Gambyl Betting Exchange

Real Madrid vs. RB Leipzig Betting Odds and Free Pick

Last Updated on March 4, 2024 2:18 pm by Erwin Noguera

Real Madrid is in a year in which winning the Champions League is the main objective, but they still have to overcome the hurdle of Leipzig to advance to the quarterfinals. 

The first leg on German soil was decided by a second-half goal from midfielder Brahim Diaz, meaning that Carlo Ancelotti’s men have a one-goal advantage going into the tie in front of their home fans. 

Real Madrid and Leipzig will meet at the Estadio Santiago Bernabéu next Wednesday, March 6, for the Champions League Round of 16. 

When and Where?

Wednesday, March 6, 3:00 pm ET at the Santiago Bernabeu Stadium

Moneyline odds: 

Real Madrid 1.634 

Leipzig 5.34

Draw Offs


Where Can I Watch? 

ViX, Paramount +, Univisión, and TUDN 

Why Bet on Real Madrid?

Real Madrid is having an excellent season. In LaLiga, they are leaders and are on the way to a new title, while at the international level, they are looking good, thanks to the level of the squad coach Carlo Ancelotti. 

The first leg was won by the Casa Blanca thanks to a goal by Brahim Diaz, who in the second half dribbled an opponent and shot into the right corner of the goalkeeper Peter Gulacsi. The fact that Brahim was the hero indicates that this is a rich squad since the big stars did not have to make their presence felt on the scoreboard, as was the case with Vinícius Jr. and Jude Bellingham. Diaz was filling in for Bellingham, who was injured. 

At home, Jude will again show signs of his hierarchy. So far, the English midfielder, who is living his first season at the club, is the top scorer of the team. He has 20 goals in 27 games between the local league and the Champions. 

This weekend they drew in an incredible game with Valencia (2-2), which had a lot of controversy. The referee ended the game when the ball was in the air after a cross from Carvajal, later headed by Bellingham. It was a goal, but it was not awarded, and the referee ended up sending off the Englishman for his heated reaction. 

The Merengue team always has a plus when they play in the Champions League, remembering that two years ago they were champions, and in 2023, they reached the semifinals, losing to Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City. Another fact to consider is that Real Madrid has won all its matches in this edition of Europe’s top tournament. 

In addition to goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois and defender Eder Militao, who have hamstring injuries, David Alaba is out. 

Why Bet on Leipzig?

Leipzig has not yet made the expected leap at home or abroad. They are looking for more, but they always end up lacking something to achieve success. This time, the German team will have to turn around the 1-0 defeat at home, a match in which they had chances to score, but their strikers were not focused while finishing. 

Leipzig had a positive group stage, getting 12 points out of 18. They only lost two matches, both against Manchester City. In the Bundesliga, they have just beaten Bochum 1-4 and are in the fight to enter the next Champions League. 

There is no doubt that this team needs mainly the good level of two players to obtain positive results: midfielder Xavi Simons and striker Lois Openda. Simons has nine assists and eight goals in the campaign, while the Belgian Openda has contributed 20 goals, making the Frenchman Christopher Nkunku, now at Chelsea, a thing of the past. 

Coach Marco Rose has two important absentees: defender Lukas Klostermann and striker Yussuf Poulsen. 

Final Betting Analysis: Real Madrid vs. Leipzig

The last time the Merengues hosted the Germans was on September 14, 2022, and won 2-0 with goals from Federico Valverde and Marco Asensio. 

The numbers at Gambyl Exchange have Real Madrid as the favorite. The Moneyline for them shows 1.634, while Leipzig has 5.34, and the draw is 4.625. 

It will not be an easy match for the Casa Blanca, but the individual quality of the squad will allow them to get the win at home and the ticket to the quarterfinals of the Champions League. We’ll go for a 3-1.

Go for a straight win for Real Madrid in the Moneyline. If you bet $100 at 1.634, you will gain $63 for a total payout of $163. 

 Real Madrid vs. Leipzig Betting Pick: Real Madrid

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