Last Updated on April 16, 2023 5:01 pm by Erwin Noguera
We have a great Italian duel for the quarterfinals of the Champions League when Napoli receives Milan with the obligation to overcome the defeat in the first leg.
Il Partenopei felt bad at the end of the season, lowering its level, but it recovers one of its stars.
The opposite is the case for Il Diavolo, which is now improving at the end and is showing all its experience in playing this type of tournament.
When:
Tuesday, April 18 at 3:00 pm ET at Diego Armando Maradona stadium
Moneyline odds:
Napoli -123
Milan +410
Draw Offs:
+250
Where Can I Watch it?
Vix+ and Paramount+
Why Bet on Napoli?
A few weeks ago there were no doubts, but lately, Napoli has faltered. The level of the team has dropped considerably, and it was evident in the first leg against Milan, where they lost 1-0.
This weekend, Luciano Spalletti’s team drew 0-0 at home against Hellas Verona, which is in the relegation places, although it is also true that he decided to rest several of his players taking into account this Tuesday’s game. The only good news is the return of Victor Osimhen. The Napoli goalscorer was not in the first leg due to injury and the team felt it, but this weekend he entered in the second half. Without a doubt, this Tuesday he will be from the beginning of the game.
On the other hand, Kvicha Kvaratskhelia, who has been the big surprise of the season in Europe, has dropped considerably his performance. He has not scored or assisted in the last 4 games, of which the team has only won 1. Against Milan, the duo of “Kvaradona” and Osimhen will meet again on the field, and they hope it will be the team’s revival.
However, the southern Italian team will have two very important casualties: Frank Anguissa and Kim Min-Jae. The midfielder received a red card last game while the defender received his third yellow in the tournament and is suspended.
At home, Napoli only has 2 victories in their last 5 games, although, in the Champions League, they have won all 5 games they have played in Napoles.
Why Bet on Milan?
Milan is an experienced club and knows how to play in these instances. They already showed it in the first leg, when they knew when to attack and do damage. Even though the team looked for another goal in the last minutes after the rival was left with 1 man less and could not, they managed to take an important advantage and now they hope to be able to maintain it.
The Rossoneros have 4 unbeaten games with 2 victories, both against Napoli: one 0-4 in Serie A, and the other was 1-0 in the Champions League. This weekend they drew 1-1 with Bologna but, like their rival in Europe, they decided to rest their starting players. They are in fourth place in the league and cannot give up this fight or they can go down to the Europa League spot.
In the round of 16, Milan beat Tottenham 1-0 in the first leg and then tied away, without goals. They have 2 unbeaten matches playing away from home in the Champions League.
In their last 3 visits to the Diego Armando Maradona stadium (formerly San Paolo), Stefano Pioli’s team won and has not been defeated in the last four games there.
Final Betting Analysis: Napoli vs. Milan
It will be a great match, very even and close, where Napoli will be the ones that will go out looking for the goal while Milan will be dedicated to defending themselves and taking advantage of a counterattack to score. We believe that the locals will take advantage of the return of Osimhen and will be the winners and advance to the semifinals.
At MyBookie.ag we find that Napoli is the favorite of the match with a Moneyline of -123, while Milan has +410 and the draw is +250.
The last time they met was on April 12 and Milan won 1-0 with a goal from Ismaël Bennacer, while the last time they played at the Diego Armando Maradona stadium, the Rossoneros won 0-4. The last time Napoli won at home was on August 25, 2018, when they won 3-2, coming back from 0-2, with a brace from Piotr Zielinski and a goal from Dries Mertens.
Go for a straight win for Napoli in the Moneyline. If you bet $100 on the win at -123, you will gain $81 for a total payout of $181.
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