UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena Fight Card Odds and Picks

The UFC is taking us right into the Centre Bell in Quebec, Canada, as we get a fight card with two championship titles on the line and a contender elimination clash to get the people rallied up.

Our main event sees Belal Muhammad doing his first title defense against a Dangerous Jack Della Maddalena, in what could be quite an interesting fight that the fight fans will want to watch.

The co-main event sees Valentina Shevchenko defending her title against Manon Fiorot, who seems like a good challenge for the Queen of the division after her hard-fought rivalry with Alexa Grasso, who will be in the Contender clash right before them, as she faces Natalia Silva.

It’s going to be a 12-match event with five exciting main card clashes and seven prelims to make way for an exciting night for any UFC fight fan, so take a seat and watch us do our breakdown for what we expect to take place in the world’s most famous OCTAGON.

Você pode verificar todos os UFC/MMA apostas, a análise de cada lutador e a aposta final que você pode fazer nessas lutas.

UFC 315: Muhammad vs. Della Maddalena Fight Card Odds and Info

UFC 315: Belal Muhammad vs. Jack de la Maddalena

Por que apostar em Belal Muhammad?

Muhammad has always been a “safe route” fighter, working his way to decision victories as no one really expects him to find a finish.

His style is to maul and control his opponents, using his incredible pressure and high pace to overwhelm and exhaust his opponent.

However, we do not think this style will be effective enough to defeat JDM.

Belal likely is not able to keep this up for a sustained amount of time, but ultimately, we think the early-round wrestling advantage will fall squarely into Muhammad’s favour, and that’s just wrestling.

Why Bet on Jack de la Maddalena?

JDM is incredible in the cage, has fantastic counter-wrestling, otherworldly good boxing, and never-ending cardio. What JDM somewhat lacks is experience.

Now, JDM’s got two primary strikes to keep an eye on. His left hook and his high kick from both sides as they’re dangerous and quick. Outside of the singular strikes, JDM is well known for volume and combinations. He can slip and rip with 4-5 combinations that all land with pinpoint accuracy, and we could see him achieving against Belal.

Now, inhis counter-wrestling, he is quick at reversing or rolling with the position, and that ability to roll will be ever so prevalent in the later three rounds as perspiration begins to take effect and the fighters get slippery.

Final Betting Analysis: Belal Muhammad vs. Jack Della Maddalena

JDM has a massive boxing advantage, that much is obvious from the get go, it doesn’t matter how much Belal has improved his boxing, if he’s facing someone with already the best boxing in the division, he’s got no chance, especially at his age where you can only improve so much.

If this remains a striking bout, Belal is in deep trouble because he can’t strike on the same level as JDM.

Due to JDM’s early rugby career, he has the cardio to accomplish great things in the later rounds, provided that Belal doesn’t overwhelm him with astronomical pressure in the early rounds.

Our pick is on Belal overwhelming Della Maddalena in this bout and defending the title.

UFC 315: Valentina Shevchenko vs. Manon Fiorot

Por que apostar em Valentina Shevchenko?

Shevchenko is the WMMA GOAT at the moment. Her winning the belt back was a tremendous moment, but it was also a clean performance to really judge.

Shevchenko has become less of an aggressor and more of a counter-striker as the years have passed by, and we are unsure if that’s going to be the right game plan when dealing with a very confident Fiorot.

In terms of speed, Fiorot will struggle with Shevchenko’s blitzes and flurries. Shevchenko does have good takedowns in her arsenal that she can use to mix it up.

Shevchenko losing a fight was an anomaly in the UFC because she was so damn perfect, and now since that perfection has been dented and she’s been exploited a little bit in previous fights, we don’t know how good she’s going to look in this fight.

Por que apostar em Manon Fiorot?

Fiorot has great wins under her belt, but those wins have come by unusual circumstances. Her last one was against Blanchfield, and whilst she did win by all accounts, it was due to Blanchfield’s complete inability to adapt and change up her entries for a takedown that led to Fiorot leading the scorecards.

We expect Fiorot to be able to go toe-to-toe against Shevchenko, and we will enjoy every second of it.

