play during this fight, Rodriguez is going to go for the takedown, Souza is likely to go for a guillotine, and if she fails she can start using her guard, or if she succeeds she, well, wins.
Now, whilst Rodriguez does have a bit more of a wider path to victory, we do think that Souza shouldn’t be completely counted out here because frankly when you put two rather rough fighters in the cage, you’re bound to see some back and forth and as long as Souza is within herself to grapple and look for submissions, she has a fair chance to win this fight.
Final Betting Analysis: Piera Rodriguez vs. Ketlen Souza
We believe the reason for the success rate of Rodriguez’s wrestling will be all over the place is simply due to the submission threat from Souza, because she’s submitted favourites before, and she will try to do it again.
Ketlen needs to be cautious of the brutal headbutts that Rodriguez employs. This technique is one of Rodriguez’s most effective strikes, often leading to a quick finish in fights. By avoiding these headbutts, Ketlen can move on to more significant and rewarding matches.
Noite de Luta do UFC: Austin Bashi vs. John Yannis
Por que apostar em Austin Bashi?
Bashi is part of that new wave of top talent prospects who have made their way into the UFC through the DWCS. He is coming off a loss against Christian Rodriguez, and to make a debut against someone like that isn’t an easy challenge, but he performed admirably.
You can expect an extremely high volume of takedowns from Bashi. He is likely to want to get back into the good graces of the UFC, so expect an extremely quick start from Bashi as he tries to assert dominance early and not let the newcomer, who probably has some octagon jitters, settle in.
Why Bet on John Yannis?
Yannis is someone who is currently making his way through the Fury FC promotion and has suddenly had this opportunity fall into his lap. This can do one of two things to a fighter like Yannis: either he uses this as a motivation to start this fight with all cylinders firing, or he will get nervous and not settle in time.
Yannis does have solid striking; his switch stance style can be tricky to read, and his leg kicks are a strong starting strike that he uses effectively, but the problem that we see Yannis running into is the takedown onslaught from Bashi.
Final Betting Analysis: Austin Bashi vs. John Yannis
Bashi is physically a bully; he is highly capable of just mauling his opponents, and we think we’re in for a bit of a treat. The somewhat good thing about this fight is that Bashi was already scheduled to fight on this card and finally has an opponent to dance with.
Bashi isn’t going to get tired; he is a fantastic three-round high pace wrestler, and he will thrive for as long as he is in control and for as long as Yannis shows minimal resistance.
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