Última atualização em 23 de fevereiro de 2023 17h07 por Erwin Noguera
Esta é a segunda semana consecutiva do UFC Apex Fight Cards em Las Vegas, Nevada, e estamos tendo uma atração principal bastante interessante para esta Fight Night, com os lutadores meio-pesados Nikita Krylov e Ryan Spann se enfrentando para abalar a divisão.
Além de uma luta emocionante no evento principal, temos Andre Muniz e Brendan Allen no Co-main event lutando no peso médio.
Este evento tem 6 lutas no evento principal e outras 7 lutas preliminares para manter todos os fãs de luta na ponta dos assentos durante toda a noite.
Este será um evento novo para muitos, pois há lutadores menos conhecidos, mas talentosos, que merecem alguma atenção à medida que sobem na classificação.
Você pode verificar todos os UFC/MMA Apostas, análise de cada lutador e a aposta final que você pode fazer nesta luta.
UFC Fight Night: Krylov vs. Spann Probabilidades de apostas e escolhas de cartas de luta – Informações
Quando:
Sábado, 25 de fevereiro, às 16h (horário do leste dos EUA)
Probabilidades de vitória:
Nikita Krylov -175 / Ryan Spann +137
André Muniz -238 / Brendan Allen +181
Augusto Sakai -136 / Don’Tale Mayes +108
Tatiana Suarez -833 / Montana De La Rosa +501
Mike Malott -227 / Yohan Lainesse +173
Erick Gonzalez +164 / Trevor Peek -212
Gabriella Fernandes -131 / Jasmine Jasudavicius +104
Jordan Leavitt -113 / Victor Martinez -111
Ode Osbourne +132 / Charles Johnson -169
Joe Solecki -625 / Carl Deaton III +398
Nurullo Aliev -188 / Rafael Alves +146
Hailey Cowan -126 / Ailin Perez +100
Jose Johnson +127 / Garrett Armfield -163
Onde posso assistir?
UFC Fight Night: Nikita Krylov vs. Ryan Spann
Por que apostar em Nikita Krylov?
Krylov is the No. 6-ranked light heavyweight contender.
He’s coming off back-to-back victories after a first-round knockout of Alexander Gustafsson and a unanimous decision win against Volkan Oezdemir.
With a background in Kyokushin Karate, Krylov is a solid striker who likes to work in kicks.
But his best work comes on the ground, where he’s earned 15 career wins through submissions.
Por que apostar em Ryan Spann?
Ryan “Superman” Spann is coming off a first-round knockout win against Dominick Reyes this past November.
That improved his record to 8-2 in the octagon, moving him to No. 8 in the light heavyweight rankings.
Spann is long and athletic with explosive punching ability. He also possesses dangerous submission skills and tapped out Ion Cutelaba last year.
Nikita Krylov vs. Ryan Spann Final Betting Analysis:
Both of these fighters have looked good in recent bouts, but they each come with serious flaws.
Krylov has been absorbing strikes and showing his durability. But he can get caught at medium range, which is where Spann throws with deadly power.
However, Spann might come with even more issues. He’s also hittable, and Spann’s chin tends to be weaker.
The veteran has also been showing poor intelligence during grappling exchanges, and Krylov could catch him if this fight goes to the mat.
A tendência de Spann de ir a todo vapor com as lutas terminando cedo torna seu cardio um grande ponto de interrogação.
Krylov deve ter uma grande vantagem se conseguir arrastar esta luta para os últimos rounds.
UFC Fight Night: André Muniz x Brendan Allen
Por que apostar em André Muniz?
Andre Muniz está atualmente em uma sequência de nove vitórias consecutivas no circuito brasileiro.
Submissions over Jacare Souza among other UFC vets have catapulted him into the spotlight as the next big submission specialist.
Por que apostar em Brendan Allen?
Brenden Allen é um lutador completo, que mantém uma postura convencional sem medo de acabar em algum lugar.
O que isso significa é que ele fica feliz em ficar de pé ou levar a luta para o chão e até admitiu negligenciar a defesa de quedas em alguns campos porque se sente muito confortável lutando pelas costas.
