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Canelo Alvarez vs. Jaime Munguia Preview and Betting Odds

Last Updated on May 4, 2024 12:09 pm by Erwin Noguera

On May 4, boxing’s biggest star, Saul “Canelo” Alvarez, will face challenger Jaime Munguia in a historic Mexican super middleweight title showdown. The fight occurs at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on Cinco de Mayo weekend and hasmajor implications for the 168-pound division. 

Canelo (60-2-2, 39 KOs) is the reigning WBC, WBA, IBF, and WBO super middleweight champion and is looking to make the fourth defense of his undisputed crown. Munguia (43-0, 34 KOs) is a former 154-pound champion who has won three consecutive fights since moving up to 168 pounds. 

This fight marks the first time in boxing history that two Mexican fighters will compete against each other for a world title above 160 pounds. The winner will make history and become a national hero by claiming victory on a symbolic weekend for Mexico.

With the sanctioning body’s four major titles on the line, the winner will walk away with the distinction of being the undisputed super middleweight champion. This adds even more prestige to an already historic clash for the all-Mexican championship.

When and Where?

Saturday, May 4, 8:00 pm ET at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas

Ring walk times:

(Estimated) 11:00 pm ET

Moneyline odds:

Canelo Alvarez 1.191 

Jaime Munguia 5.49

Where can I watch it?


Why Bet on Canelo Alvarez?

Canelo Alvarez enters this fight as the current undisputed super middleweight champion worldwide. He earned that distinction by defeating Caleb Plant in November 2021 to claim the IBF belt, the last remaining title he needed to be the undisputed king at 168 pounds. 

Canelo has been on a tear in the super middleweight division in recent years. After moving up from middleweight, he won titles against Rocky Fielding, Callum Smith, Avni Yildirim, Billy Joe Saunders, and the aforementioned Caleb Plant. He has barely lost a round against this series of challengers, showcasing his elite boxing skills and devastating power.

The Mexican superstar has cleaned up the super middleweight division at this point. He has defeated every major champion and top contender. However, Canelo is not one to rest on his laurels. He is always looking for the biggest challenges and fights that will continue his legacy. 

That’s why this showdown with undefeated Jaime Munguia appeals to him. Munguia represents a young and dangerous opponent who is moving up in weight and hungry for the opportunity. He recognizes that Munguia’scombination of youth, size, and power makes him a legitimate threat.

Why Bet on Jaime Munguia?

Munguia has been in great form since moving up to super middleweight, winning four of his last five fights by KO.

In his first fight at 168 lbs, Munguia fought Gary “Spike” O’Sullivan, stopping the veteran in 11 rounds. He followed that with an impressive sixth-round KO over Tureano Johnson late in 2020. Most recently, Munguia defeated John Ryder in 9 rounds in January 2024 by TKO.

The young Mexican’s motivation for taking on this fight is clear: he wants to prove he is ready for the elite level of the division. He has long been viewed as a future star and champion at 168 pounds, and with his recent knockout streak, he believes now is the time to capitalize on his potential and defeat division king Canelo. 

This is Munguia’s chance to announce herself and take the belts from Canelo to become the new face of the super middleweight division.

Final Betting Analysis: Canelo Alvarez vs. Jaime Munguia

The champion’s precise counterpunching and bodywork will be the key to victory. He has shown mastery of distance management and ring generalship against other pressure fighters. Munguia is aggressive, but defensively vulnerable at times. Canelo will make him pay with counters when he gives up openings.

The biggest advantage for Canelo is his proven ability to stick to a game plan. He is disciplined and will not get caught up in a brawl or waste power exchanging power punches. Munguia is still improving his fight IQ and can be drawn into fights. 

Alvarez’s granite chin gives him the confidence to outwork his foe bigger punches and outbox him in the later rounds. His bodywork will also gradually slow down the younger fighter. While Munguia has never been stopped, he has also never faced power and precision like Canelo.

Ultimately, we believe Canelo Alvarez will win this fight by unanimous decision.

Go for a victory for the Undisputed champion at 1.191. If you bet $100 at such odds, you could get $19.1 for a total payout of $119.1.

Canelo Alvarez vs. Jaime Munguia Betting Pick: Canelo Alvarez

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