Final Betting Analysis: Valentina Shevchenko vs. Manon Fiorot

We expect kicks to be a major part of the defending champion’s attacking game, especially to the legs and to the torso, as Fiorot does have a bit of a size advantage over Shevchenko, and perhaps in the later rounds, we could see Shevchenko look for takedowns.

Experience will be the key factor here, and Shevchenko has an immense amount, so she will adapt to anything Fiorot has and break her down during the five rounds.

UFC 315: José Aldo vs. Aiemann Zahabi

Por que apostar em José Aldo?

Aldo has been a fan favourite for as long as he has been in the UFC and WEC. Aldo has a major power advantage in this bout. His leg kicks, boxing, and sheer speed tell us that Aldo will be able to chew up Zahabi for three rounds. However, the problem is that Aldo has a tendency to let the first round pass by as he gathers information.

He’s a bit of a slow starter, and that’s never good when fighting on enemy territory against someone who has the crowd behind him.

Por que apostar em Aiemann Zahabi?

Zahabi has the intelligence to be a perfect fighter, but lacks the athleticism and speed/power to accentuate it. He makes his game plans exceptionally well for all opponents, but he seems too safe a fighter to truly back.

We expect that he will come into this fight with a really solid plan, but we are concerned that his lack of output and damaging strikes will leave him at a slight deficit on the scorecards.

Final Betting Analysis: José Aldo vs. Aiemann Zahabi

As long as the fight remains standing and is primarily a striking bout, Aldo has the edge. However, Zahabi has the tools to make this a boring fight and to turn the judges to his side.

Both fighters aren’t getting any younger, and whilst Zahabi’s clear way to win is to do a Bautista, we feel like Aldo during this camp probably incentivized reversal training and drilled ways to get out of that position just in case that nightmare situation happens again.

UFC 315: Alexa Grasso vs. Natália Silva

Por que apostar na Alexa Grasso?

Grasso has had her time in the limelight, and for the most part, we all enjoyed it. Unfortunately, it didn’t last long, and some gaps in her performances led her to the authentic ceiling.

Grasso is an incredibly well-rounded individual, potentially outgunned in this fight. She will need to use volume to make up for that gap, and if Grasso only strikes intermittently, we could see Silva pulling ahead visually and statistically.

Grasso will have to crowd the long-range strikes of Silva with clinch work and even grappling. If she can take the fight to the ground and nullify the output of Silva on the feet, she has a fairly solid chance at winning this fight.

Porquê apostar em Natália Silva?

Silva has looked absolutely brilliant in recent fights, landing some gorgeous body kicks and displaying impeccable movement and agility during her three-round battle with Andrade.

Since this is a three-round fight, we suspect we will see Silva add some extra emphasis in the first round to jump ahead on the scorecards and to give Grasso that incentive to push forward, perhaps recklessly, only to be countered by more kicks.

Final Betting Analysis: Alexa Grasso vs. Natália Silva

We believe Grasso will struggle due to that slow start she’s well known for, at least from memory.

Silva’s takedown defense is really on point, and given her tendency to move around a lot and generally be light on her feet, she is rather difficult to take down.

If Silva puts the pressure and remains the aggressor, she is likely to win this clash on all judges’ scorecards.

UFC 315: Benoit Saint-Denis vs. Kyle Prepolec

Por que apostar em Benoit Saint-Denis?

This fight depends on whether BSD can get his wrestling going or not.

Prepolec looks to be more of a knockout artist and a kickboxer than a well-rounded martial artist.

BSD will cleanly have this one in the bag as long as he avoids any stand-up exchanges because any time a fighter who comes in as a late replacement in front of their home country crowd, they go eufforic, and a win over BSD would surely accelerate Prepolec’s career.

Why Bet on Kyle Prepolec?

Prepolec is a name we haven’t heard in some time, so his late replacement announcement was a surprise. Prepolec is primarily a kickboxer who isn’t afraid to show his power early, making a horrible time to be for BSD on the feet because Prepolec has nothing to lose and everything to gain from a wild exchange in the first round.

Prepolec’s primary way to win this fight is on the feet, probably in the first or second round, but we have many doubts that it will happen due to how solid BSD is on the ground.

Final Betting Analysis: Benoit Saint-Denis vs. Kyle Prepolec

As long as the fight remains standing, the possibility is there due to BSD not having the best striking defense. Our concern for BSD will always be his chin, but we’d never underestimate his drive to succeed.