Análise final das apostas de André Muniz x Brendan Allen:
Lutar pelas costas não é um luxo que Allen pode esperar de um especialista em grappling como Muniz, então ele terá que aproveitar ao máximo as trocações quando puder se manter assim.
Este não é um confronto claro entre atacante e grappler, então não subestime nenhum dos homens em nenhuma das áreas, mas em geral, essas são as áreas em que eles querem estar.
Embora Allen seja um pouco mais polido em pé, o poder e a agressividade que Muniz mostra podem ser suficientes para colocar Allen em desvantagem, configurando aquela perna única e, no final das contas, vemos Muniz garantindo as quedas necessárias para vencer os rounds ou encontrar a submissão.
UFC Fight Night: Augusto Sakai x Don'Tale Mayes
Por que apostar em Augusto Sakai?
Augusto Sakai é um lutador que obteve grande sucesso no início de sua carreira no UFC.
Ele venceu suas primeiras cinco lutas sob a bandeira do UFC e então começou a dar passos reais na competição.
That is when the losses started to pile up.
Sakai is currently on a four-fight losing streak, but there is no shame in losing to that list of opponents, which reads Overeem, Rozenstruick, Tuivasa, and Spivac.
Por que apostar em Don'Tale Mayes?
Don’Tale Mayes has notched wins in the UFC but has needed some of the lowest levels of fighters the heavyweight division has to offer to do so.
Mayes has opted for wrestling in a previous spot, but that success was exploiting a glaring weakness from an opponent and not showing off his capabilities in that area.
Augusto Sakai vs. Don’Tale Mayes Final Betting Analysis:
The reality is this fight pits fighters with very real similarities against one another.
Sakai is the fighter that has the better overall skill set, and the betting lines do not accurately reflect the level above that Sakai is.
Now, Sakai lacks real power, much like Mayes, so despite the weight class, this is a fight that is more likely to reach the judge’s scorecards than see a finish.
We are however placing our token on Augusto Sakai to get back in the winning column.
UFC Fight Night: Tatiana Suarez vs. Montana De La Rosa
Por que apostar em Tatiana Suarez?
Tatiana Suarez is looking to continue her unbeaten streak in a recent move to flyweight.
This is after a long three-year layoff from what was originally a neck injury in 2019 as well as a knee injury in 2023.
Suarez is surely looking to make a statement in her comeback bout after remarkable finishing wins against top names like current flyweight title challenger Alexa Grasso and former two-time champion Carla Esparza.
Por que apostar em Montana De La Rosa?
De La Rosa enters this bout with a 2-inch height and 2-inch reach advantage.
As well as this, she’s 4-years Suarez’s junior, only now entering what could likely be her athletic prime at 28 years old.
However, De La Rosa may also still be reeling from a loss in momentum from her April loss against Maycee Barber in a bout that many belief was a robbery.
Tatiana Suarez vs. Montana De La Rosa Final Betting Analysis:
One thing is for certain in this fight, and that’s that this will most likely end up becoming a grappling clinic.
Both fighters have proven themselves to have some of the best grappling in their divisions with solid gas tanks to back it.
For us, Suarez will likely win her flyweight debut this Saturday, simply given the fact that De La Rosa’s striking, despite being fairly more adept than Suarez, will likely not make much of a difference unless she could manage to stay in the center of the octagon throughout the entirety of the fight.
O esmagador estilo de luta livre americano de Suarez permitirá que ela roube os rounds e tome uma decisão.
UFC Fight Night: Mike Malott x Yohan Lainesse
Por que apostar em Mike Malott?
Mike “Proper” Malott, 31, é treinador do Team Alpha Male que virou lutador do UFC. Como profissional, Malott tem um recorde de 8-1-1, com quatro vitórias por nocaute e quatro por finalização.
Sua única derrota foi por nocaute para Hakeem Dawodu no WSOF em 2014. A única vez que Malott lutou por mais de 5 minutos, terminou empatado.
Malott se move suavemente em pé, tem um wrestling bastante sólido, troca bem de postura e acerta boas combinações de contra-ataque.
No entanto, ele parece um passo lento na gaiola, seu movimento suave diminui quando ele é pressionado e pode telegrafar suas combinações no bolso.
Por que apostar em Yohan Lainesse?
