Gambyl Betting Exchange

Canelo Álvarez vs. Gennadiy Golovkin III – Predictions and Free Pick

Last Updated on September 17, 2022 7:19 pm by Gambyl Nation Editorial Team

This Saturday, September 17th, the event that takes place in Las Vegas, Nevada, inside of the T-Mobile Arena will be one of the best fight cards of the year.

We have a stacked card, with 4 championship titles on the table. To top it all off, the main event is the Trilogy fight between two exciting fighters; Canelo and Golovkin.

This event has 2 matches that we are interested in covering, the main and co-main events.

The other two bouts include a clash in the lightweight and another in the super featherweight division.

Right now, we look right into the 3rd match between Canelo Álvarez and Gennadiy Golovkin. The encounter will have the undisputed Super Middleweight Title on the line.

Boxing Preview – Canelo Álvarez vs. Gennadiy Golovkin Betting Odds & Free Pick – Info

When: Saturday, September 17th at 9:00 pm ET

Moneyline odds: Canelo Alvarez -555 / Gennadiy Golovkin +312

Draw Offs: 

Where To Watch: DAZN

Why Bet on Canelo Álvarez

Álvarez, despite losing to Dmitry Bivol last May, is still in his prime. 

We saw two different versions of Álvarez in their two-fight series heading into this clash. 

In their first bout, “Canelo” came in bulked up with the intent to muscle out Golovkin, a strategy that saw him gassed after four rounds and needing judicial intervention to escape with a draw. 

The rematch saw Álvarez closer to what we see him today as he used pinpoint counters, combinations, and ring generalship to earn a close decision win. 

Canelo needs to rely on body punching and timing Golovkin’s jab-heavy offense with a counter right hand, and then let his footwork and upper-body movement avoid his opponent’s charges.

Why Bet on Gennadiy Golovkin

Golovkin wasn’t as varied in his approach in both fights.

His tried-and-true pressure style can help him keep up with Álvarez, but the outcome of the second fight determined that he’s not likely to overtake him now. 

While Golovkin has a cast iron jaw and excellent conditioning, he’s moving up in weight for the first time in his career to face an opponent who is better than the man who beat him four years ago. 

Golovkin has to find a way to limit Alvarez’s movement without sacrificing too much of his energy should the fight head to the later rounds.

That said, Gennadiy has unified titles at middleweight since their last fight and likely still runs through the division even in his advanced age.

Final Betting Analysis – Canelo Alvarez vs. Gennadiy Golovkin

Golovkin is now in his 40s and though he is still a force of nature in his advanced age, he’s slower to get in gear as seen by his struggles against Sergiy Derevyanchenko and Ryota Murata. 

The switch to trainer Johnathan Banks has only contributed to his decline by making him fight at a slower pace.

There’s little doubt that Golovkin will be ready and strong at 168, and Álvarez is an easy assignment for him considering their history. 

However, Álvarez is physically at his best right now and has evolved even further since their two previous controversial bouts. 

We’ve seen him tear through 168 and 175, and Golovkin isn’t going to show him anything he hasn’t seen before. 

While this fight has the potential to deliver the action, the conclusion doesn’t seem to be in doubt. 

Canelo has become a better fighter by developing his skill set to compete at a higher weight, whereas Golovkin remains his familiar, formidable self. 

We need to note that these two also don’t like each other. 

And even though it’s been a while, expect hostilities to resume like it was yesterday.

Álvarez vs. Golovkin Betting Pick: Saul “Canelo” Alvarez

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  • GGG won both their previous battles, in 2017 and 2018, he’s too long in the tooth to win this one at 40 years old. Golovkin looked good in his stoppage win against Ryota Murata, but it was noticeable that he stopped a lot of punches from the Japanese fighter. Canelo may have suffered his second defeat to the brilliant Dmitri Bivol, who moved and boxed beautifully in May this year, but that style of box/fighting is not something Golovkin can do. What’s more, Alvarez has got GGG to step up to 168 pounds – not even a catchweight of 165. Saul has all the advantages in this fight, just the way he likes it.

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