That said, the analytical part says that BSD will go for a takedown early and work his BJJ, as that is likely what he was preparing to do against Alvarez.

UFC 315: Mike Malott vs. Charles Radtke

Por que apostar em Mike Malott?

Malott is a pretty average fighter; his striking is rather basic, mostly used to set up his wrestling, and while his grappling is awesome, he is still a touch overhyped.

Malott’s left kick to the body and head—one of his better strikes and something that will be prevalent in this fight—are relatively good.

However, we would love to see Malott wrestling; he has always been fantastic on the ground, and Radtke has yet to be properly tested in that department.

Malott’s striking is clean and very well thought out, but sometimes in fights, the cleaner the striking, the easier to counter. If Radtke can let those hands go and make this a gritty fight, Malott could be in trouble in front of his home country crowd.

Por que apostar em Charles Radtke?

Radtke is coming off a fantastic KO win over Semelsberger. Tight shell, steady forward pressure, excellent left hook, and ultimate confidence in his ability, all of which we saw Radtke display that night. If he can bring that same kind of mentality into this fight against Malott, we feel like we’ll be seeing an upset here.

The primary concern for Radtke here is the inability to land shots against someone who easily glides out of the way like Mallot. His recent fight has showcased that when he doesn’t want to get the takedown, he’s more than happy to string together combinations using all limbs, and we do think that Radtke’s left leg is a prime target for a leg kick following a punch combination.

Final Betting Analysis: Mike Malott vs. Charles Radtke

Outside of that wrestling offense potential from Malott, the one main thing that concerns us is his striking defense; he has a habit of only raising his hands to deflect but not properly block strikes coming his way.

If Radtke layers up his offense by throwing three-strike combinations, then starts to add volume, hewill eventually give Malott a whole heap of trouble, and he could get seriously pieced up.

However, Radtke’s boxing has always been a problem for his opponents, and if Malott can take away the base, he takes away the main threat of Radtke, and we think Malott will win that way.

UFC 315: Jessica Andrade vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius

Por que apostar em Jéssica Andrade?

If Andrade can tap into the aggressive version of herself that once tore through the division, this fight could quickly swing in her favor. She’s at her best when she closes the distance and throws with reckless intent, especially in the opening rounds. Against a longer opponent like Jasudavicius, Andrade’s success will hinge on how effectively she can pressure and unload.

Her compact frame might actually help here, forcing Jasudavicius to shoot lower for takedowns, which opens her up to uppercuts and hooks.Andrade doesn’t need to be technical—she just needs to be relentless. If Jasudavicius can’t keep her at bay, Andrade could overwhelm her before the fight even hits the mat.

Por que apostar em Jasmine Jasudavicius?

Jasudavicius may not impress with her striking, but she makes up for it with solid fundamentals and smart grappling. While her stand-up lacks power and polish, she keeps a steady pace and doesn’t take unnecessary risks. Where she truly shines is in her ability to secure takedowns with well-timed level changes and body locks.

If she can survive Andrade’s early onslaught and drag the fight to the ground, she’ll be in control. From top position, Jasudavicius has the tools to smother Andrade and neutralize her explosive offense. It won’t be flashy, but it can be effective.

Final Betting Analysis: Jessica Andrade vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius

This fight might come down to a race against time. Andrade likely wins the first round if she comes out firing, but the longer it goes, the more Jasudavicius’s control and grappling will become the story

Andrade will need a quick finish or a dominant first two rounds to secure a win. If Jasudavicius weathers the storm, expect her to grind out a decision. It may not be the most exciting performance, but it could be enough to get her hand raised.

UFC 315: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Ion Cutelaba

Por que apostar em Modestas Bukauskas?

Bukauskas has a fairly large striking advantage in this fight; then again, anyone with a kickboxing background or slick striking will have the advantage over Cutelaba on the feet.

Bukauskas will be far quicker on the feet, and his head kick is terrifying to watch. We believe it will be his most immediate strike that he will try to set up.

Por que apostar no Ion Cutelaba?

Cutelaba is simple to break down, but he’s one of the most chaotic to predict because sometimes he can have a clean fight, stick to his advantages, and win, or he can do some foolish stuff and lose.