Yohan “White Lion” Lainesse, 30, tem 9-1 como profissional e 1-1 no UFC após uma vitória no DWCS em 2021.
Lainesse foi nocauteado na estreia, mas seguiu com uma vitória por decisão dividida na última vez.
Lainesse tem mãos pesadas, mas tende principalmente a chutar de longe, tem uma técnica de golpe decente, na melhor das hipóteses, e sacrifica a defesa fundamental em favor de seu ataque explosivo.
Normalmente, Lainesse parece perigoso no primeiro round quando tem energia para seus movimentos explosivos e poderosos.
Análise final das apostas de Mike Malott x Yohan Lainesse:
Malott possui um conjunto de habilidades que lhe permite responder à maioria dos lutadores. Se um oponente tiver uma lacuna de ataque, Malott pode contra-atacar com força.
If an opponent has a wrestling gap, Malott can drag him down and find a finish on the mat.
But, against athleticism, strength, or talent, Malott is likely to struggle.
His hands are slower than many UFC-caliber fighters, his wrestling is fundamental but not strong, and his gas tank is unproven.
Lainesse carries legitimate power and looks for the finish for 5 minutes.
Beyond his 5 minutes of dangerous striking, Lainesse is a decent wrestler who can use his strength to keep the fight standing and land his takedowns at the end of rounds.
It will be a matter of survival in the first round, as both are early finishers, but they both have untested gas tanks.
If the match gets past the first round, we believe Mike Mallot will begin breaking down the holes in Lainesse’s game and land a victory.
UFC Fight Night: Erick Gonzalez vs. Trevor Peek
Why Bet on Erick Gonzalez?
Erick Gonzalez will be looking to keep his UFC tenure alive after being finished twice in two fights against Jim Miller and Terrance McKinney.
The alarming thing for Gonzalez is he was knocked out by Miller and submitted by McKinney.
Generally speaking, we would expect those methods of finish to be reversed given those two fighters, so Gonzalez, respectfully, finds more creative ways to lose.
Why Bet on Trevor Peek?
Trevor Peek is an extremely exciting debutant that punched his ticket to the promotion with a second-round stoppage win on Dana White’s Contender Series.
That fight marked his seventh consecutive stoppage win, keeping his 100% finish rate intact.
Peek’s striking is the gem of his skill set. He is very aggressive and brings very real power with the fight-ending ability with all his limbs.
Erick Gonzalez vs. Trevor Peek Final Betting Analysis:
Peek pressures throughout his fights and has shown durability for his style of action. He can be truly overwhelming for opponents and welcomes a firefight with whoever he faces.
We expect Gonzalez to initially welcome the striking of Peek until he feels the power behind the strikes.
Se ele não terminar rapidamente, quase certamente recorrerá à luta livre. Embora seja capaz nesse departamento, Peek possui uma boa defesa de quedas, mas esse não é o fator mais importante.
Peek não será pressionado a ponto de perder rounds, e quando ele se levantar e continuar a enxurrada de golpes poderosos, as coisas não parecerão boas para Gonzalez.
UFC Fight Night: Gabriella Fernandes x Jasmine Jasudavicius
Por que apostar em Gabriella Fernandes?
Gabriella Fernandes (8-1) derrotou o futuro prospecto Iasmin Lucindo em sua estreia profissional, apenas para cair para a eventual esperançosa da Contender Series, Maria Silva, três meses depois.
Sua atual sequência de sete vitórias consecutivas inclui três na Legacy Fighting Alliance (LFA), onde conquistou o título interino dos pesos mosca ao estrangular Karoline Martins.
Ela substitui Cortney Casey com um mês de antecedência.
Por que apostar em Jasmine Jasudavicius?
Jasmine Jasudavicius (7-2) seguiu sua vitória no Contender Series sobre Julia Polastri ao derrotar Kay Hansen em sua estreia no UFC.
Sua próxima missão a colocou contra Natalia Silva, que superou o produto Niagara Top Team e quebrou sua seqüência de três vitórias consecutivas.
Análise final das apostas de Gabriella Fernandes x Jasmine Jasudavicius:
This is a test of whether Jasudavicius learned anything from that loss to Silva.
Though not quite as quick or dynamic as her fellow Brazilian, Fernandes offers a similar blend of powerful kicks and combination punching that figures to give the lumbering Jasudavicius fits.
