Cowboys vs. Chiefs for TNF Preview and Free Pick

Last Updated on November 25, 2025 12:38 pm by Erwin Noguera

The Cowboys face the Chiefs on Thursday Night Football in a high-pressure showdown featuring explosive offenses, star playmakers, and major playoff stakes.

Despite an up-and-down year, Dallas is coming off a 24–21 win over the Philadelphia Eagles, in an excellent night for Dak Prescott, who finished with 354 yards, two touchdown passes, and a 64% completion rate.

For their part, the Chiefs needed overtime to edge the Indianapolis Colts 23–20, one of the toughest teams in the NFL. Patrick Mahomes reached 352 yards, but did not throw a touchdown pass.

At Gambyl Exchange, you can explore all the predictions for the NFL, the final bets for this Matchday, and the odds for each match.

Dallas Cowboys vs. Kansas City Chiefs Betting Odds and Info

Why Bet on the Cowboys?

The days of the great Dallas Cowboys are now just memories. Since the start of this century, they have been a mediocre team, and this year is no exception, with a poor record of five wins and five losses, currently far from a playoff spot.

However, in their most recent outing, they earned a key win over the Philadelphia Eagles, 24–21, thanks to a strong performance from Dak Prescott, who posted 354 yards, two touchdown passes, and was intercepted only once. As if that weren’t enough, he also scored once on the ground.

The other touchdowns came from George Pickens and Brevyn Spann-Ford, while on defense, the standouts were the five tackles recorded by DeMarvion Overshown, Donovan Wilson, and Malik Hooker.

The Cowboys have won three of their last four games, though they need more consistency if they hope to reach the postseason.

Their passing attack is highly productive, generating more than 388 yards per game, thanks in part to how good a quarterback Prescott is. The urgent issue they must fix is that they allow too many yards and too many points, committing mistakes in critical areas with their secondary.

Hakeem Adeniji is out for this team, while Tyler Guyton is listed as questionable.

Why Bet on the Chiefs?

The Kansas City Chiefs have gotten used to seeing them as one of the best teams in the NFL year after year, but 2025 has been the exception, as they are far from the top spots in the AFC.

Even so, they are coming off a 23-20 win over the Indianapolis Colts, one of the toughest teams in the league.For Indy, this loss was only their second of an otherwise excellent season.

The Chiefs’ victory came on a night when Patrick Mahomes did not throw a touchdown pass and was intercepted once. However, he still managed to record 352 passing yards with a 63% completion rate. The team’s only touchdown came from Kareem Hunt, and while the offense struggled, the defense stepped up with eight tackles and six assisted tackles to keep the Colts under control.

Kansas City now sits at 6-5, but despite their most recent performance, their offense is usually versatile and explosive, with Mahomes serving as the primary weapon to break down opposing defenses. Although their results have fallen short of expectations, this is a championship-caliber team with the pride and potential to bounce back at any moment.

Trey Smith and Noah Gray are listed as questionable, while Isiah Pacheco and Omarr Norman-Lott are expected to miss the game.

Final Betting Analysis: Cowboys vs. Chiefs

This will very likely be a very close game, but the defensive inconsistencies of the Cowboys won’t go unpunished, which is why we are predicting a win for the Kansas City Chiefs.

The numbers at Gambyl Exchange have the Chiefs as favorites, with the Moneyline set at -189; meanwhile, the Cowboys are at +150.

The last meeting between these teams took place in 2021, with the Chiefs winning 19-9.

Go for a win for the Chiefs. If you bet $100 at -189, you will gain $52 for a total payout of $152.

Cowboys vs. Chiefs Betting Pick: Chiefs