Cutelaba has one clear way to win this fight, and that’s to use his brute strength and explosiveness to get the fight to the ground. The only problem is that sometimes Cutelaba fails to mix in the styles necessary to complete a clean takedown; he either gets tee’d up on the feet and his shots become less clean and more desperate, or he gets the takedown easily against lesser opponents.

Final Betting Analysis: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Ion Cutelaba

Any kick thrown will only give Cutelaba more of a chance to shoot for a takedown, as balancing on one leg is the worst base in MMA. Reach and height favour Bukauskas, which will aid in his striking success, but we do think that Cutelaba will be forcing Bukauskas to stay on the retreat as range is his best weapon and only real tool in dealing with a wrestler.

If Cutelaba strictly uses his wrestling for this fight, we could see him reach for the takedowns without any care for counters coming his way by Bukauskas.

If this was to remain a stand-up fight, outside of wild, ferocious power punches that Cutelaba often throws, we don’t see him gaining the upper hand against the kickboxer in Bukauskas.

UFC 315: Navajo Stirling vs. Ivan Erslan

Por que apostar no Navajo Stirling?

Stirling has a significant reach and height advantage playing to its favour. The main thing we would love to point out here is his body work, his ability to target the body is pretty damn great and something that will most likely affect the gas tank of Erslan.

Since almost all of Erslan’s fights have ended in the first round, we think we’re going to see a gameplan from Stirling and CKB that mainly involves circling the cage, using the teeps and roundhouse kicks to the body to soften up Erslan before switching to jabs and long strikes up top.

The problem is that after a few kicks to the body, Erslan will catch and drive for a takedown, and we know that Stirling’s ground game is rough, so he would have to be fairly careful of that.

Por que apostar em Ivan Erslan?

Erslan is coming off a tough loss against Ion Cutelaba, who looked great in the first half of the fight but then dropped off badly in the second half, leading to Erslan gaining control for most of the third round.

Evidently, he has solid power in his hands and could make this a trivial time for Stirling on the feet, but if he is too busy chasing to close the distance, he could be absorbing more strikes rather than land anything meaningful.

Final Betting Analysis: Navajo Stirling vs. Ivan Erslan

The first round is likely Erslan’s most dangerous round, as he throws a lot of volume early on, and he has that power to give Stirling something to think about. However, we do not see a case in which Erslan gets a first-round knockout, Stirling is too long and too quick on the feet to fall for any exchanges.

We believe Stirling will be getting the nod in this clash.

UFC 315: Marc-Andre Barriault vs. Bruno Silva

Por que apostar em Marc-André Barriault?

Barriault is still a dangerous fighter. He fights at a reasonably high pace and has the wrestling to make this a challenge for Silva. While he is coming off back-to-back losses via KO, we don’t think Silva will be able to rise to the occasion and make it gritty enough to win against Barriault.

Barriault’s style puts him into positions of getting struck; his stand-up is mostly cover and swing back, and during that moment of him covering up, he tends to get hit. However, on the flip side, Silva doesn’t engage within the pocket, he likes to use his jabs a lot and whilst he still is a highly diverse fighter, we don’t think he will want to engage in the pocket against Barriault unless it’s to throw a knee up the middle or an elbow on the break.

Por que apostar em Bruno Silva?

Silva has always looked somewhat sharp on the feet; he has great long strikes and the Muay Thai background to be dangerous in the clinch, but sometimes it feels as though he doesn’t make fights dangerous enough to win.

If Silva stays at range and allows Barriault to pressure him, then we believe Silva will fall behind on the scorecards, but it wouldn’t take many shots for Barriault to crumble a bit.

We think Silva has made improvements over time and is more than sufficient to suppress any takedown offense of Barriault. Still, we remain heavily conflicted because this fight can easily swing in either direction.

Final Betting Analysis: Marc-Andre Barriault vs. Bruno Silva

Barriault’s chin will be questioned heavily leading up to this fight, and for good reason, back-to-back knockout losses for a 35-year-old whose entire skill set is bringing war to the cage and making it torture for his opponents, and also for himself, ain’t a good look.

Silva may not have the power and the physicality to touch that chin of Barriault like how Pyfer and Stoltzfus did, but with how iffy Barriault’s chin is, anything can happen.