Jasudavicius’ best chance lies in her wrestling, as Fernandes hasn’t shown off much of a ground game and doesn’t move laterally the way Silva did.
That said, “Gabi’s” kickboxing gives her enough of an edge on the feet to earn our vote on this match.
UFC Fight Night: Jordan Leavitt vs. Victor Martinez
Por que apostar em Jordan Leavitt?
Four months after beating Luke Flores to earn a UFC contract, Jordan Leavitt (10-2) secured his first Octagon victory and a post-fight bonus by slamming Matt Wiman unconscious.
He’s 2-2 since most recently suffering a career-first submission loss to Paddy Pimblett.
Six of his seven professional stoppage wins have come via submission.
Why Bet on Victor Martinez?
Victor Martinez (13-3) capped off a six-fight winning streak by knocking out Luis Luna in his Combate debut.
Though he missed out on a Contender Series berth in 2020, he ultimately got his shot a year later, outlasting Jacob Rosales to win a unanimous decision and secure a contract.
Jordan Leavitt vs. Victor Martinez Final Betting Analysis:
This is one of those fun matchups where both men have the tools to exploit the other’s biggest weakness.
Martinez is prone to surrendering takedowns and giving up his back, both of which Leavitt is happy to exploit, but he’s also got the boxing chops to punish Leavitt’s poor striking.
It’s competitive not in the sense that they’ll be consistently deadlocked, but because each will dominate in its wheelhouse.
We are leaning toward Leavitt to be the victor. He’s not the best wrestler out there but he can be admirably persistent when he wants to be, and Martinez only needs to slip up once for Leavitt to find his neck.
UFC Fight Night: Ode Osbourne vs. Charles Johnson
Por que apostar em Ode Osbourne?
A decision over C.J. Vergara and a 61-second knockout of Zarrukh Adashev earned Ode Osbourne (11-5) his first multi-fight win streak since 2019.
The momentum wasn’t to last, as an ill-advised flying knee attempt allowed Tyson Nam to put “The Jamaican Sensation” to sleep for the first time in his professional career.
His nine finishes are split 4/5 between knockouts and submissions.
Por que apostar em Charles Johnson?
Charles Johnson’s (13-3) one-sided decision loss to Muhammad Mokaev and controversial victory over Zhalgas Zhumagulov left him struggling to establish himself as a contender.
Stepping up on short notice to fight Jimmy Flick wound up being just the ticket, as he stopped the returning “Brick” late in the first round.
He replaces Denys Bondar on less than two weeks’ notice for his second fight in under two months.
Ode Osbourne vs. Charles Johnson Final Betting Analysis:
If both of these men fight to the best of their abilities, we’re in for a high-octane war.
Thing is, both are prone to some highly questionable decision-making, from Osbourne handing Nam that overhand right on a silver platter to Johnson sleepwalking through the first two rounds against Zhumagulov.
It seems inevitable that one guy’s wheels will fall off at some point.
Johnson’s got more wiggle room, as he has never been stopped and gets stronger as the fight goes along, while Osbourne completely ran out of steam against Vergara.
So long as Johnson keeps the pedal somewhat near the metal, he should steadily overwhelm Osbourne to a late stoppage.
UFC Fight Night: Joe Solecki vs. Carl Deaton III
Por que apostar em Joe Solecki?
Joe Solecki’s (12-3) six-fight win streak, which included three Octagon victories, came to an end at the hands of Jared Gordon in 2021.
He got back on track against Alex da Silva in June 2022, surviving an early knockdown to take home a majority decision.
Seven of his eight professional finishes have come via submission.
Why Bet on Carl Deaton III?
Carl Deaton’s (17-5) Professional Fighters League (PFL) bid saw him drop a split decision to Alejandro Flores for his second consecutive defeat.
He’s since gone on to win two straight, including a decision over UFC veteran Justin Jaynes.
He takes this fight on little more than one week’s notice, as Solecki was originally scheduled to fight Benoit Saint-Denis last weekend.
Joe Solecki vs. Carl Deaton III Final Betting Analysis:
With all due respect to Deaton, he’s nowhere near the stylistic threat that Saint-Denis was.
