Brasileirao Matchday 38 Betting Favorites

Last Updated on dezembro 5, 2025 4:10 pm by Erwin Noguera

The final day of the Brasileirão is full of tension and expectations. Although the title has already been decided, the end of the championship is no less dramatic: four teams are fighting for the two remaining relegation spots, and only one will emerge unscathed from matchday 38.

Flamengo, already champions thanks to a very consistent campaign, are relaxed but intent on ending the tournament on a high note. However, the focus will not be on the top, but on the relegation zone, where the pressure is mounting and any detail could send a team down to Série B. Vitoria and Internacional start the day in critical positions, but Santos, Ceará, and Fortaleza, traditional clubs that have not yet secured their place in the top flight and depend as much on their results as on what happens on other pitches, cannot afford to be complacent either.

With Juventude and Sport Recife already doomed, the drama is concentrated on that handful of teams caught between uncertainty and hope. Santos arrives with 44 points; Ceará and Fortaleza with 43; Vitoria and Internacional with 42 and 41, respectively. The differences are minimal and the margin for error practically non-existent. Matchday 38 promises strong emotions, constant calculations, and a championship finale worthy of a tournament where every year the fight for survival is as exciting as the fight for the title.

No Troca de Gambila, você pode explorar todas as previsões para o Brasileirão, as apostas finais para esta jornada e as probabilidades para cada partida.

Brasileirão Matchday 38 Weekly Picks Betting Odds

Brasileirão - 38ª rodada: Fluminense vs. Bahía

Fluminense and Bahia go into the final matchday separated by just one point, sitting in fifth and sixth place respectively, with their sights set on securing continental qualification. The Maracanã, which has been a fortress for Luis Zubeldía’s team, is once again Flu’s main ally, with 14 wins in 18 home games. Their recent victory against Grêmio reaffirmed that sense of authority when playing in front of their fans.

Bahia, on the other hand, arrives in Rio with a much more inconsistent record away from home. Difficulties in picking up points on foreign soil have been a constant throughout the season, and just three away wins explain why they are at a disadvantage in this decisive match.

The balance tips even further in favor of the tricolor team when considering the most recent match between the two, a 2-0 win for Fluminense, which dominates the recent history and arrives with greater collective confidence.

Both teams have offensive arguments and promise an open game, but the home-field advantage and the momentum of “Flu” seem difficult to counteract.

Fluminense vs. Bahía Betting Pick: Fluminense

Brasileirão - 38ª rodada: Mirassol vs. Flamengo

Mirassol and Flamengo are set to face off in one of the most exciting matches of the final stages of the Brasileirão.The São Paulo-based team has turned its stadium into an almost impregnable fortress: 12 wins and 6 draws in 18 games, without a single defeat at home. This solid performance has kept them in a remarkable fourth place, with the possibility of finishing the season in a privileged position. Their recent victory against Vasco was another display of authority at home.

Flamengo arrives as the early champion, with the momentum of its victory last week against Ceará. Even so, its away performance has been more inconsistent, alternating between great performances and games where it conceded unexpected points.

With the title already secured, the challenge for the red-and-black team is to maintain concentration and avoid the emotional slump typical of teams that have already achieved their main objective.

The combination of Mirassol’s strength at home and the feeling that Flamengo could rotate their squad or lower the intensity makes the match favor the home team, which still has goals to achieve.

Mirassol vs. Flamengo Betting Pick: Mirassol

Brasileirão - 38ª rodada: Santos vs. Cruzeiro

Santos faces the final matchday with the urgency of picking up points to avoid a nerve-wracking end to the season. With 44 points, their survival is not yet guaranteed, although they are in good spirits after stringing together three consecutive victories. Their home form has been inconsistent, but under Juan Pablo Vojvoda, they have found ways to compete better and regain confidence, especially in attack.

Cruzeiro, third in the table, is playing a match that will not affect its position in the standings but will determine how it ends the season. Leonardo Jardim’s team has been one of the most consistent in the tournament, with just five defeats in the entire championship and a defense that remained one of the most effective in the Brasileirao. However, their recent run shows a slight dip, with only one win in their last five games, which is unusual for such a stable team.

The immediate precedent favors Santos, who won 2-1 at this same venue months ago. Momentum and necessity seem to be on the side of the São Paulo team, who will be looking to end the season by definitively shaking off the specter of relegation.

Santos vs. Cruzeiro Cruzeiro Pick: Santos

Brasileirão - 38ª rodada: Botafogo x Fortaleza

Botafogo bids farewell to the tournament, playing at home with the intention of securing seventh place and rounding off a competitive campaign. With 59 points and consistent offensive performance, the Rio de Janeiro team has made Engenhão a difficult venue for any visitor. Their 10 home wins reflect balanced play and a defense that tends to respond well under pressure.

Fortaleza, meanwhile, is on the brink of disaster. With 43 points, its survival depends as much on its result as on what its direct rivals do. Its defensive problems have been evident all year, with 54 goals conceded and an increasingly fragile away form: only three wins in 18 away games. The memory of the 5-0 defeat to Botafogo in the previous match does not help the confidence of the northeastern team.

With a solid Botafogo and a Fortaleza forced to seek a result in a difficult stadium, the home team starts with a clear advantage to close the campaign with a victory.

Botafogo vs. Fortaleza Betting Pick: Botafogo