Last Updated on July 25, 2023 5:24 pm by Erwin Noguera
Matchday 17 of the Brasileirão brings us a duel of opposing realities, with one team fighting to avoid relegation against another that is at the top of the table. América Mineiro will host Palmeiras.
The Coelho is coming off a valuable 1-1 draw away to mighty Flamengo at the Maracanã, but remains in the relegation place with only 10 points.
The Verdão beat Fortaleza 3-1 in its last match, moving up to fourth place in the Brazilian league with 28 points, 13 behind leaders Botafogo.
When?
Sunday, July 30 at 6:00 pm ET at the Arena Independência
Moneyline odds:
América-MG +260
Palmeiras +100
Draw Offs:
+240
Where Can I Watch?
ViX and Paramount+
Why Bet on América-MG?
América Mineiro has experienced two faces this season, because in the Copa Sudamericana, it is in the round of 16, eliminating clubs such as Millonarios (Colombia) and Colo Colo (Chile), but in the Brasileirão it is second to last with only 10 points.
The Coelho drew 1-1 in their last match against Flamengo, a fact that was unexpected for many, but the six-game winless streak is still active, with only three points out of 18. As if that were not enough, the Minas Gerais team is the worst defense of the season, with 33 goals conceded.
The most important absentees for coach Mancini Wagner are Ricardo Silva, Adyson, and Dada Belmonte, but all are players with long-standing injuries.
Why Bet on Palmeiras?
As every year, Palmeiras is one of the teams called to fight for the Brasileirao title, thanks to its strong roster and experienced coach Abel Ferreira.
In their last outing, the Verdão beat Fortaleza 3-1 at home to end a five-game winless streak in the Brazilian league. In that time, the Sao Paulo team has only three out of 15 points, which means it is now 11 points ahead of Botafogo. But one aspect to take into account with this team is its ease of scoring, as it has 28 goals in the campaign, tied for first place in this category with the Fogao and Flamengo.
Ferreira’s team could be without striker Dudu, so Jhon Jhon could have the opportunity to play from the starting whistle.
Final Betting Analysis: América-MG vs. Palmeiras
América Mineiro is coming off an unexpected point against Flamengo, but versus Palmeiras, it is hard to believe that the Coelho has the chance to pull away. The clear favorite is the Verdão, who is back to winning ways and need to put together a string of wins to get closer to the title race with Botafogo.
The numbers at MyBookie.ag have Palmeiras as the favorite, as the Moneyline for them shows +100, meanwhile Coritiba has +260 and the draw is +240.
The last time Palmeiras and América Mineiro played, the Sao Paulo club won 2-1 on November 9 last year. Moreover, Abel Ferreira’s men have a remarkable superiority, having lost only one of their last 10 matches.
One fact to keep in mind is that the Minas Gerais club has scored and conceded goals in its last five matches, while Palmeiras started by scoring in five of seven games.
Go for a straight win for Palmeiras in the Moneyline. If you bet $100 at +100, you will gain $100 for a total payout of $200.
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