UFC 315: Daniel Santos vs. Jeong Yeong Lee

Por que apostar em Daniel Santos?

Santos thrives in chaos, and if there’s one way to beat Jeong Yeong Lee, it’s with overwhelming pressure. Santos has a knack for pushing the pace and forcing mistakes, and Lee’s tendency to lean heavily on his lead leg with his head over his knee leaves him wide open to a blitzing attack.

There is a concern around Santos’s inactivity—He’s been sidelined for a while due to medical issues, and ring rust could be real. Still, stylistically, this matchup favors Santos if he’s willing to crash the pocket and let his hand go. He has the speed and Explosiveness to make Lee pay early.

Por que apostar em Jeong Yeong Lee?

Lee is coming off a brutal loss to Hyder Amil, but that fight may not be a true reflection of his skill set—Amil’s pace was relentless, and Santos typically doesn’t fight with that same kind of output. What Lee does have, however, is precision and power in the few shots he chooses to throw.

He’s not a volume striker, but his body kicks, left hook, and uppercut are potent, and he has shown an ability to deal consistent damage when allowed to fight at range. If Santos slows down or struggles to cut the cage, Lee could chip away with power strikes over time.

Final Betting Analysis: Daniel Santos vs. Jeong Yeong Lee

This one is going to come down to tempo and pressure. Santos will need to make Lee uncomfortable early and often—if he gives Lee room to operate, the Korean prospect will slowly find his rhythm and start landing heavier, cleaner shots.

Lee’s lack of lateral movement is a red flag against a fast, mobile striker like Santos. Unless Santos fades drastically after the first round, we like his chances to outwork Lee and potentially score a late finish or decision win through sustained aggression.

UFC 315: Brad Katona vs. Bekzat Almakhan

Por que apostar em Brad Katona?

Katona is a durable, high-output fighter known more for his consistency than explosiveness. He pushes a solid pace, lands volumes in batches, and tends to avoid unnecessary risks. That said, his UFC run has been defined by decision wins where he outpoints opponents rather than finishes them.

Katona’s most explicit path to victory lies in his grappling. He’s capable of grinding down opponents on the mat and wearing them out over time. However, getting inside Almakhan could be difficult given the Kazakh fighter’s speed and power. If Katona can’t get the fight to the ground or control the tempo, he could find himself absorbing more than he can return.

Por que apostar em Bekzat Almakhan?

Almakhan enters the UFC with speed, power, and a chaotic style that can be hard to predict and even harder to neutralize. He’s explosive from the first bell and, while that leaves openings, it also creates danger for more measured fighters like Katona.

Almakhan’s leg kicks could be a key weapon here. Katona’s square stance and forward movement make him vulnerable to being chopped down, which could slow his offense and keep him from shooting effectively. If Almakhan stays composed, mixes his attacks, and doesn’t burn himself out chasing the finish, he has the tools to make a big impression in this fight.

Final Betting Analysis: Brad Katona vs. Bekzat Almakhan

Katona’s methodical, decision-heavy style may keep him in the fight, but it’s not clear if it’ll be enough to beat someone as aggressive and dangerous as Almakhan. With Almajkhan’s power, explosiveness, and leg kick potential, this seems like a stylistic nightmare for Katona unless he can ground the fight early and often.

We like Almakhan to make a statement in his debut, using damage and pace to outshine Katona’s volume and control.

Muhammad vs. De la Maddalena Escolha de apostas: Belal Maomé

Shevchenko vs. Fiorot Escolha de apostas: Valentina Shevchenko

Aldo vs. Zahabi Escolha de apostas: Jose Aldo

Grasso vs. Silva Escolha de apostas: Natália Silva

Saint-Denis vs. Prepolec Escolha de apostas: Benoit Saint-Denis

Malott vs. Radtke Escolha de apostas: Mike Malott

Andrade vs. Jasudavicius Escolha de apostas: Jasmine Jasudavicius

Bukauskas vs. Cutelaba Escolha de apostas: Modestas Bukauskas

Stirling vs. Erslan Escolha de apostas: Navajo Stirling

Barriault vs. Silva Escolha de apostas: Marc-André Barriault

Santos vs. Lee Escolha de apostas: Daniel Santos

Katona vs. Almakhan Escolha de apostas: Bezkat Almakhan