He can’t stand up to Solecki’s wrestling the way “God of War” could have and his striking is nowhere near dangerous enough to compensate.
If you can’t consistently deny Solecki’s takedowns or stop him on the feet before he gets a chance to test your grappling, you’re not beating him.
Deaton is admittedly difficult to finish, but Solecki’s more than capable of grinding him out for 15 minutes if the rear-naked choke isn’t there. And odds are it will be.
UFC Fight Night: Nurullo Aliev vs. Rafael Alves
Why Bet on Nurullo Aliev?
Nurullo Aliev (7-0) capped off his time on the European circuit with a decision over Kirill Kryukov on a combination AMC/Eagle FC show.
Initial plans to join Legacy Fighting Alliance (LFA) turned into a Contender Series opportunity, which “Tajik Eagle” made the most of by pounding out Josh Wick late in the first frame.
Why Bet on Rafael Alves?
After four fight cancelations and a decision loss to Damir Ismagulov, Rafael Alves (20-11) claimed his first UFC victory by choking out Marc Diakiese in just 108 seconds.
Then came Drew Dober, who stopped “The Turn” with a third-round body shot at UFC 277.
He has submitted eight professional foes and knocked out another seven.
Nurullo Aliev vs. Rafael Alves Final Betting Analysis:
As physically gifted as Alves is, there’s no real connective tissue in his game, nothing he can lean on when the big flashy attacks and killer guillotine fail.
Aliev’s is a much more consistent approach, and he’s a sufficiently strong wrestler to execute it against UFC-level opposition.
Just because Alves can’t set up his attacks doesn’t mean they aren’t dangerous, though, and Aliev can get a bit deer-in-headlights under fire.
If Aliev can consistently get inside and glue himself to Alves against the fence, “The Turn’s” explosiveness can’t save him, and a constant grind should be his game plan for this fight.
UFC Fight Night: Hailey Cowan vs. Ailin Perez
Why Bet on Hailey Cowan?
Hailey Cowan (7-2) rebounded from a decision loss to Kelly Clayton with a submission win in her Invicta debut, setting up a Contender Series opportunity against Claudia Leite.
Despite a rough second round, Cowan out-lasted Leite to win a split decision and UFC contract.
Por que apostar em Ailin Perez?
Ailin Perez (7-2) — whose only prior defeat came via disqualification against future UFC competitor Tamires Vidal — joined UFC in 2022 and geared up for a debut against Zarah Fairn.
When “Infinite” withdrew, Perez instead took on Stephane Egger, who choked out the Argentinean in Paris.
Five of her professional wins have come inside the distance, four of them via knockout.
Hailey Cowan vs. Ailin Perez Final Betting Analysis:
Both women do their best work in the clinch, meaning there’s a good chance we see long stretches of inactivity against the fence.
Though Cowan’s physical strength is a distinct advantage, we are favoring Perez here.
She is the more natural striker of the two and she’s much more dangerous from the top, making her the likelier of the two to catch the judges’ eyes whenever they aren’t stalemated.
Her aggression is likely to win the day in a competitive and at times dull affair.
UFC Fight Night: Jose Johnson vs. Garrett Armfield
Why Bet on Jose Johnson?
Impressive stoppages of Mo Miller and Dulani Perry earned Jose Johnson (15-7) a second shot on Contender Series, where he’d previously lost a decision to Ronnie Lawrence.
This time around, he weathered Jack Cartwright’s wrestling contract to win a decision and punch his ticket to the Octagon.
Por que apostar em Garrett Armfield?
After putting together a 6-1 run, Armfield stepped up on short notice to face former amateur rival David Onama at Featherweight.
Though ambitious, the move failed to pay dividends, as he succumbed to an arm triangle in the second round.
His eight professional wins include seven by stoppage.
Jose Johnson vs. Garrett Armfield Final Betting Analysis:
While Armfield will have issues with Johnson’s length, “Lobo Solitario’s” tendency to shell up under fire should give Armfield plenty of chances to get his combination punching going.
Plus, Johnson’s strong top game is offset by fairly weak takedowns, so as long as Armfield doesn’t take a bad shot as he did against Onama, there shouldn’t be much stopping him from keeping it in his wheelhouse.
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