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Flamengo vs. Athletico Paranaense Preview and Free Pick

Last Updated on September 11, 2023 9:23 pm by Erwin Noguera

We are starting the week for our Brasileirão matchday number 23! Now, we are past the halfway point in the season, which means that things are going to get more and more interesting as we reach the last weeks and the teams get more intense in their points hunt.

The clash we are looking into will feature Flamengo, in 4th place, and Athletico-PR, in 7th. So, we prepare for a high-quality game.

Both teams are on the top half of the scoreboard, so we expect this match to be quite interesting.

When: 

Wednesday, September 13th at 6:30 pm ET at the Estádio Kleber José de Andrade, in Rio Branco, Cariacica

Moneyline odds: 

Flamengo -126

Athletico PR +330

Draw Odds: 

+270

Where Can I Watch? 

Brasil Play

Why Bet on Flamengo?

Nearly a month on from their dramatic second-half collapse, which saw their reign as Copa Libertadores champions end in the last 16 versus Olimpia (3-2 on aggregate), Flamengo are starting to climb up the Série A table, unbeaten in four successive league fixtures, and without a loss in their last five competitive games.

At the end of July, assistant coach Pablo Fernandez was fired for punching striker Pedro in the face, according to ESPN Brazil, and there appears to be more harmony within the group since that incident came to light and was subsequently dealt with, as this team is currently holding down the last direct Copa Libertadores spot in the table, while only two points separate themselves from Palmeiras in second.

Jorge Sampaoli remained the manager of this team despite that situation, and his players have responded, winning three of their last four matches in all competitions and advancing into the Copa do Brasil final along the way.

Flamengo have not lost a competitive home fixture since April 30 (3-2 versus Botafogo), conceding just once in their last four matches played in Rio de Janeiro, with all of those encounters taking place at the Maracana.

Why Bet on Athletico Paranaense?

For a third successive encounter in this competition, Athletico Paranaense came away with just a single point on Saturday, the fifth draw for them in the Brasileirão in their last six outings.

Wesley Carvalho’s men have found a way to salvage a point in each of their previous two domestic affairs at home after falling behind, but have also left points on the table when playing outside of Arena da Baixada, conceding an equalizing goal in their last two road fixtures versus Goias (1-1) and Santos (1-1), and squandering nine points away from home this year after scoring first.

Winning the league could be out of sight for this team, who are currently 17 points behind Botafogo. However, claiming a direct spot at the 2024 Libertadores is well within their reach as they currently trail their next rivals by five units.

Furacao have not helped themselves with their aggressive tackling, being reduced to 10 men in back-to-back league fixtures while reaching double-digits for fouls committed in all but two Série A encounters this year.

Betting Analysis: Flamengo vs. Athletico Paranaense

Goals from Roque and Erick helped Paranaense to a 2-1 home victory against Flamengo the last time these teams squared off in league play this year, as Bento stopped two of the three shots that he faced on that occasion.

The thing is that Athletico has not been able to keep its composure when playing in enemy territory, despite some strong starts, while Flamengo is starting to score with more regularity and is finding ways to turn one point into three at home.

We expect Flamengo to keep themselves strong and achieve victory in this clash.

If you place $100 on a victory for Flamengo, you could get $79 for a total payout of $179.

Flamengo vs. Athletico Paranaense Betting Pick: Flamengo

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